Preseason

#5 Most Relevant | Andrew Brayshaw
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Read Time:5 Minute, 31 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

In the wake of an impressive 2022 season, Andrew Brayshaw showcased his prowess yet again, emerging as one of the league’s standout young midfield talents. He has consistently maintained an average of over 25 disposals per game for three consecutive years, showcasing his remarkable ability to win possessions.

Andrew Brayshaw’s ascent into the fantasy football elite continued unabated in the 2023 AFL season, with the Fremantle midfielder consolidating his status as a premier ball-winner and affirming his reliability as a fantasy asset. In AFLFantasy, Brayshaw’s prolific scoring saw him register 18 tons, tying him with Rory Laird for the most over the past two seasons, a testament to his consistency and scoring prowess. His ability to surpass the 120-point threshold on six occasions and peak with a breathtaking 157 points in a single game highlights the immense ceiling Brayshaw possesses. Aside from a solitary dip, Brayshaw maintained a scoring floor that never fell below 90, underscoring his role as a stalwart in fantasy lineups.

The narrative was similar in SuperCoach, where Brayshaw’s average of 108.9 was bolstered by 16 tons, including seven scores above 120. His rank for total points and average amongst midfielders places him firmly in the top echelons of fantasy performers, further cementing his status as a must-have in any competitive team.

However, Brayshaw’s season was challenging. An early-season knee injury threatened to derail his campaign, leading to a comparatively modest start by his lofty standards. Over the initial seven rounds, Brayshaw’s AFLFantasy average hovered around 102.5, with SuperCoach performances even more affected, averaging just 91 points per game. Yet, the mark of Brayshaw’s class and resilience was his remarkable recovery post-injury, elevating his average to 113.7 in AFLFantasy and an impressive 116.7 in SuperCoach for the remainder of the season. This turnaround speaks volumes of Brayshaw’s physical recovery and mental fortitude as he navigated through early adversity to finish the season on a high note.

This resilience and late-season surge present a compelling narrative for fantasy coaches pondering Brayshaw’s inclusion in their 2024 squads. The potential for scoring upside based on his end-of-season form, combined with his demonstrated capacity to overcome physical setbacks, makes Brayshaw an attractive proposition. His proven track record over the past two seasons, with averages well into the triple digits across both major fantasy formats, reinforces the notion that Brayshaw is among the elite midfield options today.

As coaches weigh their options for the upcoming season, Brayshaw’s combination of consistency, scoring ceiling, and resilience to injury offers a reassuring blend of reliability and explosive potential. With Fremantle’s midfield dynamics continuing to evolve, Brayshaw’s role as a key contributor is expected to remain unchanged, ensuring his relevance and desirability in fantasy football circles. As the 2024 season approaches, the question for coaches is not if Brayshaw should feature in their plans but rather how to best integrate his talents into a winning fantasy strategy.

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MY TAKE

Andrew Brayshaw’s recent surge in fantasy football relevance is a testament to his consistent performance on the field, making him a worthwhile investment for fantasy coaches aiming for top-tier midfield prowess.

With a landscape devoid of last year’s value picks like Tim Taranto, Tom Green, Caleb Serong, Connor Rozee, and Nick Daicos—who all provided captaincy value with their ability to jump from 90s to 110+ averages—Brayshaw’s established baseline of 110 across recent seasons becomes even more appealing. His durability and dependability, highlighted by not missing a game and maintaining a high scoring average, underscore his value, even if it might seem he’s priced at his peak.

Concerns about Hayden Young’s shift into the midfield impacting Brayshaw’s scoring potential are unfounded. The data from the last five games, where they shared midfield duties, only reinforces Brayshaw’s scoring efficiency, with averages soaring to 116 in AFLFantasy and 122 in SuperCoach. This indicates that Brayshaw’s game benefits from the dynamic midfield composition, allowing him to excel in a more outside role.

Looking ahead to Fremantle’s early fixture list—featuring Brisbane, North Melbourne, Adelaide, Carlton, Port Adelaide, West Coast, Western Bulldogs, and Richmond—Brayshaw is in a prime position to exploit favourable matchups. Additionally, with Caleb Serong likely drawing the opponent’s tag, Brayshaw’s path to increased scoring becomes even clearer.

The strategic value of having Brayshaw during the challenging stretch of bye rounds cannot be overstated. His presence in your lineup ensures a high-scoring premium midfielder is available when player availability is most constrained, thus reducing the impact of lower-scoring rookies on your team’s performance.

Brayshaw presents a solid vice-captaincy or captaincy option each week due to his proven scoring ceiling and stands out as a beacon of reliability and potential growth. With all signs pointing towards a season where Brayshaw could average around 115, fantasy coaches have every reason to be bullish on his prospects for the upcoming season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Andrew Brayshaw’s stellar performances have solidified his status as a top-tier midfielder, warranting consideration for a coveted M1 position in AFLFantasy leagues. His consistent scoring, highlighted by many ton-plus games, positions him as a cornerstone for any fantasy team, making him a viable first-round pick for coaches looking to build a winning foundation.

Brayshaw’s prowess isn’t just limited to AFLFantasy; in SuperCoach, while his 2023 average might slot him into an M2 role, his proven track record and scoring ceiling justify elevating him to an M1 status, especially if it aligns with securing a standout premium in another line.

Brayshaw’s blend of consistency, scoring potential, and midfield dominance make him an indispensable asset across formats, and coaches would do well to prioritize him in the early stages of their draft, ensuring a solid midfield anchor around which to construct their fantasy roster.

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#6 Most Relevant | Tim English
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Read Time:4 Minute, 39 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Tim English has quickly ascended as one of the AFL’s most promising ruckmen, showcasing a unique blend of athleticism and skill that sets him apart. Standing at an imposing height, English combines his natural ruck work with exceptional ground play, making him a versatile threat both in the air and on the ground.

His ability to read the play and position himself effectively allows him to dominate contests. At the same time, his mobility and agility enable him to cover the ground like a midfielder. English’s skills are not limited to his ruck duties; he is also a proficient ball user, displaying clean hands and a keen eye for goal when drifting forward.

His kicking and decision-making under pressure further highlight his comprehensive skill set, making him a critical asset for the Western Bulldogs and a challenging matchup for opponents.

Tim English’s 2023 season was spectacular, marking his emergence as one of the AFL’s top ruckmen. His blend of agility, skill, and work rate transformed the Western Bulldogs’ midfield dynamics, showcasing his evolution beyond a conventional ruck role.

In AFLFantasy, English’s average of 118.6 was bolstered by an impressive tally of 15 hundred, with a remarkable 75% conversion rate for scores over 120, including six over 140 and three over 150. His consistency was further highlighted by the fact that, out of the few games he didn’t reach triple digits, seven were in the 90s, leading him to rank first in both total points and average.

SuperCoach mirrored this outstanding performance, with English averaging 127.9, securing 20 tons with 15 scores over 120, and his scoring dipping below 100 in only three games. His lowest score was a still-respectable 88, underscoring his reliability and scoring power.

English’s ability to score in multiple facets of the game, from contesting marks to acting as a crucial link-up player, reflects a young version of Brodie Grundy at his best. His exceptional season was a testament to his development as a player and the patience required with rucks as English finally realized the breakout potential many had anticipated.

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MY TAKE

Tim English’s preparation for the 2024 season at Whitten Oval has been a tale of careful management, with the Western Bulldogs’ star ruckman navigating through an interrupted preseason due to migraine-related symptoms. Despite missing contact training in December and January, English has made significant strides in recent weeks, diving into full contact training and match simulation. This gradual return to peak form presents both an opportunity and a quandary for fantasy coaches considering English for their ruck structure.

The ruck choices for 2024 revolve around a pivotal decision between five key players, each offering unique value and strategy implications. The reigning ‘set and forget’ duo of Rowan Marshall and Tim English, the potential resurgence of AFL fantasy stalwarts Max Gawn and Brodie Grundy, and the breakout candidate Tristan Xerri form the crux of this decision-making process.

Despite his preseason challenges, English remains a compelling choice due to his proven track record and sheer scoring potential. The question for coaches is not about his talent but about timing and strategy: weighing the benefits of his potential lower starting price against the initial points lost and the optimal moment to integrate him into their squad.

English’s fantasy appeal is bolstered by his remarkable finish to the 2023 season, where his scoring ceiling not only expanded but became increasingly impactful during the crucial final weeks. In AFLFantasy, his late-season flourish included three scores over 140, highlighting a significant part of his six-season highs.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, English’s prowess was on full display, with two of his three highest scores recorded in the season’s twilight. This trend underscores his role as a reliable captaincy choice, capable of delivering match-winning scores regardless of the opposition, thanks to his versatile skill set and ability to influence the game across multiple facets.

Ultimately, selecting English as one of the cornerstone rucks for 2024 boils down to a mix of strategy, preference, and foresight. Coaches must consider the broader implications of their ruck selections, balancing the immediate cost savings and scoring potential against the long-term benefits of securing a consistent, high-ceiling performer like English. As fantasy football evolves, English’s situation exemplifies the intricate decisions that define a successful fantasy season, blending risk assessment with the pursuit of unmatched scoring potential.

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DRAFT DECISION

There are only a few options for players that are worthy to be taken with the first pick this season in your draft. Tim English is one of those. If you don’t have one of the first two selections in your draft, don’t even consider the potential of landing him; it’s just not going to happen.

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#7 Most Relevant | Hayden Young
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Read Time:5 Minute, 6 Second

The breakout for Hayden Young was tipped to come in 2023. But were we 12 months early? Based on his ownership percentage and a change in team role, he looms as one of the most relevant players in the coming SuperCoach & AFLFantasy season.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Hayden Young, known for his precision and composure with the ball, is quickly becoming one of Fremantle Dockers’ most crucial players. As a defender, his elite ball use by foot and ability to read the game has always stood out.

However, his move into the midfield in 2023 truly showcased the breadth of his talent. This positional change allowed Young to demonstrate his versatility and effectiveness in contesting and distributing the ball, with a career-highlight performance of 33 disposals against the Brisbane Lions.

His exceptional season culminated in his first top-five finish in the prestigious Doig Medal, marking 2023 as the year Hayden Young solidified his place as a key component of Fremantle’s future.

In AFLFantasy, he delivered a solid average of 89.2, including seven scores that reached the century mark, with his peak performance being a 119-point game. However, it’s noteworthy that he also registered seven scores below the 80-point threshold, reflecting some inconsistency in his output. Despite these fluctuations, Young finished the year ranked as the 15th-best defender in terms of total points and average, marking him as a valuable asset in fantasy lineups.

SuperCoach saw Young further enhance his credentials, boasting a higher average 93.9. His ability to break into the triple digits was even more pronounced in this format, with ten tons throughout the season, including three standout performances exceeding 120 points. The lower frequency of sub-80 scores, just five across the year, showcased a greater consistency in SuperCoach than AFLFantasy. This consistency propelled him to rank 13th among defenders for average and total points, solidifying his status as a dependable choice for fantasy coaches seeking a robust defender with the capacity to score heavily and regularly.

Late in the season, Young was moved into the midfield. Here, he averaged 74% time at centre bounces and scored 83, 119, 102, 91 & 94 in AFLFantasy, totalling a five-game average of 97.8. He had a bump of almost 10 points per game from his seasonal average. While in SuperCoach, he posted scores of 69, 123, 118, 113, and 111 and averaged 106.8.

The move was a success because of his fantasy scoring uptick and because it quickly became evident that Hayden was the missing piece for this Fremantle midfield. His height, tackle pressure, and physicality enabled a newfound defensive layer. This was evident when he played a tagging role on Patrick Dangerfield. Additionally, his long and skilful left foot added a dynamic delivery inside forward 50 and became an impact for inside 50s and score involvements. He compliments the midfield perfectly alongside Caleb Serong and Andrew Brayshaw.

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MY TAKE

Navigating the Fremantle Dockers’ midfield dynamics, Hayden Young’s transition from halfback to midfield seems like it could be better for his scoring potential and that of his teammates, Andrew Brayshaw and Caleb Serong. This trio complements each other effectively, promising a balanced midfield unit without apparent statistical drawbacks to Young’s fantasy output. Drawing inspiration from the likes of Rory Laird and Jordan Dawson, who successfully transitioned from premium defenders to uber-premium midfielders, Young has the potential to mirror this trajectory, offering fantasy coaches a best-case scenario reminiscent of Dawson’s stellar 2023 season.

The anticipation surrounding Young is not without its considerations. While his current high ownership in fantasy leagues underscores the community’s confidence, it also elevates the risk for those contemplating betting against his success. This scenario echoes the 2023 sentiment surrounding Nick Daicos, where his breakout performance quickly became a pain point for non-owners that, if not resolved, quickly derailed their season.

The initial fixtures against Brisbane and North Melbourne further spotlight Young’s role versatility, as evidenced by his effective tagging against Lachie Neale last year, yielding impressive scores of 119 in AFLFantasy and 123 in SuperCoach as a midfielder.

Moreover, the prospect of Young gaining dual-position status only amplifies his value, offering strategic flexibility to fantasy squads. The critical Round 13 bye aligns perfectly with strategic planning for the multi-bye rounds, making Young a potential high scorer and a tactical asset for navigating the fantasy season. Considering all factors, the high stakes of excluding Young from your starting side underscore the significance of making informed, strategic decisions in the early phases of the fantasy football season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Hayden’s burgeoning reputation and preseason hype significantly influence his value. Despite his performance metrics positioning him as a D2 option based on average scores, the demand and expectations surrounding him suggest that fantasy coaches must invest a D1 price tag to secure him.

This discrepancy between statistical output and market value is a testament to Young’s perceived potential and the anticipation of further development. Coaches eager to have Young on their roster must be prepared to act early, as the competition to acquire his services will likely push his draft position higher than traditional metrics suggest. If you’re unwilling to pay a premium, be prepared for someone else in your league to capitalize on his upside.

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#8 Most Relevant | Sam Flanders
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Read Time:5 Minute, 33 Second

It happens in every season! A player comes from the clouds with a drastic role change. They present the SuperCoach and AFLFantasy community with supreme value and premium scoring. But entering the 2024 season, plenty has changed around Sam Flanders and his Gold Coast Suns. Can this former first-round selection pick up from where he left last year?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Sam Flanders’ evolution into a consistent and explosive mid-forward has been remarkable. With clean hands and a knack for game-changing plays, his 2023 season saw him elevate his performance to new heights. His output from round 15 onwards was particularly impressive, where he showcased flashes of brilliance and sustained excellence.

In AFLFantasy, he notched an average of 89.6, with six scores reaching the century mark, including a standout 146. His SuperCoach performance was similarly impressive, cementing him as a top-ten forward with an 88.4 average. However, the latter part of the season truly highlighted his potential. During the final ten rounds, Flanders averaged 29 disposals, 5.7 marks, and 3.2 tackles per game, with a 38% share of centre bounce attendances. This period saw him average 105 in AFLFantasy and 106.1 in SuperCoach, underscoring his ability to deliver high scores consistently.

This uptick in performance during the crucial final stretch of the season provides a compelling narrative for Flanders as we look ahead. The forward line, often challenging for fantasy coaches to navigate due to inconsistency and a lack of premium options, suddenly seems less daunting with Flanders in the mix. If he can extend this scoring trend throughout the upcoming season, Flanders will transition from an attractive option to an indispensable asset in fantasy teams. Given the landscape of topline forwards, Flanders’ potential for sustained high performance makes him a standout candidate for a must-own status in the forward line.

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MY TAKE

Sam Flanders’ journey with the Gold Coast Suns is at a fascinating juncture, especially with the coaching change bringing Damien Hardwick at the helm. This transition is anticipated to mark a significant shift in Flanders’ role and the Suns’ overall game style, which has historically seen half-backs and inside midfielders thrive under Hardwick’s coaching philosophy. Yet, traditionally, wings and high half-forwards under Hardwick have seen a limitation on their scoring ceiling, raising questions about where Flanders might fit in this new setup and how it could impact his fantasy football relevance.

The Suns’ midfield is expected to revolve around Matt Rowell, Noah Anderson, and Touk Miller, positioning Flanders in a competition for the fourth and fifth midfield spots alongside Bailey Humphrey. This battle for midfield minutes will be crucial in determining Flanders’ fantasy output, making the preseason and early rounds vital for coaches to monitor his role closely.

During a notable 10-game stretch, Flanders impressed with an average of 5.7 marks per game, placing him among a select group of AFL players who excel in this area. However, with only a handful of non-defenders achieving similar mark tallies, the challenge for Flanders lies in maintaining this aspect of his game amidst potential role changes under Hardwick’s system.

The Suns’ Round 3 bye offers a unique strategic element for fantasy coaches contemplating Flanders’ selection. With the opportunity to assess his performance in the season opener before making a selection decision, coaches are presented with a low-risk option to gauge his role and scoring potential. Flanders’ current high ownership in fantasy leagues, as the most selected forward not classified as a rookie, underscores the community’s optimism about his value proposition.

Fantasy coaches face a nuanced decision in deciding whether to start or fade Flanders. Starting him offers the chance to capitalize on a potentially undervalued asset from the get-go, with the option to pivot away should his role not materialize as hoped. Conversely, waiting and observing Flanders’ role and output in the early rounds can provide valuable insights, allowing for a more informed selection post-bye, albeit at the risk of missing out on early scoring surges.

The key question is this. What does Sam Flanders need to do this preseason to make you start or fade selecting him? Is it a preseason-specific role in the practice games? Is it a comment from the coaching staff at a press conference? Is it a balance of how the Suns structure up or a game style? It could be these or many other indicators. But the key criteria you need to ask yourself is that question. What must I see to select or fade him? Build that list, then check things off accordingly over the coming weeks.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the landscape of fantasy football drafts, where forwards with a high scoring ceiling are at a premium, Sam Flanders presents an intriguing option as an F1. The scarcity at the top end of forward options elevates his value, making him a compelling pick for those looking to secure a solid forward early in their draft. Given the uncertainties around role changes under new coaching and how this impacts Flanders’ scoring potential, cautious optimism is the prevailing sentiment.

If you’re bullish on Flanders stepping up as a consistent scoring forward under Damien Hardwick’s system, securing him as your F1 could be a strategic move. However, considering the potential volatility in his role and output, it might be prudent to wait until at least the 4th round before drafting him. This approach allows you to build a foundation with players in less volatile positions while securing a forward with upside. The thinness at the top end among forwards makes Flanders’ appeal as an F1 evident. However, drafting him before the 4th round may carry a risk that requires a balance of confidence in his potential and strategic draft planning.

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#9 Most Relevant | Jackson Macrae
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Read Time:6 Minute, 48 Second

Jackson Macrae has been a staple in our SuperCoach & AFLFantasy sides for over a decade. While 2023 was a topsy-turvy season both in scoring & role consistency, he enters into 2024 with DPP and the potential of being the top forward in the game.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jackson Macrae has been a fixture in our SuperCoach and AFLFantasy teams for almost a decade, consistently delivering premium-level performance since his breakout in 2014. His fantasy football journey is marked by several seasons where he averaged over 120 points, positioning him as a cornerstone of fantasy midfields across the league.

In 2023, Macrae transitioned into a forward role in AFLFantasy, posting an average of 91.8, with 8 tons, including two scores over 120, and finishing the season as the top-ranked forward by average and third for total points. His SuperCoach performance was similarly impressive, with an average of 99.9, 11 tons, 5 of which exceeded 120 points, securing his position as the foremost forward by average and fourth for total points.

Despite a year many viewed with disappointment, primarily due to expectations of Macrae returning to an average above 110, his 2023 season still demonstrated significant scoring potential. A notable stretch between rounds 10-13 saw him average 118.25 in AFLFantasy and an even more impressive 129.5 in SuperCoach, including several scores over 140.

This performance dispels the myth that Macrae’s high scoring solely depends on his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs). For instance, in round 10 against Adelaide with only 20% CBA, Macrae scored 117 in AFLFantasy and 140 in SuperCoach. Similar performances in rounds 12 and 13, with varying degrees of midfield attendance, further underscore his ability to contribute significantly on the scoreboard, regardless of his role on the field.

A critical aspect of fantasy football scoring, particularly for midfielders, hinges on their ability to accumulate points through stoppage and transition play. For a midfielder to excel in fantasy scoring, they must be adept at influencing the game in these two crucial areas. Stoppage points are garnered from clearances, tackles, and contested possessions at stoppages, like centre bounces and boundary throw-ins. These moments allow midfielders to demonstrate their contested ball skills and contribute significantly to their fantasy scores.

Transition points, on the other hand, are earned through actions that occur as the play moves from one end of the field to the other, such as effective disposals, marks, and score involvements during open play. This facet of the game emphasizes a player’s ability to use the ball efficiently, make impactful decisions, and contribute to the team’s offensive efforts.

The most successful fantasy midfielders are those who can blend these two elements of their game. They not only thrive in the coalface of the contest, securing the ball under pressure and driving it forward but also excel in the fluid dynamics of the game, moving the ball with precision and contributing to scoring chains. This dual capability ensures a consistent scoring output across various game situations, making such players invaluable assets in fantasy football leagues. Jaiden’s done a high amount of statistical work on this; check it all out here.

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MY TAKE

The 2024 fantasy football season presents a notable challenge for coaches searching for premium forward options, starkly contrasting the previous year. In 2023, fantasy coaches enjoyed a rich selection of forward-line premiums who consistently delivered high scores, offering a stable foundation for their teams. However, heading into 2024, the landscape has shifted dramatically.

The pool of forward players considered genuine premium options has diminished, leaving coaches needing more reliable, high-scoring forwards. This shortage is attributed to various factors, including player role changes, injuries, and player form’s natural ebb and flow. Consequently, fantasy coaches are now tasked with strategizing more creatively to fill their forward lines, considering players who might previously have been overlooked or assuming more risk with selections in hopes of uncovering an undervalued gem that can outperform expectations.

The allure of selecting Jackson Macrae in fantasy football stems significantly from the perception of safety he offers. In the unpredictable realm of fantasy sports, safety is an attribute that shouldn’t be underestimated. Macrae’s consistent track record of high scoring, even in what many consider his off years, provides a sense of reliability that is hard to come by. This consistency means that fantasy coaches can count on him to contribute solid scores week in and week out, serving as a stabilizing force in their lineup amidst the ups and downs of a fantasy season.

Opting for a “safe” player like Macrae is more than just a conservative strategy; it’s a tactical move that allows coaches to allocate risk elsewhere in their team. With Macrae, coaches know they have a player whose scoring floor is high, reducing the need to constantly seek out high-risk, high-reward options that can often lead to volatility in weekly scores. In essence, Macrae’s safety allows fantasy coaches to build around him confidently, knowing that his consistent performance offers them a solid foundation to experiment and take calculated risks with other less predictable players.

Jackson Macrae’s 2023 season, while still showcasing his undeniable talent, did not align with the lofty expectations set by his previous fantasy football performances. One critical statistical indicator of this shift was his reduced centre-bounce attendance (CBA), marking his lowest since the public recording of these stats began in 2020. This decrease in CBA is significant, as it directly correlates with opportunities for scoring through clearances, contested possessions, and direct involvement in the flow of play, areas where Macrae typically excels.

The midfield dynamics at the Western Bulldogs further complicate Macrae’s role and, by extension, his scoring potential. Marcus Bontempelli and Tom Liberatore’s prioritization for CBAs underscores a crowded midfield where Macrae has had to navigate reduced time in the engine room. While Bailey Smith’s injury and James Harmes’s arrival had minimal impact on Macrae’s midfield tenure, Adam Treloar’s fitness and role emerge as pivotal factors. Treloar’s presence and dynamic playstyle can significantly influence Macrae’s scoring consistency, with Treloar’s ability to attract midfield time potentially detracting from Macrae’s opportunities.

His current hamstring concern, albeit with expectations of a return for practice games, adds an element of uncertainty to the Bulldogs’ midfield mix as the season approaches. This situation warrants close observation by fantasy coaches considering Macrae for their squads, as Treloar’s fitness and utilization could markedly affect Macrae’s fantasy output.

The Bulldogs’ scheduling offers a silver lining, with the team positioned in the final bye-round block. This scheduling allows fantasy teams to maximise Macrae’s contributions throughout the first 14 games of the season, potentially offsetting any dips in his scoring. Additionally, the Bulldogs’ early fixture presents favourable matchups, providing a conducive environment for Macrae and the Bulldogs’ midfield to start the season strongly. These early games could be critical for Macrae to establish a solid scoring foundation, making him a strategic selection for fantasy coaches looking to capitalize on favourable matchups and navigate the bye rounds effectively.

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DRAFT DECISION

He’s the consensus first forward selected. But where he goes could be widely different from draft to draft. Some coaches will see the lack of topline options and select Jackson inside the first couple of rounds. Others will fade interest in any topline options and just entirely punt forwards.

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#10 Most Relevant | Zac Williams
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Read Time:5 Minute, 30 Second

Another year was ruined by injuries for Zac Williams in 2023. The former Giant and now Carlton defender suffered a season-ending ACL injury before his year started. He’s now back in the mix for selection for the Blues and our SuperCoach & AFL Fantasy teams. The question is, are you ready to get hurt again? Or does he hold an undeniable value that we must select him?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

When a player is injured and misses as much football as Zac Williams has, we can easily forget about what they’re elite at and the quality of footballer they are. Zac’s an elite rebounder and user of the ball, especially by foot. His ability to break open the game for his team and cut opposition sides up has him placed as one of the most exciting players on the Calrton list when he’s up and about.

In a significant blow to the Carlton Blues’ backline, he suffered a ruptured ACL during a training session, sidelining him for the entirety of the 2023 AFL season. This unfortunate injury deprived Carlton of one of its key defensive pillars. The absence of Williams was keenly felt throughout the season as the Blues navigated the challenges of the AFL without one of their most versatile attacking defenders.

Due to his injury, we don’t have an AFLFantasy or SuperCoach scoring data point. During his tenure at Carlton, Zac Williams has intermittently showcased the scoring prowess that catches the eye of fantasy football coaches. Specifically, in the 2022 season, Williams demonstrated his potential over a four-round stretch from rounds 2 to 5, where he posted scores in AFLFantasy of 103, 98, 137, and 72, averaging 69.8, and in SuperCoach, he tallied scores of 96, 107, 135, and 79, with an average of 77.3. This period highlighted his ability to deliver impactful fantasy scores, underlining his value when fit and in form.

In the 2021 season, he has further evidenced his capacity to hit high scores, with several instances of 80+ points and the occasional century, adding to his appeal as a potentially lucrative fantasy option. However, it’s crucial to note that Williams’ earlier performances at the Greater Western Sydney Giants, while indicative of his abilities, may not directly translate to his role at Carlton due to differences in the club’s system and his specific role within the team.

Williams has shown he can be a powerful scorer in patches; fantasy coaches considering him for their squads must weigh his potential against his recent injury and the context of his performances within Carlton’s setup alongside his current price point.

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MY TAKE

Players coming back from long-term injuries like an ACL rupture often face significant challenges in regaining their former levels of performance. However, with Zac Williams, fantasy coaches are not necessarily banking on him delivering averages of 80-100 points. His pricing reflects this cautious optimism: in AFLFantasy, he’s set at the high 40s, in SuperCoach at the high 30s, and in DreamTeam at the mid-30s. This pricing strategy places him at an intriguing crossroads between the risk of his return from injury and the potential reward of his scoring capabilities.

The financial calculation becomes even more compelling when juxtaposed with the most expensive rookie player, Harley Reid. In AFLFantasy, the jump from Williams to Reid is only a jump of a further $142,000, less than $10,000 in SuperCoach, and $20,000 in DreamTeam.

These differences illustrate Williams’s unique value proposition; he’s priced closer to a rookie than a proven premium, yet his past performances hint at a scoring ceiling well beyond his current price tag. This price point and potential upside make Williams an intriguing option for fantasy coaches willing to gamble on his recovery and role within the Carlton system post-injury.

Sam Docherty’s versatility, Adam Saad’s elite rebounding, Nic Newman’s penetrating kicks, and the presence of key defenders like Jacob Weitering have significantly shaped Carlton’s defensive unit under Michael Voss’s leadership. The team’s evolution over the past year has seen Docherty adapt to a wing role while retaining the capability to play half-back and inside midfield, Saad excels as a rebounder and lockdown defender, and Newman contributes with his rebounding prowess. Weitering, though currently injured, is recognized among the elite key position defenders in the AFL, complemented by the utility of Caleb Marchbank, Mitch McGovern, and Brodie Kemp, confirming Zac Williams’ secure spot in the best 22 despite the team’s dynamic changes.

Williams’ ownership rates—61% in SuperCoach, 38% in AFLFantasy, and 54.2% in DreamTeam—place him among the top 10 most-owned players across all formats, reflecting widespread faith in his value. This high ownership, coupled with his low price point, makes a compelling case for his inclusion in fantasy squads, offsetting concerns around his injury history, which includes missing the entire 2023 season and playing a limited number of games in the preceding three years. Fantasy coaches don’t necessarily need Williams to feature in over 20 games; a productive 6-8 week window could suffice to realize his value.

Given Carlton’s round 2 bye, Williams presents as a strategic “parachute plan” option based on his performance in the opening round. His potential impact, affordability, and the evolved team dynamics under Voss make him a risk worth considering, particularly for coaches looking to maximize their roster’s efficiency and navigate the early bye with a well-executed plan. Williams’ situation encapsulates the delicate balance between risk and reward in fantasy football, where strategic selection can leverage high ownership and low cost against the backdrop of injury history for significant competitive advantage.

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DRAFT DECISION

Late flyer – it’s salary cap hype that will push him into the first 40 defenders as people will look for the upside.

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#11 Most Relevant | Marcus Bontempelli
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Read Time:6 Minute, 4 Second

It finally all clicked for Marcus Bontempelli in 2023! After years of good seasons, he finally broke the glass ceiling and became the best midfielder in SuperCoach & AFLFantasy. Can he break the trend and prevent scoring regression to back it up for 2024?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Marcus Bontempelli, Western Bulldogs’ captain, is renowned for his dynamic midfield presence, blending strength in contests with a graceful yet powerful left foot that makes him a consistent scoring threat. In 2023, Bontempelli cemented his status as one of the AFL’s most influential players, showcasing his versatility and leadership.

With his ability to impact the game across every inch of the ground, Bontempelli’s season was punctuated by key highlights, including leading his team deep into the finals, showcasing his clutch performances in critical moments, and his continued recognition among the league’s elite with another strong showing in the Brownlow Medal count.

His unique skill, athleticism and football IQ drive the Bulldogs’ midfield and inspire his teammates, making him a pivotal figure in the team’s quest for success.

His 2023 season was spectacular, solidifying his position as one of the AFL’s premier midfielders through his impressive statistical achievements. His standout performance is reflected in his ranking within the top five for centre clearances, contested possessions, and tackles per game, complemented by his top ten ranking for score involvements and inside 50s.

Such dominance translated into remarkable fantasy football statistics, where in AFLFantasy, he averaged 116.9 points with 18 tons, including significant scores over 120 and as high as 150, without dropping below 86 points in any game. This exceptional consistency earned him the second spot for all players’ total points and averages.

In SuperCoach, Bontempelli’s prowess was even more pronounced, leading the charts with an average of 129.6 points from 22 tons, showcasing his ability to exceed the 120-point mark on 15 occasions and even surpassing 160 points in four games, with his season’s best at 182 points. His performance topped the total points ranking and secured him the highest average, demonstrating his unmatched influence on the game.

The secret to Bontempelli’s phenomenal season and the significant jump in his scoring output can be traced back to a strategic shift by the Western Bulldogs. The arrival of Rory Lobb, combined with Aaron Naughton’s and Jamarra Ugle-Hagan’s existing talents, allowed the Bulldogs to finally utilize Bontempelli’s skills in the midfield permanently, maximizing his impact.

This change is starkly evident in his centre bounce attendance (CBA) percentages, which saw a substantial increase from 58% in 2022 to 81% in 2023, allowing Bontempelli to exert his influence more consistently and significantly throughout the midfield, where his talents are most impactful for the team. This strategic alignment not only liberated Bontempelli to showcase his best game but also propelled him to the forefront of the competition’s elite, marking 2023 as a milestone season in his illustrious career.

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MY TAKE

The often-repeated narrative surrounding top-tier fantasy players like Marcus Bontempelli, especially after a career-best season, is the scepticism about their ability to provide upside or maintain their high starting price point. This stems from the dual factors of these players coming off career-high performances and the mechanics of “magic numbers” in fantasy pricing, which require them to sustain their lofty averages early in the season to justify their initial valuation.

However, when considering SuperCoach specifically for a player of Bontempelli’s calibre, there’s a strong argument to be made that he can sustain, if not exceed, his price point and scoring average. Bontempelli’s consistency is underscored by his remarkable record of not dropping below an average of 116 points over the past three seasons. This level of performance indicates not just peak output but sustained elite-level play, making the case that Bontempelli is not only a safe bet but potentially undervalued even at a high starting price.

Further bolstering this argument is Bontempelli’s favourable early-season fixture, which presents him with an excellent opportunity to hit the ground running and potentially exceed expectations. Such an elite run of games early in the season can be a critical factor in fantasy football, where getting off to a strong start can set the tone for the rest of the year. For coaches deliberating on whether to invest in Bontempelli from the outset, these considerations offer a compelling case that, despite the high initial investment, the Bulldogs’ captain is well positioned to deliver significant returns and justify his inclusion in SuperCoach teams from round one.

Bont’s remarkable durability, having missed just one game over the past five years, underscores a level of reliability that is rare and highly valued in fantasy football. Investing in Bontempelli isn’t about chasing the potential for scoring upside; it’s about securing a cornerstone player whose consistent high-level performance provides a solid foundation for your team. This consistency allows fantasy coaches the luxury of focusing their attention on managing other, more unpredictable elements of their roster, safe in the knowledge that Bontempelli’s output is almost guaranteed.
The question of timing, when to bring Bontempelli into your squad, is a strategic consideration every coach faces. While acquiring him at a later stage for potentially less might be tempting, it overlooks the critical advantage his early-season presence can offer. In reality, players of Bontempelli’s elite status—those who deliver not just points but stability—are scarce. Delaying the inclusion of such a high-calibre player carries the risk of missing out on crucial early rounds of consistent scoring. This mistake could be difficult to recover from as the season progresses.
Therefore, while it’s theoretically possible to target Bontempelli later in the season, the strategy of waiting carries inherent risks. The unique combination of his proven durability, consistent elite performance, and the psychological benefit of having a “set and forget” option in your lineup from round one cannot be understated. In essence, securing Bontempelli early isn’t just an investment in a player but an investment in your fantasy football team’s overall strength and stability, ensuring you’re well-positioned to tackle the season’s challenges head-on.

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DRAFT DECISION

Marcus Bontempelli’s standing as an M1 in fantasy drafts is undisputed, positioning him as a likely first-round pick and potentially the first midfielder off the board in many leagues. His consistent elite performance, combined with unparalleled durability, makes him a prime target for coaches looking to secure a cornerstone for their midfield from the get-go.

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#12 Most Relevant | Max Gawn
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Read Time:5 Minute, 35 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Max Gawn is an iconic figure in the AFL, embodying the quintessential ruckman with his towering presence, exceptional athleticism, and unmatched ruck craft. Renowned for his ability to dominate hitouts, Gawn’s influence extends far beyond the ruck contests; he’s equally adept at impacting play around the ground through his marking, ball use, and surprising agility for a player of his size. His leadership on and off the field, his competitive nature, and his football intelligence make him a pivotal player for Melbourne.

Gawn’s knack for clutch moments, whether taking critical marks or kicking timely goals, showcases his versatility and importance to his team’s structure. Beyond his physical attributes, his game awareness and strategic thinking set him apart, making him one of the most respected and impactful ruckmen in the modern game.

The 2023 season didn’t unfold as Max Gawn or his fantasy owners might have anticipated, marking it as a year of challenges and adjustments for the Melbourne Demons’ ruckman. It was a season that saw Gawn navigating through a knee injury that sidelined him for three weeks, grappling with the dynamics of a ruck share with Brodie Grundy, and experiencing another early exit from the finals. As a result, Gawn recorded his lowest seasonal averages in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach since 2017, illustrating the impact of these hurdles on his fantasy performance.

In AFLFantasy, Gawn averaged 92.1 points, with six scores reaching the century mark, including two surpassing 120 points—one being a career-high score of 162. Despite posting three scores under 80, one directly influenced by an in-game injury, Gawn still managed to rank 6th overall among rucks. Similarly, in SuperCoach, he maintained an average of 104.4 points, notching up nine tons, six of which were over 120 points, highlighted by a 174 against Richmond and a career-best 215 versus Brisbane. Like in AFLFantasy, three of his scores dipped below 80, with one affected by injury, yet he still secured the 6th spot in the ruck rankings.

Two significant areas highlight where Gawn could present valuable financial gains and potential scoring upside for fantasy owners. The first area of opportunity arises from an early-season game where Gawn was subbed out due to a knee injury caused by friendly fire from teammate Jack Viney. By adjusting for this injury-impacted score, Gawn’s averages could increase by approximately four points per game in AFLFantasy and five in SuperCoach, offering a glimpse into the value adjustment potential.

The second, perhaps more crucial, area of upside lies in Gawn’s performance as the sole ruckman. In the six matches where Gawn operated without sharing ruck duties with Grundy, he demonstrated his elite scoring capability, averaging 113.2 in AFLFantasy and an impressive 132.5 in SuperCoach. This performance level mirrors Gawn’s dominance between 2018 and 2020, during which he enjoyed a monopoly over Melbourne’s ruck responsibilities. These insights suggest that when in the familiar role of sole ruckman, Gawn can not only recapture his form but also offer significant scoring and financial value to fantasy owners, making him a player to watch closely in the upcoming season.

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MY TAKE

The prospect of Max Gawn reverting to his role as Melbourne’s sole ruckman is a tantalizing scenario for fantasy coaches, harking back to days when Gawn’s towering presence was felt across every centimetre of the ground with over 80% attendance at centre bounce attendances (CBAs).

This shift marks a return to a structure that historically maximized Gawn’s fantasy output, promising significant potential for the upcoming season. With Melbourne’s ruck options thinned, Gawn’s return to a predominant ruck role could reignite his fantasy dominance.

The ruck position presents a wealth of strategic combinations for fantasy coaches, with Tim English, Tristan Xerri, Brodie Grundy, Max Gawn, and Rowan Marshall forming the top tier of choices. Each pairing from this group offers a compelling narrative of strength and potential, allowing for diverse strategies and team structures.

While Grundy’s partnership with Gawn last season provided a means to manage Gawn’s workload rather than enhance his scoring, it raises questions about Gawn’s capacity to shoulder the ruck duties predominantly across a demanding 23-week season, especially considering Melbourne’s lack of depth in ruck options.

The bye rounds present another strategic layer for coaches to navigate. Gawn’s early bye in round 6, followed by a second bye in round 14, coincides closely with Brodie Grundy’s byes, prompting coaches to consider ruck strategy carefully. Potential offsets for these bye weeks could come in the form of Toby Conway and Jordan Sweet, who, despite being slightly pricier bench options in AFLFantasy, offer cash-generation opportunities and coverage during the primary rucks’ absences.

Moreover, Gawn’s role as a premium ruckman extends beyond just holding value across the season; he also serves as a strategic parachute. Coaches dissatisfied with Gawn’s performance or those who perceive English and Marshall, the top two rucks from the previous year, as superior options can consider trading Gawn as part of a strategic maneuver to optimize their ruck positions.

The anticipation surrounding Gawn’s return to the forefront of Melbourne’s ruck strategy is palpable. His high-scoring potential, combined with the strategic nuances of ruck combinations and bye-week planning, makes Gawn an attractive starting option in all formats. I’m of the more bullish outlook on Gawn. I’m happy to start with him and, if required, pull the parachute cord at his first bye, but I’m not convinced I’ll even need it.

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DRAFT DECISION

In fantasy drafts, the importance of securing a top-tier ruck cannot be overstated, with my rankings placing Tim English as the premier choice in AFLFantasy, thanks to his consistent output and flexibility, followed by the formidable Rowan Marshall. Max Gawn, positioned at #3, can ascend to the #2 spot. In SuperCoach, where his skill set elevates him even more, I have him ranked #2 behind English.

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#13 Most Relevant | Jordan Dawson
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Read Time:6 Minute, 35 Second

In 2023, Jordan Dawson went from being a handy premium defender to one of the best players in the AFL, let alone in AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach. But with a loss of defensive status and now being available solely as a midfielder, is it the end of his relevance? Or is the Crows skipper just warming up?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jordan Dawson’s ascension to the role of Adelaide Crows’ captain before the 2023 season was a testament to his leadership qualities and his immense talent on the field. His inaugural year as skipper was nothing short of spectacular, highlighted by winning the Malcolm Blight Medal for the club’s best and fairest, a fitting accolade for his standout performances throughout the season.

Dawson’s 2023 campaign marked a significant turning point in his career as he transitioned into a more permanent midfield role, showcasing his versatility and ability to impact the game significantly from the centre of the field.

This strategic shift in his playing position allowed Dawson to elevate his game to new heights, averaging 27 disposals, three clearances, and six tackles per game, underlining his work rate, ball-winning capability, and defensive tenacity. Such was the impact of his performances that Dawson earned All-Australian honours for the first time, recognizing him as one of the premier midfielders in the competition.

His blend of precise kicking, vision, and ability to execute under pressure has made him an integral part of Adelaide’s strategy, driving the team forward and setting the standard for excellence both as a player and a leader on the field. Dawson’s career-best season not only solidified his status as a key player for the Crows but also marked him as one of the standout talents in the AFL, capable of influencing the outcome of games through his skilful play and strategic thinking.

Jordan Dawson’s fantasy football performance in the 2023 season was nothing short of remarkable, with his statistics in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach reflecting his substantial contribution on the field. In AFLFantasy, Dawson achieved an impressive average of 113.4, with 16 scores hitting the century mark, including nine scores over 120 and five surpassing 130, culminating in a personal best of 172. Remarkably, he maintained a high scoring floor with just two scores falling below 90 and none under 81, ranking him 5th overall by average and 4th for total points.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, Dawson’s average rose to 115.8, with 16 hundred-plus scores, eight of which were over 120, and four exceptional performances over 145, including a peak score of 173. Despite a generally high scoring consistency, there was just one instance where his score dipped below 80, a testament to his reliability as a fantasy option. Dawson’s rankings in SuperCoach were equally impressive, placing 9th overall for averages and 4th for total points.

The significant uplift in Dawson’s scoring can largely be attributed to his increased ball possession, averaging a career-high of 27 disposals, marking an increase of 2.5 per game from the previous year. While his marks per game saw a slight regression, Dawson’s defensive efforts significantly intensified, with his tackles per game jumping from an average of three in 2022 to 6.7 in 2023, placing him 12th in the league for tackles per game. This shift solidified his scoring floor and added a considerable ceiling to his fantasy output.

Dawson’s fantasy pricing heading into the season suggests there are about two points per game of potential value based on the scoring from Round 3 onwards, when his role adjustment fully took effect. Moreover, Dawson’s durability has been a key asset; since joining the Adelaide Crows, he has not missed a single game, underscoring his reliability and importance to both his real-life and fantasy teams.

In summary, Jordan Dawson’s 2023 season was a masterclass in how a role change and personal improvement can elevate a player’s fantasy football standing. By bolstering his tackle numbers and maintaining high possession counts, Dawson sustained his scoring floor and introduced a new scoring ceiling, making him a top-tier fantasy option. His durability and consistent high performance further cement his status as a desirable choice for fantasy coaches looking for stability and high upside in their lineup.

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MY TAKE

Jordan Dawson’s fantasy outlook for the upcoming season is framed beautifully by several strategic considerations, beginning with an ideal bye structure. Dawson and the Adelaide Crows enjoy uninterrupted play until Round 15, facing a mix of opponents from the Suns to Essendon, with the 2023 data suggesting neither distinctly favourable nor challenging matchups. This stability in the fixture presents a solid foundation for Dawson’s consistent scoring potential throughout most of the fantasy season.

The Adelaide Crows’ midfield dynamics, particularly the integration of Matt Crouch, pose intriguing questions about Dawson’s role and, by extension, his fantasy output. The final six games of last season, which saw Dawson and Crouch play together, offer a glimpse into this relationship. In SuperCoach, Dawson notched five scores above 110 and an 89, while in AFLFantasy, he achieved two tons and four scores in the 90s.

Notably, one of these hundreds was a commanding 134 against Port Adelaide, prompting analysis on whether Crouch’s presence is a direct influence or merely coincidental to Dawson’s performance. The matchups during this period, categorized from neutral to moderately easy based on DFS Australia’s rankings for inside mids, did not significantly alter Dawson’s scoring from stoppages but impacted his across-the-ground contributions.

Three scenarios emerge regarding the Crows’ midfield composition and its impact on Dawson’s fantasy relevance. Firstly, if Crouch solidifies his spot alongside Laird and Dawson as the primary midfield trio without significantly affecting Dawson’s role, concerns may arise about Dawson blending into the midfield without distinguishing his scoring.

However, this blends into the second scenario where if Crouch’s inclusion leads to Dawson or Laird rotating through half-back, Dawson’s fantasy prospects become even more compelling, albeit this is considered an unlikely permanent shift.

The third scenario, marked by Crouch’s absence from the midfield mix, could signal a reliance on emerging talents like Luke Pedlar, Jack Soligo, and Josh Rachele to step up, potentially enhancing Dawson’s importance and fantasy appeal. Dawson’s temporary versatility to temporarily fill defensive roles underscores his value, although a permanent shift back is deemed improbable.

Dawson’s fantasy appeal is underscored by his high scoring ceiling and robust floor, making him a pivotal figure in fantasy discussions. Whether as a starting selection or a strategic upgrade, Dawson’s presence in a completed fantasy side represents an optimal outcome, with his role within the Crows’ midfield mix being a critical determinant of his fantasy impact. Navigating these strategic considerations will be key for fantasy coaches aiming to maximize Dawson’s potential in their lineups.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jordan Dawson’s fantastic performance and flexible position within the Adelaide Crows make him a top candidate to be an M1 in delusion drafts, reflecting his high value and effect capacity. Given his staggering stats and the strategic importance of his midfield function, Dawson may be noticeably well-liked, probably being picked inside the overdue first to early second spherical of drafts.

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#14 Most Relevant | Connor Rozee
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Read Time:6 Minute, 39 Second

For the past 18 months, Connor Rozee has continued to elevate his AFLFantasy & SuperCoach, scoring the premium levels. In 2024, can the new Port Adelaide Captain become part of the fantasy football elite?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Connor Rozee is among AFL’s most skilful players, celebrated for his precise ball handling, astute decision-making, and polished right-foot skills. Showcasing his durability and consistency, Rozee didn’t miss a match in 2023, further cementing his status among the elite midfielders in the league.

He hit personal highs with an average of 25.8 disposals, 4.7 tackles, and 3.8 clearances per game. While his role saw him spending less time in the attacking 50 than in previous seasons, his prowess in the forward line remained undeniable, netting 21 goals throughout the year.

Connor Rozee’s fantasy football statistics from the 2023 season reflect his standing as a top-tier midfielder in the AFL. In AFLFantasy, Rozee boasted an impressive average of 105.8 points per game, with 16 scores of 100 or more, including five scores over 120 and three surpassing 130, while maintaining consistency with only two scores dipping below 80 for the entire year. This remarkable performance positioned him 10th for total points and 16th for average points across all players.

The SuperCoach format further highlighted Rozee’s prowess, where he achieved an average of 107.5 points. Here, he tallied 14 ton-plus scores, with five exceeding 120 points, underscoring his ability to hit high scores, including standout performances of 140 and 141 points. Rozee’s reliability was evident, with his scoring only falling below 90 on two occasions and maintaining a season-low of 75. He ranks 14th for total points and 26th for average, making him the 19th-ranked midfielder.

Rozee’s form trajectory showcased significant improvement as the season progressed. In AFLFantasy, he closed the season with 13 of his last 14 games scoring over 100 points, highlighting his scoring acceleration with six scores over 110, three over 120, and two above 130. SuperCoach reflected a similar pattern of consistency and high performance. Rozee posted only one score under 90 in the last 19 games, illustrating a clear uplift in his scoring post-bye, with averages of 106.5 and 109.2, respectively.

This pattern wasn’t new; Rozee had shown a similar trend in the previous year, 2022, where his performance surged post-bye, averaging 101.5 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 106.8 in SuperCoach over the final eleven games.

The last seven matches of that year saw him push even higher, with averages reaching 110 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 112 in SuperCoach, confirming Rozee’s ability to escalate his game in the latter half of the season. This consistency and capacity for high scoring in crucial stages make Connor Rozee a valuable asset for fantasy coaches, promising a blend of reliability and explosive scoring potential.

Rozee’s multifaceted scoring ability makes him an exceptional talent that is difficult for opponents to contain and highly valuable for fantasy coaches. His versatility on the field allows him to accumulate points across various statistical categories, contributing significantly to his overall fantasy scores.

A standout example of Rozee’s diverse scoring capability was evident in Round 16 against Essendon, where he managed a 140+ score across formats with just 23 possessions. His impact was magnified by his all-around performance, which included nine marks, nine tackles, and three goals, showcasing his ability to score heavily without solely relying on disposals.

Similarly, in a Round 10 clash with Melbourne, Rozee demonstrated his capacity to dominate in different ways. Accumulating 31 possessions, he complemented his ball-winning prowess with five tackles and five marks, translating to a 121 score in AFLFantasy and an impressive 140 in SuperCoach.

These performances underscore Rozee’s dynamic role within Port Adelaide’s lineup, where his contributions extend beyond traditional midfield duties. His ability to score in “multiple columns” — through disposals, marks, tackles, and goals — underscores why Rozee is not just a challenge for his on-field opponents but also a coveted asset for fantasy football teams, offering a robust scoring profile that enhances team performance across multiple scoring categories.

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MY TAKE

Connor Rozee’s scoring growth presents a multifaceted opportunity rooted in personal improvement, team dynamics, and strategic positioning within fantasy drafts. Despite a stellar season, Rozee only exceeded 30 possessions in two games, highlighting a tangible area for personal growth. Considering he had the lowest possession average among players who scored 100 or more in AFLFantasy, an increase in ball-winning could significantly boost his scoring potential.

Port Adelaide’s overall team strategy could also be pivotal in Rozee’s fantasy output. The team’s ranking at the lower end for disposals and marks per game suggests that even a minor shift towards a more possession-oriented game style could dynamically enhance Rozee’s scoring avenues, leveraging his skills in a system that prioritizes ball movement.

The challenge of being a tagged target emerged in two specific rounds last year, affecting Rozee’s scoring somewhat. However, with tags likely to be distributed between him and Zac Butters based on matchups, Rozee’s resilience and adaptability to overcome such defensive attention will be key. Furthermore, the potential increased midfield role for Ollie Wines could indirectly benefit Rozee, allowing him to exploit his capabilities as a second-touch player and capitalize on his elite skills away from his primary clearance duties.

The Round 13 bye week adds another layer of strategic consideration for fantasy coaches, echoing discussions around other Port Adelaide premiums like Caleb Serong and Zak Butters. Securing a premium player with a Round 13 bye offers structural advantages through the multi-bye rounds, making Rozee an attractive option for maintaining balance and competitiveness during these critical stages of the fantasy season.

The decision between Rozee and Butters often comes down to their relative cost and perceived scoring potential. With Butters being approximately $60,000 cheaper in AFLFantasy and Rozee around $30,000 less in SuperCoach, budget constraints might influence the choice for coaches looking for value. Ultimately, if coaches are confident in Rozee’s ability to elevate his average to 110 or above, starting him becomes a viable strategy backed by individual improvement, team play enhancements, and strategic draft positioning, promising a robust return on investment in the fantasy football arena.

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DRAFT DECISION

In fantasy football drafts, Connor Rozee’s versatility and high-scoring capability position him as a top pick, likely securing a spot as an M1-M2 in AFLFantasy and solidly an M2 in SuperCoach. Given his remarkable performances, especially in the latter half of the season, Rozee’s appeal is undeniable.

However, in SuperCoach, where the competition among midfielders is fierce, Rozee might still be available as a valuable M3 pick for those lucky enough due to the presence of other high-calibre players like Jack Steele, Touk Miller, Sam Walsh, Josh Kelly, and Tim Taranto, who, despite averaging lower than Rozee, also command early draft consideration.

This slight variance in draft position between formats underscores Rozee’s fantasy relevance and the strategic depth fantasy coaches must navigate when selecting their midfield lineup, balancing Rozee’s proven scoring prowess with the broader context of available midfield talent.

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