Tag: Collingwood Magpies

AFLFantasy Preseason Watchlist | Collingwood Magpies
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Read Time:2 Minute, 36 Second

Lewy & Checkers from Lane Kicking are back with their take on some Collingwood Magpies on their AFLFantasy watchlist.

BREAKOUT: Brayden Sier – $493,000 (MID)

Showed plenty of talent averaging 75.5 and breaking into the side for finals in his first season but was a bit of a let down last year. There is something special about the young fella and he looks the prime replacement in the midfield once Pendlebury and Sidebottom are done, but he is probably just a little awkwardly priced to touch. An interesting fact about Sier, for all his fantasy potential, still yet to crack a ton in his 18 games of AFL

TRACK: Matthew Scharenberg – $495,000 (DEF)

There are probably a few obvious ones you could track at Collingwood, but seeing Scharenberg finally light up in 2020 would be a real feel-good story. Former first-round pick, he has been crippled by injuries only managing 38 games in the last 5 years. When he first came to the Pies he was a tall, strong marking rebound defender who had the versatility to play anywhere on the ground and averaged 22 touches at U/18 level.

Unfortunately, we have never seen the best of Scharenberg, but Collingwoods efforts to persist with him show there must be something special there. I know we are digging deep here but in his second season when he got a nice little run at CHB there was a little 5 game streak where he averaged 93.6. If he can stay fit, build some fitness and gain some confidence in his body he could be a handy little cash cow down back

ROOKIE: Jay Rantall – $192,000 (MID)

Slipped right down the draft order after being a smokey for a late first rounder and most would say Collingwood grabbed a steal at Pick 40. Described as the most athletically ready made player in the draft, just some questions about his skills and efficiency after crossing over from a Basketball background. This is good news for fantasy punters though, in hope that he might get some early games, Rantall averaged 25 touches and 99 fantasy points in the TAC Cup last year so there is some potential there

UNDERDOG: Brayden Maynard $570,000 (DEF)

\This is real left field but there is just something about Maynard that has caught Checkers eye. Averaged 76.8 in 2019, but dished up 87.2 in his last 5 games (including finals). While he seems to be a consistent 60-80 range defender, there have been a couple of big games from Maynard including 130 last year and 144 in 2018. If he can rack up a 144 he must have some form of fantasy potential locked inside of him, just a matter of getting it out more consistently.

Probably doesn’t have the game to rotate through the middle like Jack Crisp, but he can be a handy tackler and rebounder. We don’t expect a huge increase in output but we can’t help but keep his name on the bottom of our watchlist, just one to keep an eye on (especially in draft)

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#46 Most Relevant | Jack Crisp
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Read Time:4 Minute, 46 Second

Over the past five seasons, he’s been one of the most consistent and durable defenders in the game. He deserves his place this year in the 50 most relevant.

PLAYER PROFILE

Name: Jack Crisp
Age: 26
Club: Collingwood Magpies
Position: Defender

2019 Highest Score: 
142 Vs Richmond (AFLFantasy)
123 Vs Richmond (SuperCoach)

2019 Average: 

97.7 (AFLFantasy)
88.9 (SuperCoach)

SuperCoach Price: $482,800
AFLFantasy Price: 
$725,000
AFLDreamTeam Price: 
$706,500

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WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jack Crisp started his AFL career as a forward and part-time midfielder At Brisbane. He was traded to Collingwood as part of the first Brisbane & Collingwood trade involving Dayne Beams. At Collingwood, his role shifted to a permanent, tagging position in the midfield. On the more than a few occasions, Crisp not only shut down his opponent but also won more than his fair share of the football. 

More recently, Jack’s become a crucial member of the Pies backline. His ability to apply defensive pressure on the ground and beat his man one-on-one has made him the underrated cog of the Pies backline. Standing at 190cm, he can easily intercept in the air and then distribute the ball with his booming left foot.

Last year he averaged 25 possesions, 17 of these were uncontested, three tackles, six score involvements and a career-high six marks per game. From an AFLFantasy perspective, he had a career-best season averaging 97.7. From round 5-20 he had only one score below 84. Across the year Jack posted twelve times over 100, four of these were 120 including a seasonal best 142 against eventual premiers Richmond. It’s an impressive scoring ceiling, but having just three scores below 75 reveals his scoring consistency.

It was a down scoring season for Crisp in SuperCoach, but he still managed to average 88.9 and be ranked 10th for defenders for total points scored. Four times he reached triple digits, all of which were 109 or above. His 2018 numbers for SuperCoach are much stronger averaging just shy of 96 for the year. Ten times he scored 100 or more, with seven of these being above 110.

One thing is sure, despite having a few games sub 60, as a season-long package, Crisp isn’t going to burn you. Since moving to Collingwood, he hasn’t averaged beneath 84 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 82 in SuperCoach.

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MY TAKE

Everyone plays these fantasy footy games differently. Whether it be starting squad strategies or styles of trading we’re all attempting the same thing. Finish as high as we possibly can in our format of choice. When it comes to the way I play, I look at three critical things with my selection of premium defenders. If I’m spending the big bucks, I want to see scoring consistency, scoring ceiling and durability.

When it comes to durability, he has it in spades. Since moving to Collingwood, he’s played every game of the past five years. It’s incredibly rare to have this level of durability. While this could change entering this year, it should give potential owners high confidence that when you pick him as a premium, you’re getting 22 games from him.

If we were to use the past two seasons (44 games) as our guide, we can see his high ceiling and low scoring basement across all formats.

56% of the time in the past two seasons he scores 90 or higher in AFLFantasy and 31% below 80. For SuperCoach it’s 54% above 90, while just 27% of games he scores under 80. As interesting as that numbers are, it’s his pre and post-bye averages that immediately capture my attention.

All formats off the game present so much value in our backline. Just in the past few days in the 50 Most Relevant, we’ve revealed Tom Doedee and Dan Houston with more to come. Some coaches may be turned off by his price, but for me, in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam that’s what I’m happy to hear.

What I like almost the most about Crisp will be that I anticipate his low ownership will be. Many coaches are already locking in one of Lloyd or Laird (if not both) and then having a Sam Docherty at D3. With the additional forecast low ownership percentage along with his ceiling, durability and consistency, I see nothing but upside for him as a starter. It’s for that reason why in AFLFantasy/DreaTeam I’m currently starting him.

In SuperCoach he presents value if you believe he can get back to his 2018 scoring numbers. Right now he’s an upgrade target for my side.

DRAFT DECISION

In AFLFantasy and DreamTeam scoring formats he’ll be among one of the first defenders off the board with Jake Lloyd, Rory Laird and Bachar Houlithe players, selected ahead of him. In these formats, he is a D1 and could be gone as early as the second round. For me, that’s too early though. He shouldn’t be among the top 20-25 players drafted.

In SuperCoach formats he is still a safe D2, but I wouldn’t be opposed to him being your D1 if it meant you were going heavier earlier on through the midfield or forward lines. 

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Patreon Only | Trade Review | Darcy Cameron
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Read Time:1 Minute, 32 Second

Impact on the new club: 

Brodie Grundy will continue to lead the Collingwood ruck division in 2020. There is no world in which Darcy Cameron surpasses him.

I also don’t see him playing alongside him in the forward line. The Magpies forward line is mostly made up of a damaging combination of smalls and medium-sized forwards. While Collingwood does play one key tall in Mason Cox, the forward craft of Cameron isn’t strong enough yet to dethrone him from the best 22. 

Darcy Cameron has arrived at the club purely to bolster the depth and insurance of the rucks should an injury happen to Grundy.

Impact on the old club:

The Sydney Swans are stocked nicely for ruck stocks. In 2019 it was Callum Sinclair, and latter Hayden McLean took the lead role for the club while Michael Knoll was drafted during the midseason.

The Swans also welcome back Sam Naismith returns from a knee injury making Darcy Cameron surplus to the clubs needs. 

In terms of his departure from the club, it’s minimal to Sydney.

Fantasy Summary: 

He’s been a staple of our ruck benches for the past few seasons, and that won’t change anytime soon. The trade of Darcy Cameron to Collingwood should only further enhance coaches plans to use him. 

For those choosing to start with Brodie Grundy, you can ‘handcuff’ Darcy to him. Meaning should any short term injuries hit you’ll be covered immediately without having to make a trade.

He’s had limited opportunities at the elite level (One game) and scored in the mid-’20s. Even if DC does play, don’t expect much. Perhaps you’ll be better suited at choosing an RUC/FWD cash cow option.

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JLT Players of Interest: Fremantle Vs Collingwood
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Read Time:3 Minute, 51 Second

The Pies ventured over to Joondalup in WA to take on the purple warriors of Fremantle. There was quite a breeze blowing to one end of the ground which made for a clear scoring end. However, the focus for us was on the players and their roles.

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Fremantle

Andy Brayshaw: Looked good. Played midfield and got plenty of it. Might be an awkward price for some but in keeper leagues, he should be highly sought after.

Michael Walters: As promised all pre-season (and last pre-season, and the one before that…), Walters did get stints in the midfield. He did also play some footy up forward though and very likely that’s going to be his lot. A similar average to recent years beckons but could be one to jump on if Freo cop many midfield injuries. As per last year when in midfield, he scored quite well given his TOG.

Luke Ryan: Did take a few kick-ins (along with Wilson), although disposal wasn’t quite up to his usual standard. Potentially one to keep an eye on in SC.

David Mundy: As mooted in recent weeks, he played majority midfield for Freo. He wasn’t amazingly prolific but the role, at least in this game, was good. If he stays midfield there’s no reason to think he won’t end up near the better premium forwards in scoring this year.

Adam Cerra: Looked classy as always but didn’t get a heap of it. Seemed to be running through the midfield somewhat.

Brett Bewley: Could not be said to have had an amazing game, however, did have 13 disposals in only 39% TOG. One to watch further in JLT2.

Jesse Hogan: Coming back from injury, struggled through 2-3 quarters before being rested. Wasn’t limited to the forward 50 either, was often seen in midfield and even down back chasing the ball. Only had a handful of touched on the night however and went scoreless. Seems to have kept his roaming role from the Dees which bodes well for his scoring. Doesn’t seem quite fit enough at present to warrant a starting berth, however.

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Collingwood

Scott Pendlebury: You may have forgotten it but Pendles was in the All-Australian squad last year as one of the best midfielders in the comp. As he has been pretty much every year for more than a decade. The skipper was everywhere in this game, particularly early, and showed his usual class. May not be the upper-echelon fantasy premiums he has been in years gone by but he won’t be far behind. Will still be excellent value in drafts.

Steele Sidebottom: Sidey appears to have flowed from 2018 into 2019 without concern, appearing to have the ball on a string as he racked up 34 touches and a goal. Played basically wherever he wanted.

Brodie Grundy: Seemed slightly rusty but that is likely just due to us measuring him against his amazing standard. Still had 15 touches and 46 hitouts, albeit he was not really up against anyone (Sandi & Darcy being out, Grundy rucked against Lobb & Scott Jones). Nonetheless, nothing not to like here and if nothing else dispelled any suggestions that a pre-season toe injury was a concern.

Dayne Beams: Played midfield, got a lot of it, kicked a goal – basically just did Dayne Beams things. With Taylor Adams out for the first few rounds, it’ll basically be Adams out & Beams in for the Pies during that stretch. Business as usual.

Jack Crisp: A somewhat under the radar defender these days, Crisp kept his high scoring role from last year and had a good outing.

Jamie Elliott: Looked like he was back! Taking marks, kicking goals, almost refusing to celebrate – yep, this was the Jamie we’ve come to know and love. An excellent first outing for him and did not look hampered at all. Someone to consider as a mid-priced option.

Darcy Moore: By no means had the hoped-for monopoly on kick-ins (see Aish, Crisp, etc) but played well and got easily enough of the ball in his role to justify his SC price-tag.

Isaac Quaynor: Strong body for an 18-year-old will hold him in good stead. Looked confident and eager to get involved. Nonetheless, he is trying to break into a suddenly strong and settled Collingwood team (even with Dunn & Scharenberg out) and he may struggle to crack a game early. If named Round 1 though, could be a good rookie option for us.

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#3 Most Relevant: Brodie Grundy
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Read Time:5 Minute, 33 Second

Last year he took his fantasy game and his Magpies to another level. Can he do it again in 2019?

PLAYER PROFILE

Name: Brodie Grundy
Age: 24
Club: Collingwood Magpies
Position: Ruck

2018 Highest Score: 
151 Vs Gold Coast (AFLFantasy)
167 Vs Sydney (SuperCoach)

2018 Average: 

120 (AFLFantasy)
130.4 (SuperCoach)

SuperCoach Price: $708,200
AFLFantasy Price: 
$871,000
AFLDreamTeam Price: 
$858,300

Embed from Getty Images

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Brodie Grundy is the prototype of the modern ruckman. A mobile big man who’s an expert at winning the ball to advantage and feeding it down to his fleet of dominant midfielders. Equally as capable at creating tackle pressure at ground level, being used in the link up forward plays and using his aerobic and endurance to cover the ground from end to end.

Over many years, Brodie Grundy has been building as a fantasy beast. Even in his debut against GWS in round 18, 2013 it became very quickly apparent he’d one day be a superstar of the game. That night he had 14 possessions, seven tackles and scored 92 in AFLFantasy and 75 in SuperCoach. In 2017 he ended the year averaging 106 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and posted 13 tons with 4 of them being over 120. While in SuperCoach he averaged 97 with 9 tons and three of those over 120.

Heading into 2018 many fantasy coaches, myself included got scared off starting him because of the potential ruck share with Mason Cox. Right across the year prior anytime they split the ruck role Brodie’s fantasy numbers would drop away and even after Round 1 you were right to have the concern. In that match against the Hawks, Grundy had 28 Hit Outs for Grundy while Mason had 18. Thankfully for us for the rest of the year Nathan Buckley got the structures right beyond that Cox never won more than 15 hitouts in a game again.

Last season he lifted his average by 14 points per game in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and an insane 33 in SuperCoach to post his personal best averages. In all scoring formats, he had only three matches that he didn’t score over the hundred markers. In AFLFantasy/DreamTeam he posted 19 tons, 13 of which were over 120 and a massive five over 150. His numbers for SuperCoach were even stronger with 19 tons, 12 of them over 120, seven above 150 and his lowest score of the year was 95.

MY TAKE

He may be the highest priced SuperCoach and third highest in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam, but Brodie Grundy is worth every single cent. While you may be able to get him cheaper after the first price drops, based off last years history, it may be a tiny window of time and only a marginal reduction. Is $50K that big of a ‘gain’ to your side given the number of points you may miss trying to get him in? This pain may be compounded if you’re also running against likely top tier scorers in Jackson Macrae or Rory Laird.

To top off his high scoring ceiling, consistency of hundreds and a relatively strong scoring floor is the fact that he barely misses matches. Last year he didn’t miss a game, in 2017 he didn’t play in two, but that was due to a Ben Brown sling tackle, while in 2016 he missed one game when he was omitted from the side in favour of Jarrod Witts.

Do the new ruck rules help or hurt his scoring? The rule I’m referring to states that “A ruckman who takes direct possession of the ball from a bounce, throw-up or boundary throw-in will no longer be regarded as having had the prior opportunity.” 

Taking direct possession at stoppages is something Brodie Grundy is already doing consistently in games and could only further encourage this. While it may impact a fraction of his hitout numbers, it could see an increase it kicks, handballs and even tackles making sure any potential hitout losses are levelled out in his fantasy scoring.

He is a good captaincy choice and without ‘permanent captain’ Tom Mitchell we’ll need players of his ceiling and consistency to help us post massive scores across the season. The often unspoken benefit of starting with him is the fact that his team have many of their games pre-bye as one of the first few matches in each round. Inside the opening seven rounds, they have only one Saturday night game, and the rest are all Thursday/Friday matches. To make it even stronger, the Pies have only one game before the bye where they are playing after a Saturday making him a robust Vice Captaincy loophole options weekly in SuperCoach and DreamTeam while also a reliable option for the Thursday matches in AFLFantasy.

If you wanted to look for a reason to pass on him then the only ‘straw; you can grasp for is the limited training schedule he’s been on over the past few weeks as the club manage a toe injury. Any injury in the preseason is never ideal, but the club is adamant that at this stage it will not impact his ability to play in the JLT community series.

I’m starting him in all formats, and the only change on this would be if his current ‘light training’ turned into something more serious which would force him missing JLT Series matches and being in doubt for round one.

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DRAFT DECISION

The only way you’ll have a chance to own Brodie Grundy this year in a seasonal draft is if you have a top 2 selection. I’d still happily take him as the #1 pick in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam scoring. I know it’d weaken me in other lines but I still think he’s that good of a scorer and given the late value in the forward lines especially I’d happily take him. In SuperCoach, I’d prefer someone else who’s yet to be revealed in the 50 Most Relevant as the #1 selection over him. However, If I had pick 2 or 3 and Grundy was on the board I’d easily select him.

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#23 Most Relevant: Adam Treloar
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Read Time:5 Minute, 29 Second

For the past five seasons he’s averaged over 100 in every format, but can this star midfielder get back to elite midfield fantasy numbers?

PLAYER PROFILE

Name: Adam Treloar
Age: 25
Club: Collingwood Magpies
Position: Midfield

2018 Highest Score: 
147 Vs Richmond (AFLFantasy)
149 Vs Richmond (SuperCoach)

2018 Average: 

108.4 (AFLFantasy)
109.4 (SuperCoach)

SuperCoach Price: $594,200
AFLFantasy Price: 
$787,000
AFLDreamTeam Price: 
$775,800

Embed from Getty Images

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Adam Treloar is one of the most consistent and safe 100+ averaging midfielders no matter the format you play. Ever since 2014, he’s posted a seasonal average above the ton every single year. in all formats since 2014

While we always want to own a player the delivers statistically what can’t be undersold is the enjoyment owning certain players can bring as they are just fun to watch. Personally, I find Treloar as one of the most enjoyable players to own in fantasy and watch in AFL in general. Adam wins plenty of his own ball, he posses a great burst of speed away from stoppages, can get on the outside and link up and impacts the scoreboard. Last year he averaged 29 touches a game, at 68% efficiency, averaged 7 score involvements a game & 5 inside ’50s to be among one of the most elite midfielders and fantasy scorers in the game.

Last year a serious hamstring injury in round 14 against the Blues early in the 4th term ended his home and away season. Prior to the injury, he played every game and had scored 9 AFLFantasy/DreamTeam tons with 3 of them over 130 ending the year with an average of 108. While in SuperCoach he posted 10 hundred plus scores, 4 of which were above 130 and a seasonal average of 109.

A season earlier he played 21 games, posted 14 AFLFantasy/DreamTeam tons, 6 of those over 120 and an average of 108. Again for SuperCoach a strong conversion rate with 11 scores over the hundred markers, 4 of the scores above 120 and an average of 101.

Over the past 2 seasons, he’s played 34 games and had only 3 scores under 80 and 21 matches where he posted a century in his past 34 games for AFLFantasy. While for SuperCoach and it’s just the 5 scores under 80 and 21 tons.

As impressive as these conversion rates for tons are it’s still a fraction off the pace from his best fantasy footy season ever where back in 2016 he averaged over 111 in all formats played every match and posted 15 AFLFantasy/DreamTeam hundreds and 16 in SuperCoach.

His fantasy scoring ceiling and frequency of hundreds mark him as a player that most weeks you can genuinely consider as a captaincy option and with the season-ending injury to Tom Mitchell this becomes even more crucial. Over the past 2 years ‘Titch’ was often left as a set and forget option meaning sides often didn’t have many variations between captaincy outputs. Now with no Mitchell guys like Macrae, Grundy, Cripps, Merrett, Gawn Oliver, Fyfe and yes Treloar among others all could be someone’s captain meaning with so many variables we could see a 100 point output and the difference just on captains selections only.

More unique variables only make for a more interesting competition and the need for multiple players within your side that could wear the captaincy armband most weeks something that Adam Treloar certainly is with a high ceiling and consistent triple figure returns.

MY TAKE

While it’s purely speculative the biggest question mark around selecting not just Adam Treloar but any Pies midfielder is the impact on their fantasy scores and midfield time with the trade inclusion of Dayne Beams. This inclusion into the side will only aid and not hinder the scoring potential as Adam will not be one of those who’s midfield rotations see a decline. Instead, I believe it’ll likely be one of or a combination of fringe players such as Chris Mayne and James Aish that are squeezed out of the midfield group. Also, some more clearly defined roles especially for Steele Sidebottom on the outside with the need for him to not be used for winning clearances but instead now being the first touch from the clearance.  Furthermore, the inclusion of Beams probably makes him a potential 3rd in line option to cop the opposition tagger with many sides choosing to lock down out the damaging Steele Sidebottom who late last year was cutting teams apart on the outside of traffic.

I still think there is growth in him not just based on his 2016 numbers were he has averaged 110+ before but also because his current seasonal average includes the match he injured his hamstring early in the 4th term against Carlton. If you were to do his annual average based on ‘healthy’ games, he averaged 110 in SuperCoach 112 in AFLFantasy and had only one score beneath 90 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and 2 in SuperCoach.

While we talk of last seasons injury, it needs to be noted that beyond this severe hamstring injury he’s had an incredibly strong career to date. Outside of last year where he missed the final eight games of the season he’s he’s only missed six games in the past five years

In the opening six rounds of the year, Collingwood has 3 Thursday night games and two night matches meaning he’s a perfect unique candidate for a vice-captaincy as many will be looking at his teammate Brodie Grundy. For me, I’ve got Adam in both my DreamTeam & AFLFantasy starting squads and am seriously considering him in SuperCoach.

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DRAFT DECISIONS

I rank him as a top 10 averaging midfielder across all formats so as such he’s an M1 selection for me. While he wouldn’t be a stretch to select him with your first selection overall chances are you’d be able to land him on the wrap around in the second round and either lock him as a super strong M2 or locked alongside a top 2-3 scorer in another line.

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