Max Gawn is an iconic figure in the AFL, embodying the quintessential ruckman with his towering presence, exceptional athleticism, and unmatched ruck craft. Renowned for his ability to dominate hitouts, Gawn’s influence extends far beyond the ruck contests; he’s equally adept at impacting play around the ground through his marking, ball use, and surprising agility for a player of his size. His leadership on and off the field, his competitive nature, and his football intelligence make him a pivotal player for Melbourne.
Gawn’s knack for clutch moments, whether taking critical marks or kicking timely goals, showcases his versatility and importance to his team’s structure. Beyond his physical attributes, his game awareness and strategic thinking set him apart, making him one of the most respected and impactful ruckmen in the modern game.
The 2023 season didn’t unfold as Max Gawn or his fantasy owners might have anticipated, marking it as a year of challenges and adjustments for the Melbourne Demons’ ruckman. It was a season that saw Gawn navigating through a knee injury that sidelined him for three weeks, grappling with the dynamics of a ruck share with Brodie Grundy, and experiencing another early exit from the finals. As a result, Gawn recorded his lowest seasonal averages in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach since 2017, illustrating the impact of these hurdles on his fantasy performance.
In AFLFantasy, Gawn averaged 92.1 points, with six scores reaching the century mark, including two surpassing 120 points—one being a career-high score of 162. Despite posting three scores under 80, one directly influenced by an in-game injury, Gawn still managed to rank 6th overall among rucks. Similarly, in SuperCoach, he maintained an average of 104.4 points, notching up nine tons, six of which were over 120 points, highlighted by a 174 against Richmond and a career-best 215 versus Brisbane. Like in AFLFantasy, three of his scores dipped below 80, with one affected by injury, yet he still secured the 6th spot in the ruck rankings.
Two significant areas highlight where Gawn could present valuable financial gains and potential scoring upside for fantasy owners. The first area of opportunity arises from an early-season game where Gawn was subbed out due to a knee injury caused by friendly fire from teammate Jack Viney. By adjusting for this injury-impacted score, Gawn’s averages could increase by approximately four points per game in AFLFantasy and five in SuperCoach, offering a glimpse into the value adjustment potential.
The second, perhaps more crucial, area of upside lies in Gawn’s performance as the sole ruckman. In the six matches where Gawn operated without sharing ruck duties with Grundy, he demonstrated his elite scoring capability, averaging 113.2 in AFLFantasy and an impressive 132.5 in SuperCoach. This performance level mirrors Gawn’s dominance between 2018 and 2020, during which he enjoyed a monopoly over Melbourne’s ruck responsibilities. These insights suggest that when in the familiar role of sole ruckman, Gawn can not only recapture his form but also offer significant scoring and financial value to fantasy owners, making him a player to watch closely in the upcoming season.
The prospect of Max Gawn reverting to his role as Melbourne’s sole ruckman is a tantalizing scenario for fantasy coaches, harking back to days when Gawn’s towering presence was felt across every centimetre of the ground with over 80% attendance at centre bounce attendances (CBAs).
This shift marks a return to a structure that historically maximized Gawn’s fantasy output, promising significant potential for the upcoming season. With Melbourne’s ruck options thinned, Gawn’s return to a predominant ruck role could reignite his fantasy dominance.
The ruck position presents a wealth of strategic combinations for fantasy coaches, with Tim English, Tristan Xerri, Brodie Grundy, Max Gawn, and Rowan Marshall forming the top tier of choices. Each pairing from this group offers a compelling narrative of strength and potential, allowing for diverse strategies and team structures.
While Grundy’s partnership with Gawn last season provided a means to manage Gawn’s workload rather than enhance his scoring, it raises questions about Gawn’s capacity to shoulder the ruck duties predominantly across a demanding 23-week season, especially considering Melbourne’s lack of depth in ruck options.
The bye rounds present another strategic layer for coaches to navigate. Gawn’s early bye in round 6, followed by a second bye in round 14, coincides closely with Brodie Grundy’s byes, prompting coaches to consider ruck strategy carefully. Potential offsets for these bye weeks could come in the form of Toby Conway and Jordan Sweet, who, despite being slightly pricier bench options in AFLFantasy, offer cash-generation opportunities and coverage during the primary rucks’ absences.
Moreover, Gawn’s role as a premium ruckman extends beyond just holding value across the season; he also serves as a strategic parachute. Coaches dissatisfied with Gawn’s performance or those who perceive English and Marshall, the top two rucks from the previous year, as superior options can consider trading Gawn as part of a strategic maneuver to optimize their ruck positions.
The anticipation surrounding Gawn’s return to the forefront of Melbourne’s ruck strategy is palpable. His high-scoring potential, combined with the strategic nuances of ruck combinations and bye-week planning, makes Gawn an attractive starting option in all formats. I’m of the more bullish outlook on Gawn. I’m happy to start with him and, if required, pull the parachute cord at his first bye, but I’m not convinced I’ll even need it.
In fantasy drafts, the importance of securing a top-tier ruck cannot be overstated, with my rankings placing Tim English as the premier choice in AFLFantasy, thanks to his consistent output and flexibility, followed by the formidable Rowan Marshall. Max Gawn, positioned at #3, can ascend to the #2 spot. In SuperCoach, where his skill set elevates him even more, I have him ranked #2 behind English.
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In 2023, Jordan Dawson went from being a handy premium defender to one of the best players in the AFL, let alone in AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach. But with a loss of defensive status and now being available solely as a midfielder, is it the end of his relevance? Or is the Crows skipper just warming up?
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Jordan Dawson’s ascension to the role of Adelaide Crows’ captain before the 2023 season was a testament to his leadership qualities and his immense talent on the field. His inaugural year as skipper was nothing short of spectacular, highlighted by winning the Malcolm Blight Medal for the club’s best and fairest, a fitting accolade for his standout performances throughout the season.
Dawson’s 2023 campaign marked a significant turning point in his career as he transitioned into a more permanent midfield role, showcasing his versatility and ability to impact the game significantly from the centre of the field.
This strategic shift in his playing position allowed Dawson to elevate his game to new heights, averaging 27 disposals, three clearances, and six tackles per game, underlining his work rate, ball-winning capability, and defensive tenacity. Such was the impact of his performances that Dawson earned All-Australian honours for the first time, recognizing him as one of the premier midfielders in the competition.
His blend of precise kicking, vision, and ability to execute under pressure has made him an integral part of Adelaide’s strategy, driving the team forward and setting the standard for excellence both as a player and a leader on the field. Dawson’s career-best season not only solidified his status as a key player for the Crows but also marked him as one of the standout talents in the AFL, capable of influencing the outcome of games through his skilful play and strategic thinking.
Jordan Dawson’s fantasy football performance in the 2023 season was nothing short of remarkable, with his statistics in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach reflecting his substantial contribution on the field. In AFLFantasy, Dawson achieved an impressive average of 113.4, with 16 scores hitting the century mark, including nine scores over 120 and five surpassing 130, culminating in a personal best of 172. Remarkably, he maintained a high scoring floor with just two scores falling below 90 and none under 81, ranking him 5th overall by average and 4th for total points.
Similarly, in SuperCoach, Dawson’s average rose to 115.8, with 16 hundred-plus scores, eight of which were over 120, and four exceptional performances over 145, including a peak score of 173. Despite a generally high scoring consistency, there was just one instance where his score dipped below 80, a testament to his reliability as a fantasy option. Dawson’s rankings in SuperCoach were equally impressive, placing 9th overall for averages and 4th for total points.
The significant uplift in Dawson’s scoring can largely be attributed to his increased ball possession, averaging a career-high of 27 disposals, marking an increase of 2.5 per game from the previous year. While his marks per game saw a slight regression, Dawson’s defensive efforts significantly intensified, with his tackles per game jumping from an average of three in 2022 to 6.7 in 2023, placing him 12th in the league for tackles per game. This shift solidified his scoring floor and added a considerable ceiling to his fantasy output.
Dawson’s fantasy pricing heading into the season suggests there are about two points per game of potential value based on the scoring from Round 3 onwards, when his role adjustment fully took effect. Moreover, Dawson’s durability has been a key asset; since joining the Adelaide Crows, he has not missed a single game, underscoring his reliability and importance to both his real-life and fantasy teams.
In summary, Jordan Dawson’s 2023 season was a masterclass in how a role change and personal improvement can elevate a player’s fantasy football standing. By bolstering his tackle numbers and maintaining high possession counts, Dawson sustained his scoring floor and introduced a new scoring ceiling, making him a top-tier fantasy option. His durability and consistent high performance further cement his status as a desirable choice for fantasy coaches looking for stability and high upside in their lineup.
Jordan Dawson’s fantasy outlook for the upcoming season is framed beautifully by several strategic considerations, beginning with an ideal bye structure. Dawson and the Adelaide Crows enjoy uninterrupted play until Round 15, facing a mix of opponents from the Suns to Essendon, with the 2023 data suggesting neither distinctly favourable nor challenging matchups. This stability in the fixture presents a solid foundation for Dawson’s consistent scoring potential throughout most of the fantasy season.
The Adelaide Crows’ midfield dynamics, particularly the integration of Matt Crouch, pose intriguing questions about Dawson’s role and, by extension, his fantasy output. The final six games of last season, which saw Dawson and Crouch play together, offer a glimpse into this relationship. In SuperCoach, Dawson notched five scores above 110 and an 89, while in AFLFantasy, he achieved two tons and four scores in the 90s.
Notably, one of these hundreds was a commanding 134 against Port Adelaide, prompting analysis on whether Crouch’s presence is a direct influence or merely coincidental to Dawson’s performance. The matchups during this period, categorized from neutral to moderately easy based on DFS Australia’s rankings for inside mids, did not significantly alter Dawson’s scoring from stoppages but impacted his across-the-ground contributions.
Three scenarios emerge regarding the Crows’ midfield composition and its impact on Dawson’s fantasy relevance. Firstly, if Crouch solidifies his spot alongside Laird and Dawson as the primary midfield trio without significantly affecting Dawson’s role, concerns may arise about Dawson blending into the midfield without distinguishing his scoring.
However, this blends into the second scenario where if Crouch’s inclusion leads to Dawson or Laird rotating through half-back, Dawson’s fantasy prospects become even more compelling, albeit this is considered an unlikely permanent shift.
The third scenario, marked by Crouch’s absence from the midfield mix, could signal a reliance on emerging talents like Luke Pedlar, Jack Soligo, and Josh Rachele to step up, potentially enhancing Dawson’s importance and fantasy appeal. Dawson’s temporary versatility to temporarily fill defensive roles underscores his value, although a permanent shift back is deemed improbable.
Dawson’s fantasy appeal is underscored by his high scoring ceiling and robust floor, making him a pivotal figure in fantasy discussions. Whether as a starting selection or a strategic upgrade, Dawson’s presence in a completed fantasy side represents an optimal outcome, with his role within the Crows’ midfield mix being a critical determinant of his fantasy impact. Navigating these strategic considerations will be key for fantasy coaches aiming to maximize Dawson’s potential in their lineups.
Jordan Dawson’s fantastic performance and flexible position within the Adelaide Crows make him a top candidate to be an M1 in delusion drafts, reflecting his high value and effect capacity. Given his staggering stats and the strategic importance of his midfield function, Dawson may be noticeably well-liked, probably being picked inside the overdue first to early second spherical of drafts.
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For the past 18 months, Connor Rozee has continued to elevate his AFLFantasy & SuperCoach, scoring the premium levels. In 2024, can the new Port Adelaide Captain become part of the fantasy football elite?
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Connor Rozee is among AFL’s most skilful players, celebrated for his precise ball handling, astute decision-making, and polished right-foot skills. Showcasing his durability and consistency, Rozee didn’t miss a match in 2023, further cementing his status among the elite midfielders in the league.
He hit personal highs with an average of 25.8 disposals, 4.7 tackles, and 3.8 clearances per game. While his role saw him spending less time in the attacking 50 than in previous seasons, his prowess in the forward line remained undeniable, netting 21 goals throughout the year.
Connor Rozee’s fantasy football statistics from the 2023 season reflect his standing as a top-tier midfielder in the AFL. In AFLFantasy, Rozee boasted an impressive average of 105.8 points per game, with 16 scores of 100 or more, including five scores over 120 and three surpassing 130, while maintaining consistency with only two scores dipping below 80 for the entire year. This remarkable performance positioned him 10th for total points and 16th for average points across all players.
The SuperCoach format further highlighted Rozee’s prowess, where he achieved an average of 107.5 points. Here, he tallied 14 ton-plus scores, with five exceeding 120 points, underscoring his ability to hit high scores, including standout performances of 140 and 141 points. Rozee’s reliability was evident, with his scoring only falling below 90 on two occasions and maintaining a season-low of 75. He ranks 14th for total points and 26th for average, making him the 19th-ranked midfielder.
Rozee’s form trajectory showcased significant improvement as the season progressed. In AFLFantasy, he closed the season with 13 of his last 14 games scoring over 100 points, highlighting his scoring acceleration with six scores over 110, three over 120, and two above 130. SuperCoach reflected a similar pattern of consistency and high performance. Rozee posted only one score under 90 in the last 19 games, illustrating a clear uplift in his scoring post-bye, with averages of 106.5 and 109.2, respectively.
This pattern wasn’t new; Rozee had shown a similar trend in the previous year, 2022, where his performance surged post-bye, averaging 101.5 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 106.8 in SuperCoach over the final eleven games.
The last seven matches of that year saw him push even higher, with averages reaching 110 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 112 in SuperCoach, confirming Rozee’s ability to escalate his game in the latter half of the season. This consistency and capacity for high scoring in crucial stages make Connor Rozee a valuable asset for fantasy coaches, promising a blend of reliability and explosive scoring potential.
Rozee’s multifaceted scoring ability makes him an exceptional talent that is difficult for opponents to contain and highly valuable for fantasy coaches. His versatility on the field allows him to accumulate points across various statistical categories, contributing significantly to his overall fantasy scores.
A standout example of Rozee’s diverse scoring capability was evident in Round 16 against Essendon, where he managed a 140+ score across formats with just 23 possessions. His impact was magnified by his all-around performance, which included nine marks, nine tackles, and three goals, showcasing his ability to score heavily without solely relying on disposals.
Similarly, in a Round 10 clash with Melbourne, Rozee demonstrated his capacity to dominate in different ways. Accumulating 31 possessions, he complemented his ball-winning prowess with five tackles and five marks, translating to a 121 score in AFLFantasy and an impressive 140 in SuperCoach.
These performances underscore Rozee’s dynamic role within Port Adelaide’s lineup, where his contributions extend beyond traditional midfield duties. His ability to score in “multiple columns” — through disposals, marks, tackles, and goals — underscores why Rozee is not just a challenge for his on-field opponents but also a coveted asset for fantasy football teams, offering a robust scoring profile that enhances team performance across multiple scoring categories.
Connor Rozee’s scoring growth presents a multifaceted opportunity rooted in personal improvement, team dynamics, and strategic positioning within fantasy drafts. Despite a stellar season, Rozee only exceeded 30 possessions in two games, highlighting a tangible area for personal growth. Considering he had the lowest possession average among players who scored 100 or more in AFLFantasy, an increase in ball-winning could significantly boost his scoring potential.
Port Adelaide’s overall team strategy could also be pivotal in Rozee’s fantasy output. The team’s ranking at the lower end for disposals and marks per game suggests that even a minor shift towards a more possession-oriented game style could dynamically enhance Rozee’s scoring avenues, leveraging his skills in a system that prioritizes ball movement.
The challenge of being a tagged target emerged in two specific rounds last year, affecting Rozee’s scoring somewhat. However, with tags likely to be distributed between him and Zac Butters based on matchups, Rozee’s resilience and adaptability to overcome such defensive attention will be key. Furthermore, the potential increased midfield role for Ollie Wines could indirectly benefit Rozee, allowing him to exploit his capabilities as a second-touch player and capitalize on his elite skills away from his primary clearance duties.
The Round 13 bye week adds another layer of strategic consideration for fantasy coaches, echoing discussions around other Port Adelaide premiums like Caleb Serong and Zak Butters. Securing a premium player with a Round 13 bye offers structural advantages through the multi-bye rounds, making Rozee an attractive option for maintaining balance and competitiveness during these critical stages of the fantasy season.
The decision between Rozee and Butters often comes down to their relative cost and perceived scoring potential. With Butters being approximately $60,000 cheaper in AFLFantasy and Rozee around $30,000 less in SuperCoach, budget constraints might influence the choice for coaches looking for value. Ultimately, if coaches are confident in Rozee’s ability to elevate his average to 110 or above, starting him becomes a viable strategy backed by individual improvement, team play enhancements, and strategic draft positioning, promising a robust return on investment in the fantasy football arena.
In fantasy football drafts, Connor Rozee’s versatility and high-scoring capability position him as a top pick, likely securing a spot as an M1-M2 in AFLFantasy and solidly an M2 in SuperCoach. Given his remarkable performances, especially in the latter half of the season, Rozee’s appeal is undeniable.
However, in SuperCoach, where the competition among midfielders is fierce, Rozee might still be available as a valuable M3 pick for those lucky enough due to the presence of other high-calibre players like Jack Steele, Touk Miller, Sam Walsh, Josh Kelly, and Tim Taranto, who, despite averaging lower than Rozee, also command early draft consideration.
This slight variance in draft position between formats underscores Rozee’s fantasy relevance and the strategic depth fantasy coaches must navigate when selecting their midfield lineup, balancing Rozee’s proven scoring prowess with the broader context of available midfield talent.
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Rowan Marshall’s ascent as an AFLFantasy and SuperCoach titan underscores his pivotal role in St Kilda’s lineup, marking him as a sought-after first-round pick in fantasy drafts. This article delves into Marshall’s potential, exploring his proven track record and the strategic value of a top-tier ruckman who can shape team composition.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Rowan Marshall stands out as a dynamic and versatile ruckman for St Kilda, bringing a unique blend of athleticism and skill to his position. Marshall’s game is not just content with dominating hitouts; it extends far beyond the ruck contests. He is equally comfortable taking strong marks around the ground and contributing to the Saints’ scoring efforts, showcasing his ability to play as a forward when needed.
His mobility and agility set him apart from many of his counterparts, allowing him to cover significant ground, participate in link-up play, and apply uncharacteristic pressure for a player of his size. Marshall’s football IQ, clean hands, and effective disposal efficiency make him a critical playmaker for St Kilda. His ability to read the play and position himself effectively in ruck contests and general play underlines his importance to the team’s defensive and offensive structure.
His elevation to St Kilda’s primary ruckman position after Patrick Ryder’s absence marked a turning point in his career, catalyzing his most impressive season. The 2023 campaign saw Marshall reach new heights across all facets of his game, setting personal bests in possessions, marks, tackles, and hitouts. This stellar performance was a testament to his talent and validation of the potential many had observed in his sporadic appearances as the sole ruckman in previous seasons.
In AFLFantasy, Marshall’s statistics were particularly striking, with an average of 115.8 points per game. He notched up 19 tons, including ten scores over 120 and three exceeding 140, with a remarkable consistency that saw him score below 80 only once. From Round 9 onwards, his lowest score was 96, underscoring his reliability and ranking him 3rd overall by averages and total points, trailing only behind Marcus Bontempelli and Tim English.
SuperCoach mirrored this high performance, where Marshall averaged 114.3 points, tallying 15 tons, 10 of which were over 120 and five over 140, with just two scores dipping below 80. His consistent output secured him the 5th spot for total points and 11th by averages, cementing his place among the elite ruckmen in the game.
The trajectory of Marshall’s season, particularly post-bye, suggests there’s still room for growth relative to his starting price. His averages of 108.4 in AFLFantasy and 110.4 in SuperCoach before the bye leapt to 122.5 and 117.9, respectively, after the bye, with a phenomenal surge to 134 in AFLFantasy and 147 in SuperCoach over the final three games.
Despite these highs, Marshall’s journey wasn’t without its challenges. An ankle injury at the end of Round 8 and being subbed out early in Round 4 were notable setbacks. Yet, his resilience and determination were evident as he continued to excel on the field, suggesting a robustness that fantasy coaches highly value.
With the lead ruck role now firmly his, the anticipation for Marshall’s performance in the upcoming season is palpable. Given his demonstrated ability to dominate games and his potential for even greater scoring, Rowan Marshall is poised for another standout year, making him a compelling choice for fantasy coaches looking for a premium ruck option with consistency and the capacity for match-winning scores.
The fantasy football landscape regarding ruck selections underwent a significant transformation last year, with the ‘set and forget’ strategy centring around Rowan Marshall and Tim English proving to be the definitive approach. Their consistently high performances made them invaluable assets, simplifying ruck strategy for many fantasy coaches. However, the upcoming season is poised to diversify this dynamic considerably.
As we look ahead, the fantasy community will witness a broader array of viable ruck combinations, moving beyond the singular strategy that dominated last season. This shift is not merely beneficial for scoring diversity; it opens up many strategic possibilities and team structures for fantasy coaches to explore. The emergence of other ruckmen into the fantasy relevance sphere, combined with Marshall and English’s established prowess, means coaches can now tailor their approach to ruck selections more creatively and flexibly than before.
The ruck strategy in fantasy football experienced a clear winning formula last season with the ‘set and forget’ approach centred around Rowan Marshall and Tim English, delivering exceptional performances that justified their selections. However, the upcoming season promises a broader array of viable strategies, thanks to a diverse set of ruck options that enrich the scoring landscape and introduce varied tactical considerations for fantasy coaches.
Tim English emerged as the top scorer in AFLFantasy and secured the second spot in SuperCoach last season, showcasing his immense talent and fantasy relevance. His consistent high scoring and ability to impact games across the ground make him a prime candidate for repeating or even improving upon last year’s success.
Brodie Grundy returns with significant anticipation surrounding his potential for value and scoring upside. After an interrupted season, his price point might not fully reflect his capability to return to the dominant form that once made him a fantasy football staple, offering coaches a tempting opportunity for value.
Max Gawn, a perennial powerhouse in the ruck, is set to reassume sole ruck duties. He has historically excelled, delivering season averages above 120 in SuperCoach and 110+ in AFLFantasy. His proven track record and return to a familiar role heighten expectations for another standout year.
Tristan Xerri, despite currently nursing an injury, presents as a value proposition with the mantle of North Melbourne’s primary ruck now his to own. His potential for significant scoring upside at a lower price point makes him an intriguing option for coaches looking for value.
Kieran Briggs offered a glimpse of his capabilities last season, averaging 94 in AFLFantasy and 108.9 in SuperCoach. His performances have drawn comparisons to Shane Mumford’s impact at the club, suggesting Briggs could be a dark horse in the ruck selection conversation.
Sean Darcy brings a combination of a high ceiling and an injury risk, alongside a potential role share with Luke Jackson. Despite these considerations, Darcy’s ability to post top-tier scores makes him a compelling, albeit riskier, choice for fantasy ruck slots.
This assortment of ruck options for the upcoming season expands the strategic playbook for fantasy coaches. It adds a layer of excitement and unpredictability to draft planning and weekly selection decisions. Whether opting for a proven performer like Gawn, seeking value in Xerri or Grundy, or betting on the ceiling of Darcy, the diverse range of viable ruckmen ensures that fantasy football strategies in the ruck department will be as dynamic and varied as ever.
And then, there’s Rowan Marshall. He is a testament to the evolving ruck strategy in fantasy football, firmly establishing himself as a premier choice following a career-best season highlighting his unique blend of ruck work and midfield involvement. Marshall embodies the ‘ set and forget ‘ strategy’s pinnacle with an AFLFantasy average of 115.8 and 19 tons, including peaks that breached the 140-mark, and a SuperCoach average of 114.3 with consistently high scoring.
His post-bye surge, where he escalated his performance to an average of 122.5 in AFLFantasy and 117.9 in SuperCoach, underpins his capacity to match and potentially exceed his starting price value. Despite a minor injury hiccup, Marshall’s dominant season was largely uninterrupted, showcasing his durability and scoring prowess. Heading into the new season as the uncontested number-one ruck at St Kilda, Marshall offers fantasy coaches not just a high-scoring ruck option but a player whose scoring potential continues to ascend. His combination of high floor and ceiling and his crucial role in St Kilda’s midfield make him a compelling selection in any strategy, promising reliability and top-tier scoring potential.
The decision to start with Rowan Marshall in your fantasy lineup is underpinned by several compelling factors highlighting his appeal as a top-tier fantasy selection. Firstly, Marshall has demonstrated his scoring potential and established himself as a proven captaincy option, thanks to his ability to deliver match-winning scores. His high-scoring games, particularly those surpassing the 120-point mark, make him an ideal candidate for doubling points in crucial rounds, providing fantasy coaches with a strategic advantage.
Secondly, the absence of early season byes for St Kilda means Marshall will be a constant presence in the initial rounds, offering stability and high-scoring potential when fantasy teams are most vulnerable to fluctuations in rookie performances. This continuous availability is particularly valuable during the “best 18” scoring weeks, where maximizing points from premium players is crucial for maintaining competitive standings.
Lastly, Marshall’s Round 15 bye is strategically advantageous for fantasy coaches. It ensures his availability through the first seven bye-affected weeks, which often proves challenging for maintaining high team scores. His presence during these rounds offers a reliable scoring source, helping to mitigate the impact of byes on other premium players and allowing for strategic planning around the mid-season bye rounds.
While Rowan Marshall’s appeal as a starting option in fantasy football is undeniable, strategic considerations might lead fantasy coaches to fade him at the season’s outset. One significant reason is the potential value of alternative ruck options like Brodie Grundy and Max Gawn. Grundy and Gawn have established themselves as dominant forces in the ruck over the years, with the capability to match or even surpass Marshall’s scoring output. Given their cheaper price points heading into the new season, due to various factors, including form and injury history, these players represent an opportunity for coaches to secure top-tier ruck performance at a discount, allocating saved funds to strengthen other areas of their fantasy roster.
Additionally, Marshall’s venue-specific scoring trends could influence decision-making. Historically, Marshall has demonstrated a propensity to score more prolifically at Marvel Stadium and Adelaide Oval, venues known for their favourable conditions for ruckmen like him who thrive on clearances and ground coverage. With the Saints’ fixture post-Round 15 byes predominantly at these venues, coaches might consider trading Marshall in later in the season to capitalize on this scoring trend rather than starting with him. This approach allows for the initial investment in undervalued ruckmen with the plan to upgrade to Marshall when the fixture aligns with his strengths, potentially maximizing points during the critical latter part of the season.
Concerns within the fantasy football community regarding Rowan Marshall’s scoring or role potentially being impacted by Jack Hayes’ return to the St Kilda lineup merit discussion, yet these apprehensions can be confidently dismissed. While a talented player, Hayes primarily serves as a relief ruck and forward option rather than a direct competitor for Marshall’s predominant ruck duties. His high attendance at the centre underscores Marshall’s established role within the Saints’ strategy bounces, consistently in the high 80s percentage, which is a testament to his importance and impact on the team’s performance.
Marshall’s ability to dominate hitouts and his versatility in play—evident through his contributions across the ground—solidifies his position as the primary ruckman. His significant presence in centre bounce attendance reflects his value to the team. It indicates the coaching staff’s trust in his abilities to influence the game’s outcome from the ruck contests. Adding Hayes is more likely to complement Marshall’s role rather than detract from it, providing brief respites rather than substantive shifts in responsibilities.
Rowan Marshall’s status as a premier ruckman is undisputed, positioning him as a coveted first-round pick in upcoming drafts. Anticipated to be selected in the mid-first round, Marshall’s appeal lies in his consistent high-scoring ability and his role as St Kilda’s uncontested number-one ruckman, making him a key target for fantasy coaches aiming to establish a solid foundation early in the draft.
The strategic value of securing a top-tier ruckman like Marshall can dictate drafting strategies, with some coaches preferring to pair him with a strong M1 midfielder in the second round to solidify your team’s core.
His selection around the mid-first round highlights both his worth to fantasy teams and the critical role that strategic drafting plays in fantasy football success.
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Tom Green has become a fantasy football powerhouse in just a few short seasons. We look at the GWS Giants midfielder’s standout 2023 season, his exceptional scoring ability and pivotal role in the midfield. Green is positioned to elevate his scoring to new heights in 2024, but does the early bye create chaos for coaches considering? Let’s discuss that in the 50 most relevant.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
In the bustling and competitive environment of the GWS Giants’ midfield, Tom Green has emerged not just as a participant but as the leading figure at the metaphorical midfield feast. Despite the crowded field of talented midfielders within the Giants, Green’s 2023 performance solidified his position as a premier ball-winner, leading the AFL in contested possessions and disposals per game, showcasing his dominance in the heart of the action.
His presence was also felt across various facets of the game, ranking in the top ten for score involvements, handballs, and effective disposals, reflecting his comprehensive impact on the field.
Green’s balanced game is underscored by his average of 32 possessions per game, striking an almost perfect balance between contested (15) and uncontested (17) possessions. His contribution extended beyond mere ball possession, with averages of 7 score involvements, three marks, five tackles, five inside 50s, and two rebound 50s per game, highlighting his versatility and all-around game influence.
In fantasy football, Green’s 2023 season was nothing short of exceptional. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 110.6 points, with 15 scores over 100, including peaks of 136, 141, and a career-high 170, with only two scores falling below 80. This performance placed him 9th overall for averages and 7th among midfielders, outscoring notable players like Rory Laird, Andrew Brayshaw, and Nick Daicos.
Similarly, in SuperCoach, Green maintained an average of 111.2, with 12 scores reaching or exceeding the century mark and seven above 120, showcasing his ability to deliver high scores consistently. Despite suffering a hamstring injury that sidelined him for a month, Green’s season was largely unblemished by injury concerns, concluding the year on a high note with averages of 122 in AFLFantasy and 129.75 in SuperCoach over the last month.
Tom Green’s 2023 season cements his status as a key figure in the GWS Giants’ midfield and as a valuable asset in fantasy football leagues, offering coaches reliability, high-scoring potential, and the assurance of a player at the peak of his powers. His performance invites fantasy coaches to consider him a vital component of their midfield selections, promising consistency and the potential for match-winning scores.
Selecting Tom Green as a starting option in your fantasy side is not just a testament to his established scoring prowess; it’s an investment in the potential for his scoring ceiling to ascend even further. Particularly in SuperCoach, where scoring intricately reflects the quality of a player’s contributions, Green’s room for improvement shines through an aspect of his game that doesn’t necessarily hinge on increasing his already substantial disposal count.
Last year, Green’s statistical profile included being ranked 5th in the AFL for Clangers and 6th for turnovers per game, highlighting areas ripe for refinement. His disposal efficiency, at 67% in 2023, showed a slight dip from the 70% he maintained in 2022 and 2021. This suggests that even marginal improvements in reducing errors and enhancing the precision of his disposals could significantly bolster his SuperCoach scoring, potentially elevating him to the elite status of a midfielder averaging around 120 points per game.
Starting with Tom in the early weeks of the fantasy football season carries the appeal of capitalizing on his potential to post high-scoring, ceiling games, positioning him as a viable captaincy option. However, a closer examination of his historical performance against early fixtures reveals a more nuanced picture that fantasy coaches must consider.
The initial rounds see the GWS Giants facing off against Collingwood, North Melbourne, and West Coast—matchups that, while seemingly favourable on paper, have not historically yielded fruitful scores for Green. Specifically, in encounters with Collingwood last year, including a high-stakes preliminary final and a regular season round nine clash, Green did not manage to reach the century mark in either game. This trend suggests a potential challenge in leveraging him as a captaincy option in these initial rounds, given the Magpies’ ability to limit his scoring impact.
The matchups against North Melbourne and West Coast further complicate the early-season outlook for Green. Despite what would appear advantageous fixtures, Green’s performance last year against these teams indicates potential scoring volatility.
His second-lowest score of the season came against North Melbourne, with Green posting scores in the 70s across formats. At the same time, his performance against West Coast yielded a 90 in AFLFantasy and a more respectable 106 in SuperCoach. These results underscore the importance of considering the theoretical favorability of matchups and acknowledging Green’s actual historical output against these opponents.
The early bye for the GWS Giants introduces a strategic problem for fantasy coaches contemplating starting Tom Green. This bye week, although only requiring the best 18 scoring players on the field, inherently increases the risk profile of fantasy lineups, as it’s likely a lower-scoring cash cow will need to cover for the absence of a premium scorer like Green. This scenario can dilute the overall scoring potential for the week, given the unpredictability and typically lower scores of rookie players compared to established premiums.
However, viewing this from the opposite perspective offers a compelling argument for starting with Green. By securing Green from the outset, coaches can lock in a midfielder they believe to be among the elite, bypassing the challenge of finding a way to trade into him later. The early rounds often see the most volatility among on-field cash cows, a period colloquially known as ‘rookie roulette.’ Opting to bench Green during the bye and relying on a cash cow who may score upwards of 80 points could, in totality over rounds 1-3, result in a net positive outcome, offsetting the disadvantage of his bye-week absence.
Starting with Green and trading him out during the bye presents itself as another option. While technically viable, this approach has its drawbacks. Planning for an early trade, especially involving a high-calibre player like Green, can be restrictive and may not be the most efficient use of trades, a precious resource throughout the season. Instead, embracing Green’s early contributions might be more advantageous, accepting the potential scoring shortfall during the bye week. This shortfall, potentially ranging from 50 to 80 points, can be mitigated through strategic rookie selection or astute captaincy choices, allowing for recovery in overall scoring across the initial rounds.
Ultimately, the decision to start with Tom Green hinges on a coach’s confidence in his scoring potential and their strategic flexibility to navigate the implications of the early bye. Embracing Green from the start and absorbing the bye week’s impact could be a strategic move that pays dividends, provided coaches are adept at managing the rest of their lineup to compensate for his temporary absence.
Tom Green’s esteemed position as an M1 in AFLFantasy and his potential to serve as either an M1 or M2 in SuperCoach underscore his fantasy football value. His consistent high-scoring output, underscored by an impressive ability to gather disposals and contribute significantly to the game, makes him a coveted choice for fantasy coaches aiming to solidify their midfield. Although drafting strategies might cause a slight variation in his SuperCoach ranking, Green’s overall appeal is undeniable.
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Zak Butters’ ascent into the elite echelons of AFL midfielders has fantasy coaches buzzing, especially after his standout 2023 season with Port Adelaide that blended hard-nosed play with top-tier skill. We dive into Butters’ fantasy football prospects, unpacking his potential for both SuperCoach and AFLFantasy amid expectations of increased scoring and the strategic nuances of Port Adelaide’s dynamic midfield lineup.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT
Zak Butters has rapidly become one of the most electrifying talents in the AFL, epitomizing the modern midfielder with his blend of relentless intensity and exquisite skill. The 2023 season marked a significant milestone in Butters’ career, showcasing his evolution from a promising young talent to a cornerstone of Port Adelaide’s midfield brigade. Playing every game of the season, Butters demonstrated durability, remarkable consistency, and impact on the field.
His 2023 campaign was stellar, with Butters averaging 27.5 disposals, five marks, and 4.4 clearances per game, which places him in the ‘elite’ category, according to Champion Data. These statistics reflect his ability to find and use the ball effectively and his significant contribution to the team’s overall performance. Butters’ agility, decision-making, and knack for winning contested possessions have made him a pivotal player in Port Adelaide’s setup, capable of changing the course of a game with his actions.
The accolades he received during the year speak volumes about his quality and the respect he commands across the league. Winning the John Cahill Medal as Port Adelaide’s best and fairest is a testament to his immense contribution to the team. Further recognition came with his selection in the All-Australian team, highlighting his status as one of the premier midfielders in the competition. The AFL Coaches Association’s Champion Player of the Year Award, AFL Players’ Association’s Most Courageous Player Award, and a third-place finish in the AFLPA’s MVP Award underscore his exceptional performance throughout the season.
Butters’ 2023 season solidified his reputation as a key player for Port Adelaide and marked his arrival as one of the AFL’s elite midfielders. His dynamic playstyle, with his awards and statistics, illustrates his significant impact on games. As we look ahead to the next season, he is a crucial figure in fantasy football discussions for AFLFantasy & SuperCoach sides.
Butters showcased his scoring prowess in AFL Fantasy by averaging 99.4 points per game. His ability to break the 100-point barrier on 13 occasions, with 5 of those scores surpassing 120 points, highlights his potential for high-scoring outputs. The fact that his scoring dipped under 80 in only four games underscores his reliability as a fantasy option. Despite these impressive numbers, he ranked 17th for total points and 28th overall for average, indicating the competitive nature of midfield selections in AFL Fantasy but also pointing towards his significant contribution to fantasy teams.
In SuperCoach, Butters took his game to even greater heights, averaging 113.8 points. This remarkable average was buoyed by his ability to score 15 tons over the season, with 9 exceeding 120 points, showcasing his game-changing potential in this format. His consistency was further evidenced by having only two scores under 80 points. Butters’ SuperCoach performance placed him 6th for total points and 13th overall, making him the 9th-ranked midfielder, indicating his elite status in this fantasy football format.
Zak Butters’ transition in Round 4 of the 2023 season from a forward with midfield stints to a primary midfielder marked a pivotal shift in his role at Port Adelaide and his fantasy football output. This role change catalyzed a significant uptick in his performances, elevating his averages to 104 in AFLFantasy and 118.4 in SuperCoach from Round 4 onwards. This adjustment highlights Butters’ versatility and capability to excel in a midfield-centric role. Given the discrepancy between his early-season scoring and post-role-change averages, his starting price in fantasy may carry an inherent value.
Further underscoring Butters’ potential for fantasy football dominance was his six-week performance between Rounds 8-13. During this period, he elevated his game to an even higher level, averaging 121 in AFLFantasy and 129 in SuperCoach. These numbers indicate an “Uber premium” fantasy player, showcasing Butters’ ability to consistently deliver high-scoring games over an extended period. This phase of the season demonstrated his scoring ceiling and capacity to sustain elite fantasy scoring rates, solidifying his status as a player with top-tier potential.
This scoring improvement and sustained high performance following his role change make Butters an attractive proposition for fantasy coaches. With the potential for value in his starting price and evidence of his ability to perform at an uber-premium level, Butters represents a compelling selection for those looking to capitalize on a midfielder with significant upside. As fantasy coaches evaluate their strategies and rosters for the upcoming season, Butters’ post-role-change trajectory and demonstrated scoring pedigree should weigh heavily considering midfield selections.
One critical factor that enhances Zak Butters’ appeal for the upcoming fantasy football season is his newfound durability. Historically perceived as a high injury risk due to having yet to play more than 20 games in a season, Butters shattered this narrative in 2023 by participating in every game of Port Adelaide’s campaign. This significant milestone not only dispels concerns regarding his injury proneness but also demonstrates his ability to withstand the rigours of a full AFL season.
Playing all 23 games, Butters provided consistent fantasy outputs and reliability for fantasy coaches who had previously been wary of his injury history. This development adds another layer of attractiveness to selecting Butters in fantasy drafts, as coaches can now have increased confidence in his availability and contribution throughout the season, making him a potentially vital component of any successful fantasy football strategy.
Port Adelaide’s early-season fixture further brightens Zak Butters’ fantasy football outlook, which presents a significant upside for his scoring potential. The Power’s schedule sees them playing seven of their first ten games at Adelaide Oval, where Butters has historically thrived, particularly in SuperCoach. In his last five SuperCoach games at this venue during the previous year, Butters delivered astounding scores of 158, 139, 134, 101, and 81, showcasing his exceptional ability to post high scores on home turf. An average of 122.6 is more than handy at this venue.
Similarly, in AFLFantasy, Butters’ affinity for Adelaide Oval is evident, with nine games scoring 110 or more points throughout the season. Notably, 5 of these high-scoring performances occurred at this ground. This trend underscores the significant advantage that the early run of home games could provide for Butters, potentially boosting his fantasy output and making him an even more attractive option for fantasy coaches. The combination of Butters’ proven scoring capacity, particularly in familiar surroundings, and Port Adelaide’s favourable early fixture suggests that he could be poised for a strong start to the season, offering fantasy teams a considerable edge.
The Port Adelaide midfield mix for 2024 is poised to be a critical factor in the team’s AFL campaign and the fantasy football landscape, especially concerning Zak Butters’ role and potential output. In 2023, the Power demonstrated a preference for a concentrated midfield group at centre bounces, with Connor Rozee leading the attendance rates at 69%, followed closely by Zak Butters at 62%, Jason Horne-Francis at 58%, and Ollie Wines and Willem Drew each at 50%. Veteran Travis Boak, while an influential figure, participated in a relatively minor 13% of centre bounce attendances, indicating a strategic shift towards leveraging the youth and dynamism of Port Adelaide’s emerging midfielders.
Looking ahead to 2024, this midfield dynamic presents challenges and opportunities for Butters. His substantial involvement in 2023 underscores his importance to Port Adelaide’s midfield operations and his ability to impact games significantly from the centre. However, the tight midfield rotation suggests that maintaining or increasing his centre-bounce attendance could be crucial for Butters to replicate or surpass his breakout year, particularly as Port Adelaide seeks to balance experience and youth in their on-ball brigade.
In evaluating Port Adelaide’s midfield dynamics for the 2024 season, two critical insights emerge that shed light on Zak Butters’ potential role and fantasy output. Firstly, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the Power will continue with a similar strategy regarding their midfield composition, maintaining a core group of players at the centre bounce attendance. The tight-knit midfield rotation of 2023, which proved effective, is likely to see only minor adjustments, if any, keeping the primary contributors in place, with Butters expected to remain a crucial part of this setup.
Secondly, while there has been considerable preseason speculation about Ollie Wines returning to a more prominent inside midfield role—following a perceived reduction in his midfield engagement as the 2023 season progressed—this development is not expected to impact Butters’ scoring or midfield time negatively. The evidence from a key six-week stretch during the previous season, when Butters averaged over 120 across all formats, and Port Adelaide secured wins in each match, supports this view. During this period, Wines’ centre bounce attendance rate (CBA%) was 58%, a figure skewed by one match against the Bulldogs where his CBA% dropped to 19%. In contrast, it was Willem Drew, not Butters, whose role appeared to be adjusted, as Drew did not surpass 50% CBAs in any game within that stretch, averaging 41% CBAs.
This analysis indicates that any increase in midfield involvement for Wines or Jason Horne-Francis is more likely to affect Drew’s opportunities than Butters’. The midfield configuration, emphasizing the tight five, including Butters, is expected to remain largely intact, with Butters poised to continue his influential role. The synergy between Butters’ high-scoring capabilities and Port Adelaide’s strategic midfield use suggests that any adjustments within the midfield mix will unlikely diminish Butters’ fantasy relevance or on-field impact.
My expectation for 2024 is a consistent midfield approach from Port Adelaide, with Butters firmly entrenched within the core group. Even with potential shifts in roles for Wines and Horne-Francis, the structure and strategy that facilitated Butters’ breakout performances continue, reinforcing his status as a key fantasy football asset and an integral part of Port Adelaide’s midfield plans.
Given their substantial influence on the game, Zak and his teammate, Captain Connor Rozee, stand as pivotal tag targets for Port Adelaide. The strategic decision on who to tag, Butters with his ‘human wrecking ball’ approach or Rozee with his surgical precision and playmaking skills, will likely vary from match to match, hinging on the opposing team’s tactical setup and the specific strengths of their taggers.
This scenario presents a problem for opponents, as limiting one player’s impact inevitably gives the other more opportunities to influence the game. The differing styles of Butters and Rozee mean that teams face a strategic challenge in deciding which player’s influence they are better equipped to mitigate, underlining the depth and versatility of Port Adelaide’s midfield and the difficulty in containing their multifaceted attack.
A key concluding consideration for starting Zak Butters is that he, alongside Connor Rozee, Andrew Brayshaw, and Caleb Serong, offers you incredible scoring versatility across the front half of the season. With Port Adelaide and Fremantle having the round 13 bye as their only week off in 2024, it only allows you to have a premium midfielder playing in the hardest weeks to navigate both in the starting and middle season block.
The case for starting Butters over these three is that he’s shown he’s got arguably the most value within his pricetag in AFLFantasy and arguably the biggest scoring ceiling in SuperCoach if you haven’t considered or placed Zak in any version of your preseason structure versions then your missing out on a potential game changer.
Zak Butters’ draft ranking in fantasy football indicates his rising stature and potential in the AFL. In SuperCoach, his high-scoring consistency and impact on games position him as an M1, reflecting his ability to deliver substantial points and serve as a cornerstone for fantasy teams. In contrast, his historical average in AFLFantasy suggests an M3 status; however, given his recent form and the upside he brings to the midfield, it’s more likely that fantasy coaches will value him as an M2.
This discrepancy between his historical average and current perception underscores the growing confidence in his fantasy potential. Coaches recognise his capability to outperform his previous averages and are thus more inclined to select him earlier in drafts, banking on his continued development and significant role in Port Adelaide’s midfield.
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Diving into the AFLFantasy & SuperCoach prowess of Geelong’s Tom Stewart, we analyze his standout performances and consider his role evolution ahead of the 2024 AFL season
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Tom Stewart is widely recognized as one of the AFL’s premier defenders, known for his exceptional ability to read the play and intercept opposition attacks. His calmness characterizes his style of play under pressure, precise decision-making, and elite marking ability, allowing him to disrupt opponents’ forward entries effectively.
Stewart’s skill set is complemented by his excellent use of the ball, ensuring he can launch counter-attacks with accurate disposals once he takes possession. Defensively, he is robust in one-on-one contests, leveraging his physicality and football intelligence to outmaneuver forwards. Beyond his contributions, Stewart’s leadership and communication at the back are invaluable, organizing the defence and instilling confidence in his teammates.
His consistent performance and ability to impact games defensively while contributing to his team’s offensive play make him an integral part of Geelong’s lineup and one of the most respected defenders in the league.
His 2023 season solidified his reputation as one of the AFL’s elite defenders, with key statistics underscoring his immense value on the field and in fantasy football. Stewart’s prowess is highlighted by his ranking in the top five per game for crucial defensive metrics, including intercepts, marks, rebound 50s, and kicks. This ability to disrupt the opposition’s play and initiate counter-attacks makes him a cornerstone of Geelong’s defensive strategy.
In AFLFantasy, Stewart had a commendable season, averaging 96.3 points. His performance included 12 tons, with three scores surpassing 120, though he had six scores under 80. His consistency and impact earned him a seventh-place ranking for averages among defenders and sixth for total points, showcasing his reliability as a fantasy option.
SuperCoach further highlighted Stewart’s exceptional season, with a career-high average of 113.6 points. Across 22 games, he amassed 16 tons, 11 of which exceeded 120 points, and two exceptional scores over 150, demonstrating his potential for high-scoring outputs. With only two scores below 80, Stewart ranked second for total points, trailing slightly behind Luke Ryan. His average placed him third among defenders, a testament to his scoring efficiency and consistency.
Stewart’s early-season setback, a Grade Two MCL injury, paradoxically offers fantasy coaches potential value due to the impact on his starting price for the following year. Priced at 96.3 in AFLFantasy and 113.6 in SuperCoach, Stewart’s performance from round 3 onwards—averaging 100.2 in AFLFantasy and 118.2 in SuperCoach—indicates his scoring resilience and potential for value.
His reliability and excellent track record bolster Tom’s fantasy football credentials. With five consecutive seasons averaging over 90 in AFLFantasy and four consecutive seasons averaging over 100 in SuperCoach, Stewart stands as one of the most dependable premium defenders in the game. This consistency, combined with his on-field leadership and defensive acumen, makes Stewart a highly sought-after player in fantasy drafts, offering coaches a blend of scoring potential and stability in their defensive lineups.
With Tom Stewart, the discussion point is very simple. Is he someone you want in your squad from round one? Or will he be someone you intend to target during the season as an upgrade? Does he start this season on a hot streak, or can we jump on him as an upgrade before the streak begins? At some stage in the season, you’ll want to own him; the question is when not if.
Over his career, he’s been a player who always provides us with a hot 6-10 game stretch annually. For example, in 2022, there was even an eight-game stretch between rounds 3-11, wherein AFLFantasy/DreamTeam averaged 114 and had his scoring range between 93-169. However, in SuperCoach, he averaged 120 over the first ten games, and that run included a 74, his second-lowest score of the year.
Tom Stewart’s performance in the latter half of the 2023 season, particularly between rounds 15-21, underscores his status as a fantasy powerhouse. In SuperCoach, his average soared to 124.7, never dipping below 100, while in AFLFantasy, he maintained a solid average of 102, with only one game falling below 94. This stretch of games highlighted his scoring potential and consistency, making him a cornerstone for fantasy defences.
The prospect of Stewart playing more in the midfield for Geelong adds another layer of intrigue to his fantasy outlook. Given the additional opportunities for possessions, clearances, and tackles, a midfield stint could elevate his scoring ceiling even further. This versatility and elite defensive play could make Stewart an even more valuable fantasy asset.
Geelong’s early-season fixture further enhances Stewart’s fantasy appeal, notably favourable for defenders. Matchups against teams like St Kilda, Adelaide, Hawthorn, Bulldogs, North, and Brisbane present ample opportunities for high-scoring performances, making Stewart an attractive option from the outset.
Despite his undeniable talent and fantasy relevance, Stewart’s history of in-season injuries, which have often led to missed games and subsequent price drops, is a consideration for fantasy coaches. This pattern presents a potential buy-low opportunity during the season but carries the risk of temporary gaps in fantasy lineups.
Stewart emerges as a prime candidate for those searching for a D1 option with a high-scoring ceiling, particularly if looking beyond Nick Daicos. His track record, the potential for midfield minutes, and favourable early fixtures position him as a must-consider player in fantasy drafts.
The decision to start with Stewart or aim to acquire him at a value during the season depends on individual strategy and risk tolerance. Both approaches have their merits, with the former capitalizing on his immediate impact and scoring potential and the latter potentially maximizing value following any price drops due to injury. Regardless of the strategy employed, one thing is clear: Tom Stewart is poised to be among the top defenders in 2024, making him a highly desirable asset for fantasy coaches aiming for success by season’s end.
Some players draft range is stable across all formats, while others see some ranking and range differential. With Tom Stewart, the selection as a D1 won’t change, but his draft range will have a few rounds differential. In SuperCoach, I expect him to head off draft boards in the middle to the late second round. For AFLFantasy, he’ll likely start getting selected from the third into the top of the fourth.
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Discover why Fremantle Dockers’ Caleb Serong is a must-consider pick for your AFLFantasy & SuperCoach lineups in 2023 as we delve into his scoring potential, growth areas, and strategic value ahead of the season. Learn how Serong’s leadership role, fixture advantages, and resilience against tags can elevate your fantasy football strategy, making him a pivotal selection for achieving bye-round balance and maximizing points.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Caleb Serong epitomizes the heart and soul of the Fremantle Dockers’ midfield with his relentless style of play and significant importance to the team. Known for his fierce competitiveness and exceptional ability to win contested possessions, Serong has quickly established himself as a cornerstone of the Dockers’ engine room.
His tenacity at stoppages and his knack for clearances allow Fremantle to transition from defence to attack efficiently, making him a critical player in shaping the game’s tempo and momentum. Beyond his physical attributes, Serong’s football IQ stands out, with his decision-making under pressure and skill execution contributing significantly to the team’s offensive strategies.
Despite his relatively young age, his leadership qualities inspire his teammates and exemplify the Dockers’ hard work and determination ethos. Serong’s role extends beyond mere ball-getting; he embodies the spirit and future direction of the Fremantle Dockers, making him an indispensable figure within the squad.
Serong’s statistical performance over the past season underscores his exceptional contribution to the Fremantle Dockers and his rising stature within the AFL. His remarkable ability to dominate at the coalface of the game saw him rank within the top 5 league-wide for several key midfield indicators: centre clearances, contested possessions, disposals, and stoppage clearances per game.
This highlights his prowess in winning the ball under pressure and his capacity to drive his team’s midfield dynamics, making him one of the most effective players in the league in these critical areas.
Moreover, Serong’s influence extended beyond his ball-winning abilities, as evidenced by his ranking within the top 10 for clearances, goal assists, and handballs. This reflects his broader impact on the Dockers’ play, showcasing his vision and ability to contribute to scoring opportunities for his teammates and his skill in distributing the ball effectively under pressure.
Serong’s statistical achievements from the season paint a picture of a player who is central to Fremantle’s midfield operations and instrumental in facilitating the team’s offensive strategies. His comprehensive impact across various facets of the game underscores his value to the Dockers and affirms his status as one of the premier midfielders in the competition.
Caleb Serong’s significant impact on the field for the Fremantle Dockers translated seamlessly into exceptional fantasy football scoring, making him a standout option in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats.
In AFLFantasy, Serong’s impressive average of 108 points per game was bolstered by his consistency and high-scoring capabilities; he notched up 17 tons throughout the season, with six scores surpassing the 120-point mark. A testament to his reliability was his ability to maintain a scoring floor, never dropping below 80 points in any game. This remarkable consistency earned him a place among the elite, ranking 12th for total points scored and 13th for averages overall, highlighting his indispensable value to fantasy football coaches.
SuperCoach further underscored Serong’s fantasy prowess, where he averaged 111.2 points. His performance included 16 tons, with eight going above 120 points, showcasing his potential for high-scoring outputs. Serong’s scoring resilience was evident, with only a single instance falling below the 80-point threshold. His solid record placed him 17th for total points scored and averages across the league, marking him as a premium midfield option for SuperCoach players.
In his 2022 season, he started slowly as he had an interrupted preseason with a knee injury. Eventually, he succumbed to it and missed a few games. Despite this, Serong still elevated his game to some strong new levels. He ended the year ranked inside the top twenty of the league for stoppage clearances, handbells, contested possessions and clearances per game.
The breakout trends for Serong were visible over his entire AFL career, and in 2022, he started to take further steps towards what we have seen he’d become. In that year’s AFL fantasy/DreamTeam perspective, he scored seven, including 112, 113 & a season-high 126. In SuperCoach, he scored eight tons, four above 110, including 117, 119 & 127.
Following a breakout year that saw him ascend to the upper echelons of AFL midfielders, Caleb Serong is poised to elevate his game even further. His impressive performance last season, characterized by dominance in key statistical areas and significant fantasy football scoring, sets the stage for Serong to build on his achievements and continue his upward trajectory.
With a solid foundation of skills, including contested possession winning, clearance work, and impactful scoring, Serong has demonstrated the talent and work ethic necessary to enhance his contributions to the Fremantle Dockers. As he enters the next phase of his career, the anticipation around his potential to become one of the premier midfielders in the league is palpable. Serong’s readiness to take the next step in his game promises exciting prospects for his personal development. It signifies his growing importance to his team’s success and the broader AFL landscape.
Caleb Serong enters the fantasy football conversation not just as a strong scorer but as a player with potential areas for growth that could elevate his game even further. His current scoring prowess is commendable, yet the potential for improvement in disposal efficiency, increased impact on the scoreboard, and an uptick in possessions or tackles suggests we’ve yet to see Serong’s ceiling. Additionally, natural progression and development, inherent to young talents in the AFL, promise to boost his fantasy output.
Serong can further emphasize his importance to your team using the Vice Captain loophole. The Dockers’ scheduling, with most games played on early weekends before the round 13 bye, is crucial for fantasy strategy. This allows coaches to capitalize on Serong’s ceiling scoring through the Vice Captain loophole in formats that permit it, offering a strategic advantage in maximizing points.
The round 13 bye itself holds structural significance for fantasy lineups. Fremantle’s positioning in the bye rounds means players from the club, including Serong, become strategically valuable. They provide continuity through the early bye rounds and the subsequent larger batch, helping maintain team performance during these critical periods of the fantasy season.
Despite being a potential target for opposition tags, as seen in round one last year against St Kilda, Serong’s scoring floor has remained solid even when faced with such challenges. Early fixtures may see him encounter tags again, yet his resilience and ability to still contribute value scores highlight his reliability as a fantasy option.
The return of Nat Fyfe to the midfield poses questions about its impact on Serong’s role. However, it’s anticipated that Serong, Hayden Young, and Andy Brayshaw will remain the Dockers’ primary midfield options. Fyfe’s integration will likely see him as a rotational player, suggesting a minimal impact on Serong’s scoring potential.
Interestingly, when Hayden Young transitioned into the midfield, Serong’s averages in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach showed no significant deviation from his year-round performance. This stability underscores Serong’s scoring resilience despite slight team role adjustments.
Given the strategic advantage of the Round 13 bye, fantasy coaches are evaluating the inclusion of Fremantle’s premium midfielders, including Serong, Andy Brayshaw, and Port Adelaide’s Zak Butters and Connor Rozee. Coaches are encouraged to assess and rank these players based on projected scoring and bye-round balance.
This analysis will help determine whether Serong fits as a starting squad member or an upgrade target during the season. His proven performance, captaincy consideration, and the structural benefits of Fremantle’s bye round position him as a compelling consideration for fantasy football teams, offering immediate impact and strategic flexibility.
Caleb Serong’s emergence as a key player for the Fremantle Dockers and his fantasy football potential reflect his growing importance and impact in the AFL. His draft ranking as an M1 in AFLFantasy signifies his role as a premier midfield option, capable of delivering consistent, high-scoring performances. This status is a testament to his on-field contributions, particularly in contested possessions, clearances, and his ability to impact the scoreboard. For fantasy coaches strategizing their draft, Serong represents a robust choice to anchor their midfield, offering reliability and the potential for game-changing scores.
However, the depth of midfield talent in AFLFantasy means Serong might be considered an M2 for some teams, particularly if coaches prioritize securing other midfielders with their initial picks. This strategy could see Serong slide slightly in the draft order, not due to any shortfall in his capabilities but because of the midfield’s wealth of options and individual coaches’ tactical approaches.
In SuperCoach, where scoring can often accentuate the impact of midfielders who excel in contests and clearances, Serong is positioned as an M2. This ranking reflects his proven ability to rack up significant points and the competitive nature of midfield selections in SuperCoach drafts. The expectation that he would be gone by the third round indicates the coaches’ high regard for his scoring potential and his role at Fremantle. This also suggests that while Serong is highly valued, the sheer volume of midfield talent across the AFL means that some coaches might secure other options before turning to Serong, depending on their draft strategy and the specific scoring nuances of SuperCoach.
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Exploring Tristan Xerri’s ascent as North Melbourne’s primary ruck option, we delve into his fantasy football potential and strategic value following a promising season and the departure of Todd Goldstein.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Tristan Xerri is a pivotal player for North Melbourne, embodying the archetype of a modern AFL ruck-forward with his versatile skill set and impactful presence on the field. His ability to contest effectively in the ruck and his agility and knack for goal-scoring when playing forward allow North Melbourne to adapt their game plan flexibly according to the match’s demands.
Xerri’s physicality and competitive edge in aerial contests make him a formidable opponent in both the ruck and forward line, providing the Kangaroos with a dual-threat option that can influence the game’s outcome in multiple facets.
Furthermore, his development in reading the play and decision-making has enhanced his contributions, making him a physical presence and a strategic asset to the team. Xerri’s role within North Melbourne is integral, offering a blend of toughness, versatility, and scoring ability that significantly impacts the team’s performance and dynamics.
For years, Tristan Xerri has been viewed as the apprentice to Todd Goldstein; last year, he started as the leader but suffered an ankle injury early in the round one matchup. Despite the setback, he played just nine games, but we still saw glimpses of his scoring potential.
Tristan Xerri’s performance metrics from the past AFL seasons offer intriguing insights for fantasy football coaches, especially considering the departure of Todd Goldstein and what it means for Xerri’s role at North Melbourne.
In AFLFantasy, Xerri’s average stood at 66, with notable peak performance, scoring a season and career-high 110 points upon returning from injury. This performance and scores above 80 hint at his potential when fully fit and in form. Similarly, in SuperCoach, he achieved a slightly higher average of 72.8, highlighted by a triple-digit score of 102 and three additional scores reaching or surpassing 88.
A pivotal moment in assessing Xerri’s potential value came during rounds 17 & 18 when he assumed the primary ruck responsibilities in the absence of Todd Goldstein. In these games, Xerri’s performance significantly improved, averaging 92 in AFLFantasy and 88.5 in SuperCoach. This uptick in scoring, over 25 points per game higher than his season average, showcases the impact he can have as the lead ruck option despite the small sample size.
Looking back at 2022, even in a shared role with Goldstein, Xerri posted impressive scores, including five AFLFantasy scores over 79 and four SuperCoach scores over 80. Notably, one of these games saw him achieving a SuperCoach ton and an AFLFantasy score of 120, underlining his capacity for high-scoring performances. This game, where he amassed 20 possessions, 24 hitouts, five marks, and two tackles, exemplifies what Xerri can deliver with substantial time on the ground.
With Todd Goldstein’s move in free agency, Xerri stands as the unchallenged #1 ruck option for North Melbourne, opening a significant opportunity for fantasy coaches seeking value in their ruck selection.
Given his demonstrated scoring ability, especially in the absence of Goldstein, Xerri emerges as a compelling choice for those looking to capitalize on a player poised for a breakout season as the lead ruckman. This shift in role could translate into consistent, improved fantasy scoring, making Xerri a player to consider for those aiming to find value and potential upside in their fantasy football lineups.
Starting Tristan Xerri in your fantasy football side offers a strategic advantage by providing structural versatility across other lines of your team. His dual-position availability, particularly in formats where he can be slotted as both a ruckman and forward, allows fantasy coaches to craft a more flexible and adaptive team structure. This flexibility is crucial in navigating the long fantasy season, marked by injuries, form fluctuations, and bye rounds, as it allows coaches to optimize lineups without compromising overall team balance.
However, Xerri’s preseason preparation has been less than ideal due to a facial injury that required surgery. Despite this setback, the club has reassured him that he remains on track to participate in the preseason games, maintaining his running loads and overall fitness. This situation underscores Xerri’s somewhat unlucky streak with injuries, which, while not consistently linked to a specific type (such as recurrent soft tissue injuries), has interrupted his continuity and development in the past. This history of frequent injuries poses a consideration for fantasy coaches weighing up his potential for the upcoming season.
Despite these concerns, there’s a growing sentiment that Xerri may be on the cusp of a significant breakout similar to the trajectories observed in players like Max Gawn and Jarrod Witts. Both Gawn and Witts experienced periods of injury and inconsistency before hitting their stride and becoming dominant forces in the ruck. While acknowledging that drawing parallels between Xerri and these players involves a degree of selective data interpretation, it highlights a potential upside that is too tantalizing for fantasy coaches to ignore. Those considering starting Xerri look at these examples as a source of confidence, betting on his ability to overcome past challenges and emerge as a key fantasy asset.
The possibility of Xerri reaching his peak performance as a ruckman this season is an intriguing prospect. If he can channel the resilience and development arc of ruckmen who have transitioned from injury-plagued starts to fantasy football stalwarts, Xerri could represent a value pick with significant upside. For fantasy coaches willing to look beyond the immediate concerns and speculate on his breakout potential, starting with Xerri could be a calculated risk that pays off handsomely, provided he navigates the season with improved health and consistent game time.
Tristan Xerri’s performance in the 2023 season, particularly his win rate of 51% from 452 ruck contests, places him in a favourable light compared to other notable ruckmen in the AFL. His efficiency surpasses that of Tim English and Rowan Marshall, who both had a 40% win rate and even edged out AFL stalwarts like Max Gawn (49%) and Brodie Grundy (48%), though he falls short of Sean Darcy’s impressive 57%.
This statistic is particularly noteworthy considering Xerri’s limited game time compared to his peers, suggesting a strong potential for impact in games. With North Melbourne’s midfield composition evolving, Xerri’s ability to convert hit-outs to advantage could significantly bolster the team’s centre clearance and overall midfield performance.
However, it’s important to frame Xerri’s fantasy football relevance within the context of strategy rather than viewing him as a long-term keeper in fantasy squads. The initial fixture list presents a mixed bag of matchups for North Melbourne, which could influence Xerri’s early-season performance and, by extension, his fantasy scoring potential. His role as a strategic selection rather than a season-long hold becomes clear, offering fantasy coaches a pathway to upgrade to a premium ruck option as the season progresses.
Considering “parachute options” becomes critical in this strategy, especially considering Xerri’s past injury that necessitated such a move for many coaches last year. The key to successfully navigating mid-price selections like Xerri lies in having a plan for upgrading him should he still need to meet early expectations, considering the limited options at his price point.
Ownership percentages across various fantasy formats highlight Xerri’s popularity among fantasy coaches, indicating confidence in his potential to provide value. With a 16% ownership in AFLFantasy, 4.4% in SuperCoach, and 10.6% in DreamTeam, Xerri is a notable mid-price option, especially when discounting rookie selections.
For coaches contemplating mid-price strategies, Xerri’s compelling ruck contest win rate, potential for hitout-to-advantage improvement, and early fixture matchups make him a player worth serious consideration for inclusion in starting squads. The “safety in numbers” reflected in his ownership across fantasy formats suggests a collective belief in his value proposition, underscoring the strategic advantage he could offer in the early stages of the fantasy football season.
In drafts, Tristan Xerri presents an intriguing option for coaches who miss out on securing a top-tier ruckman like Tim English, Rowan Marshall, Max Gawn, or Brodie Grundy in the early rounds. Given his potential and the statistical insights from the previous season, Xerri positions himself as a viable pick for those looking to address their ruck position in the later stages of the draft.
Considering the variable depth of ruck options across fantasy leagues, Xerri could either emerge as one of the last on-field rucks selected or serve as a strong bench option for teams. His efficiency in ruck contests and the opportunity to step up as North Melbourne’s primary ruckman following Todd Goldstein’s departure enhance his appeal as a sleeper pick with upside.
For fantasy coaches in deeper leagues or those employing a strategy that deprioritizes early investment in rucks, Xerri’s late-round value could provide a competitive edge, offering solid performance potential without the high draft pick cost associated with the league’s elite ruckmen. His positioning in the draft will largely depend on individual league dynamics and the strategic approaches of fellow coaches. Still, for those willing to gamble on Xerri’s breakout potential, he represents a calculated risk with the promise of a significant return on investment.
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Zach Merrett’s blend of consistency and elite performance cements his status as a top fantasy football option, navigating the strategic depths of selecting a midfield maestro amid the early rounds’ quest for scoring diversity.
WHY IS HE RELEVANT?
Zach Merrett is a quintessential midfielder whose skills, style, and impact have made him a cornerstone of the Essendon Bombers. Known for his exceptional ball-winning ability, Merrett combines a high work rate with elite endurance, allowing him to influence the game across all four quarters. His precise and intelligent use of the football sets him apart, with his decision-making and passing accuracy under pressure being particularly noteworthy.
Merrett’s ability to read the play and anticipate the movement of the ball and his opponents enables him to position himself effectively, whether intercepting an opposition pass or being in the right place to receive a handball from a teammate. His tackling is tenacious, underscoring his commitment to the game’s offensive and defensive aspects. Merrett’s leadership on the field is also significant, often inspiring his team through his actions, decision-making, and consistent performance.
His first season as Essendon captain marked arguably the best year of his AFL career, showcasing his evolution as a player and leader. Despite recording a lower possession count than in previous years, Merrett’s game was significantly enhanced by a career-high average of 5.1 marks per game, reflecting his increased involvement in key moments and his strategic positioning. His prowess was further highlighted by his standing in the league’s rankings, where he finished inside the top 10 for several critical statistical categories.
Merrett was second in the league for uncontested possessions, underscoring his ability to find space and create play opportunities. His sixth-place ranking for effective disposals per game demonstrated his precision and reliability with the ball, contributing to Essendon’s offensive efforts. Additionally, finishing tenth in overall disposals per game amidst a lower possession count indicates his efficiency and impact with every touch of the football. These performances solidified Merrett’s status as one of the league’s premier midfielders and emphasized his crucial role in driving Essendon’s gameplay as captain.
In AFLFantasy, Merrett delivered an impressive average of 112.8, with his scoring consistency highlighted by 15 tons, including seven scores over 120, five over 140, and three surpassing the 150 mark, with no scores falling below 80 throughout the season. His performance positioned him 8th for overall points scored and 6th for averages among all players, underscoring his value as a premium midfield option.
In SuperCoach, Merrett achieved a career-high average of 116.3, showcasing his elite status with 15 tons, of which nine were over 120, eight exceeded 130, and two were colossal scores over 160, with only one game scoring below 88 (a 69) all season. These remarkable statistics earned him a 9th-place ranking for overall points scored and 6th-place for averages, solidifying his position as a top-tier fantasy asset.
Merrett’s fantasy football impacts are a testament to his scoring consistency, which is almost unparalleled in the league. For the past eight seasons, he has maintained an average in the triple figures, a rare feat that highlights his reliability and elite performance level year after year. Fantasy coaches who have had Merrett in their teams have benefited from his consistent high scoring, making him one of the most sought-after midfielders in fantasy football.
Selecting Zach Merrett in fantasy football might not be the most glamorous pick, but his ability to consistently deliver results is unparalleled. While he may not always present as a ‘value’ option, Merrett offers something equally crucial: reliable, consistent scoring.
Year after year, he navigates through the season to average over 100, often providing fantasy coaches with the opportunity to acquire him at a more favourable price, typically following a game where he’s been heavily tagged. The positive takeaway from last season is Merrett’s improved resilience against tags, showcasing his ability to adapt and still post respectable scores even under tight scrutiny.
The Essendon midfield dynamic is an evolving puzzle, with Merrett’s Centre Bounce Attendances (CBA) increasing from 68% to 74% last year. Integrating players like Will Setterfield, Darcy Parish, Jye Caldwell, and Dylan Shiel alongside rising stars such as Ben Hobbs and Elijah Tsatas raises questions about how the team will balance its midfield composition.
While there might be speculation about Merrett being deployed off a flank to accommodate this mix, how this will unfold in 2024 remains to be seen. Merrett’s scoring pattern involves cycles of high-scoring games, targeted tagging, and another series of significant scores.
Timing your decision to bring him into your fantasy team could capitalize on these cycles for maximum benefit. The early part of the season presents challenges, such as potential tags with Finn Maginness in round one. Still, Merrett’s schedule from Round 7 onwards—featuring matches against teams like the Eagles, Giants, Kangaroos, Tigers, Suns, and Blues before the bye week—suggests a prime opportunity for high scores. I’m targeting round seven as the prime spot to upgrade to Zach.
Given Merrett’s historical performance against certain teams, the post-bye period in Round 15 looks particularly promising. Except for Geelong in AFL Fantasy and Adelaide and Geelong in SuperCoach, Merrett boasts an average of over 100 against the remaining fixtures.
With most of Essendon’s games scheduled at high-scoring venues like the MCG or Marvel Stadium, the latter part of the season could be the optimal time to ensure Merrett is a part of your fantasy squad. This strategic approach to managing Merrett’s inclusion could create a thrilling and rewarding fantasy football experience.
Zach Merrett’s status is a top midfield option, and it’s well justified, given his consistent performance and scoring ability. His track record of averaging over 100 points in the past eight seasons places him among the elite midfielders in the game, making him a highly sought-after asset in fantasy leagues.
Considering the drafting strategy of many fantasy coaches, I anticipate Merrett being selected early in the second round. This prediction stems from the common approach of securing a high-scoring ruckman in the first round or a premium defender like Nick Daicos, who offers significant scoring potential from the backline. This strategy balances the team by locking in top performers across different positions early in the draft.
Merrett’s proven consistency and the potential for high scores make him an attractive option for coaches looking to solidify their midfield early on. While the desire to secure positional diversity in the initial rounds may see him picked slightly later than some other midfielders, his value as an M1 remains undisputed. Coaches who prioritize a strong midfield core and can draft Merrett in the early second round will likely find him a cornerstone of their team’s success throughout the season.
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