Tag: Karl Amon

Trade Review | Karl Amon

Career High SuperCoach Score: 152 Vs GWS Giants (2021)

Career High AFLFantasy Score: 148 Vs Hawthorn (2022)

Career High SuperCoach Average: 93.4 (2021)

Career High AFLFantasy Average: 98.6 (2021)

Impact on new club

We didn’t have to wait long for our first move of the AFL trade and free agency window, with Karl Amon moving on day one to the Hawthorn Football Club. Immediately, his arrival provides the Hawks with a healthy option across one of the wings. Last year, he averaged 24 disposals and five score involvements per game. His strengths are his running power and the ability to create space between the arcs.

The arrival of the 27 year old will likely not advance the Hawks immediate finals aspirations. Still, it does give them a strong wingman while the nucleus of Josh Ward, Jai Newcombe and Connor Macdonald develop as the core of the future midfield.

I don’t think it’s a bad addition, especially as his salary is the only ‘cost’ to the club. However, I wonder if the Hawks would’ve been better off investing the game time in a teenager that will be at the peak of his power in 4-5 seasons.

Impact on the old club

Over the past two seasons, Karl Amon has transitioned from helpful fringe wingmen into being clearly the Power’s best outside midfielder. His departure isn’t a disaster for the club as they have several candidates who can transition into this role.

At the 2021 draft, Josh Sinn was a player that Port invested heavily into land last year. His combination of elite speed and silky skills could make for a tasty inclusion onto the wings of Alberton. He’s yet to show much of his skills at the SANFL level, but as a junior, he has the skills worth allowing a crack at it.

Port Adelaide could also look to push Kane Farrell up from the half-back flank into the wings, while Miles Bergman, who’s already back into the best 22, looks to possess all the skills to be an elite wingman. With Xavier Duursma already holding down one wing, Port is blessed with several options that could take the spot opened up by Amon’s departure.

Of course, Port could head to the draft with pick #8 and could look to draft Oli Hollands, Cam Mackenzie or Jhye Clark all of whom could easily play across the wings.

Fantasy Summary

Over the past two seasons, Karl Amon has been a handy selection in draft formats with averages in the high 90s in AFLFantasy, and high 80s – low 90s in SuperCoach. Like any wingmen, they almost always score better in AFLFantasy. That’s due to the scoring weighting in SuperCoach being more favourable to contested and high efficiency. Neither of these does Amon excel.

At Port Adelaide, he showed his scoring ceiling with four scores over 120 in AFLFantasy, including a career high against his now club Hawthorn with a 148. However, pure wingmen do experience more scoring volatility than any other midfielder. That’s because they rely heavily upon the services of the inside midfielders. And as promising as the young Hawks midfield looks, it’s not yet to the level of the Power.

In salary cap formats, he’d need to push his scoring north of 10-15 points per game to return a value for money as a midfielder in our starting squads. Even if he stayed at Port Adelaide, I don’t see that happening, so it’s a pass from me.

It’d be in the drafting formats of the game that he’ll be regularly selected. I’d suspect he’s more likely to slide than hold his scoring, but I don’t see him falling drastically off the relevance radar.

Ultimate Footy | Draft Day Wins

You rarely will ‘win the draft’ in the opening handful of rounds. Rather, it’s the mid to late draft day selections that can really take your team from good to great. So here’s a look at some of the late draft day selections that have been winning selections for their owners.

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Ben Keays | AVG: 108.9 | ADP: 206

18 months ago, Ben Keays wasn’t even on an AFL list, let alone a genuine top tier performing fantasy midfielder. With the loss of Matt Crouch through injury and his brother Brad Crouch at the trade table, the Crows needed someone to stand up and support ‘the Rory’s.’

Keays has been a picture of consistency this year. With his scoring ranging between 91-156 across this season, he dropped beneath 100 in only six of his fifteen matches and nothing under 90. To put his season into contrast, he’s currently scored the same amount of points as Christian Petracca. CP5 had an ADP of 27; that’s almost 180 spots on draft day, the difference between the two.

Jack Ziebell | AVG: 106.6 | ADP: 121

Jack Ziebell is not in the unfamiliar territory of delivering premium scores for us. For a better part of a decade, he was a bankable 90’s centre and even had a season where he was a top tier forward. This year his move into the backline has seen him pop to become one of the best backs or forwards (his DPP allows both) of the season.

Across the season, he’s only dipped his scoring under 82 once, had four scores between 90-99 plus seven scores over 100, including a 139, 140 & 170. The question over Jack was never scoring potential (OK, nobody thought this big) but rather over durability. He’s seemingly put that doubt now to bed too.

We did write about Ziebell in our preseason 50 most relevant series here.

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Karl Amon | AVG: 94.7 | ADP: 199

When Port Adelaide get on top of their opponent, more often than not, Karl Amon is enjoying plenty of freedom and space outside the contest. As a result, the Power wingman has delivered a ton in nearly 50% of the games played this season. That might not sound like much, but to get a 90+ centre that’s capable of delivering multiple tons is huge at any point of the draft. Let alone at an ADP where you’re picking a bloke as a bench option at best.

Touk Miller | AVG: 120.2 | ADP: 81

It’s earlier than everyone else on the list. In fact, he’s the only player drafted inside the top 100 that finds a home. But Touk Miller deserves his spot on. While this is a draft selection on average in the 8th-9th round, he’s delivering at an M1 level, not the likely M3 or M4 that he was selected.

Miller is currently the highest ranked player in the game by averages and ranked 8th by total points. He’s scored 11 tons from his 14 games and has only one score under 88 for the season. Well done if you drafted Touk in 2021.

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Aaron Hall | AVG: 103.5 | ADP: 167

Much like his teammate above, Aaron Hall is no stranger to delivering top tier seasons. In 2016 & 2017, at his former club Gold Coast, he delivered seasonal averages of 105 & 98. But it’s been a long time since he’d scored like that. The 89% of coaches that drafted him were all hopeful of a scoring boost, but with him missing round one and a subbed in a score of 11 in round 1, things didn’t look good.

Since that point, Aaron has been superb, scoring eight tons, with all except one being over 120. Bravo if you drafted him, even better if you snagged him from the player pool. Pickups like that make your UltimateFooty season.

Paul Seedsman | AVG: 94.6 | ADP: 262

The last time Paul Seedsman was draft relevant was several seasons ago when he was eligible as a back. There he delivered his regular mid to high 70’s season. Before 2021, ‘The Seed’ had never averaged over 80. Enter this season; he’s become an unstoppable running force for the Crows. He’s ranked 5th in the AFL for inside ’50s ahead of big name players like Dayne Zorko, Clayton Oliver, Jackson Macrae and Dustin Martin.

With his 70 tons for the season and 5 additional 80+ scores, he’s been a huge win for the 52% of coaches who drafted him. He’s gone from being a bench option to a genuine M5, if not higher.

David Mundy | AVG: 94.3 | ADP: 222

David Mundy isn’t the only player on this list to use the keys to the time machine. You’ve got to go back to 2015 for the last time, averaged over 90. His five tons have certainly elevated his average to respectable levels, but given that he was potentially someones last pick on draft day, it’s a huge bonus!

Mundy is yet to hit his early season scoring form, but given the fact he hasn’t dipped below 72 all season, he’s certainly overachieved for the 73% of coaches who drafted him.

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Sean Darcy | AVG: 94.7 | ADP: 223

If you play in a keeper league, then you’ll be familiar with Sean Darcy. He’s long showed promise of his scoring. However, before this season, he couldn’t seemingly sting more than a handful of games together. Thankfully for 63% of coaches that drafted him, he’s been exceptional this season.

He’s scored six tons plus an additional five scores between 80-99. He’s ranked third amongst the rucks but points and averages. Not a bad return for his owners that likely selected him with either the final on field spot or as a bench option for someone they picked earlier.

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Isaac Cumming | AVG: 87.4 | ADP: 241

Have you ever jumped on a player 12 months too early? I know I have and did with Isaac Cumming. He’s taken the opportunity to cement himself inside the Giants with the departure of Zac Williams. Just a mere 42% of coaches picked him on draft day, but he’s delivered massive dividends to owners.

Of his 15 games, he’s only dipped his scoring beneath 70 in just three matches, had six scores between 80-99 and pumped out four tons. Bravo if you picked up Isaac this year either in the draft or off the player pool. He’s been immense this season.

Bailey Dale | AVG: 82.9 | ADP: 249

Where the heck did this come from? Yet again, ‘Bevo’ strikes again with redeploying the bits and pieces forward into a prime ball move across halfback. Bailey Dale is currently ranked 16th for total points among all backs. While he hasn’t had the frequency of big tons as others on this list, he’s become a perfect reliable option for his owners. From his 15 games, he’s had just 3 scores under 77. Not bad for a bloke drafted in only 8% of leagues.

Nick Hind | AVG: 85.1 | ADP: 209

Following on the ‘where the heck’ is Essendon recruit Nick Hind. His addition to the side has made everyone forget that Adam Saad was among the top 3 best players (according to their B&F) last season. Hind has been electric this year also for coaches who drafted him. Over the opening 10 rounds of the season, he scored three tons, three additional scores over 90 and didn’t drop his scoring below 70. In fact, he’s dipped below that marker just once across the entire season.

While his scoring may have slowed over the last five weeks with zero scores over 80, the benefits have far outway and decline in recent scoring. Well played to the 51% of coaches who drafted him.

Taylor Walker | AVG: 79.9 | ADP: 210

We’ve had some surprises on this list so far, but I don’t think anyone believed Taylor Walker could wind back the clock and deliver his strong 2021 season. Instead, his season opened up with 105, 120, 136 & 99 leaving him as the #2 forward behind Josh Dunkley at the time. Not a bad return for the 5% of coaches that picked him on draft day.

Over the previous 3 months, we’ve had some patchy low scores, a bunch of ’80s and ’90s, plus last weeks game where he was subbed out of the game. Regardless, it’s been a massive success for his owners if you look at his season as a totality.

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Tom McDonald | AVG: 77.9 | ADP: 273

The latest pick of all players picked on my list with an average draft selection of 273. In fact, on the draft day, only 43% of leagues drafted him. Yet now, by averages, he’s ranked 25th for the season. Of course, like all key forwards, his scoring fluctuates, but with 9 scores over 80, he’s been a more than help addition for his coaches.

Jarman Impey | AVG: 85.7| ADP: 240

A season ending injury a few weeks back has certainly soured the celebrations. But those who picked up Jarman Impey were given a flying start to the 2021 season. As a reference point, before this year, he’d never averaged over 72.

However, from his 13 matches, he delivered four tons, three more scores between 94-98, plus an additional three scores of 74+. Throw in the fact he’s been forward eligible, and just 35% of coaches drafted him. It’s a steal in a line that’s lacked genuine, reliable performances.

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Darcy Parish | AVG: 113 | ADP: 145

Four scores over 80, including a 117, is hardly a poor start to the season for someone you likely drafted in the vicinity of round 14. However, injuries create opportunities, and when Dylan Shiel went down, the Bombers were forced to permanently release Darcy Parish into the midfield. Since round six, he’s scored 9 tons from 10 games, including four over 140.

This sort of performance is the kind you dream about getting from a mid-range draft pick. For those lucky coaches who struck across this scoring goldmine, they’re laughing to the bank with his performances every single week.

Chris Mayne | AVG: 94.1 | ADP: 210

This is clearly Chris Mayne’s best season in UltimateFooty. Before this season, his best year was back in 2013, where at Fremantle, he averaged 86. Unfortunately, not many have improved their scoring at Collingwood this season, with Steele Sidebottom, Jordan DeGoey, Scott Pendlebury and Braydan Maynard all regressing. But, promisingly for his owners, Mayne has! Since round 8, Chris has scored five tons and has the lowest score of 97.

Ranked 13th for average amongst all backs, those held onto him after an indifferent start has reaped massive rewards over the last few months.

AAMI Community Series Review | Power Vs Crows

It was a one sided affair in the mini showdown. The Power controlled the tempo of the game and, as a result, dominated the possession and the scoreboard. Here’s my review of the AAMI Community series match between the Power and the Crows.

Rory Laird

Confirmed his midfield role. If you like him then lock him in. Will be a top 3 defender.

Rory Sloane

Sloane looked okay, but a veteran like him and a player of his ability doesn’t break a sweat in preseason games anyway. Personally, I think age is catching up to him, and his midfield rotation may become volatile as the season goes on if he’s on your side though he only needs to have a good first 6 weeks.

Jordan Butts

Took 5 marks as a key position defender. Won’t be a large scorer but the ball will be in his area plenty. With thin defensive stocks Butts has put his hand up as an option.

James Rowe

Got involved in the play and pushed high up the ground to find the footy. Lock for R1 and great job security. Scoring a question mark.

Reilly O’Brien

Took things easy. If Crows get belted every week, he’ll be attending plenty of centre bounces as the Crows #1 ruckman.

Lachie Sholl

Quiet first half but scored 60 of his fantasy points after half time. Nicks will look to use a young crow as he pumps experience into a young Adelaide group. Awkward price, though, and Adelaide will not be a fantasy friendly enough team to warrant it.

Andy McPherson

Quality player and found plenty of the footy in adelaides defensive 50. Another that’s awkwardly priced as I believe he’s more of a stopper than accumulator.

Brodie Smith

Took the kick-ins and the Crows continually looked to use him and his booming leg to gain metres forward.

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Ollie Wines

A very good, contested game that doesn’t always necessarily translate to fantasy scoring. This game did but I’m not sure wines has the consistent ceiling or upside to consider as a starting option

Allir Aliir

Took intercept marks at Will and given how thin defensive stocks are could actually be an option at his price. Hard to do it though with how poor Crows I50s were and not playing Adelaide every week. Port picking both Jonas and Clurey does point to Aliir being there intercept marking defender but scoring will be volatile and role could rotate based on opponent.

Karl Amon

Will go to the next level in 2021. Attended more centre bounces than previous years which has been the messaging out of port Adelaide throughout the preseason as well. Really interesting pick that has a lot of upside – but it’s unnecessarily risky with other safer options priced similarly or less.

Zak Butters

Will see a large uptick in centre bounces and being high up the ground. Fills every stat line and his inclusion into the port midfield could see him breakout in 2021. He’s a high impact per possession player, and his best footy performances may not always translate in fantasy though. He’s a great pod to consider starting this year.

Miles Bergman

Plenty of uncontested marks were up for grabs today, and Bergman was a beneficiary of that. Looked at home across half back and extremely composed with the footy. Likely to play R1 on that performance.

Orazio Fantasia

He had extremely high PPM as he scored 73 in the first half before being rested in the second. Handy DPP of F/D and a low salary cap price make him an intriguing option to start this year. Scoring will be volatile, but he does have a little bit of fantasy game about him.

Lachie Jones

Ready to play but won’t be a large accumulator. He won’t score enough to warrant his price but he will be an excellent player one day

Connor Rozee

Port have confirmed he will be having footy surgery. No longer an option

Dan Houston

Another ACS hype player. Took advantage of playing a bottom 4, young side, in a preseason game. If you were already keen on him, it’s a great confirmation of your own thoughts; however, if he wasn’t on your radar before, he shouldn’t be now.