AFL Trade Review | Jordan Dawson

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It’s been a long time since the Crows have secured a high end talent at the trade table. So can the late-season run of scoring from Jordan Dawson continue for Adelaide.

Career High SuperCoach Score: 158 vs Gold Coast (2021)

Career High SuperCoach Average: 101 (2021)

Career High AFLFantasy Score: 158 vs Gold Coast (2021)

Career High AFLFantasy Average: 88.8 (2021)

Impact on New Club

The loss of Joran Dawson on the Swans midfield mix is quite severe. His damaging left foot has become a staple part of the Sydney inside 50 movements. He ranks elite in the league for inside ’50s, score involvements and one-percenters. The Swans don’t lack depth, but replacing Dawson wasn’t part of their ideal plans. 

I can see three potential replacements for his wing role. First, Justin McInerney. He showed plenty across the season, and while his weapons are not the same as Jordan, he provides some more speed around the midfield. Second, Second,  Dylan Stephens could finally find his feet at AFL level by winning back this spot. As a junior Stephens showcased some skills that gave many recruiters confidence to contrast his game to Lachie Whitfield. Like Justin, he doesn’t have the same lethal boot, but he does have a high footy IQ. I think in 2022, one of these two are the likely replacements.

Longer term I think it’ll be Braeden Campbell. The first year player has already showcased his strong kicking ability. And was the clear top field kick from the 2020 draft crop. He’ll take time to develop, but the positional ‘seas’ have parted to Campbell to lock down a spot if he’s good enough in his second season.

Impact on Old Club

When taking a look at the Adelaide list build, it’s clear that they still have a few gaps. Ask any Crows fan over the previous 2 seasons as they’ll tell you how much the club has lacked for quality users of the ball delivering inside forward 50. The addition of Jordan Dawson should assist in resolving this. He along with Wayne Milera, Paul Seedsman and developing youngster Lachie Sholl should provide the Crows with the outside poise and skill they need.  

Adelaide will want him centre forward and deliver the footy inside 50. It also wouldn’t shock me to see him start across half-forward at times and push higher up similarly to how the Giants used Lachie Whitfield from a few seasons ago.

Fantasy Summary

Going back multiple seasons fantasy output for Jordan Dawson is useless. However, he clearly broke out this year, and as a result, will be someone people consider him. As discussed already, Dawson played two key roles last year for the Swans, one as a wingman late in the season and across half-back early. The move to the wing occurred after the bye, and as you can see his scoring skyrocketed. 

SuperCoachAFLFantasy
Average10189
100’s95
Sub 80 Scores47
Pre-Bye Average (13 games)9280.8
Post-Bye Average (9 games)114100
Differential+22+20
Defender Rank (points)5th9th

I expect Dawson to retain defensive status (likely a MID/DEF), and if he’d stayed at Sydney, the decision to pick him might be more accessible. However, how does he gel into the Crows side? As a side note, Paul Seedsman averaged 95 across the formats, so there are fantasy points available on the Crows wings.

He’s a preseason watchlist for me. His preseason role & what defenders we have available to select will likely determine how relevant he is in salary cap formats of the game. 

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