Tag: Kiedean Coleman

#28 Most Relevant | Keidean Coleman

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Keidean Coleman is a dynamic presence for the Brisbane Lions, particularly noted for his smooth and effective play-off half-back. His teammates prefer getting the ball into his hands, recognizing his ability to efficiently rebound out of the defensive 50 and initiate the team’s forward movements. Coleman’s skill set is highlighted by his penetrating kick, which, combined with his strong football IQ, allows him to take the game on confidently.

He possesses the unique ability to create scoring opportunities seemingly out of nowhere, utilizing his agility and game sense to turn defensive plays into offensive advantages. His role as a key playmaker in transitions from defence to attack makes him an invaluable asset to the Lions, often the catalyst for their most effective and unexpected forward thrusts.

Looking at his fantasy footy stats for 2023, you can get some small glimpses of what the community hopes turns into his new normal this year. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 69.3, which consisted of two tons, including a season-high 111 against Richmond. While in SuperCoach, he averaged 71.3 and scored three tons. At first glance, these scores don’t create great excitement; in isolation, they shouldn’t.

But it’s the splits of what he did over the season’s final few months that have caught the attention of the fantasy community. Over the final seven rounds of the home and away season, Kiddy averaged 89.2 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 90.1 in SuperCoach, an increase of almost 20 points compared to his current starting price.

Further to this, his AFL series was even stronger. He averaged 102 in AFL Fantasy and 106 in SuperCoach, including a 127 in the AFL Grand Final, his season and career-high score. If you contrast this three-game average to his starting price, it’s a potential upside of 32.7 points per game in AFLFantasy and 34.7 in SuperCoach.

Kiddy’s journey in the fantasy landscape has showcased a trajectory of promising scoring potential, evident in his performances throughout his career. In 2022, Coleman’s average in AFLFantasy was a commendable 77.7, highlighted by two scores over 100 and four additional scores in the solid range of 90-99. This performance underlines his ability to contribute consistently high scores, making him a valuable asset in fantasy leagues.

In the SuperCoach format, Coleman’s performance was even more notable. He averaged 84, achieving four tons over the season. This included an impressive streak of three consecutive weeks where he hit the hundred mark, a testament to his scoring consistency and potential. Additionally, Coleman scored six more times with totals of 85 and above, reinforcing his capability as a reliable scorer in the SuperCoach format.

If you’ve found yourself in the market for a defender with premium scoring potential in the breakout range, Kiddy must be a player of consideration in your starting squad.

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MY TAKE

Kiddy Coleman represents undeniable value in the fantasy football community, especially considering his performance in the final months of 2023 and during the finals series. His starting price, juxtaposed with his elevated scoring during this period, fuels excitement about his potential to reach premium levels.

The major challenge, however, lies in navigating his early bye-round in Round 2, which he shares with Carlton. This complicates decisions, particularly when considering other popular ‘value’ selections like Sam Walsh and Zac Williams from Carlton. Balancing these picks is crucial, as starting two or more of these players could increase the risk of relying on lower-scoring rookies during the critical best 18 weeks.

The key lies in prioritizing Coleman, Walsh, and Williams based on their importance to your team’s strategy, which will help determine if starting with Coleman is viable.

There’s always the possibility of trading into Coleman after the Round 2 bye. He could be an excellent choice for early trades, especially if you need to replace an underperforming mid-priced player in another line. This strategy allows you to capture value while managing risk effectively.

The conversation this preseason has largely centred around forwards, but the strategy for defenders should be noticed. Decisions here must be intentional, not just residual effects of choices in other lines. Considerations such as whether to start or fade Nick Daicos, who also has an early bye, are important.

Similarly, the ongoing relevance of top-line defenders like Tom Stewart, Jack Sinclair, and James Sicily needs to be assessed. Hayden Young, Zac Williams, Hayden Chapman, and various cash cows all factor into this narrative. Coleman’s potential inclusion in your team should align with these broader strategic considerations.

Coleman should be on your watchlist and considered for your team. If you need more confidence about managing trades around the early bye rounds, it might be prudent to look elsewhere but keep a close eye on Coleman. His performance could warrant early inclusion in your team, even if he’s not part of your initial starting lineup.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the context of preseason discussions for salary cap formats, Kiddy Coleman is being touted as a potential D3 pick. However, securing him as a D4 would be ideal, offering a balance between value and performance.

While there may be a bullish sentiment to select him as a D2 due to his upside, placing such high expectations on him could be a stretch. Playing it slightly safer with a D3 pick allows leveraging his potential without overcommitting too early in the draft.

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2023 Fantasy Footy Review | Brisbane Lions

With the 2023 SuperCoach, AFLFantasy & DreamTeam season officially over, it’s time to review the year in full, one club at a time. Next up for our 2023 Fantasy Footy reviews is the Brisbane Lions.

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MVP

Armed with the 20th-best average in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 10th in SuperCoach, it’s almost baffling to believe that in some quarters of the community, they view Josh Dunkley’s debut year as a Lion disappointing. That is more due to the high expectation of him entering the season. I created some potentially over-the-top hype, dubbing him the #1 most relevant player in my annual top 50.

From his 21 games, he scored 12 AFLFantasy/DreamTeam tons, including 137, 145 and 172. Nine of these 12 tons were scored between rounds 3-16. For SuperCoach, he scored 17 tons, And between rounds 1-20, he had just one score under triple figures.

Given his high ownership percentage and reliable scoring pre-injury, it’s hard not to award this to any other Lions player. Because if you owned Josh only a little or all of that run, chances are your season never really got going.

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Money Man

It could only be Will Ashcroft. There was so much anticipation around him heading into the 2023 season. In part due to the contrast of many draft watchers seeing he was ‘as good, if not better than Nick Daicos.’ Given Nick’s stunning start to his fantasy footy career, the hopes were sky high that Will, too, could develop into a season-long hold. Before his season-ending ACL injury, he was certainly trending that way.

His season in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam netted him an average of 82.8, which consisted of nine scores over 80, three of those over 90, four tons and a career-high 127 against Q Clash rivals Gold Coast. From his eighteen games in SuperCoach, he averaged 84.5. It featured nine scores above 80 and six tons, including scores of 111, 148 & 102 in the three games before injury. You can build a compelling narrative that he improved as the season continued.

From a cash generation perspective, Entering his injury game of round 19, he was at his price peak in AFLFantasy, a massive $430,000 above his starting price. For DreamTeam, it was back in round 11 when he was valued at $744,300, an increase of $448,900. In SuperCoach, he was at his highest price post-injury; after round 19, he was priced at $510,300, an increase of $307,500.

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It didn’t quite work out

Daniel Rich has been incredibly relevant over the past four seasons in SuperCoach. Averages of 96.8, 90, 107 & 92.7 heading into 2023 had coaches expecting him to again push towards the top tier of defender. However, a calf injury and loss of form have seen him play just seven games in his final season at the AFL. There wouldn’t have been many that owned him in their classic sides, but for draft coaches, his decline in 2023 has left owners with a sour taste. Sadly, drafting Daniel didn’t quite work out this time around.

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2024 Watchlist

The retirement of Daniel Rich has created a vacancy for distribution off half-back for the Brisbane Lions. It’ll be filled by Kiddy Coleman in 2024. For several years, Coleman has shown his high speed, the desire to take the game on and a penetrating left boot. Despite showing some scoring inconsistencies over time, he’s often spent much of that working alongside or in the shadows of Daniel.

Over the last seven games of 2023, he averaged 89.2 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 90.1 in SuperCoach. But it gets better; in the last month of the year, he averaged 94.5 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 95 in SuperCoach. He’ll start 2024 priced at 69 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 71 in SuperCoach. There’s well and truly some value ‘fat’ on the bone for coaches willing to take the plunge of Kiddy.

AAMI Community Series Review | Bulldogs Vs Lions

For the second night in a row, the AFL was back at Marvel Stadium. This time, it’s with the premiership chasing Western Bulldogs having their last competitive hitout of the preseason against another potential flag contender in Brisbane. Here’s MJ’s take of who stood out for fantasy coaches and who it might be time to fade out on.

Adam Treloar

For some coaches, Treloar is an absolute lock. At the same time, others want nothing to do with him. The crazy thing is that this game probably has left coaches on both sides of the coin feeling valid in their existing perspective. There were moments where Treloar was at his attacking best, dominating the game and kicking goals. While there was also moments despite a heavy centre bounce role, we saw him floating around and not impacting. The uncertainty about his role with Libba not playing might be the decider in his selection for some.

Josh Dunkley

We all have players that we are biased towards, and I certainly am aware that I can see only the positive elements of Josh Dunkley. For you to consider him, you’d have needed to see the trend that across the whole preseason, the coaching staff have wanted to use him heavily through the midfield. Both last week and this week, that’s been evident. To me, you can select him with complete confidence. 

Jackson Macrae

If you don’t have Jackson Macrae in your fantasy side right now, last night was a reminder of just how good he is. A game-high 33 touches and showed signs that what he’s done over the past few years as a fantasy prospect will continue again in 2022. I already had him in my team before last night, but I suspect many will have made some tweaks to find ways to get him in off the back of that reminder.

Marcus Bontempelli

Like Macrae above, if you were keen on Bont before last night, then he gave you no reason to move away from that. His regular midfield presence was accompanied by stints forward. In SuperCoach, he should have another strong year as a viable top tier premium. While in AFLFantasy, if you get the timing right he could be another valuable piece in 2022.

Notable Outs:

Jamarra Ugle-Hagan & Tom Liberatore

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Lachie Neale

In my eyes, he just needed to get through the game unscathed, and he did that. He was spending a few extra months forward of the ball, but I don’t see it impacting his scoring too much—still a great pick in any format in 2022.

Noah Answerth

With the news earlier in the day that Wayne Milera wasn’t getting a game for the Crows coaches, he needed to have a good night to stay in contention for my side. He played well across the wings early and then moved to the halfback once Coleman went down injured. If we don’t get the defensive cows through that we need, then he’s a viable D6 given his job security looks solid early.

Keidean Coleman 

Was looking good off the halfback until a hamstring injury cut short his night. Barring some miracle, it’ll sideline in from being available in round one. Time to find another option!

Jarrod Berry

The midfield role and rotation is real. He attended 11 centre bounces and showcased his inside/outside midfield role. In SuperCoach, he’s almost a no brainer pick with that role. While in DreamTeam, if you need a midrange guy, he’s a genuine candidate. AFLFantasy has priced him out of contention in my eyes.

Jarryd Lyons

Of all the premium midfielders in the Lions side, he’s the one you should have some concerns over. Low CBA’s and with Dayne Zorko and Cam Rayner to return he won’t be finding more. I think it’s time to look elsewhere for another unique.

Notable Outs:

Cam Rayner & Dayne Zorko