Tag: Midfield

Is Josh Dunkley the perfect Upgrade Target You Need in SuperCoach & AFL Fantasy? #29 Most Relevant

The 50 Most Relevant countdown continues with #29 Josh Dunkley, the Brisbane Lions’ midfield dynamo. In this episode, MJ Want and Kane break down:

  • Dunkley’s consistent scoring trends and his fantasy reliability 📊
  • The impact of his role within the Lions’ midfield 🦁
  • Why he’s a top draft day pick and a smart upgrade target 🔄
  • Key factors that could influence Dunkley’s 2025 performance
  • Will Josh Dunkley be the linchpin of your AFL Fantasy & SuperCoach team?

Find out how to maximize his value this season!

#1 Most Relevant | Nick Daicos

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Nick Daicos has made an indelible mark on the AFL landscape in just two short years, showcasing a career trajectory many veterans would envy. From clinching the Rising Star award to being adorned with an Anzac Day medal, earning his inaugural All-Australian honours, and even securing a premiership medal, Daicos’s contributions to the game have been spectacular.

His remarkable journey, however, was marred by a late-season injury, which arguably was the only thing standing between him and the prestigious 2023 Brownlow Medal.

Nick Daicos, in just his second AFL season, has rapidly become one of fantasy football’s most valuable assets, especially in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. In AFLFantasy, he notched an impressive average of 108.8 points per game, with 14 games scoring over 100 points. Six of these games saw him surpass the 120-point mark, including a standout performance that earned him a career-high score of 150.

Of equal importance, he posted only two scores below 80 points throughout the season, one of which came in a challenging match where he was heavily tagged by Finn Maginness and also suffered an injury. Despite these hurdles, Daicos finished the season as the top defender by average, outperforming notable midfielders like Connor Rozee, Caleb Serong, and Christian Petracca.

In the SuperCoach, Daicos’s performance was equally stellar, with an average score of 117 points per game. He tallied 15 games with scores in the triple digits, cementing his position as the top defender by average and ranking 7th overall, above esteemed players such as Jordan Dawson, Rowan Marshall, and Tom Liberatore. Even when faced with tags and injuries, Daicos’s remarkable consistency and scoring ability underscore his immense value in fantasy leagues and his pivotal role as a defender in fantasy lineups.

Nick Daicos’s transition to spending more time in the midfield has significantly boosted the value of his fantasy football. Analyzing his performance, it’s evident that his scoring potential escalates with increased midfield attendance. Specifically, in the 12 matches where Daicos attended at least 35% of centre bounces, his AFLFantasy average soared to 107.5, while in SuperCoach, it reached 112.4. This distinction becomes even more pronounced in games where his centre bounce attendance spiked to 65% or more, showcasing averages of 116 in AFLFantasy and an impressive 121.8 in SuperCoach. Such statistics underline Daicos’s burgeoning prowess as he delves deeper into midfield roles and hints at a ceiling that has yet to be fully explored.

Daicos’s ability to elevate his game further into the midfield realm, combined with his already impressive stats in only his second season, sets the stage for what could be an extraordinary career.

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MY TAKE

Navigating the decision to start or target Nick Daicos as an upgrade hinges on several key narratives that fantasy football coaches must consider. The infamous Finn Maginness tag game in Round 4, compounded by an injury to Daicos, is a cautionary tale. While some in the fantasy community might be tempted to exclude this outlier to boost Daicos’s averages to 112 in AFLFantasy and 120 in SuperCoach, it’s a reminder of the inherent risks and the complexity of relying too heavily on selective data to fit a narrative.

Opting to wait and target Daicos as an upgrade revolves around strategic considerations, including:

  • The Early Bye Round: Collingwood’s absence in Round 5 offers a strategic pause, allowing coaches to assess Daicos’s early-season form and tag susceptibility.
  •  Tagging Threats: Beyond the Finn Maginness game, the potential for Willem Drew’s tag in Round 6 looms, hinting at challenging matchups that could affect Daicos’s scoring and, by extension, his price.
  •  Price Dynamics: The combined effect of these early challenges presents a scenario where Daicos might be acquired at a more favourable price point post-bye, aligning with a strategy to maximize value from premium selections.

Conversely, the argument for starting with Daicos underscores his unparalleled status in fantasy backlines, characterized by:

  • Dominance and Potential: As the preeminent defender in fantasy, Daicos’s blend of skill, role, and scoring potential sets him apart, suggesting that early investment could secure a cornerstone for fantasy defences.
  •  Preparation and Adaptation: The Magpies’ preseason focus on mitigating the tag’s impact reflects a strategic emphasis on enhancing Daicos’s resilience and scoring consistency, even under targeted pressure.
  •  Natural Evolution and Role Expansion: Daicos’s ongoing development and the prospect of increased midfield time provide a compelling narrative for improved scoring, underpinning his appeal as a starting option.

The equilibrium between starting Daicos and planning him as an upgrade target epitomizes the strategic intricacies of fantasy football. Coaches must weigh the immediate advantages of securing his high ceiling from the outset against a mid-season upgrade’s tactical flexibility and potential value. This decision is further complicated by Collingwood’s early fixtures against GWS, Sydney, St Kilda, and Brisbane, with Daicos’s performances in these matches poised to influence strategic directions profoundly.

Ultimately, whether to integrate Daicos from Round 1 or strategically pivot to him post-bye encapsulates the dynamic challenge of fantasy football management. Each path offers distinct advantages and risks, underscoring the necessity of adaptive strategy and keen market observation to optimize fantasy outcomes.

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DRAFT DECISION

In AFLFantasy and SuperCoach drafts, Nick Daicos stands as the premier defender, warranting consideration as the very first pick on draft day. His exceptional output, combined with a unique blend of reliability and upside, firmly establishes him atop the defender rankings. As fantasy coaches strategize for the draft, securing Daicos could be pivotal, marking him as a cornerstone for any successful fantasy football campaign.

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#3 Most Relevant | Sam Walsh

Join us as we unpack the puzzle of starting with Carlton’s midfield maestro Sam Walsh, examining his potential for a rebound season amidst injury concerns and a crowded midfield dynamic alongside the chaos of the early byes.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Sam Walsh is a dynamic midfielder known for his exceptional endurance, work rate, and ability to cover the ground during games. Since his debut season in 2019, he has quickly established himself as a core player for the Carlton Blues, showcasing a mix of inside and outside play. Walsh excels in accumulating possessions, often leading his team in disposals due to his tireless running and knack for being in the right place at the right time.

His clean ball use, vision, and decision-making under pressure set him apart, while his commitment to the game’s offensive and defensive aspects highlights his all-around abilities. Additionally, Walsh’s leadership qualities and resilience contribute significantly to his team, making him a key figure in Carlton’s midfield and a player with a bright future ahead.

It becomes evident that despite facing challenges, including an injury-interrupted preseason due to a back injury and a hamstring setback, Walsh’s capabilities and resilience shone through. His averages in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach reflect a player of significant impact, with moments of brilliance particularly evident in the early part of the season and during the AFL Finals, underscoring his potential and the high expectations placed upon him.

The division of his season into thirds reveals a tale of two halves, starkly contrasting his performances in the first seven games and the final eight games of the regular season. This fluctuation in form, however, converges towards a positive endpoint, as demonstrated by his outstanding performances in the AFL Finals. These finals performances, particularly his averages of 115.3 in AFLFantasy and 122 in SuperCoach showcase Walsh’s ability to rise to the occasion and deliver when it matters most.

Such a season trajectory provides a compelling case for Walsh’s fantasy football relevance. His season’s initial and concluding segments indicate his true potential as a premium fantasy midfielder. The dip in form during the mid-season, influenced by injury setbacks, is viewed as an anomaly rather than a trend. With Walsh’s proven track record in the previous seasons, averaging over 100 in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach, fantasy coaches have every reason to believe in his ability to return to or surpass his best form.

Given the dynamics of his 2023 season and his performances when fully fit, Walsh presents as a tempting prospect for fantasy football in 2024. His resilience, undeniable talent, and the glimpses of elite scoring potential seen during the finals position him as a player capable of significant impact. Fantasy coaches will be keenly watching his preseason progress, especially concerning his recovery from the back injury, with optimism that a fully fit Sam Walsh can recapture and build upon his early 2023 form and solidify his status as a top-tier fantasy option.

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MY TAKE

Navigating the fantasy football waters with Sam Walsh presents a nuanced decision-making process for coaches. His heavily reliant disposals scoring mechanism sets him apart from midfielders who diversify their fantasy points across various statistical columns. This characteristic underscores the necessity for Walsh to maintain a high ball-winning rate to achieve significant scoring. Fortunately, his skill set is well-suited to this task, offering a glimmer of hope for substantial fantasy output.

The early bye in Round 2 complicates decisions for fantasy coaches contemplating Walsh’s inclusion in their starting squads. While the prospect of additional early price movement due to participation in the opening round may seem appealing, it shouldn’t be the primary factor influencing decisions. Instead, expectations regarding his scoring relative to his price point will likely play a more critical role. Current ownership rates across major fantasy platforms indicate a significant portion of the community is willing to navigate the challenges posed by the early bye, prioritizing Walsh’s potential contributions over the temporary roster gap.

The evolving dynamics within Carlton’s midfield pose another consideration. The Blues’ engine room has seen significant changes since Walsh’s peak seasons, with the arrival of players like George Hewett and Adam Cerra and the resurgence of Patrick Cripps. This redistribution of midfield roles suggests that expectations for Walsh to return to his zenith might be overly optimistic without considering the team’s current composition.

For Walsh to justify a starting position in fantasy lineups, he must average between 105 and 110 in AFLFantasy and 110 and 115 in SuperCoach. Given the current midfield structure at Carlton and the competitive environment, achieving these marks presents a formidable challenge. As such, adopting a wait-and-see approach, targeting Walsh as a potential ‘correctional trade’ post his Round 2 bye, emerges as a strategic move. This approach allows coaches to assess his form and role within the revamped Carlton midfield dynamic, ensuring a more informed decision based on actual performance rather than preseason speculation.

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DRAFT DECISION

Sam Walsh emerges as a nuanced pick, solidifying as an M2 in AFLFantasy thanks to his ability to gather disposals and impact games, even amidst a crowded Carlton midfield. Despite a recent injury-marred season, this ranking reflects optimism about his fitness and scoring potential. In SuperCoach, however, he’s seen more cautiously as an M3, acknowledging the format’s scoring that may not highlight his attributes as effectively.

The early bye presents a strategic consideration, yet high community ownership signals confidence in overcoming this hurdle. Drafting Walsh involves balancing his proven capabilities against Carlton’s midfield dynamics and his fitness, positioning him as a strategic pick for coaches aiming to leverage his potential for a strong fantasy season rebound.

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#4 Most Relevant | Rory Laird

Discover why Rory Laird’s unparalleled consistency, strategic Round 15 bye advantage, and resilience amidst Adelaide’s evolution make him an indispensable top-tier midfield choice in SuperCoach & AFLFantasy for 2024.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Rory Laird is a quintessential example of consistency and excellence in the AFL. Known for his tireless work rate, precise ball use, and exceptional ability to read the play, Laird has established himself as one of the competition’s premier midfielders. His prowess around stoppages and high disposal count, often at elite efficiency rates, make him a critical cog in the Adelaide Crows’ engine room.

Beyond just gathering possessions, Laird’s defensive background affords him a robust tackling game, ensuring he contributes significantly on both offence and defence. In 2023, Laird’s performance continued to shine, underpinning his reputation as a player who can consistently influence the outcome of a match through his relentless pursuit of the football and his ability to deliver it effectively to teammates.

In the 2023 season, he further cemented his status as one of the AFL’s elite midfielders, showcasing his exceptional ability to impact games across multiple statistical categories. His prowess in the midfield is underscored by his ranking in the top five for handballs and centre clearances. It tackles per game, illustrating his ball-winning capability, tenacity, and defensive effort. Additionally, Laird’s significance in Adelaide’s midfield dynamics is highlighted by his top-ten ranking in disposals, contested possessions, and effective disposals, demonstrating his efficiency and reliability in possession.

Regarding fantasy football, Laird’s performance in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach was strong. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 109.2 points per game, delivering 17 tons throughout the season, with seven scores over 120 and a peak score 142, showcasing his ability to hit high-scoring ceilings. Remarkably, apart from an anomaly in round one, where he scored a 57, Laird consistently delivered high scores, underpinning his reliability as a premium fantasy option.

His fantasy prowess was equally evident in SuperCoach, where he averaged 116.8 points per game, amassing 17 tons, including ten scores over 120 and two spectacular performances over 150. Like AFLFantasy, Laird’s scoring was remarkably consistent, with only one score under 80, further highlighting his status as a top-tier midfielder in fantasy formats. His impressive rankings in total points and average across both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach affirm his essential role in fantasy teams, making him a coveted player for fantasy coaches aiming for success.

Rory Laird’s exceptional consistency and high-scoring potential make him a compelling option for any AFLFantasy and SuperCoach starting squad. His ability to consistently score well, evidenced by his numerous tons and minimal scores under 80, highlights his reliability week in and week out. This reliability is valuable in fantasy football, where consistent high scorers can be the difference between winning and losing matchups.

Moreover, Laird’s involvement in the midfield, particularly his top rankings in handballs, centre clearances, and tackles per game, ensures he is heavily involved in the play. This involvement increases his scoring potential through disposals, contested possessions, and defensive actions like tackles, which are highly valued in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach scoring systems.

Laird’s role in Adelaide’s midfield is consistent despite the movements of other players around him, like Matt Crouch and Jordan Dawson. Suggesting his scoring should remain robust. His scoring isn’t just about gathering possessions; his effective use of the ball and his ability to contribute significantly to Adelaide’s play makes him a valuable fantasy asset. Given his track record of elite fantasy performances and his crucial role for the Crows, Laird is the type of player who provides a solid foundation for any fantasy team.

Starting with a player of Laird’s calibre allows fantasy coaches to set and forget a premium midfielder, enabling them to focus on other areas of their team that may require more attention or carry more risk. With Laird, you’re not just investing in a player but inconsistent, high-level performance that can anchor your fantasy team throughout the season.

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MY TAKE

Examining Rory Laird’s scoring patterns over the past two seasons raises an intriguing question about the relationship between his scoring ceiling and the overall improvement of the Adelaide Crows. In SuperCoach, while Laird’s total number of tons remained relatively consistent (18 in 2022 and 17 in 2023), there’s a notable decrease in the frequency of his scores above 120, dropping from 14 occurrences in 2022 to 10 in 2023. Similarly, in AFLFantasy, Laird matched his ton tally in both years with 17, but the instances of crossing the 120-point threshold decreased from 12 in 2022 to 7 in 2023.

This trend prompts speculation about whether Laird’s slightly diminished ceiling is a byproduct of Adelaide’s collective improvement. As the team’s performance enhances, scoring opportunities become more equitable among players, potentially reducing the need for Laird to shoulder as much of the fantasy scoring burden. While his ability to consistently hit ton figures demonstrates his reliability as a fantasy asset, the slight dip in his higher-end scoring outings might suggest normalising his fantasy output as the Crows’ midfield depth and overall team capability increase.

Yet, it’s essential to consider that despite these shifts, Laird remains an elite fantasy option due to his high floor. The consistency of his scoring and his integral role in the Crows’ setup ensures he’s still among the top fantasy picks. The observed changes might not indicate a “drying up” of his scoring ceiling but rather an adjustment phase as Adelaide evolves into a more balanced team. For fantasy coaches, while Laird continues to be a cornerstone player, strategic considerations around Adelaide’s growth and its impact on Laird’s ceiling may influence decisions on leveraging him as a captaincy option or when aiming for those big, game-winning scores in tight fantasy matchups.

The question of whether Laird is a slow starter can be dissected by analysing his performance in the first six rounds compared to the rest of the season over the past three years. Looking at the numbers, a discernible pattern suggests Laird does indeed ramp up his scoring as the season progresses.

In AFLFantasy, Laird’s averages in the first six rounds of the past three seasons (2023: 100.6, 2022: 109.6, 2021: 105.1) demonstrate solid performance but are noticeably lower than his averages for the remainder of each year (2023: 112.4, 2022: 124.9, 2021: 114.1). Similarly, in SuperCoach, the trend is evident with his early season averages (2023: 111.5, 2022: 119.6, 2021: 104.6) compared to his averages for the rest of the season (2023: 118.8, 2022: 131.3, 2021: 120.5).

The case for selecting Rory Laird in your fantasy football team hinges on several key factors, including his consistent improvement as the season progresses, his role within an evolving Adelaide Crows lineup, and the strategic advantage his bye-round offers.

Laird’s fantasy output has historically increased as the season unfolds, indicating that he warms up to peak performance, making him a reliable asset for the long haul. This trend suggests that initial patience with Laird could pay dividends, particularly as he’s priced closely to his season average. The concern that Laird’s output might diminish as the Crows improve is valid but unfounded.

Laird has proven himself capable of maintaining high scores regardless of the team’s overall performance. His role as a central figure in the Crows’ midfield, especially in contests and clearances, underpins his scoring potential.

Including Matt Crouch in the Crows lineup could be seen as a threat to Laird’s scoring opportunities. However, the statistics from the last five games they played together show Laird maintaining a high scoring rate, suggesting that Crouch’s presence may not significantly detract from Laird’s fantasy output.

Laird’s Round 15 bye is another strategic advantage, as it allows fantasy coaches to utilize him during the crucial early and mid-season rounds without worrying about finding a replacement. This availability, coupled with his history of high scores, makes him an attractive captaincy option, offering consistent, high-point returns each week.

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DRAFT DECISION

Rory Laird holds an M1 status in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach, presenting himself as a top-tier first-round draft option. Laird offers a compelling choice for coaches holding a mid to late first-round pick, bringing a blend of consistency, scoring potential, and reliability that is hard to match.

His proven track record of high fantasy scoring and his central role in Adelaide’s midfield make him an asset that can anchor any fantasy midfield from the outset. Choosing Laird in the draft is about securing a player and investing in a cornerstone to build a competitive fantasy team for the season ahead.

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#5 Most Relevant | Andrew Brayshaw

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

In the wake of an impressive 2022 season, Andrew Brayshaw showcased his prowess yet again, emerging as one of the league’s standout young midfield talents. He has consistently maintained an average of over 25 disposals per game for three consecutive years, showcasing his remarkable ability to win possessions.

Andrew Brayshaw’s ascent into the fantasy football elite continued unabated in the 2023 AFL season, with the Fremantle midfielder consolidating his status as a premier ball-winner and affirming his reliability as a fantasy asset. In AFLFantasy, Brayshaw’s prolific scoring saw him register 18 tons, tying him with Rory Laird for the most over the past two seasons, a testament to his consistency and scoring prowess. His ability to surpass the 120-point threshold on six occasions and peak with a breathtaking 157 points in a single game highlights the immense ceiling Brayshaw possesses. Aside from a solitary dip, Brayshaw maintained a scoring floor that never fell below 90, underscoring his role as a stalwart in fantasy lineups.

The narrative was similar in SuperCoach, where Brayshaw’s average of 108.9 was bolstered by 16 tons, including seven scores above 120. His rank for total points and average amongst midfielders places him firmly in the top echelons of fantasy performers, further cementing his status as a must-have in any competitive team.

However, Brayshaw’s season was challenging. An early-season knee injury threatened to derail his campaign, leading to a comparatively modest start by his lofty standards. Over the initial seven rounds, Brayshaw’s AFLFantasy average hovered around 102.5, with SuperCoach performances even more affected, averaging just 91 points per game. Yet, the mark of Brayshaw’s class and resilience was his remarkable recovery post-injury, elevating his average to 113.7 in AFLFantasy and an impressive 116.7 in SuperCoach for the remainder of the season. This turnaround speaks volumes of Brayshaw’s physical recovery and mental fortitude as he navigated through early adversity to finish the season on a high note.

This resilience and late-season surge present a compelling narrative for fantasy coaches pondering Brayshaw’s inclusion in their 2024 squads. The potential for scoring upside based on his end-of-season form, combined with his demonstrated capacity to overcome physical setbacks, makes Brayshaw an attractive proposition. His proven track record over the past two seasons, with averages well into the triple digits across both major fantasy formats, reinforces the notion that Brayshaw is among the elite midfield options today.

As coaches weigh their options for the upcoming season, Brayshaw’s combination of consistency, scoring ceiling, and resilience to injury offers a reassuring blend of reliability and explosive potential. With Fremantle’s midfield dynamics continuing to evolve, Brayshaw’s role as a key contributor is expected to remain unchanged, ensuring his relevance and desirability in fantasy football circles. As the 2024 season approaches, the question for coaches is not if Brayshaw should feature in their plans but rather how to best integrate his talents into a winning fantasy strategy.

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MY TAKE

Andrew Brayshaw’s recent surge in fantasy football relevance is a testament to his consistent performance on the field, making him a worthwhile investment for fantasy coaches aiming for top-tier midfield prowess.

With a landscape devoid of last year’s value picks like Tim Taranto, Tom Green, Caleb Serong, Connor Rozee, and Nick Daicos—who all provided captaincy value with their ability to jump from 90s to 110+ averages—Brayshaw’s established baseline of 110 across recent seasons becomes even more appealing. His durability and dependability, highlighted by not missing a game and maintaining a high scoring average, underscore his value, even if it might seem he’s priced at his peak.

Concerns about Hayden Young’s shift into the midfield impacting Brayshaw’s scoring potential are unfounded. The data from the last five games, where they shared midfield duties, only reinforces Brayshaw’s scoring efficiency, with averages soaring to 116 in AFLFantasy and 122 in SuperCoach. This indicates that Brayshaw’s game benefits from the dynamic midfield composition, allowing him to excel in a more outside role.

Looking ahead to Fremantle’s early fixture list—featuring Brisbane, North Melbourne, Adelaide, Carlton, Port Adelaide, West Coast, Western Bulldogs, and Richmond—Brayshaw is in a prime position to exploit favourable matchups. Additionally, with Caleb Serong likely drawing the opponent’s tag, Brayshaw’s path to increased scoring becomes even clearer.

The strategic value of having Brayshaw during the challenging stretch of bye rounds cannot be overstated. His presence in your lineup ensures a high-scoring premium midfielder is available when player availability is most constrained, thus reducing the impact of lower-scoring rookies on your team’s performance.

Brayshaw presents a solid vice-captaincy or captaincy option each week due to his proven scoring ceiling and stands out as a beacon of reliability and potential growth. With all signs pointing towards a season where Brayshaw could average around 115, fantasy coaches have every reason to be bullish on his prospects for the upcoming season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Andrew Brayshaw’s stellar performances have solidified his status as a top-tier midfielder, warranting consideration for a coveted M1 position in AFLFantasy leagues. His consistent scoring, highlighted by many ton-plus games, positions him as a cornerstone for any fantasy team, making him a viable first-round pick for coaches looking to build a winning foundation.

Brayshaw’s prowess isn’t just limited to AFLFantasy; in SuperCoach, while his 2023 average might slot him into an M2 role, his proven track record and scoring ceiling justify elevating him to an M1 status, especially if it aligns with securing a standout premium in another line.

Brayshaw’s blend of consistency, scoring potential, and midfield dominance make him an indispensable asset across formats, and coaches would do well to prioritize him in the early stages of their draft, ensuring a solid midfield anchor around which to construct their fantasy roster.

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#8 Most Relevant | Sam Flanders

It happens in every season! A player comes from the clouds with a drastic role change. They present the SuperCoach and AFLFantasy community with supreme value and premium scoring. But entering the 2024 season, plenty has changed around Sam Flanders and his Gold Coast Suns. Can this former first-round selection pick up from where he left last year?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Sam Flanders’ evolution into a consistent and explosive mid-forward has been remarkable. With clean hands and a knack for game-changing plays, his 2023 season saw him elevate his performance to new heights. His output from round 15 onwards was particularly impressive, where he showcased flashes of brilliance and sustained excellence.

In AFLFantasy, he notched an average of 89.6, with six scores reaching the century mark, including a standout 146. His SuperCoach performance was similarly impressive, cementing him as a top-ten forward with an 88.4 average. However, the latter part of the season truly highlighted his potential. During the final ten rounds, Flanders averaged 29 disposals, 5.7 marks, and 3.2 tackles per game, with a 38% share of centre bounce attendances. This period saw him average 105 in AFLFantasy and 106.1 in SuperCoach, underscoring his ability to deliver high scores consistently.

This uptick in performance during the crucial final stretch of the season provides a compelling narrative for Flanders as we look ahead. The forward line, often challenging for fantasy coaches to navigate due to inconsistency and a lack of premium options, suddenly seems less daunting with Flanders in the mix. If he can extend this scoring trend throughout the upcoming season, Flanders will transition from an attractive option to an indispensable asset in fantasy teams. Given the landscape of topline forwards, Flanders’ potential for sustained high performance makes him a standout candidate for a must-own status in the forward line.

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MY TAKE

Sam Flanders’ journey with the Gold Coast Suns is at a fascinating juncture, especially with the coaching change bringing Damien Hardwick at the helm. This transition is anticipated to mark a significant shift in Flanders’ role and the Suns’ overall game style, which has historically seen half-backs and inside midfielders thrive under Hardwick’s coaching philosophy. Yet, traditionally, wings and high half-forwards under Hardwick have seen a limitation on their scoring ceiling, raising questions about where Flanders might fit in this new setup and how it could impact his fantasy football relevance.

The Suns’ midfield is expected to revolve around Matt Rowell, Noah Anderson, and Touk Miller, positioning Flanders in a competition for the fourth and fifth midfield spots alongside Bailey Humphrey. This battle for midfield minutes will be crucial in determining Flanders’ fantasy output, making the preseason and early rounds vital for coaches to monitor his role closely.

During a notable 10-game stretch, Flanders impressed with an average of 5.7 marks per game, placing him among a select group of AFL players who excel in this area. However, with only a handful of non-defenders achieving similar mark tallies, the challenge for Flanders lies in maintaining this aspect of his game amidst potential role changes under Hardwick’s system.

The Suns’ Round 3 bye offers a unique strategic element for fantasy coaches contemplating Flanders’ selection. With the opportunity to assess his performance in the season opener before making a selection decision, coaches are presented with a low-risk option to gauge his role and scoring potential. Flanders’ current high ownership in fantasy leagues, as the most selected forward not classified as a rookie, underscores the community’s optimism about his value proposition.

Fantasy coaches face a nuanced decision in deciding whether to start or fade Flanders. Starting him offers the chance to capitalize on a potentially undervalued asset from the get-go, with the option to pivot away should his role not materialize as hoped. Conversely, waiting and observing Flanders’ role and output in the early rounds can provide valuable insights, allowing for a more informed selection post-bye, albeit at the risk of missing out on early scoring surges.

The key question is this. What does Sam Flanders need to do this preseason to make you start or fade selecting him? Is it a preseason-specific role in the practice games? Is it a comment from the coaching staff at a press conference? Is it a balance of how the Suns structure up or a game style? It could be these or many other indicators. But the key criteria you need to ask yourself is that question. What must I see to select or fade him? Build that list, then check things off accordingly over the coming weeks.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the landscape of fantasy football drafts, where forwards with a high scoring ceiling are at a premium, Sam Flanders presents an intriguing option as an F1. The scarcity at the top end of forward options elevates his value, making him a compelling pick for those looking to secure a solid forward early in their draft. Given the uncertainties around role changes under new coaching and how this impacts Flanders’ scoring potential, cautious optimism is the prevailing sentiment.

If you’re bullish on Flanders stepping up as a consistent scoring forward under Damien Hardwick’s system, securing him as your F1 could be a strategic move. However, considering the potential volatility in his role and output, it might be prudent to wait until at least the 4th round before drafting him. This approach allows you to build a foundation with players in less volatile positions while securing a forward with upside. The thinness at the top end among forwards makes Flanders’ appeal as an F1 evident. However, drafting him before the 4th round may carry a risk that requires a balance of confidence in his potential and strategic draft planning.

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#9 Most Relevant | Jackson Macrae

Jackson Macrae has been a staple in our SuperCoach & AFLFantasy sides for over a decade. While 2023 was a topsy-turvy season both in scoring & role consistency, he enters into 2024 with DPP and the potential of being the top forward in the game.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jackson Macrae has been a fixture in our SuperCoach and AFLFantasy teams for almost a decade, consistently delivering premium-level performance since his breakout in 2014. His fantasy football journey is marked by several seasons where he averaged over 120 points, positioning him as a cornerstone of fantasy midfields across the league.

In 2023, Macrae transitioned into a forward role in AFLFantasy, posting an average of 91.8, with 8 tons, including two scores over 120, and finishing the season as the top-ranked forward by average and third for total points. His SuperCoach performance was similarly impressive, with an average of 99.9, 11 tons, 5 of which exceeded 120 points, securing his position as the foremost forward by average and fourth for total points.

Despite a year many viewed with disappointment, primarily due to expectations of Macrae returning to an average above 110, his 2023 season still demonstrated significant scoring potential. A notable stretch between rounds 10-13 saw him average 118.25 in AFLFantasy and an even more impressive 129.5 in SuperCoach, including several scores over 140.

This performance dispels the myth that Macrae’s high scoring solely depends on his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs). For instance, in round 10 against Adelaide with only 20% CBA, Macrae scored 117 in AFLFantasy and 140 in SuperCoach. Similar performances in rounds 12 and 13, with varying degrees of midfield attendance, further underscore his ability to contribute significantly on the scoreboard, regardless of his role on the field.

A critical aspect of fantasy football scoring, particularly for midfielders, hinges on their ability to accumulate points through stoppage and transition play. For a midfielder to excel in fantasy scoring, they must be adept at influencing the game in these two crucial areas. Stoppage points are garnered from clearances, tackles, and contested possessions at stoppages, like centre bounces and boundary throw-ins. These moments allow midfielders to demonstrate their contested ball skills and contribute significantly to their fantasy scores.

Transition points, on the other hand, are earned through actions that occur as the play moves from one end of the field to the other, such as effective disposals, marks, and score involvements during open play. This facet of the game emphasizes a player’s ability to use the ball efficiently, make impactful decisions, and contribute to the team’s offensive efforts.

The most successful fantasy midfielders are those who can blend these two elements of their game. They not only thrive in the coalface of the contest, securing the ball under pressure and driving it forward but also excel in the fluid dynamics of the game, moving the ball with precision and contributing to scoring chains. This dual capability ensures a consistent scoring output across various game situations, making such players invaluable assets in fantasy football leagues. Jaiden’s done a high amount of statistical work on this; check it all out here.

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MY TAKE

The 2024 fantasy football season presents a notable challenge for coaches searching for premium forward options, starkly contrasting the previous year. In 2023, fantasy coaches enjoyed a rich selection of forward-line premiums who consistently delivered high scores, offering a stable foundation for their teams. However, heading into 2024, the landscape has shifted dramatically.

The pool of forward players considered genuine premium options has diminished, leaving coaches needing more reliable, high-scoring forwards. This shortage is attributed to various factors, including player role changes, injuries, and player form’s natural ebb and flow. Consequently, fantasy coaches are now tasked with strategizing more creatively to fill their forward lines, considering players who might previously have been overlooked or assuming more risk with selections in hopes of uncovering an undervalued gem that can outperform expectations.

The allure of selecting Jackson Macrae in fantasy football stems significantly from the perception of safety he offers. In the unpredictable realm of fantasy sports, safety is an attribute that shouldn’t be underestimated. Macrae’s consistent track record of high scoring, even in what many consider his off years, provides a sense of reliability that is hard to come by. This consistency means that fantasy coaches can count on him to contribute solid scores week in and week out, serving as a stabilizing force in their lineup amidst the ups and downs of a fantasy season.

Opting for a “safe” player like Macrae is more than just a conservative strategy; it’s a tactical move that allows coaches to allocate risk elsewhere in their team. With Macrae, coaches know they have a player whose scoring floor is high, reducing the need to constantly seek out high-risk, high-reward options that can often lead to volatility in weekly scores. In essence, Macrae’s safety allows fantasy coaches to build around him confidently, knowing that his consistent performance offers them a solid foundation to experiment and take calculated risks with other less predictable players.

Jackson Macrae’s 2023 season, while still showcasing his undeniable talent, did not align with the lofty expectations set by his previous fantasy football performances. One critical statistical indicator of this shift was his reduced centre-bounce attendance (CBA), marking his lowest since the public recording of these stats began in 2020. This decrease in CBA is significant, as it directly correlates with opportunities for scoring through clearances, contested possessions, and direct involvement in the flow of play, areas where Macrae typically excels.

The midfield dynamics at the Western Bulldogs further complicate Macrae’s role and, by extension, his scoring potential. Marcus Bontempelli and Tom Liberatore’s prioritization for CBAs underscores a crowded midfield where Macrae has had to navigate reduced time in the engine room. While Bailey Smith’s injury and James Harmes’s arrival had minimal impact on Macrae’s midfield tenure, Adam Treloar’s fitness and role emerge as pivotal factors. Treloar’s presence and dynamic playstyle can significantly influence Macrae’s scoring consistency, with Treloar’s ability to attract midfield time potentially detracting from Macrae’s opportunities.

His current hamstring concern, albeit with expectations of a return for practice games, adds an element of uncertainty to the Bulldogs’ midfield mix as the season approaches. This situation warrants close observation by fantasy coaches considering Macrae for their squads, as Treloar’s fitness and utilization could markedly affect Macrae’s fantasy output.

The Bulldogs’ scheduling offers a silver lining, with the team positioned in the final bye-round block. This scheduling allows fantasy teams to maximise Macrae’s contributions throughout the first 14 games of the season, potentially offsetting any dips in his scoring. Additionally, the Bulldogs’ early fixture presents favourable matchups, providing a conducive environment for Macrae and the Bulldogs’ midfield to start the season strongly. These early games could be critical for Macrae to establish a solid scoring foundation, making him a strategic selection for fantasy coaches looking to capitalize on favourable matchups and navigate the bye rounds effectively.

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DRAFT DECISION

He’s the consensus first forward selected. But where he goes could be widely different from draft to draft. Some coaches will see the lack of topline options and select Jackson inside the first couple of rounds. Others will fade interest in any topline options and just entirely punt forwards.

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#11 Most Relevant | Marcus Bontempelli

It finally all clicked for Marcus Bontempelli in 2023! After years of good seasons, he finally broke the glass ceiling and became the best midfielder in SuperCoach & AFLFantasy. Can he break the trend and prevent scoring regression to back it up for 2024?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Marcus Bontempelli, Western Bulldogs’ captain, is renowned for his dynamic midfield presence, blending strength in contests with a graceful yet powerful left foot that makes him a consistent scoring threat. In 2023, Bontempelli cemented his status as one of the AFL’s most influential players, showcasing his versatility and leadership.

With his ability to impact the game across every inch of the ground, Bontempelli’s season was punctuated by key highlights, including leading his team deep into the finals, showcasing his clutch performances in critical moments, and his continued recognition among the league’s elite with another strong showing in the Brownlow Medal count.

His unique skill, athleticism and football IQ drive the Bulldogs’ midfield and inspire his teammates, making him a pivotal figure in the team’s quest for success.

His 2023 season was spectacular, solidifying his position as one of the AFL’s premier midfielders through his impressive statistical achievements. His standout performance is reflected in his ranking within the top five for centre clearances, contested possessions, and tackles per game, complemented by his top ten ranking for score involvements and inside 50s.

Such dominance translated into remarkable fantasy football statistics, where in AFLFantasy, he averaged 116.9 points with 18 tons, including significant scores over 120 and as high as 150, without dropping below 86 points in any game. This exceptional consistency earned him the second spot for all players’ total points and averages.

In SuperCoach, Bontempelli’s prowess was even more pronounced, leading the charts with an average of 129.6 points from 22 tons, showcasing his ability to exceed the 120-point mark on 15 occasions and even surpassing 160 points in four games, with his season’s best at 182 points. His performance topped the total points ranking and secured him the highest average, demonstrating his unmatched influence on the game.

The secret to Bontempelli’s phenomenal season and the significant jump in his scoring output can be traced back to a strategic shift by the Western Bulldogs. The arrival of Rory Lobb, combined with Aaron Naughton’s and Jamarra Ugle-Hagan’s existing talents, allowed the Bulldogs to finally utilize Bontempelli’s skills in the midfield permanently, maximizing his impact.

This change is starkly evident in his centre bounce attendance (CBA) percentages, which saw a substantial increase from 58% in 2022 to 81% in 2023, allowing Bontempelli to exert his influence more consistently and significantly throughout the midfield, where his talents are most impactful for the team. This strategic alignment not only liberated Bontempelli to showcase his best game but also propelled him to the forefront of the competition’s elite, marking 2023 as a milestone season in his illustrious career.

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MY TAKE

The often-repeated narrative surrounding top-tier fantasy players like Marcus Bontempelli, especially after a career-best season, is the scepticism about their ability to provide upside or maintain their high starting price point. This stems from the dual factors of these players coming off career-high performances and the mechanics of “magic numbers” in fantasy pricing, which require them to sustain their lofty averages early in the season to justify their initial valuation.

However, when considering SuperCoach specifically for a player of Bontempelli’s calibre, there’s a strong argument to be made that he can sustain, if not exceed, his price point and scoring average. Bontempelli’s consistency is underscored by his remarkable record of not dropping below an average of 116 points over the past three seasons. This level of performance indicates not just peak output but sustained elite-level play, making the case that Bontempelli is not only a safe bet but potentially undervalued even at a high starting price.

Further bolstering this argument is Bontempelli’s favourable early-season fixture, which presents him with an excellent opportunity to hit the ground running and potentially exceed expectations. Such an elite run of games early in the season can be a critical factor in fantasy football, where getting off to a strong start can set the tone for the rest of the year. For coaches deliberating on whether to invest in Bontempelli from the outset, these considerations offer a compelling case that, despite the high initial investment, the Bulldogs’ captain is well positioned to deliver significant returns and justify his inclusion in SuperCoach teams from round one.

Bont’s remarkable durability, having missed just one game over the past five years, underscores a level of reliability that is rare and highly valued in fantasy football. Investing in Bontempelli isn’t about chasing the potential for scoring upside; it’s about securing a cornerstone player whose consistent high-level performance provides a solid foundation for your team. This consistency allows fantasy coaches the luxury of focusing their attention on managing other, more unpredictable elements of their roster, safe in the knowledge that Bontempelli’s output is almost guaranteed.
The question of timing, when to bring Bontempelli into your squad, is a strategic consideration every coach faces. While acquiring him at a later stage for potentially less might be tempting, it overlooks the critical advantage his early-season presence can offer. In reality, players of Bontempelli’s elite status—those who deliver not just points but stability—are scarce. Delaying the inclusion of such a high-calibre player carries the risk of missing out on crucial early rounds of consistent scoring. This mistake could be difficult to recover from as the season progresses.
Therefore, while it’s theoretically possible to target Bontempelli later in the season, the strategy of waiting carries inherent risks. The unique combination of his proven durability, consistent elite performance, and the psychological benefit of having a “set and forget” option in your lineup from round one cannot be understated. In essence, securing Bontempelli early isn’t just an investment in a player but an investment in your fantasy football team’s overall strength and stability, ensuring you’re well-positioned to tackle the season’s challenges head-on.

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DRAFT DECISION

Marcus Bontempelli’s standing as an M1 in fantasy drafts is undisputed, positioning him as a likely first-round pick and potentially the first midfielder off the board in many leagues. His consistent elite performance, combined with unparalleled durability, makes him a prime target for coaches looking to secure a cornerstone for their midfield from the get-go.

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#13 Most Relevant | Jordan Dawson

In 2023, Jordan Dawson went from being a handy premium defender to one of the best players in the AFL, let alone in AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach. But with a loss of defensive status and now being available solely as a midfielder, is it the end of his relevance? Or is the Crows skipper just warming up?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jordan Dawson’s ascension to the role of Adelaide Crows’ captain before the 2023 season was a testament to his leadership qualities and his immense talent on the field. His inaugural year as skipper was nothing short of spectacular, highlighted by winning the Malcolm Blight Medal for the club’s best and fairest, a fitting accolade for his standout performances throughout the season.

Dawson’s 2023 campaign marked a significant turning point in his career as he transitioned into a more permanent midfield role, showcasing his versatility and ability to impact the game significantly from the centre of the field.

This strategic shift in his playing position allowed Dawson to elevate his game to new heights, averaging 27 disposals, three clearances, and six tackles per game, underlining his work rate, ball-winning capability, and defensive tenacity. Such was the impact of his performances that Dawson earned All-Australian honours for the first time, recognizing him as one of the premier midfielders in the competition.

His blend of precise kicking, vision, and ability to execute under pressure has made him an integral part of Adelaide’s strategy, driving the team forward and setting the standard for excellence both as a player and a leader on the field. Dawson’s career-best season not only solidified his status as a key player for the Crows but also marked him as one of the standout talents in the AFL, capable of influencing the outcome of games through his skilful play and strategic thinking.

Jordan Dawson’s fantasy football performance in the 2023 season was nothing short of remarkable, with his statistics in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach reflecting his substantial contribution on the field. In AFLFantasy, Dawson achieved an impressive average of 113.4, with 16 scores hitting the century mark, including nine scores over 120 and five surpassing 130, culminating in a personal best of 172. Remarkably, he maintained a high scoring floor with just two scores falling below 90 and none under 81, ranking him 5th overall by average and 4th for total points.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, Dawson’s average rose to 115.8, with 16 hundred-plus scores, eight of which were over 120, and four exceptional performances over 145, including a peak score of 173. Despite a generally high scoring consistency, there was just one instance where his score dipped below 80, a testament to his reliability as a fantasy option. Dawson’s rankings in SuperCoach were equally impressive, placing 9th overall for averages and 4th for total points.

The significant uplift in Dawson’s scoring can largely be attributed to his increased ball possession, averaging a career-high of 27 disposals, marking an increase of 2.5 per game from the previous year. While his marks per game saw a slight regression, Dawson’s defensive efforts significantly intensified, with his tackles per game jumping from an average of three in 2022 to 6.7 in 2023, placing him 12th in the league for tackles per game. This shift solidified his scoring floor and added a considerable ceiling to his fantasy output.

Dawson’s fantasy pricing heading into the season suggests there are about two points per game of potential value based on the scoring from Round 3 onwards, when his role adjustment fully took effect. Moreover, Dawson’s durability has been a key asset; since joining the Adelaide Crows, he has not missed a single game, underscoring his reliability and importance to both his real-life and fantasy teams.

In summary, Jordan Dawson’s 2023 season was a masterclass in how a role change and personal improvement can elevate a player’s fantasy football standing. By bolstering his tackle numbers and maintaining high possession counts, Dawson sustained his scoring floor and introduced a new scoring ceiling, making him a top-tier fantasy option. His durability and consistent high performance further cement his status as a desirable choice for fantasy coaches looking for stability and high upside in their lineup.

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MY TAKE

Jordan Dawson’s fantasy outlook for the upcoming season is framed beautifully by several strategic considerations, beginning with an ideal bye structure. Dawson and the Adelaide Crows enjoy uninterrupted play until Round 15, facing a mix of opponents from the Suns to Essendon, with the 2023 data suggesting neither distinctly favourable nor challenging matchups. This stability in the fixture presents a solid foundation for Dawson’s consistent scoring potential throughout most of the fantasy season.

The Adelaide Crows’ midfield dynamics, particularly the integration of Matt Crouch, pose intriguing questions about Dawson’s role and, by extension, his fantasy output. The final six games of last season, which saw Dawson and Crouch play together, offer a glimpse into this relationship. In SuperCoach, Dawson notched five scores above 110 and an 89, while in AFLFantasy, he achieved two tons and four scores in the 90s.

Notably, one of these hundreds was a commanding 134 against Port Adelaide, prompting analysis on whether Crouch’s presence is a direct influence or merely coincidental to Dawson’s performance. The matchups during this period, categorized from neutral to moderately easy based on DFS Australia’s rankings for inside mids, did not significantly alter Dawson’s scoring from stoppages but impacted his across-the-ground contributions.

Three scenarios emerge regarding the Crows’ midfield composition and its impact on Dawson’s fantasy relevance. Firstly, if Crouch solidifies his spot alongside Laird and Dawson as the primary midfield trio without significantly affecting Dawson’s role, concerns may arise about Dawson blending into the midfield without distinguishing his scoring.

However, this blends into the second scenario where if Crouch’s inclusion leads to Dawson or Laird rotating through half-back, Dawson’s fantasy prospects become even more compelling, albeit this is considered an unlikely permanent shift.

The third scenario, marked by Crouch’s absence from the midfield mix, could signal a reliance on emerging talents like Luke Pedlar, Jack Soligo, and Josh Rachele to step up, potentially enhancing Dawson’s importance and fantasy appeal. Dawson’s temporary versatility to temporarily fill defensive roles underscores his value, although a permanent shift back is deemed improbable.

Dawson’s fantasy appeal is underscored by his high scoring ceiling and robust floor, making him a pivotal figure in fantasy discussions. Whether as a starting selection or a strategic upgrade, Dawson’s presence in a completed fantasy side represents an optimal outcome, with his role within the Crows’ midfield mix being a critical determinant of his fantasy impact. Navigating these strategic considerations will be key for fantasy coaches aiming to maximize Dawson’s potential in their lineups.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jordan Dawson’s fantastic performance and flexible position within the Adelaide Crows make him a top candidate to be an M1 in delusion drafts, reflecting his high value and effect capacity. Given his staggering stats and the strategic importance of his midfield function, Dawson may be noticeably well-liked, probably being picked inside the overdue first to early second spherical of drafts.

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#14 Most Relevant | Connor Rozee

For the past 18 months, Connor Rozee has continued to elevate his AFLFantasy & SuperCoach, scoring the premium levels. In 2024, can the new Port Adelaide Captain become part of the fantasy football elite?

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Connor Rozee is among AFL’s most skilful players, celebrated for his precise ball handling, astute decision-making, and polished right-foot skills. Showcasing his durability and consistency, Rozee didn’t miss a match in 2023, further cementing his status among the elite midfielders in the league.

He hit personal highs with an average of 25.8 disposals, 4.7 tackles, and 3.8 clearances per game. While his role saw him spending less time in the attacking 50 than in previous seasons, his prowess in the forward line remained undeniable, netting 21 goals throughout the year.

Connor Rozee’s fantasy football statistics from the 2023 season reflect his standing as a top-tier midfielder in the AFL. In AFLFantasy, Rozee boasted an impressive average of 105.8 points per game, with 16 scores of 100 or more, including five scores over 120 and three surpassing 130, while maintaining consistency with only two scores dipping below 80 for the entire year. This remarkable performance positioned him 10th for total points and 16th for average points across all players.

The SuperCoach format further highlighted Rozee’s prowess, where he achieved an average of 107.5 points. Here, he tallied 14 ton-plus scores, with five exceeding 120 points, underscoring his ability to hit high scores, including standout performances of 140 and 141 points. Rozee’s reliability was evident, with his scoring only falling below 90 on two occasions and maintaining a season-low of 75. He ranks 14th for total points and 26th for average, making him the 19th-ranked midfielder.

Rozee’s form trajectory showcased significant improvement as the season progressed. In AFLFantasy, he closed the season with 13 of his last 14 games scoring over 100 points, highlighting his scoring acceleration with six scores over 110, three over 120, and two above 130. SuperCoach reflected a similar pattern of consistency and high performance. Rozee posted only one score under 90 in the last 19 games, illustrating a clear uplift in his scoring post-bye, with averages of 106.5 and 109.2, respectively.

This pattern wasn’t new; Rozee had shown a similar trend in the previous year, 2022, where his performance surged post-bye, averaging 101.5 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 106.8 in SuperCoach over the final eleven games.

The last seven matches of that year saw him push even higher, with averages reaching 110 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 112 in SuperCoach, confirming Rozee’s ability to escalate his game in the latter half of the season. This consistency and capacity for high scoring in crucial stages make Connor Rozee a valuable asset for fantasy coaches, promising a blend of reliability and explosive scoring potential.

Rozee’s multifaceted scoring ability makes him an exceptional talent that is difficult for opponents to contain and highly valuable for fantasy coaches. His versatility on the field allows him to accumulate points across various statistical categories, contributing significantly to his overall fantasy scores.

A standout example of Rozee’s diverse scoring capability was evident in Round 16 against Essendon, where he managed a 140+ score across formats with just 23 possessions. His impact was magnified by his all-around performance, which included nine marks, nine tackles, and three goals, showcasing his ability to score heavily without solely relying on disposals.

Similarly, in a Round 10 clash with Melbourne, Rozee demonstrated his capacity to dominate in different ways. Accumulating 31 possessions, he complemented his ball-winning prowess with five tackles and five marks, translating to a 121 score in AFLFantasy and an impressive 140 in SuperCoach.

These performances underscore Rozee’s dynamic role within Port Adelaide’s lineup, where his contributions extend beyond traditional midfield duties. His ability to score in “multiple columns” — through disposals, marks, tackles, and goals — underscores why Rozee is not just a challenge for his on-field opponents but also a coveted asset for fantasy football teams, offering a robust scoring profile that enhances team performance across multiple scoring categories.

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MY TAKE

Connor Rozee’s scoring growth presents a multifaceted opportunity rooted in personal improvement, team dynamics, and strategic positioning within fantasy drafts. Despite a stellar season, Rozee only exceeded 30 possessions in two games, highlighting a tangible area for personal growth. Considering he had the lowest possession average among players who scored 100 or more in AFLFantasy, an increase in ball-winning could significantly boost his scoring potential.

Port Adelaide’s overall team strategy could also be pivotal in Rozee’s fantasy output. The team’s ranking at the lower end for disposals and marks per game suggests that even a minor shift towards a more possession-oriented game style could dynamically enhance Rozee’s scoring avenues, leveraging his skills in a system that prioritizes ball movement.

The challenge of being a tagged target emerged in two specific rounds last year, affecting Rozee’s scoring somewhat. However, with tags likely to be distributed between him and Zac Butters based on matchups, Rozee’s resilience and adaptability to overcome such defensive attention will be key. Furthermore, the potential increased midfield role for Ollie Wines could indirectly benefit Rozee, allowing him to exploit his capabilities as a second-touch player and capitalize on his elite skills away from his primary clearance duties.

The Round 13 bye week adds another layer of strategic consideration for fantasy coaches, echoing discussions around other Port Adelaide premiums like Caleb Serong and Zak Butters. Securing a premium player with a Round 13 bye offers structural advantages through the multi-bye rounds, making Rozee an attractive option for maintaining balance and competitiveness during these critical stages of the fantasy season.

The decision between Rozee and Butters often comes down to their relative cost and perceived scoring potential. With Butters being approximately $60,000 cheaper in AFLFantasy and Rozee around $30,000 less in SuperCoach, budget constraints might influence the choice for coaches looking for value. Ultimately, if coaches are confident in Rozee’s ability to elevate his average to 110 or above, starting him becomes a viable strategy backed by individual improvement, team play enhancements, and strategic draft positioning, promising a robust return on investment in the fantasy football arena.

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DRAFT DECISION

In fantasy football drafts, Connor Rozee’s versatility and high-scoring capability position him as a top pick, likely securing a spot as an M1-M2 in AFLFantasy and solidly an M2 in SuperCoach. Given his remarkable performances, especially in the latter half of the season, Rozee’s appeal is undeniable.

However, in SuperCoach, where the competition among midfielders is fierce, Rozee might still be available as a valuable M3 pick for those lucky enough due to the presence of other high-calibre players like Jack Steele, Touk Miller, Sam Walsh, Josh Kelly, and Tim Taranto, who, despite averaging lower than Rozee, also command early draft consideration.

This slight variance in draft position between formats underscores Rozee’s fantasy relevance and the strategic depth fantasy coaches must navigate when selecting their midfield lineup, balancing Rozee’s proven scoring prowess with the broader context of available midfield talent.

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