Buy low, sell high! It’s the age-old motto to succeed in Fantasy football of all formats. Every week we share with you the players with the lowest breakevens across AFLFantasy, SuperCoach & DreamTeam. Here are the players that offer the best breakevens heading into round four.
For SuperCoach and DreamTeam we only include players who are on the price bubble and have played more than one game.
took on the Lions in a scrappy affair at Ikon Park with both sides keen to snag
a win after falling short last time out. It was a tale of two halves with
Carlton looking exceptional for most of the first half before running out of
steam and being completely overrun by Brisbane who went on to post a handsome
45 point win. It was a modest game fantasy wise with Cripps the only player on
the ground to have more than 25 disposals. But there’s still plenty to unpack
as we start finalising our squads for round 1.
Cripps: Started on
fire with 11 touches in the first quarter and was in the thick of it throughout
but didn’t look his usual dynamic self. To really elevate himself in the
fantasy world (he’s already done it in Supercoach), he needs to straighten up
his kick to handball ratio. This game was a great example of this as he had 30
touches on the night but only 9 kicks. He has another gear to step into and
we’ll see that Thursday night in a couple of weeks against the Tigers.
Docherty: What did
we need to see? Looks fit, tick. Taking kick ins, tick. Plenty of game time
(81%), tick. Embracing his love of playing kick to kick, tick. I was having
2017 flashbacks at times in that first half when Docherty was +6’ing his way
all over the back half. Finished with 21 touches and 10 marks and is the
biggest lock in the game. Don’t over think it, pick him!
Curnow: Has been a gutsy
soldier for the Blues for years now and thankfully his days as a forward look
certain to be over under Teague. Was solid early and spent parts of the night
running with Neale. Just 20 disposals but 7 marks and a goal make his fantasy
scores look better. One for Drafts.
Walsh: I honestly
cannot believe this guy is only 19 years old, the way he moves out there and
how hard he works, you would swear he’s a seasoned veteran. Started hot with 9
touches in the first quarter but went very cold in the second. Finished with
the second most touches on the field with 25 and everything he did looked good.
Maybe won’t become elite in the fantasy world this season but we’re going to
love selecting him over the next 10 years.
Dow: Another Carlton
kid that looks excellent whenever he goes near it. He had modest numbers
tonight and is still a mile off fantasy relevance, but he has a huge future.
Martin: A fantastic
acquisition for the Blues with his class and precision disposal. He had a great
time roaming up and down the flanks all night recording 23 touches with 9 marks
from just 68% game time. Nice unique for the forward line but there’s possibly
better value on offer.
another handy pick up for the Blues as he will bring some experience after 8
years at St.Kilda. He tried hard in this game and was involved throughout with
20 touches but there were a lot of bad ones. He also didn’t lay a tackle and
gave away 3 free kicks. I think his disposal was so poor that we won’t see him
in the seniors in round 1.
Murphy: Did his part
with 5 kicks and 10 handballs from 60% game time. Even though he finished last
season with a bang, I’m expecting his numbers to decline as Carlton continue to
give more responsibility to the kids.
Nic Newman: I didn’t notice him a great deal, but his numbers weren’t terrible with 19 disposals and 8 marks. I didn’t think Docherty’s return would impact him too greatly as they have a shared love of playing kick to kick but I’m not so sure now. He was quiet in Marsh 1 too.
Cameron: Touted as
having the potential to become the greatest small forward of all time by
someone who would know, Eddie Betts, Cameron looks like picking up right where
he left off in his breakout season last year. This was a seriously good
performance with a stat line to back it up, 21 touches, 7 marks, 8 tackles and
5 goals. Despite this, the reality is he is a small forward and they scarcely
find themselves in our fantasy squads. Enjoy watching him this year but don’t
Zorko: A mature
performance from the captain. He was well held for most of the first half but
slowly got himself into the game. He didn’t have huge numbers with 23 disposals,
but they were quality and with his 6 tackles and 2 goals, he was one of the
most prolific players in the game and a huge catalyst for the turnaround on the
Neale: A far cry
from his 47 disposal beast mode game in Marsh 1 but was still important at
times. He had just the 23 touches this time as he dealt with some mild tagging
throughout the night and even spent a little bit of time deep forward. I
wouldn’t stress if you’re an owner though as I think Brisbane were just
experimenting with ways for him to deal with the expected tags he will cop this
year. He ain’t no Dusty or Fyfe though and he’ll be playing pure mid in the
Berry: Did some
really nice things and looks to improve again in his 4th season. He
looked really strong over the ball and used his big body well to take some
great marks around the ground. He kicked a couple of goals to help cap a fine
Berry, looks set to improve again in what is also his 4th season. He
was the Lions best player in the first half and arguably kept them in the game
playing wing and around the ball. Had 22 touches and a goal in 74% game time
but his impact was greater than the numbers suggest.
Witherden: On the
watch list as a potential break out after a surprisingly poor 2019.
Unfortunately, this game and his Marsh series have done nothing to tempt me and
I don’t think you should be tempted either. He was largely unsighted taking
just 2 marks for the game (70% game time) and looked frustrated as teammates
constantly over looked him, denying him any easy touches in the process.
Perhaps his first two seasons were merely a tease. It’s just a shame, that’s
were hardly any rookies of interest in this game but Starcevich looked
excellent. He only had 11 touches but everything he did was so clean that he must
be a chance for round 1. Like McCluggage, he was important for the Lions early
in the game against the tide. With Brisbane’s list looking very healthy from an
injury perspective, there’s a tight squeeze for spots but Starcevich may have
done enough to get a spot.
Robertson: Not sure
he gets a gig in round 1 but he looked good when he got his chance with 11
touches and 5 tackles from 63% game time.
Birchall: The wily
veteran should have a similarly strong impact at the Lions as Luke Hodge did
and is at an extremely tantalising price. He had 15 touches and kicked a
trademark raking long goal, but I don’t think we can trust his body enough for
our fantasy sides this year.
Rayner: There’s been
murmurings about Rayner bulking up and potentially breaking out this year. It’s
a no from me. The kid just isn’t there yet.
It was a phenomenal season from the Lions in 2019. AS the enter a new season can others join the fantasy relevance of Dayne Zorko and Lachie Neale?
BREAKOUT: Hugh McCluggage – $678,000 (MID)
McCluggage was impressive in his 3rd season, almost scored himself an All Australian jacket playing 23 of the Lions 24 games and only dropping below 80 on 3 occasions. The big thing we hope he can find in 2020 is some ceiling, consistently landing scores between 80-100 but struggling to go on with it. He did finish the season with scores of 125 and 122, then 90 and 93 in the finals, so hopefully that is a little sign of what is to come.
WATCH: Cameron Rayner – $334,00 (FWD)
Former Number 1 Draft Pick, has spent his first two seasons earning his stripes as a deep forward pocket which has seen his numbers drop massively from the large scores he was posting in his junior days. Priced at an average of just 45, he is coming off a very non-fantasy friendly season where he genuinely posted two scores under 20 and only went over 70 once.
However, Cameron has been training with the midfield and working on his tank. Don’t expect massive numbers from the young star, but if he does find himself on some more midfield rotations he could work out to be an almost rookie priced cash cow
ROOKIE: Brandon Starcevich – $170,000 (MID)
While you could also push a case for prized 2019 first-round pick, Ely Smith, all the news coming out of Brisbane early this season is Starcevich is primed and ready to break out and deliver. Was pick 18 back in the 2017 Draft but has had a troublesome run with injuries, finally getting his chance to put in a full pre-season and is taking it with both hands.
He averages the 16 disposals a game in the NEAFL so don’t expect monster numbers, but he is a contested inside mid who likes to tackle, if Ellis Yolmen isn’t fit early then Starcevich should hopefully get some early games
UNDERDOG: Cameron Ellis Yolmen – $652,000 (MID)
We actually caught up with Cameron a few weeks ago over the Christmas break and found out he had, unfortunately, had a few setbacks on the track already. Was on both of our lists early on in the piece, at his best he can be a damaging tall inside mid, who finds the ball, tackles hard and has some x-factor. Unfortunately, his body has let him down over the journey, but if he can get it all together at Brisbane we believe he would really fit well in their midfield set up alongside Zorko, Neale and Lyons.
He is awkwardly priced at an average of 87.9, but he showed his fantasy potential in Round 10 last year against Fremantle where he collected 30 disposals and had 10 tackles for 134 points. If he is picked Round 1 he could still be a very handy point of difference, remembering Lincoln McCarthy managed to play every game at Brisbane last year after an interrupted pre-season also.