50 Most Relevant

#22 Most Relevant | Harley Reid
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Read Time:6 Minute, 49 Second

Exploring the fantasy football potential of Harley Reid, the West Coast Eagles’ number one draft pick, as coaches navigate the balance between his high expectations and rookie status.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Harley Reid, selected at #1 in the most recent AFL draft by the West Coast Eagles, brings a thrilling blend of attributes that promise to electrify the AFL landscape. Reid exemplifies the quintessential modern footballer with a game rooted in explosive power and speed. His ability to dominate the contested game sets him apart and establishes him as a dynamic force on the field. Reid’s versatility allows him to impact play across multiple positions, showcasing his adaptability and making him a critical asset in various game situations.

What makes Reid particularly special is his ‘X factor’—an innate ability to change the course of a game with individual acts of brilliance. Whether it’s a breathtaking run, a critical tackle, or a timely goal, Reid makes the spectacular seem effortless. His capacity to impact the scoreboard further underscores his offensive threat, ensuring that he’s a constant concern for opposition defences.

The anticipation of Reid’s entry into the AFL has been building for nearly two years, with his selection as the #1 draft pick being universally anticipated. This level of expectation speaks volumes about his talent and potential impact. The West Coast Eagles, in securing Reid, have not just added a highly talented youngster to their ranks but have invested in a player who could redefine their team dynamics and contribute significantly to their future successes. As Reid prepares to make his mark in the AFL, the excitement surrounding his debut season is palpable, with fans and analysts eager to see how this prodigious talent will translate his junior success to the professional stage.

Harley Reid’s final year in junior football was nothing short of spectacular, cementing his reputation as a standout talent and a force to be reckoned with in the future of AFL. Throughout the National Championships, Reid showcased his remarkable versatility and skill, seamlessly transitioning between the midfield and forward positions, a testament to his dynamic play style. His prowess in winning contested balls, whether at ground level or in aerial contests, highlighted his competitive edge and physical capabilities.

Reid’s exceptional decision-making skills, combined with his precision in ball distribution by both hand and foot, underscored his role as a key playmaker. Throughout the championships, he posted impressive averages of 19.5 disposals, 12.5 contested possessions, and 6.5 clearances. These outstanding performances earned him third place in the prestigious Larke Medal voting. They secured his position as the Most Valuable Player (MVP) for Victoria Country, affirming his status as an elite junior talent.

In fantasy football terms, Reid’s impact was equally phenomenal. As a midfield/forward option in the national championships for SuperCoach, he averaged a remarkable 135 points, demonstrating his scoring potential and fantasy relevance. Meanwhile, in AFLFantasy, he maintained a solid average of 80.5 points, further highlighting his consistency and ability to contribute significantly across different formats.

Reid’s exceptional final junior year showcased not just a player of immense talent but one with the potential to adapt and thrive at the highest level of AFL. His performances indicate a player ready to make an immediate impact professionally, equipped with the skills, athleticism, and football IQ necessary for a successful transition. As he steps into the AFL with the West Coast Eagles, Reid’s junior year achievements set the stage for an eagerly anticipated debut season, with expectations high for this prodigious talent to continue his upward trajectory.

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MY TAKE

The strategy of integrating high-end draft picks into the AFL through specific roles, notably seen with players like Harry Sheezel and Nick Daicos transitioning through half-back positions with stints in the midfield, appears to be a trend gaining traction, potentially signalling the emergence of a copycat league in terms of player development. West Coast Eagles’ approach with Harley Reid, the #1 draft pick, follows a similar pattern. The club’s decision to deploy Reid from half-back, with opportunities in the midfield, has been showcased in match simulations at training, suggesting a deliberate strategy to ease him into the AFL’s competitive environment.

This role allocation for Reid is particularly strategic, considering the scoring challenges within a lower-ladder team like the West Coast Eagles. Positioning him at half-back rather than primarily forward mitigates concerns about his scoring potential and cash generation in fantasy leagues. It’s anticipated that the Eagles will lean on Reid as a key playmaker, aiming to build his confidence and showcase his talents at the elite level, which aligns with the club’s interest in fast-tracking the development of their ‘franchise player.’

Reid’s deployment in this role could impact the fantasy relevance and scoring of other West Coast players like Brady Hough, Liam Duggan, or Alex Witherden, considered mid-price picks in fantasy football. Fantasy coaches eyeing these players might need to adjust their strategies accordingly.

Given Reid’s role and the club’s investment in his development, he could rank as high as F4-F5 in fantasy football forward structures, offering a pathway to strong scoring opportunities. However, coaches should temper expectations of him replicating the debut season scores of Sheezel and Daicos, as Reid’s style is more about making a significant impact per possession rather than accumulating disposals.

The excitement around Reid is palpable, with Coach Adam Simpson and new assistant coach Luke Shuey fueling expectations about his potential impact. Being the most-owned player, his ownership percentage across the competition underscores the fantasy community’s high anticipation and confidence in his abilities.

The only conceivable reason to fade Reid would be the belief in the emergence of a cheaper cash cow with comparable or better scoring and similar job security. Yet, finding such a player seems highly speculative. Suppose Reid is fit and named for round one. In that case, the consensus is clear: incorporate him into your starting squad and capitalize on the unique opportunity he presents in fantasy football this season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Given the unpredictability of their immediate impact in the AFL, the conventional wisdom has often been to fade rookies or select them as late flyers in single-season fantasy drafts. However, Harley Reid’s situation appears to be an exception to this rule, particularly due to the unique circumstances surrounding his entry into the league and the specific role the West Coast Eagles have carved out for him.

Given the scarcity of reliable forward options in fantasy football and Reid’s promising placement on the field, it’s plausible to anticipate that some coaches might be tempted to secure him earlier than typical rookies. His role as a potential key playmaker from half-back, combined with midfield stints, enhances his appeal, making him a more attractive prospect than the average first-year player.

I can envision scenarios where coaches, eager to capitalize on Reid’s potential, might select him as high as F3 in their fantasy leagues. Personally, I find this to be a bit too optimistic, given the inherent risks associated with banking on a rookie’s performance to anchor such a critical position in the fantasy lineup. The idea of drafting Reid as an F4 seems more palatable, striking a better balance between capitalizing on his upside and mitigating the risk of overreliance on a yet-unproven AFL talent.

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#23 Most Relevant | Taylor Adams
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Read Time:13 Minute, 2 Second

Dive into the fantasy prospects of Taylor Adams as he transitions to the Sydney Swans, examining his value and potential role in your fantasy football structures.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Taylor Adams is known in the AFL for his tenacious and hard-nosed style of play, making him a formidable presence in the midfield. His impact on the game comes from his exceptional ability to win contested possessions and his relentless tackling, showcasing his commitment and toughness in every match. Adams excels in clearances, demonstrating strength and skill in extracting the football from tight situations, which is crucial for setting up his team’s offensive plays.

Furthermore, his leadership qualities are invaluable on and off the field, often inspiring his teammates with his work ethic and determination. Adams also possesses a good sense of the game, can read plays effectively and makes decisive moves that can change the course of a game. His style and impact as a player make him a critical asset to his team and a challenge for opponents, highlighting his importance in the midfield battle.

Taylor Adams’ journey from being the vice-captain of Collingwood to his trade with the Sydney Swans underscores how quickly circumstances can change in the world of professional sports. Just six months ago, Adams was a key figure at Collingwood, a team on the cusp of AFL glory as they qualified for the preliminary final. However, fate took a turn when Adams suffered a hamstring injury, sidelining him for what would have been a pivotal moment in his career and causing him to miss the Magpies’ triumphant premiership win.

This setback sparked a significant shift in Adams’ career trajectory. With a strong desire to reclaim a prominent role in the midfield and seek a fresh start, Adams reached out to the Sydney Swans. This move effectively forced Collingwood’s hand, leading to his trade with the Swans.

His fantasy football performance last year paints a picture of inconsistency, with a notable difference from his historical scoring when placed in the midfield in contrast to the half-forward role he was forced into. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 76.5, scoring four tons, including one over 120, with 13 scores falling under 80. Similarly, in SuperCoach, his average was slightly higher at 78.2, with four matches hitting the ton, one scoring over 120, and 11 games scoring under 80. These statistics suggest a challenging season for Adams, marked by volatility in his scoring potential.

However, looking back a few seasons, Adams’ scoring pedigree, particularly when playing in the midfield, is undeniable. In 2021, he averaged 100.8 in AFLFantasy and 94.9 in SuperCoach, showcasing his ability to deliver solid fantasy scores. His performance was even more impressive in 2020, with an average of 109.5 in SuperCoach, the 15th-best average, and an adjusted average of 114.3 in AFLFantasy, where he was the 6th-highest scorer overall and notably played in every game.

These historical performances highlight Adams’ potential for high fantasy scoring, especially when positioned in the midfield. With his move to the Sydney Swans and a desire to return to a midfield role, Adams could recapture this form. Fantasy coaches considering Adams for their team will weigh his recent inconsistent year against his proven ability to deliver significant points when placed in his preferred midfield position. This contrast suggests that, with the right role at Sydney, Adams could offer substantial value and become a key player in fantasy teams once again.

Being priced in the mid-70s, Taylor Adams presents a tempting opportunity for fantasy coaches looking for potential high-reward forward options in their lineup. Given his proven track record and scoring pedigree in previous seasons, especially when playing in the midfield, Adams stands out as one of the rare forwards who could average 100+ in fantasy football. This potential is particularly compelling considering his desire to return to a midfield role with his move to the Sydney Swans. This could see him recapture the form that previously saw him achieving high averages.

In a typical fantasy football season, the upside presented by a player like Taylor Adams, with his proven potential and favourable pricing, is always a valuable consideration. However, this year, his relevance is magnified significantly due to the scarcity of genuine top-line premium forwards in the player pool. The rarity of forwards capable of averaging 100+ points makes Adams an even more critical asset for fantasy coaches looking to gain an edge.

The lack of established premium forwards in the game means that finding a player priced in the mid-70s with the potential to deliver significantly higher averages is akin to striking gold. Adams represents a unique opportunity with his midfield pedigree and the possibility of returning to a role that maximizes his scoring ability. In a year where the forward options are limited, securing a player with the potential to outscore his price point and rival the output of traditionally higher-priced forwards can be a game-changer.

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MY TAKE

In 2021, Taylor Adams had a high involvement in the midfield with a 77% CBA, which translated to a robust AFLFantasy average of 100 and an efficient 1.10 points per minute (PPM), despite a TOG of 76%—this season showcased Adams at his fantasy best, with significant midfield time directly correlating with high fantasy scoring efficiency and a substantial average.

The following season, there was a noticeable decrease in Adams’ CBA to 65%, coinciding with a drop in his PPM to 0.91 and a slightly lower TOG of 73%. This reduction in midfield involvement is linked to a decrease in his scoring efficiency, highlighting the impact of his role within the team on his fantasy output.

During last year, Adams experienced a significant reduction in CBA to 39%, which aligned with further decreases in his fantasy scoring efficiency to 0.80 PPM, although his TOG remained relatively stable at 76%. This sharp decline in CBA indicates a major shift in his role away from the centre bounces, significantly affecting his ability to score fantasy points.

Adams’ fantasy football output directly correlates with his involvement in centre bounces. Higher CBA percentages in 2021 led to his best fantasy performance, demonstrating the critical role of midfield involvement in enhancing fantasy scoring potential.

The data from 2022 and 2023 suggest that any reduction in Adams’ role in the midfield, as indicated by lower CBA percentages, results in decreased fantasy scoring efficiency and overall average. This trend underscores the importance of his midfield presence for optimal fantasy output.

Despite fluctuations in CBA and PPM, Adams’ TOG has remained relatively stable, indicating that while his on-field time didn’t significantly change, his role did, impacting his fantasy relevance.

Given these trends, fantasy coaches should closely monitor Adams’ role within his new team, particularly his CBA percentage, as this will be a key indicator of his potential fantasy performance. Increasing midfield involvement could signal a return to higher fantasy scoring efficiency and make him a valuable asset in fantasy football starting squads.

The Sydney Swans’ midfield mix in 2023, based on Centre Bounce Attendance (CBA) data, reveals a competitive and talent-rich environment. Luke Parker led with 75% CBA, indicating his role as a primary midfielder, followed by James Rowbottom and Chad Warner with 55% and 53%, respectively, showcasing their significant involvement. Callum Mills (37%), Errol Gulden (36%), and Tom Papley (35%) also had notable participation rates, highlighting the Swans’ strategy of rotating multiple players through the midfield to maintain dynamism and versatility.

Integrating Taylor Adams into this mix poses an interesting challenge and opportunity. His historical performance indicates a strong preference for being in the thick of the action, evidenced by his high CBA percentages at Collingwood. Adams’ inclusion could necessitate adjustments in the Swans’ midfield strategy, potentially altering the CBA distribution among the existing midfielders. His proven ability to impact games through contested possessions and clearances could see him taking on a significant role, possibly at the expense of CBAs from other midfielders.

The potential addition of James Jordon to the Swans’ lineup further complicates the midfield dynamics. If Jordon can crack the best 22, it adds another layer of complexity to the distribution of roles within the midfield, with more players vying for time in centre bounces.

The Sydney Swans have demonstrated that their midfielders possess considerable ‘fantasy chops.’ Players like Gulden, Mills, Warner, and Parker have all scored well in past seasons in fantasy football from the midfield. This depth and versatility mean that the Swans have a wealth of options, but it also raises questions about how these resources will be balanced with the arrival of Adams (and potentially Jordon).

Understanding how Adams fits into this equation will be crucial for fantasy coaches. His history suggests he could significantly influence fantasy scores if given a prominent midfield role. Observing the Swans’ preseason and early-round strategies will provide vital insights into how Adams and the rest of the midfield mix will be deployed, impacting fantasy football decisions.

For Taylor Adams to be considered a worthwhile starting selection in fantasy football, the analysis of his performance at Collingwood suggests that he needs a minimum of 50% Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs). Last year, in games where Adams had 40% or higher CBAs with Collingwood, he averaged 85.6 in AFLFantasy and 87.4 in SuperCoach. While this demonstrates potential upside, for Adams to replicate or exceed the points per minute he achieved during his peak years (2020-2022) at Collingwood, a CBA threshold of at least 50% appears necessary.

The Sydney Swans’ midfield mix and the potential for Luke Parker to spend more time forward has been a topic of speculation for years. However, given Parker’s strong performance levels and durability, which arguably surpass those of Adams, it seems unlikely that Parker will significantly reduce his midfield presence. Furthermore, the Swans’ forward line, featuring Will Hayward, Logan McDonald, Isaac Heeney, and Tom Papley, is robust without needing Parker to shift roles. This composition suggests that Adams’ pathway to securing the requisite CBA percentage might not hinge on displacing Parker but rather on finding his place within the existing dynamic.

Fortunately, speculation on Adams’ role within the Swans’ midfield will soon be clarified, as Sydney is scheduled to play in the season’s opening round. This match will offer valuable insights into the team’s midfield strategy and Adams’ part. If Adams secures less than 50% midfield time, it might be prudent to consider fading him from the starting selection due to the potential impact on his scoring. Conversely, if he is granted substantial midfield time, whether through preference or due to the unavailability of others, it could make starting him a more attractive proposition for fantasy coaches looking to capitalize on his scoring potential in a new team environment.

The unique structure of fantasy football formats incorporating scoring from the opening round in price movements certainly adds an enticing layer of upside for considering Taylor Adams as a starting selection. However, the round five bye introduces a strategic complication that fantasy coaches must navigate carefully, especially concerning early starting squad priorities.

With notable players like Brodie Grundy, Nick Daicos, Errol Gulden, and potentially James Jordan all slated to play in the opening rounds but also sharing the round five bye, fantasy coaches are faced with a dilemma. Including Taylor Adams in this mix further complicates the decision-making process. This situation necessitates a careful game of prioritization and structural balance within fantasy squads. The players you value higher and believe will offer the most significant returns early in the season will ultimately guide your decisions on how many others from this group you can afford to start with.

The key to navigating this challenge lies in understanding the potential impact of the round five bye on your squad’s overall performance and structuring your team to mitigate any negative effects. This might involve selecting a balanced mix of players with different bye rounds to ensure your team remains competitive throughout the early part of the season. Additionally, considering players’ roles, scoring potential, and the likelihood of price movements based on early performances will be crucial in making informed decisions.

The abundance of similarly priced options is the positive aspect of considering Taylor Adams for your fantasy football lineup. If you decide to start Adams and he doesn’t perform as expected, the fantasy format allows for a straightforward sideways trade to another player who is showing better form. Similarly, if you choose not to start with Adams, you can trade him in if he demonstrates strong performance, ensuring you can still capitalize on his scoring potential at the right time.

Ultimately, Adams’ role within the Sydney Swans’ lineup is a critical factor that needs close observation. The opening round’s performance will be pivotal in assessing his position and impact within the team’s midfield mix. This initial showcase will provide valuable insights into his usage, midfield time, and scoring capability in his new club environment. Therefore, fantasy coaches should closely monitor Adams’ performance in the opening round, as it will significantly inform the decision-making process regarding his inclusion in fantasy squads. Whether starting with Adams or considering a trade-in option, his early games for the Swans will be the ultimate decider in determining his value and role in your fantasy football strategy.

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DRAFT DECISION

Taylor Adams enters the draft with a unique positioning based on his 2023 performances—ranked 27th in SuperCoach and 17th in AFLFantasy. His potential as an F1 (first forward selected) in AFLFantasy is evident, reflecting the optimism surrounding his scoring capabilities, especially considering the lack of premium forward options. This upside makes him a compelling choice as an F1 in AFLFantasy formats, where his midfield pedigree and potential role with the Sydney Swans could translate into significant scoring.

In SuperCoach, however, Adams might more realistically fit the profile of an F2 (second forward selected) option. This caution stems from a combination of his previous year’s average and the strategic approach of SuperCoach players who may prioritize forwards with a more consistent scoring history or those positioned in roles with clearer scoring pathways. The variance in SuperCoach scoring, which often rewards contested possessions and impactful plays, might lead coaches to reach for other options before considering Adams as their first forward pick.

My stance is less optimistic than others regarding Adams’ immediate impact in his new role, meaning I’ll likely miss out on drafting him in most leagues. This cautious approach is based on the need for clear evidence of his role within the Swans and the impact of the team’s midfield dynamics on his scoring potential before committing a high draft pick to him.

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#24 Most Relevant | James Sicily
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Read Time:9 Minute, 33 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

James Sicily, the Hawthorn defender and captain, is renowned in the AFL for his distinctive style of play and robust strengths on the field. Sicily combines a rare blend of aggression, composure, and football intelligence as a defender, making him a formidable presence in the backline. He is particularly noted for his aerial prowess, often out-marking opponents and intercepting plays with remarkable efficiency.

Sicily’s ability to read the game is exemplary, enabling him to position himself effectively to disrupt the opposition’s forward attacks. Offensively, he contributes significantly through his precise and long-range kicking, often initiating counterattacks and transitioning the ball from defence to attack. His leadership qualities are also evident, guiding the Hawthorn defence with confidence and resilience.

Sicily’s approach to the game is characterized by intensity and passion, which, combined with his technical skills, make him a key player for Hawthorn and a challenge for any opposing team.

His standing in the AFL is underscored by his exceptional statistics, highlighting his critical role in Hawthorn’s defence. His capability to dominate the game, especially in the first half, is evident from his ranking as first in the league for marks. This reflects his aerial dominance and ability to control the play through his marking power, a key aspect of his defensive prowess.

Sicily also ranks second for intercepts, showcasing his exceptional ability to read the game and disrupt the opposition’s forward thrusts. His knack for being in the right position to cut off attacks stymies scoring opportunities for the opposition and sets up counterattacks for his team.

Furthermore, his fourth-place ranking for effective disposals highlights his skill in gaining possession and using it efficiently to benefit his team. This ability ensures that his disposals are impactful, helping to maintain possession and transition the ball effectively from defence to attack.

Lastly, ranking sixth for rebound 50s signifies his crucial role in moving the ball out of defence. Sicily’s ability to launch the ball from the defensive 50 into attack is a testament to his vision and kicking accuracy, making him a vital cog in Hawthorn’s game plan.

In AFLFantasy, Sicily’s average of 104.5 is a testament to his consistent high-scoring ability. He notched up 10 scores over 100, seven exceeding 120, including three scores over 130 and an impressive two scores above 160. Despite having five games where his scoring fell below 80, his overall performance secures him as the second-ranked defender by average.

In SuperCoach, Sicily’s prowess is even more pronounced. He boasts an average of 114, with a remarkable 12 tons. Of these, eight were over 120, seven exceeded 130, and he had three massive scores over 160, including a peak of 172. Though he dropped under 80 in just three games, he ranks second among defenders by average and seventh by total points.

Sicily’s scoring ceiling in fantasy football is almost unparalleled in the defensive line. The frequency of his 160+ scores places him in an elite category. For fantasy coaches, having Sicily as a Vice-Captain (VC) or Captain (C) in those high-scoring matches can be a game-changer, often securing a decisive advantage over opponents in league matchups. His ability to deliver such colossal scores makes him a reliable defender and a potential match-winner in fantasy terms. This rare scoring capacity adds a strategic dimension to selecting Sicily in your fantasy team, especially when considering captaincy choices for maximising points.

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MY TAKE

James Sicily’s potential to at least maintain his scoring in fantasy football can be analyzed through the lens of his remarkable marking ability, which is a key driver of his overall scoring.

Marks are a critical component of hus scoring, and Sicily’s dominance in this area is unparalleled. The Hawks ranked 4th overall for marks, with Sicily leading the league with an average of 9.95 marks per game. This figure is impressive in isolation and compared to other players – only five players averaged over 8 marks, and Sicily led by a significant margin of 1.3 more than Callum Wilkie, who was second. Moreover, his 2023 marks average of 9.95 marks per game wasn’t just a career-high for Sicily but also one of the top 20 all-time marks per game averages in AFL/VFL history.

To put this into context, the last time a player averaged over 9 marks per game was Sam Docherty in 2017, with 9.05 marks per game. Before that, the only other instances since 2014 were Nick Riewoldt in 2016 (10.57 marks per game) and 2015 (9.71 marks per game).

In 2023, Sicily had nine games with 10+ marks, four games with 15+ marks, and an exceptional game with 19 marks. This is significant, considering that only 19 times in AFL/VFL history has a player taken 20 marks or more in a game. The emphasis on marks is crucial because it opens up all other fantasy football scoring areas.

While James Sicily’s extraordinary marking ability provides a solid foundation for maintaining his high fantasy scoring, relying solely on historical data suggests that replicating such a high mark tally consistently might be challenging. For Sicily to be a starter in your fantasy team, it implies a belief that his remarkable mark tally will be sustained or that there are other avenues for him to maintain or enhance his scoring. One potential area for increased scoring could be his role in kick-ins.

In the previous season, Sicily took 41 kick-ins and remarkably played on 93% of the time. However, Blake Hardwick had a more significant share, with 82 kick-ins and a play-on percentage of 79%. Notably, during the preseason, the club has experimented with Hardwick in the forward line. While preseason trials can sometimes be poor indicators of regular season roles, this shift could potentially open up opportunities for Sicily to assume a more central role in kick-ins.

Increased involvement in kick-ins for Sicily could directly contribute to higher scoring in fantasy football. The role would offer more frequent possession and the chance to initiate play from the back, accruing additional points for disposals and effective play-making. Thus, if you’re considering starting Sicily in your team, it’s worth watching Hawthorn’s approach to kick-ins during the preseason and early rounds. A shift in this dynamic, with Sicily taking more kick-ins, could bolster his fantasy scoring potential and justify his inclusion as a starter in your team.

The statistics for James Sicily, particularly when considering his performances in different team contexts, reveal significant differences in his fantasy scoring in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. These differences highlight the impact of team composition and game outcomes on individual fantasy scores.

Impact of Playing with James Blanck:

  • In AFLFantasy, Sicily’s average score in the 11 games played with teammate James Blanck was 114.5, compared to an average of 90.8 in the 8 games without Blanck. This results in a notable difference of 23.8 points.
  • Similarly, in SuperCoach, Sicily’s average with Blanck was 123.9 versus 100.5 without him over the same number of games, showing a difference of 23.4 points.

These statistics indicate that when playing alongside Blanck, Sicily’s fantasy performance was significantly better. This could be attributed to various factors, such as team dynamics, defensive structures, or even the roles assigned to Sicily in Blanck’s presence.

The difference in Team Wins vs. Losses:

  • In AFLFantasy, Sicily’s average score in Hawthorn’s 7 wins was 123.0, while in the 12 losses, it dropped to 93.8, showing a difference of 29.3 points.
  • In SuperCoach, the difference is also evident, with Sicily averaging 124.9 in wins and 107.8 in losses, resulting in a difference of 17.1 points.

These stats reveal that Sicily scores higher in games where Hawthorn emerges victorious. This could be related to the nature of the games, Sicily’s role in successful strategies, or increased opportunities to impact the game in positive scenarios.

Sicily’s scoring in fantasy football is characterized by its volatility, presenting both a high ceiling and a noticeable basement, with as much as a 100-point difference between his best and worst performances. In the 2023 season, Sicily played 19 games, but his history of multiple suspensions early in his career and after playing all 22 games in 2022 raises concerns about his reliability. While his talent is undeniable, his tendency to miss matches is a factor that fantasy coaches need to consider.

Another strategic consideration is the likelihood of opposition coaches targeting Sicily with a tag to limit his impact. Such a tactic, aimed at curbing his intercepts and ball use, could significantly affect his scoring. Fantasy coaches need to be prepared for games where Sicily might score lower due to these restrictions, hoping he can still manage scores in the 70s rather than dropping to the 50s or 60s.

The key question for fantasy coaches is determining the optimal time to have Sicily in their team. Starting him from round one lets you capture his maximum scoring potential and benefit from his ceiling scores. However, this approach also carries the risk of encountering his basement scores. On the other hand, opting to upgrade to Sicily later in the season could mean acquiring him at a lower price following a dip in form. Yet, this strategy comes with the risk of missing out on his highest-scoring games, as he has the capability to deliver exceptionally high scores against almost any opposition.

In summary, owning Sicily at some point in the season seems like a wise decision, but the timing of when to bring him into your fantasy team requires careful consideration. Balancing the risks and rewards of his volatile scoring pattern is crucial in maximizing his benefits to your fantasy football lineup.

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DRAFT DECISION

James Sicily is solidly positioned in fantasy football drafts as a D1 defender. Given his high-scoring potential and the significant impact he can have on games, it’s expected that he will be taken off draft boards anywhere from the second to the third round.

Coaches drafting Sicily should do so with the understanding that, while he has the capacity to win matches with his high ceiling scores single-handedly, there’s also a notable risk associated with his volatile scoring. This volatility means that for every match he wins for your team, there’s a possibility he could cost you in others, especially if he encounters targeted opposition tactics or disciplinary issues.

Consequently, selecting Sicily requires a balanced approach, weighing his match-winning abilities against the potential for lower-scoring games.

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#25 Most Relevant | Jack Steele
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Read Time:8 Minute, 32 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jack Steele stands out as a formidable presence in the AFL, renowned for his hard-nosed, relentless style of play that makes him a pivotal figure for his team. As a midfielder, Steele combines a unique blend of grit, endurance, and skill, making him one of the most impactful players in the league.

His ability to win contested possessions is second to none, and he excels in clearances, demonstrating both strength and tactical understanding. Steele is not just a ball-winner; he’s also adept at turning possession into scoring opportunities by setting up teammates or scoring himself. Defensively, he’s a tenacious tackler, often disrupting the opposition’s play with aggressive pressure.

His leadership on the field is evident, often inspiring his team through his actions and work rate. Steele’s overall impact is substantial; he influences the game on multiple fronts, making him an invaluable asset to his team and a challenge for opponents.

As a fantasy coach with Jack Steele in your team, the 2023 season was undoubtedly a frustrating experience. Steele, known for his robust and consistent performances, was plagued with multiple injury issues throughout the year, significantly impacting his form. He suffered a collarbone break early in the season, and while it was nothing short of miraculous that he only missed three weeks of play, this injury set the tone for a challenging year. Additionally, Steele battled a persistent knee complaint, further hindering his ability to perform at his usual high standards. His difficulties didn’t end there; he required an ankle clean-out during the offseason, indicating the extent of his physical challenges.

Despite these setbacks, Steele played 20 games, a testament to his resilience and commitment. However, the impact of his injuries was evident in his performances. He rarely looked like his usual dominant self on the field, with the injuries seemingly restricting his ability to influence games as profoundly as he typically would. For fantasy coaches, this meant grappling with the reality of having a key player in their lineup who could not contribute as expected, adding a layer of complexity and challenge to their fantasy football management.

Though marred by injuries, Jack Steele’s fantasy football season still featured impressive statistics highlighting his potential and resilience. In AFLFantasy, he achieved an average of 97.8, hitting the century mark in 10 games, with four of those scores exceeding 120, including notable peaks of 146 and 133. In SuperCoach, his average was slightly lower at 94.7, with seven tons, four of which were over 120, highlighted by exceptional scores of 160 and 140.

A notable aspect of Steele’s season was his strong finish; in the last eight games, he averaged 104 in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. This late-season surge showcased his ability to overcome earlier challenges and return to form, offering a glimpse of his true potential.

Additionally, there were four weeks mid-season where Steele truly shone, reminiscent of his peak form. During rounds 17 to 20, he averaged an impressive 125.5 in AFLFantasy and 128 in SuperCoach, underlining his capacity to deliver high scores when fit and in form.

While the AFL Finals series games do not count towards regular fantasy football statistics, Steele’s performance in St Kilda’s loss to GWS in the finals is worth mentioning. He scored 114 in AFLFantasy and 130 in SuperCoach, further evidencing his ability to perform well in critical matches.

Sadly, these averages across the formats are miles behind what he’d been delivering over recent seasons. In 2022, he averaged 110 in AFLFantasy and ranked as a top-five averaging player across the format. The year prior, he went at 121.3 and a monster seasonal average of 126 in SuperCoach and was the #2 ranked player by average across all game formats.

If you’re using historical data as your guide for fantasy football strategy, Jack Steele presents a potentially high-value option. When contrasting his price point with his previous season’s data, there’s an indication that you could gain anywhere from 10 to 20 points of added value per game. This gap between his current pricing and his demonstrated scoring ability in past seasons suggests that Steele is undervalued relative to his potential output.

Moreover, Steele’s ability to post high scores, as evidenced by his performance in the latter part of the season and critical games, positions him as a viable Vice-Captain (VC) or Captain (C) choice in fantasy leagues. The VC/C role in fantasy football is crucial as it can significantly amplify a team’s total score, and having a player like Steele, capable of delivering high scores, can be a strategic advantage.

If Steele returns to his peak form, his current pricing could represent a significant bargain for fantasy coaches, offering value and the opportunity to capitalize on his scoring potential. His history of strong performances, especially in key games, adds to his appeal as a top-choice midfielder who can consistently contribute significant points and serve as a reliable VC/C option, potentially boosting overall team performance in fantasy leagues.

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MY TAKE

A key question to consider in evaluating Jack Steele’s fantasy football prospects is: Was his down year primarily due to him regaining confidence in his body following the shoulder injury, a shift in the team’s game style, or a combination of various factors? Understanding the root causes of his performance dip in 2023 is crucial.

If it was largely due to injury recovery, there’s a reasonable expectation that a fully fit Steele could return to his previous high-scoring form. However, if changes in the team’s game style played a significant role, it’s important to assess whether these changes will persist and how they might continue to impact his performance.

Your viewpoint significantly influences the decision to start him in your fantasy team. If Steele’s down year was an anomaly and he’s poised for a rebound, starting him could offer considerable value. Conversely, if systemic changes within the team or lingering effects of his injury might continue to hinder his performance, it may lead you to explore other options.

Ultimately, your interpretation of these factors will guide your strategy and help determine whether Steele fits your starting lineup for the upcoming fantasy football season.

The preseason is crucial for exploring all variables before finalizing your fantasy football team structure and player selection. Considering Jack Steele for your team is not just about assessing his capabilities but also understanding the midfield mix of St Kilda and their overall game style.

Steele has been a key figure in carrying the Saints’ midfield, but the dynamics within the team are evolving. Key questions include whether Steele still needs to dominate Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs) with the presence of Liam Henry on the wing alongside Brad Hill and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera potentially allowing Jack Sinclair to rotate between half-back, wing, and midfield.

Paddy Dow’s addition to the squad adds depth to the inside midfield, while Brad Crouch remains reliable. There’s also the emerging next-generation talent like Marcus WindhagerMitch Owens, and Mattaes Phillipou, along with the experienced duo of Seb Ross and Hunter Clark.

Despite the Saints being the leading disposal team last year, the increasing number of players vying for a share of the scoring pie makes Steele’s role crucial. If you believe Steele will maintain a high CBA rate and that his performance last year was limited by injury, then he could be a strong starter. Conversely, if you anticipate a more distributed midfield workload, there’s a rationale to fade him potentially.

In AFLFantasy, Steele is priced similarly to players like Touk Miller, Luke Davies-Uniacke, Josh Kelly, Zak Butters, and Sam Walsh, offering several options in this price range.

Structurally, Steele could be important, with St Kilda having a bye in Round 15 and playing through the early best 18 rounds. While he demonstrated the potential for high scores last year, relying on him as a captaincy option might be risky. However, considering him for a Vice-Captain (VC) role could be viable, especially if his games are scheduled early in the weekend.

In conclusion, seeing Steele return to being a 110+ midfielder wouldn’t be surprising. Yet, seeing him averaging around the low 100s is equally plausible. This uncertainty necessitates carefully evaluating his role within the evolving Saints midfield and how it aligns with your fantasy football strategy.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jack Steele’s Average Draft Position (ADP) in fantasy football drafts indicates that he is commonly selected as an M2, especially by coaches who are particularly keen on securing him for their teams. This ranking reflects Steele’s proven track record and the potential for high scoring that he brings to the midfield.

However, in the SuperCoach format, there’s a noticeable trend where Steele might easily drift into an M3 position, more so than many might initially anticipate. This shift can be attributed to various factors, including the evolving midfield dynamics at St Kilda, the presence of other attractive midfield options within a similar price range, and cautiousness among fantasy coaches due to Steele’s performance fluctuations last season.

His selection as an M3 could represent a strategic value pick for coaches, allowing them to balance their midfield with a mix of top-tier and high-potential players while potentially capitalizing on Steele’s upside if he returns to his peak form.

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#26 Most Relevant | Jack Sinclair
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Read Time:11 Minute, 28 Second

Dive into the multifaceted world of fantasy football where Jack Sinclair emerges as a key figure for fantasy coaches, offering a blend of top-tier defence and strategic advantage for the early part of the season. Uncover the intricacies of backline structuring and how Sinclair’s role, especially at Marvel Stadium post-bye, could be pivotal in balancing your team against other premium defenders like Nick Daicos.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jack Sinclair stands out as a pivotal figure in the St Kilda lineup, known for his versatility and exceptional skills on the field. His importance to the team is underscored by his ability to adapt to various roles, effectively playing as a midfielder, a wingman, or even in the half-back line. Sinclair’s greatest strengths include his precise ball-handling, intelligent game sense, and impressive foot skills, which enable him to execute effective disposals and create scoring opportunities.

His agility and pace also make him a constant threat in offensive and defensive situations. Sinclair’s consistency and flexibility make him an invaluable asset to St Kilda, allowing the team to be more dynamic and adaptable in their strategies. His role often involves linking play between the midfield and forward lines, demonstrating his critical role in the team’s overall performance and strategy.

Jack’s performance in the AFL is highlighted by some impressive statistics, which are crucial in understanding his impact on the field for St Kilda. He ranked 2nd per game for kicks, showcasing his primary role in ball distribution and his proficiency in moving the ball effectively. This statistic is significant as it reflects his involvement in the team’s offensive plays and his reliability in executing disposals.

He also ranked 3rd for effective disposals, indicating not just the quantity of his ball use but the quality. This efficiency in disposals means that Sinclair is frequently involved in the play and ensures that his contributions positively impact the team’s ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Sinclair’s 9th-place ranking for disposals per game further emphasizes his active involvement and ability to get the ball consistently. This high disposal rate is a testament to his ability to find space, read the game well, and be a go-to option for his teammates.

Lastly, being ranked 12th for metres gained is a significant indicator of his ability to drive the ball forward and make substantial ground for his team. This stat illustrates his role in advancing the team’s position on the field, setting up scoring chances and transitioning from defence to offence.

Jack Sinclair’s 2023 season in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach solidifies his top-tier fantasy football defender status. In AFLFantasy, he notched an impressive average of 102.2, with 14 scores over 100, including four above 120 and only two under 80. This stellar performance ranks him 3rd among defenders by average and first in total points. In SuperCoach, Sinclair’s average climbs to 106.6, consisting of 15 tons with six exceeding 120 and only four scores falling below 80, positioning him 3rd in total points and 5th in average among defenders.

This consistently high score is a testament to Sinclair’s significant role in St Kilda’s gameplay and his efficiency on the field. Notably, Sinclair’s scoring improved for the second consecutive year as the season progressed. In the 11 games leading up to the Saints’ bye, he averaged 96 in AFLFantasy and 100.2 in SuperCoach. However, his performance post-bye was even more remarkable. In the final 12 games of the season, Sinclair’s averages jumped to 107.9 in AFLFantasy and 112.5 in SuperCoach.

This upward trend in Sinclair’s scoring during the latter part of the season is crucial for fantasy coaches to consider. It reflects his ability to maintain and elevate his performance throughout the season and indicates his potential for even higher scores. His post-bye averages suggest that he is a player who can be relied upon to deliver consistent and high fantasy points, making him a valuable asset in any fantasy football team, especially in the crucial later stages of the season.

He had an even stronger AFLFantasy/DreamTeam season in 2022. He scored ten tons, including three scores above 120, 133, 140 & 146. On top of this, he had seven scores between 93 and 99 and dipped his coring under 80 just once. He ended the season with an average of 102.9 and was ranked second for all defenders in both total points and averages.

It was a near-perfect season in SuperCoach in 2022. His average of 113.7 had him the top defender for overall points and averages. He posted nineteen tons. That’s a triple-digit score from 86% of his games played. He went over 120 five times, including 133, 135, 140 & 150. He also dipped his score once under 80 (79) all season! If you include all player lines, he ranked seventh for total points and had the eighth-highest average.

Over multiple seasons, under various coaching regimes and strategic shifts, Jack Sinclair has consistently demonstrated that he is not just a reliable defender but a top-tier premium player in the defensive line. His ability to adapt and excel regardless of the changes in coaching or team strategy cements his status as a standout performer in the AFL.

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MY TAKE

Jack Sinclair’s 2023 season with St Kilda showcased his remarkable positional versatility, as he seamlessly transitioned between roles across half-back, wing, and centre bounce midfielder. This adaptability is highly valued in AFL, as it allows for greater tactical flexibility and the ability to respond to various game situations. However, such versatility can be a double-edged sword from a fantasy football perspective. While it demonstrates a player’s comprehensive skill set, the frequent changes in roles mid-game can lead to unpredictable scoring variance, which is less than ideal for fantasy managers seeking consistency in their lineup.

Despite the fluctuations in his role, an analysis of Sinclair’s performance reveals no immediate and consistent correlation between his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs), kick-ins, and significant fluctuations in his scoring. On one hand, this can be viewed positively, suggesting that Sinclair’s fantasy output remains robust regardless of the specific role he plays in a match. It implies a level of scoring resilience and the ability to adapt his game to maintain fantasy relevance across various positions.

On the other hand, this lack of correlation can also be interpreted negatively. The absence of a clear pattern between his positional shifts and scoring means that fantasy coaches cannot reliably predict how changes in his on-field role will impact his fantasy points. This unpredictability can make strategic planning more challenging, as managers might struggle to anticipate how Sinclair’s shifts in position from game to game will affect his overall fantasy performance.

The variability in Jack Sinclair’s roles and the impact on his fantasy scoring can be illustrated by analyzing specific games and their corresponding statistics.

In Round 15 against the Brisbane Lions, Sinclair was heavily involved in the centre of the action, participating in 68% of Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs) but had no role in kick-ins. Despite this, he scored over 130 across both major fantasy formats. This performance showcases his ability to score highly in a predominantly midfield role, emphasizing his effectiveness in contested situations and ball distribution.

Contrastingly, in Round 18 against Gold Coast, Sinclair’s involvement in CBAs dropped to 45%, and he took 2 kick-ins. Despite the reduced midfield presence and the added responsibility of kick-ins, he still managed to score a ton across the formats. This game highlights his adaptability and his capacity to contribute significantly to the team’s scoring, regardless of the slight shift in his on-field responsibilities.

Further illustrating this point, in Round 23 against Geelong, Sinclair had no CBAs and took 3 kick-ins. Despite a complete absence from centre bounce attendances and a different role focusing more on rebounding from defence, he again scored over 130 across the fantasy formats. This performance underscores his ability to excel in a defensive role, utilizing his kick-ins effectively and contributing to the play from the backline.

The nuances and potential changes in St Kilda’s playstyle, particularly in the midfield, could significantly impact Jack Sinclair’s role and fantasy football relevance. With the recruitment of Paddy Dow and the return of a fit Zak Jones, the dynamics of the Saints’ midfield are poised for a shift. Both Dow and Jones bring specific skills to the centre bounce, which could potentially see Sinclair being moved more consistently to a wing role.

Dow’s inclusion adds another dimension to the midfield mix, potentially allowing for more inside ball-winning capability, while Jones’s speed and versatility could see him taking up a more prominent role in the centre. These changes might lead to Sinclair being utilized more on the wing, where his ability to use the ball effectively and create play can be maximized. This shift, while leveraging Sinclair’s skills, might alter his involvement in direct centre bounce contests.

The Saints’ gameplay statistics from last year also play a crucial role in Sinclair’s fantasy prospects. St Kilda led the league in disposals and marks and was ranked number one for team points in AFL Fantasy. For Sinclair to maintain his premium status, it’s crucial for these team stat lines to hold. His high fantasy scoring is partly attributable to the team’s overall ball dominance and effective use of possessions, which facilitate scoring opportunities and high fantasy points for players like Sinclair.

Should St Kilda continue with a similar gameplay approach, maintaining high disposals and marks, it bodes well for Sinclair’s continued success in fantasy leagues, even if his role shifts more towards the wing. However, any significant changes in the team’s playstyle or strategy could impact these statistics and Sinclair’s scoring potential.


One significant factor that works in Jack Sinclair’s favour for fantasy football managers is his availability during the crucial early part of the season. Holding a Round 15 bye, Sinclair presents a distinct advantage as he is set to play continuously without any early absences in the first six weeks of the season. This aspect of his schedule is particularly beneficial for fantasy teams, as it ensures a consistent and reliable scoring option through the front half of the season.

During the early rounds, fantasy coaches often face challenges with player rotations and byes, disrupting team structure and scoring consistency. Sinclair’s uninterrupted presence during these rounds offers stability and a steady flow of points, making him a valuable asset in navigating through this period. His ability to consistently perform and contribute high scores becomes even more crucial during these weeks, where every point can significantly impact overall team performance.

When structuring your backline in fantasy football, it’s crucial to be cautious about becoming too heavily invested in players who share the same Round 15 bye. This is particularly pertinent when considering top-tier defenders like Nick Daicos, Jayden Short, Jack Sinclair, Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, and James Sicily, all of whom are off in the same week. Having multiple key defenders from this group can create a significant gap in your lineup during Round 15, potentially impacting your overall scoring and team balance.

Jack Sinclair’s scoring prowess, especially at Marvel Stadium, is a compelling reason to include him in your fantasy team. Historically, he has performed exceptionally well at this venue. While the Saints do have some promising games at Marvel Stadium early in the season, it’s post-bye when they play almost all of their matches there. This scheduling can be advantageous for Sinclair’s scoring potential, making him an even more attractive option as the season progresses.

Starting Jack Sinclair is a viable strategy and can be a smart play. However, the decision to include him often hinges on his own merits and the broader strategy regarding Nick Daicos, another top defender with an early bye and potential for early-season tags. Many fantasy coaches might lean towards starting Sinclair as a D1 alternative, particularly if they choose to fade Daicos due to his early bye and tagging concerns.

Therefore, starting Sinclair is intricately linked to your strategy around Daicos. Opting for Sinclair could be more about balancing your team’s structure in light of Daicos’ early bye and the associated risks. This decision-making process underscores the importance of considering the overall composition of your backline and the bye structure when selecting your starting defenders.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jack Sinclair firmly establishes himself as a D1 option in fantasy football drafts, sitting prominently in the mix for coaches seeking a top defender. While he may not be the very first defender taken, often a spot reserved for Nick Daicos, Sinclair’s consistent premium performance and adaptability under various coaching styles make him a highly sought-after choice right after the top pick. His proven track record and reliability on the field position him as a valuable asset for any fantasy team’s defensive lineup.

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#27 Most Relevant | Nasiah Waganeen-Milera
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Read Time:8 Minute, 6 Second

Step into the evolving world of St Kilda’s backline and discover how Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is navigating the shifting tides, poised for a breakthrough in his third AFL season. Unravel the complexities of Saints team dynamics and personal growth that could catapult this young star into the fantasy football spotlight.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, a promising talent in the AFL, made a notable impact in his 2023 season with his impressive skill set and commendable performances. Known for his silky skills, particularly his precision kicking and agility, Wanganeen-Milera has quickly become recognized for his ability to create play from the wing and his effectiveness in moving the ball into attack. His excellent foot skills, pace, and ability to read the game make him a dangerous player, especially in transition.

His ability to maintain possession and deliver the ball effectively resulted in a bump in disposals per game. Furthermore, his role often involves creating scoring opportunities for his St Kilda teammates. His endurance and speed also contribute to his defensive efforts, which would be evident in his tackling stats.

The AFLFantasy and SuperCoach statistics for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera from the 2023 season provide valuable insights into his fantasy football potential and his development as a player throughout the year.

In AFLFantasy, Wanganeen-Milera’s average of 91.3, which included ten scores over 100 and three exceeding 120, is impressive. This performance ranked him 13th among defenders by average and 8th for total points. In SuperCoach, his average was a solid 85.1, with six scores over 100. These numbers highlight his consistency and ability to contribute significantly to fantasy teams.

A closer look at his performance across the season reveals a marked improvement post-midseason break. Before the Saints’ bye, Wanganeen-Milera averaged 83.9 in AFLFantasy and 77.3 in SuperCoach over 11 games. However, after the bye, his averages increased to 95.5 in AFLFantasy and 92.2 in SuperCoach across the next 12 weeks. This upward trend in his scores is significant and indicates a player growing in confidence and skill and becoming more integral to his team’s gameplay.

The difference in averages before and after the bye – an increase of approximately 11.6 points in AFLFantasy and 14.9 points in SuperCoach – is noteworthy. It suggests that Wanganeen-Milera adapted to the demands of the AFL throughout the season and found ways to impact games more effectively. This data is crucial for fantasy coaches as it reflects his scoring potential and points to a player who is likely to continue improving. His post-bye performance, in particular, positions him as a valuable asset for fantasy teams, offering both scoring consistency and the potential for high scores.

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MY TAKE

Breaking into premium status in just the second season of AFL is a rare and notable achievement, achieved by only a select few players who have shown exceptional talent and adaptability. The likes of Jackson Macrae, Tim Taranto, Nat Fyfe, Clayton Oliver, and Marcus Bontempelli, amongst others, stand out as remarkable examples of players who have transcended expectations to deliver premium performances in their sophomore year. Their ability to elevate their game quickly in their AFL careers speaks volumes about their skill, work ethic, and football intelligence.

In 2023, Nick Daicos’ dominant performance in his second season somewhat overshadowed other emerging talents, including Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera. Had Daicos not been so exceptionally outstanding, the fantasy football community might have been even more appreciative and astonished by the strength of Wanganeen-Milera’s season. His significant improvement and impactful performances in his second year highlight his potential and set a high benchmark for his future in the AFL.

It’s a testament to his development and an indicator of his ability to join the ranks of those elite players who have made a substantial impact in their second AFL season. Wanganeen-Milera’s 2023 season, therefore, should not be understated, as it represents a remarkable stride in his AFL journey and a sign of the high-calibre player he is becoming.

His scoring trajectory and the Saints’ fixture schedule delineate the pathway for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera to emerge as a strong starting squad selection and a top-line defensive premium in fantasy football. His performance in the latter part of the 2023 season is particularly telling. Post-bye, he delivered averages of 98.1 in AFLFantasy and 92.2 in SuperCoach. Maintaining this performance level indicates potential value and the ability to consistently score high, a key attribute of a premium fantasy player.

Furthermore, Wanganeen-Milera’s availability during the critical early season-best 18 weeks, specifically between rounds 2-6 and the multi-bye rounds of 12, 13, and 14, adds to his appeal. His presence in these rounds ensures continuity and scoring opportunities for fantasy teams before the Saints’ first rest at round 15.

The conversation this preseason has largely centred around forwards, but the strategy for defenders should be noticed. Decisions here must be intentional, not just residual effects of choices in other lines. Considerations such as whether to start or fade Nick Daicos, who also has an early bye, are important.

Similarly, the ongoing relevance of top-line defenders like Tom Stewart, Jack Sinclair, and James Sicily needs to be assessed. Hayden Young, Zac Williams, Hayden Chapman, and various cash cows all factor into this narrative.

It’s here that you are considering selecting Nas in your starting squad. How many premium defenders are you happy to start with? Given our high potential value, It’s a popular narrative for coaches to run only two premiums in this line, making it harder to start with him. A glance at ownership percentages across the format would indicate coaches considering their defensive premium combinations are largely fading him and viewing him as a potential in-season upgrade.

Another factor bolstering Wanganeen-Milera’s case as an upgrade target is his impressive record at Marvel Stadium. Last year, his average at this venue was 95.1 in AFLFantasy and 88.3 in SuperCoach. This stat is significant, considering the Saints play almost all except one of their matches after the round 15 bye at Marvel Stadium. His proficiency at this ground suggests that his scoring potential could elevate further in these games, making him a valuable asset, especially in the latter part of the season.

The dynamic of the St Kilda side, particularly its midfield, has undergone significant changes, potentially affecting Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera’s scoring in fantasy football. The acquisition of Paddy Dow adds a new element to the Saints’ midfield composition. Dow’s presence could alter the midfield dynamics, potentially influencing the distribution of the ball and the roles of other midfielders. Additionally, Zak Jones’ return to health adds another layer of complexity. Jones’ playing style and role within the team could impact how the midfield operates, potentially affecting the opportunities and space available for Wanganeen-Milera.

Another factor to consider is the sporadic positioning of Jack Sinclair. Sinclair’s versatility and ability to play various roles could lead to shifts in Wanganeen-Milera’s responsibilities on the field. Depending on Sinclair’s positioning in any game, Wanganeen-Milera might find his usual role expanded or somewhat restricted, impacting his scoring potential.

On the flip side, Wanganeen-Milera’s capabilities present reasons for optimism. Ranking 7th in the AFL for kicks per game last year is a testament to his ability and effectiveness with the ball. As he enters his third season in the AFL, there’s a reasonable expectation for natural progression in his skills and composure. This development could see him improve further in his ball use, maintaining or even enhancing his scoring potential in fantasy football, regardless of the team dynamics. His improvement in this area could be crucial in offsetting any potential impacts of the changing midfield structure at St Kilda, ensuring that he remains a valuable fantasy football asset.

There’s a world where he dominates, there’s a world where he stagnates, and there is even a possibility he regresses in his scoring. I view him as an upgrade target for now but don’t discount his relevance before or during the 2024 season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera’s placement in fantasy football drafts varies significantly between AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. In AFLFantasy, his impressive performance, marked by a strong average and high-ranking point, positions him as a D1 pick. This reflects his consistent scoring ability and the potential for high outputs, making him a top choice for defenders in AFLFantasy drafts.

In contrast, in SuperCoach, Wanganeen-Milera is more appropriately seen as a D3 option. While he still offers solid scoring potential, as indicated by his averages and 100+ scores, he might not be the primary defensive pick compared to other available players. This ranking in SuperCoach acknowledges his value while also considering the depth of other defensive options in the format.

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#28 Most Relevant | Keidean Coleman
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Read Time:5 Minute, 12 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Keidean Coleman is a dynamic presence for the Brisbane Lions, particularly noted for his smooth and effective play-off half-back. His teammates prefer getting the ball into his hands, recognizing his ability to efficiently rebound out of the defensive 50 and initiate the team’s forward movements. Coleman’s skill set is highlighted by his penetrating kick, which, combined with his strong football IQ, allows him to take the game on confidently.

He possesses the unique ability to create scoring opportunities seemingly out of nowhere, utilizing his agility and game sense to turn defensive plays into offensive advantages. His role as a key playmaker in transitions from defence to attack makes him an invaluable asset to the Lions, often the catalyst for their most effective and unexpected forward thrusts.

Looking at his fantasy footy stats for 2023, you can get some small glimpses of what the community hopes turns into his new normal this year. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 69.3, which consisted of two tons, including a season-high 111 against Richmond. While in SuperCoach, he averaged 71.3 and scored three tons. At first glance, these scores don’t create great excitement; in isolation, they shouldn’t.

But it’s the splits of what he did over the season’s final few months that have caught the attention of the fantasy community. Over the final seven rounds of the home and away season, Kiddy averaged 89.2 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 90.1 in SuperCoach, an increase of almost 20 points compared to his current starting price.

Further to this, his AFL series was even stronger. He averaged 102 in AFL Fantasy and 106 in SuperCoach, including a 127 in the AFL Grand Final, his season and career-high score. If you contrast this three-game average to his starting price, it’s a potential upside of 32.7 points per game in AFLFantasy and 34.7 in SuperCoach.

Kiddy’s journey in the fantasy landscape has showcased a trajectory of promising scoring potential, evident in his performances throughout his career. In 2022, Coleman’s average in AFLFantasy was a commendable 77.7, highlighted by two scores over 100 and four additional scores in the solid range of 90-99. This performance underlines his ability to contribute consistently high scores, making him a valuable asset in fantasy leagues.

In the SuperCoach format, Coleman’s performance was even more notable. He averaged 84, achieving four tons over the season. This included an impressive streak of three consecutive weeks where he hit the hundred mark, a testament to his scoring consistency and potential. Additionally, Coleman scored six more times with totals of 85 and above, reinforcing his capability as a reliable scorer in the SuperCoach format.

If you’ve found yourself in the market for a defender with premium scoring potential in the breakout range, Kiddy must be a player of consideration in your starting squad.

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MY TAKE

Kiddy Coleman represents undeniable value in the fantasy football community, especially considering his performance in the final months of 2023 and during the finals series. His starting price, juxtaposed with his elevated scoring during this period, fuels excitement about his potential to reach premium levels.

The major challenge, however, lies in navigating his early bye-round in Round 2, which he shares with Carlton. This complicates decisions, particularly when considering other popular ‘value’ selections like Sam Walsh and Zac Williams from Carlton. Balancing these picks is crucial, as starting two or more of these players could increase the risk of relying on lower-scoring rookies during the critical best 18 weeks.

The key lies in prioritizing Coleman, Walsh, and Williams based on their importance to your team’s strategy, which will help determine if starting with Coleman is viable.

There’s always the possibility of trading into Coleman after the Round 2 bye. He could be an excellent choice for early trades, especially if you need to replace an underperforming mid-priced player in another line. This strategy allows you to capture value while managing risk effectively.

The conversation this preseason has largely centred around forwards, but the strategy for defenders should be noticed. Decisions here must be intentional, not just residual effects of choices in other lines. Considerations such as whether to start or fade Nick Daicos, who also has an early bye, are important.

Similarly, the ongoing relevance of top-line defenders like Tom Stewart, Jack Sinclair, and James Sicily needs to be assessed. Hayden Young, Zac Williams, Hayden Chapman, and various cash cows all factor into this narrative. Coleman’s potential inclusion in your team should align with these broader strategic considerations.

Coleman should be on your watchlist and considered for your team. If you need more confidence about managing trades around the early bye rounds, it might be prudent to look elsewhere but keep a close eye on Coleman. His performance could warrant early inclusion in your team, even if he’s not part of your initial starting lineup.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the context of preseason discussions for salary cap formats, Kiddy Coleman is being touted as a potential D3 pick. However, securing him as a D4 would be ideal, offering a balance between value and performance.

While there may be a bullish sentiment to select him as a D2 due to his upside, placing such high expectations on him could be a stretch. Playing it slightly safer with a D3 pick allows leveraging his potential without overcommitting too early in the draft.

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#29 Most Relevant | Jayden Short
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Read Time:4 Minute, 45 Second

Explore the strategic fantasy football potential of Jayden Short, Richmond Tigers’ key defender, as we analyze his evolving role in the team’s dynamics and the impact of new coaching strategies under Adam Yze.

Delve into how Short’s significant market share, potential growth areas, and favourable early bye-round position him as both a reliable starter and a valuable upgrade target in your fantasy lineup.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jayden Short is known for his dynamic style and impactful skills in the field. In 2023, Short remained a solid contributor to his team despite being restricted to 16 games due to a hamstring injury. Known for providing significant drive-off half-back, he has also shown versatility by spending much of 2022 in the midfield, demonstrating his adaptability and the breadth of his football abilities.

Short had a notable year in terms of fantasy statistics for 2023. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 92.5, with six scores over 100, including a season-high of 123, and only four scores under 80. This performance places him as the 11th-ranked defender by average for the current year. In SuperCoach, his average was an impressive 98.6, with eight tons, three of which were over 120, and only twice did his scoring dip below 80, ranking him 9th among defenders.

Highlighting Short’s resilience and scoring potential, it’s noteworthy to consider the impact of his injury. Specifically, in Round 16, he was subbed out before halftime due to a hamstring strain. Excluding this game, his seasonal averages would have been even higher – around 97 in AFLFantasy and 102 in SuperCoach. This adjustment underscores his scoring capacity even amidst adversity.

Short has been a model of consistency in the past three seasons, maintaining an average of 90+ across all formats and demonstrating prolonged periods of high scoring. Notably, before his injury-affected 2023 season, he had not missed a game for three consecutive seasons, showcasing his durability and reliability.

Jayden Short is a multifaceted option in a fantasy football community that values various attributes. He offers value for coaches looking for an efficient pick, consistency for those seeking stable scorers, a high-scoring ceiling for those aiming for big points, a dependable scoring floor, and a uniqueness that sets him apart from the pack. Short’s comprehensive skill set and proven track record make him a compelling choice in 2024, offering a blend of qualities that cater to a wide range of strategic needs and preferences.

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MY TAKE

Jayden Short’s role within the Richmond Tigers has seen experimentation over the past seasons. Still, with the arrival of Tim Taranto and Jacob Hopper, he has been repositioned back to his preferred halfback role. This shift is crucial, as Short has been integral to Richmond’s strategy, evidenced by his significant market share of the team’s fantasy points.

In AFLFantasy/DreamTeam, he accounted for 6.2% of the Tigers’ points last year, slightly down from 6.6% the previous year when he had more midfield responsibilities. This market share percentage is critical, indicating that Short remains one of Richmond’s primary ball users and a top contributor to their fantasy scoring, regardless of his specific role.

The arrival of new coach Adam Yze at Richmond has brought promises of ‘changing things up.’ However, according to those observing Richmond’s training sessions, these changes are unlikely to impact Short’s role significantly. He will continue in his effective halfback rebounding role, where he has already scored at a premium level.

Under Yze’s leadership, there’s potential for Short’s game to evolve further. One possible growth area is taking a more significant share of kick-ins; Short took 31 last year, less than teammates Dan Rioli and Nick Vlaustin.

Another potential growth area could stem from an overall evolved team game style. Under former coach Damien Hardwick, Richmond was among the lowest-scoring teams in total fantasy points. If Yze can enhance the team’s scoring, and assuming Short maintains his market share, there’s a path for him to not only push his average above 100 but potentially towards 110.

A key consideration is navigating the early bye rounds due to the AFL’s scheduling. Fortunately, the Tigers have their bye in round 6, which is relatively favourable compared to other early bye rounds. Starting premiums from teams with early byes is feasible but requires strategic team structuring.

Given Short’s history of scoring in the mid-high 90s and the early-season price dynamics, he is unlikely to significantly increase prices rapidly. This makes him a viable upgrade target post the round 6 bye for coaches who choose not to start with him.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jayden Short is a reliable D1 option across both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. His consistent high scoring and versatility on the field make him a top pick for any fantasy manager looking to solidify their defence with a dependable and impactful player.

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#30 Most Relevant | Jeremy Sharp
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Read Time:8 Minute, 12 Second

Embark on a journey to discover Jeremy Sharp’s hidden fantasy football potential as he gears up for a promising season with Fremantle. This article delves into Sharp’s unique skill set and the strategic advantages he brings, spotlighting why he could be the secret weapon in your fantasy lineup.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jeremy Sharp is a versatile outside midfielder known for his significant upside, characterized by his astute decision-making and penetrating kicking ability. Athletically proficient, he possesses both speed and endurance, enhancing his effectiveness on the field. His versatility is a key asset, enabling him to adeptly play in various positions, including on both wings and in half-forward and half-back roles, making him a valuable and adaptable player in any team setup.

He has spent the past four seasons with the Gold Coast Suns, playing 23 AFL-level games in his first three years. However, he faced challenges in making the team last year, which limited his opportunities to showcase his skills at the highest level. Despite this setback, Sharp’s potential remains an interesting aspect for fantasy coaches to consider, especially given his past performances and a move back home to his native Western Australia as he now lines up for the Fremantle Dockers.

Sharp’s best year from a fantasy perspective was in 2021. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 71, while in SuperCoach, his average was 65.4. However, these numbers don’t tell the full story. In that season, Sharp came on as a substitute late in the last quarter in one of the games. If we exclude this game, his averages increase significantly to 79 in AFLFantasy and 73 in SuperCoach, highlighting his potential when given adequate game time.

Sharp’s ability to deliver high-scoring fantasy performances was evident in several games. Notably:

  • In Round 15, he had 20 possessions and 8 marks, scoring 79 in AFLFantasy and 76 in SuperCoach.
  • His standout performance came in Round 18, where he amassed 30 possessions and 10 marks, leading to a career-high 123 in AFLFantasy and his only SuperCoach ton of 115.
  • In Round 19, he garnered 31 possessions, 9 marks, and a goal, resulting in 112 in AFLFantasy and 96 in SuperCoach.
  • Lastly, in Round 21, he recorded 19 possessions and 9 marks, scoring 88 in AFLFantasy and 71 in SuperCoach.

These performances demonstrate Sharp’s capacity for high-scoring games and his ability to impact matches significantly. For fantasy managers, these instances of high scoring are crucial in assessing Sharp’s potential value, especially if he secures a more consistent role in the Gold Coast Suns lineup. His ability to ‘pop’ in certain games, combined with the upward adjustment of his averages when excluding outlier performances, suggests that Sharp possesses an intriguing upside for fantasy football

Sharp had a significant year playing in the VFL, participating in 19 games. During this time, he averaged an impressive 21.3 disposals per game and played a crucial role in leading the Gold Coast Suns to their historic first premiership in the competition. Furthermore, Sharp’s performance was marked by multiple high-scoring games across all fantasy football formats, underlining his potential as a valuable player in fantasy leagues.

Sharp has moved to the Fremantle Dockers in a notable development this offseason. This transfer presents an exciting opportunity for him. If Sharp manages to break into Fremantle’s AFL lineup, he is poised to become not just a popular starting selection for fantasy teams looking for a cash cow, but also a player known for his capability of scoring well at this level.

His pedigree and track record in the AFL and VFL levels, combined with his potential role at Fremantle, make him a player to watch closely in the upcoming season.

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MY TAKE

Jeremy Sharp’s transition to Fremantle as a delisted free agent highlights an increasingly common and successful pathway for players seeking new opportunities in the AFL. Fremantle had been interested in Sharp for multiple years. Still, trade negotiations were complicated due to the higher priorities and the difficulty of trading a player who wasn’t getting regular AFL game time. Despite Gold Coast wanting to retain him, Jeremy had already decided to head to WA. Becoming a delisted free agent became the most straightforward solution for all parties involved.

The success of this pathway is evident in the AFL, with several players thriving at new clubs after being delisted. Notable examples include Mitch Hinge and Ben Keays at Adelaide and Liam Stocker at St Kilda. Their success underscores that a player becoming a delisted free agent often says more about the club they’ve left than the one they’re joining.

Sharp has quickly made a strong impression at Fremantle, particularly in pre-season training. He faces competition for the wing role from experienced wingman James Aish, outside midfielder Nathan O’Driscoll, and potentially Heath Chapman, who has been internally flagged as a wing option. However, Sharp has been leading the pack, excelling in the club’s running and time trials.

Under coach Justin Longmuir, the wing role at Fremantle has been conducive to high fantasy scoring. This was seen with Blake Acres before his move to Carlton and, more recently, with Liam Henry. Last year, Henry, playing in this role, averaged over 80 in both major fantasy formats and notched up multiple tons.

Should Sharp secure this coveted wing position at Fremantle, these precedents suggest he could enjoy similar fantasy success. His early dominance in pre-season training is a promising sign that he could be a valuable asset in fantasy football, offering scoring potential and a fresh start at his new club.

As the AFL pre-season continues, there’s growing optimism surrounding Jeremy Sharp’s prospects at Fremantle, with keen observers of the Dockers’ training sessions indicating that he may have already secured a wing spot. While it’s still early and best-22 decisions are yet to be finalized, the current sentiment is positive about Sharp’s inclusion in the starting lineup.

The Dockers’ fixture this season is particularly favourable for Sharp, both in terms of the opponents and the locations of the games. Notably, they face North Melbourne and West Coast in the opening six rounds, teams that were among the easiest to score against in 2023.

Additionally, match-ups against Adelaide, Western Bulldogs, St Kilda, and Richmond in the first three months present positive opportunities, especially for wing players. The venue lineup is also advantageous, with four home games at Optus Stadium in the first seven weeks and multiple games at Marvel Stadium, known for its roofed environment.

Why does this matter? Simply put, these factors align perfectly with Sharp’s style of play. Both at AFL and VFL levels, Sharp has demonstrated that high tallies of uncontested possessions and marks often translate to strong fantasy scores. The spacious wings at these stadiums, combined with the style of play of these particular opponents, create ideal conditions for outside players like Sharp to maximize their scoring potential.

The bonus is that the Dockers can play throughout the early bye-rounds. If Sharp hits a high score during these rounds, it could offset lower scores from other mid-priced or premium players or compensate for scores impacted by player injuries. This aspect makes Sharp an even more attractive fantasy option early in the season.

The rationale for choosing Jeremy Sharp in the 50 most relevant over other potential cash cows in this price range is clear. Unlike many other options in this range, Sharp has proven performances at the elite level, not just hypothetical potential.

His track record of strong scoring in the VFL and glimpses of high-level performance in the AFL gives him a distinct advantage over other players priced similarly. For fantasy managers seeking value and reliability, Sharp presents as a compelling choice, offering proven capability and a favourable context for fantasy success in the upcoming season.

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DRAFT DECISION

In drafting Jeremy Sharp, my perspective places him firmly in the category of a waiver wire pick or relevant in the later stages, depending on the depth of your league. Sharp’s potential value lies in his ability to be a handy option through the early multi-bye rounds when he’s expected to play weekly. This consistent game time during these crucial rounds could make him a strategic short-term asset for your fantasy team.

However, post-Round 6, the situation may shift. At this point, fantasy coaches should evaluate Sharp’s performance and role within the Dockers. If he has performed well and increased his value, there could be an opportunity to trade him for more promising prospects, leveraging his early-season performance for a more impactful player.

Alternatively, if Sharp hasn’t lived up to expectations or better options are available, delisting him and returning him to the player pool might be the most prudent course of action. This approach to drafting and managing Sharp acknowledges his potential value in the early part of the season while remaining adaptable to changing circumstances as the season progresses.

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#31 Most Relevant | Errol Gulden
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Read Time:9 Minute, 45 Second

Explore the multifaceted fantasy football potential of Sydney Swans’ midfielder Errol Gulden as we delve into the complexities of his role in a dynamic Sydney lineup and strategize around the team’s early bye week.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Errol Gulden, a notable 32nd pick from the 2020 AFL draft by the Sydney Swans, swiftly made his mark in the league. While his journey began with roots in the Swans Academy, it was his 2023 season that truly highlighted his exceptional talent.

In this standout year, Gulden achieved All-Australian honours, finished an impressive fourth in the Brownlow Medal – polling more times than any other player in Sydney Swans’ history – and won the esteemed Bob Skilton Medal, underscoring his significant contribution to the team and his remarkable development as a player.

His 2023 season statistics place him among the elite players in the AFL, a testament to his profound impact on the field. His ranking as first in the league for inside 50s per game is particularly noteworthy. This indicates his ability to drive the ball forward and his crucial role in creating scoring opportunities for his team. Such a statistic reflects a player consistently involved in offensive play and significantly influences the game’s outcome.

Moreover, Gulden’s ranking as second in the league for metres gained is a clear indicator of his dynamic playstyle and his ability to move the ball over large distances, whether by foot or through running. This demonstrates his physical capabilities and strategic understanding of the game, knowing when and how to advance the ball effectively.

His third-place ranking for kicks further cements his status as a key player in the Sydney Swans lineup. It highlights his play involvement and confidence in ball handling and delivery. Being a top-ranked player in kicks also shows his reliability and trustworthiness in possession, a crucial aspect of any influential player’s game.

Additionally, Gulden’s 18th place for uncontested possessions underscores his ability to find space on the field and be a viable option for his teammates. It reflects his game intelligence, movement off the ball, and tactical awareness to position himself advantageously.

In AFLFantasy, Gulden had a remarkable average of 112.5. His consistency was evident with 15 scores over 100, including an impressive nine above 120 and only two below 80 for the entire season. His progression as the season unfolded was notable; he started with an average of 89.1 in the first six games but skyrocketed to an average of 120.7 in the final 17 games. This upward trajectory in scoring indicates his growing influence in games. In terms of overall rankings, he was 5th for total points, scoring more than everyone except Jordan Dawson, Rowan Marshall, Marcus Bontempelli, and Tim English, and he ranked 7th on average.

In SuperCoach, Gulden maintained a similar level of excellence with an average of 111.3. He racked up 15 scores over 100, with eight exceeding 120 and just three scores under 80 throughout the season. Like in AFLFantasy, his scoring improved as the season progressed, averaging 90.6 in the first six games and increasing to 118.5 in the final 17 games. He finished the season ranked 8th for total points and 16th overall by average, being 11th among midfielders.

The question of whether there is still an upside to Gulden’s already elite scoring is a valid one. He is priced at 112 in AFLFantasy and 111 in SuperCoach. However, considering his exceptional performance in the latter part of the 2023 season, there is certainly potential for even higher scores. His pricing, compared to his extraordinary average in the final 17 games, suggests room for growth in his fantasy output, making him an even more valuable asset for fantasy managers looking for top-end scoring potential in their teams. Gulden’s consistency and the ability to improve further makes him a highly sought-after player in fantasy football for the upcoming season.

Errol’s ability to score effectively in various positions across the field is a significant aspect of his game, showing no direct correlation between his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBA) and fluctuations in his scoring. This versatility speaks volumes about his skill in becoming a dangerous player, whether operating from the wing, participating in centre bounces, playing midfield, or even being half-forward. He has demonstrated a capability to score well in all these roles, highlighting his adaptability and threat on the field.

Reflecting on his second season in the AFL, Gulden’s averages were impressive: 19.5 possessions, 4.5 marks, 3.3 tackles, and almost a goal per game. From an AFLFantasy/DreamTeam perspective, he averaged 83, making him the 13th-ranked forward overall. This included three centuries, with a career-best 155 against the GWS Giants, where he recorded 33 disposals, 12 marks, four tackles, and two goals. Additionally, he posted four scores in the 90-99 range and five more above 80. In SuperCoach for 2022, his average of 85 ranked him as the 20th best forward. Across his 22 games, he scored six tons, with three surpassing 120, including high scores of 131 and 130.

From the earliest stages of his AFL career, Gulden has consistently shown the ability to score with both frequency and a high ceiling. As he enters another season, it’s compelling to argue that we are only beginning to witness the emergence of what could be a phenomenal AFL career. For fantasy football teams, Gulden is not just a current asset but a potential long-term uber-premium player whose capabilities and versatility make him an invaluable addition to any fantasy lineup.

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MY TAKE

The composition of the Sydney Swans midfield for the upcoming season presents an intriguing puzzle for fantasy football managers, especially when considering the selection of Errol Gulden. The potential introduction of three new players – Brodie Grundy, Taylor Adams, and James Jordan – adds complexity to an already strong midfield. Each player brings a unique dynamic, which could significantly influence team strategies and individual roles.

Adams and Jordan, in particular, will be interesting to watch as they integrate into a midfield ensemble that includes stalwarts like Luke Parker, Chad Warner, and James Rowbottom. This integration will be crucial in determining the balance and function of the midfield unit. Furthermore, the return of Callum Mills from injury and the potential contributions from Angus Sheldrick, who showed promising glimpses last year, further cloud the picture of the Swans’ midfield composition.

Amidst this mix, the role of Gulden becomes a key point of speculation. Given the depth and talent in the Sydney midfield, it’s challenging to predict precisely how much time Gulden will spend inside the contests versus on the outside. While the current suspicion leans towards Gulden playing more of an outside role, the fluid nature of team dynamics means this could change as the season progresses.

For fantasy coaches, understanding Gulden’s role within this complex midfield structure is critical. It will impact his scoring potential and determine his value and when and where we target owning him. As the preseason unfolds and the season gets underway, close attention to the Sydney Swans’ midfield deployment and Gulden’s specific role will be essential in making informed decisions about his selection in fantasy teams. This uncertainty adds an element of risk and potential reward for those who can accurately anticipate Gulden’s role and capitalize on his unique skill set.

The early bye for the Sydney Swans in Round 5, coinciding with Collingwood, adds another layer of strategic consideration for fantasy managers considering Errol Gulden. Sydney’s participation in the opening round means they have one of their byes earlier in the season, a factor that must be weighed carefully in fantasy planning. While the best 18 rule during bye weeks allows for some flexibility in starting players who will be missing games, the decision to include Gulden needs careful deliberation, particularly in comparison with other available options.

This is further complicated by popular fantasy choices such as Nick Daicos, Taylor Adams, James Jordan, and Brodie Grundy, who will also miss the same bye week. Selecting multiple players from these teams increases the risk profile, potentially necessitating the fielding of more cash cows whose scores count in your best 18. This scenario could lead to lower overall scores for that round, impacting your season-long performance.

Consequently, fantasy coaches need to make tough decisions. One approach is to prioritize and rank players, opting to fade starting some of them to avoid a concentration of players missing in the same bye round. Alternatively, managers might plan for early trades to minimize the number of players who are unavailable during that crucial Round 5 bye. Both strategies aim to reduce the risk of having too many premium players missing simultaneously, which can harm maintaining a strong position in fantasy leagues.

While there is certainly a scenario where starting Errol Gulden in your fantasy team could be advantageous, it’s important to recognize the impact this decision can have on the composition of your starting squad and overall strategy. Gulden’s potential as a high scorer in the Sydney Swans midfield is clear, yet the early bye and the need to balance your team with players from different clubs and bye rounds complicate this choice.

My approach leans towards opting not to start with him but rather to keep a close eye on his performance and role in the team to trade him in later in the year. This strategy allows flexibility in managing the early bye-round challenges while capitalizing on Gulden’s potential as a high-scoring fantasy asset as the season progresses.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the context of AFLFantasy drafts, Errol Gulden is positioned as a definitive M1 option. His impressive scoring ability, marked by consistently high scores and the capacity to hit significant peaks, makes him a top-tier choice for any fantasy midfield.

His versatility and knack for scoring from various positions on the field, along with his proven track record, solidify his status as a primary midfield pick. Gulden’s consistently delivering high scores and his potential for further improvement positions him as a highly valuable asset in AFLFantasy, warranting early draft selection.

In SuperCoach, Gulden’s draft range is slightly more varied, falling between an M1 and M2. This variance largely depends on individual draft strategies and how managers prioritize securing players from lines other than midfield. While Gulden’s scoring prowess makes him an attractive early pick as an M1, some managers might opt to secure him as an M2, focusing their initial picks on strengthening other areas of their team.

His SuperCoach average and ability to post high scores make him a strong candidate for either position, with the final decision resting on how each manager balances their team composition and addresses their specific needs in the draft.

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