Tag: Midfield

#16 Most Relevant | Tom Green

Tom Green has become a fantasy football powerhouse in just a few short seasons. We look at the GWS Giants midfielder’s standout 2023 season, his exceptional scoring ability and pivotal role in the midfield. Green is positioned to elevate his scoring to new heights in 2024, but does the early bye create chaos for coaches considering? Let’s discuss that in the 50 most relevant.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

In the bustling and competitive environment of the GWS Giants’ midfield, Tom Green has emerged not just as a participant but as the leading figure at the metaphorical midfield feast. Despite the crowded field of talented midfielders within the Giants, Green’s 2023 performance solidified his position as a premier ball-winner, leading the AFL in contested possessions and disposals per game, showcasing his dominance in the heart of the action.

His presence was also felt across various facets of the game, ranking in the top ten for score involvements, handballs, and effective disposals, reflecting his comprehensive impact on the field.

Green’s balanced game is underscored by his average of 32 possessions per game, striking an almost perfect balance between contested (15) and uncontested (17) possessions. His contribution extended beyond mere ball possession, with averages of 7 score involvements, three marks, five tackles, five inside 50s, and two rebound 50s per game, highlighting his versatility and all-around game influence.

In fantasy football, Green’s 2023 season was nothing short of exceptional. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 110.6 points, with 15 scores over 100, including peaks of 136, 141, and a career-high 170, with only two scores falling below 80. This performance placed him 9th overall for averages and 7th among midfielders, outscoring notable players like Rory Laird, Andrew Brayshaw, and Nick Daicos.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, Green maintained an average of 111.2, with 12 scores reaching or exceeding the century mark and seven above 120, showcasing his ability to deliver high scores consistently. Despite suffering a hamstring injury that sidelined him for a month, Green’s season was largely unblemished by injury concerns, concluding the year on a high note with averages of 122 in AFLFantasy and 129.75 in SuperCoach over the last month.

Tom Green’s 2023 season cements his status as a key figure in the GWS Giants’ midfield and as a valuable asset in fantasy football leagues, offering coaches reliability, high-scoring potential, and the assurance of a player at the peak of his powers. His performance invites fantasy coaches to consider him a vital component of their midfield selections, promising consistency and the potential for match-winning scores.

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MY TAKE

Selecting Tom Green as a starting option in your fantasy side is not just a testament to his established scoring prowess; it’s an investment in the potential for his scoring ceiling to ascend even further. Particularly in SuperCoach, where scoring intricately reflects the quality of a player’s contributions, Green’s room for improvement shines through an aspect of his game that doesn’t necessarily hinge on increasing his already substantial disposal count.

Last year, Green’s statistical profile included being ranked 5th in the AFL for Clangers and 6th for turnovers per game, highlighting areas ripe for refinement. His disposal efficiency, at 67% in 2023, showed a slight dip from the 70% he maintained in 2022 and 2021. This suggests that even marginal improvements in reducing errors and enhancing the precision of his disposals could significantly bolster his SuperCoach scoring, potentially elevating him to the elite status of a midfielder averaging around 120 points per game.

Starting with Tom in the early weeks of the fantasy football season carries the appeal of capitalizing on his potential to post high-scoring, ceiling games, positioning him as a viable captaincy option. However, a closer examination of his historical performance against early fixtures reveals a more nuanced picture that fantasy coaches must consider.

The initial rounds see the GWS Giants facing off against Collingwood, North Melbourne, and West Coast—matchups that, while seemingly favourable on paper, have not historically yielded fruitful scores for Green. Specifically, in encounters with Collingwood last year, including a high-stakes preliminary final and a regular season round nine clash, Green did not manage to reach the century mark in either game. This trend suggests a potential challenge in leveraging him as a captaincy option in these initial rounds, given the Magpies’ ability to limit his scoring impact.

The matchups against North Melbourne and West Coast further complicate the early-season outlook for Green. Despite what would appear advantageous fixtures, Green’s performance last year against these teams indicates potential scoring volatility.

His second-lowest score of the season came against North Melbourne, with Green posting scores in the 70s across formats. At the same time, his performance against West Coast yielded a 90 in AFLFantasy and a more respectable 106 in SuperCoach. These results underscore the importance of considering the theoretical favorability of matchups and acknowledging Green’s actual historical output against these opponents.

The early bye for the GWS Giants introduces a strategic problem for fantasy coaches contemplating starting Tom Green. This bye week, although only requiring the best 18 scoring players on the field, inherently increases the risk profile of fantasy lineups, as it’s likely a lower-scoring cash cow will need to cover for the absence of a premium scorer like Green. This scenario can dilute the overall scoring potential for the week, given the unpredictability and typically lower scores of rookie players compared to established premiums.

However, viewing this from the opposite perspective offers a compelling argument for starting with Green. By securing Green from the outset, coaches can lock in a midfielder they believe to be among the elite, bypassing the challenge of finding a way to trade into him later. The early rounds often see the most volatility among on-field cash cows, a period colloquially known as ‘rookie roulette.’ Opting to bench Green during the bye and relying on a cash cow who may score upwards of 80 points could, in totality over rounds 1-3, result in a net positive outcome, offsetting the disadvantage of his bye-week absence.

Starting with Green and trading him out during the bye presents itself as another option. While technically viable, this approach has its drawbacks. Planning for an early trade, especially involving a high-calibre player like Green, can be restrictive and may not be the most efficient use of trades, a precious resource throughout the season. Instead, embracing Green’s early contributions might be more advantageous, accepting the potential scoring shortfall during the bye week. This shortfall, potentially ranging from 50 to 80 points, can be mitigated through strategic rookie selection or astute captaincy choices, allowing for recovery in overall scoring across the initial rounds.

Ultimately, the decision to start with Tom Green hinges on a coach’s confidence in his scoring potential and their strategic flexibility to navigate the implications of the early bye. Embracing Green from the start and absorbing the bye week’s impact could be a strategic move that pays dividends, provided coaches are adept at managing the rest of their lineup to compensate for his temporary absence.

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DRAFT DECISION

Tom Green’s esteemed position as an M1 in AFLFantasy and his potential to serve as either an M1 or M2 in SuperCoach underscore his fantasy football value. His consistent high-scoring output, underscored by an impressive ability to gather disposals and contribute significantly to the game, makes him a coveted choice for fantasy coaches aiming to solidify their midfield. Although drafting strategies might cause a slight variation in his SuperCoach ranking, Green’s overall appeal is undeniable.

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#17 Most Relevant | Zak Butters

Zak Butters’ ascent into the elite echelons of AFL midfielders has fantasy coaches buzzing, especially after his standout 2023 season with Port Adelaide that blended hard-nosed play with top-tier skill. We dive into Butters’ fantasy football prospects, unpacking his potential for both SuperCoach and AFLFantasy amid expectations of increased scoring and the strategic nuances of Port Adelaide’s dynamic midfield lineup.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT

Zak Butters has rapidly become one of the most electrifying talents in the AFL, epitomizing the modern midfielder with his blend of relentless intensity and exquisite skill. The 2023 season marked a significant milestone in Butters’ career, showcasing his evolution from a promising young talent to a cornerstone of Port Adelaide’s midfield brigade. Playing every game of the season, Butters demonstrated durability, remarkable consistency, and impact on the field.

His 2023 campaign was stellar, with Butters averaging 27.5 disposals, five marks, and 4.4 clearances per game, which places him in the ‘elite’ category, according to Champion Data. These statistics reflect his ability to find and use the ball effectively and his significant contribution to the team’s overall performance. Butters’ agility, decision-making, and knack for winning contested possessions have made him a pivotal player in Port Adelaide’s setup, capable of changing the course of a game with his actions.

The accolades he received during the year speak volumes about his quality and the respect he commands across the league. Winning the John Cahill Medal as Port Adelaide’s best and fairest is a testament to his immense contribution to the team. Further recognition came with his selection in the All-Australian team, highlighting his status as one of the premier midfielders in the competition. The AFL Coaches Association’s Champion Player of the Year Award, AFL Players’ Association’s Most Courageous Player Award, and a third-place finish in the AFLPA’s MVP Award underscore his exceptional performance throughout the season.

Butters’ 2023 season solidified his reputation as a key player for Port Adelaide and marked his arrival as one of the AFL’s elite midfielders. His dynamic playstyle, with his awards and statistics, illustrates his significant impact on games. As we look ahead to the next season, he is a crucial figure in fantasy football discussions for AFLFantasy & SuperCoach sides.

Butters showcased his scoring prowess in AFL Fantasy by averaging 99.4 points per game. His ability to break the 100-point barrier on 13 occasions, with 5 of those scores surpassing 120 points, highlights his potential for high-scoring outputs. The fact that his scoring dipped under 80 in only four games underscores his reliability as a fantasy option. Despite these impressive numbers, he ranked 17th for total points and 28th overall for average, indicating the competitive nature of midfield selections in AFL Fantasy but also pointing towards his significant contribution to fantasy teams.

In SuperCoach, Butters took his game to even greater heights, averaging 113.8 points. This remarkable average was buoyed by his ability to score 15 tons over the season, with 9 exceeding 120 points, showcasing his game-changing potential in this format. His consistency was further evidenced by having only two scores under 80 points. Butters’ SuperCoach performance placed him 6th for total points and 13th overall, making him the 9th-ranked midfielder, indicating his elite status in this fantasy football format.

Zak Butters’ transition in Round 4 of the 2023 season from a forward with midfield stints to a primary midfielder marked a pivotal shift in his role at Port Adelaide and his fantasy football output. This role change catalyzed a significant uptick in his performances, elevating his averages to 104 in AFLFantasy and 118.4 in SuperCoach from Round 4 onwards. This adjustment highlights Butters’ versatility and capability to excel in a midfield-centric role. Given the discrepancy between his early-season scoring and post-role-change averages, his starting price in fantasy may carry an inherent value.

Further underscoring Butters’ potential for fantasy football dominance was his six-week performance between Rounds 8-13. During this period, he elevated his game to an even higher level, averaging 121 in AFLFantasy and 129 in SuperCoach. These numbers indicate an “Uber premium” fantasy player, showcasing Butters’ ability to consistently deliver high-scoring games over an extended period. This phase of the season demonstrated his scoring ceiling and capacity to sustain elite fantasy scoring rates, solidifying his status as a player with top-tier potential.

This scoring improvement and sustained high performance following his role change make Butters an attractive proposition for fantasy coaches. With the potential for value in his starting price and evidence of his ability to perform at an uber-premium level, Butters represents a compelling selection for those looking to capitalize on a midfielder with significant upside. As fantasy coaches evaluate their strategies and rosters for the upcoming season, Butters’ post-role-change trajectory and demonstrated scoring pedigree should weigh heavily considering midfield selections.

One critical factor that enhances Zak Butters’ appeal for the upcoming fantasy football season is his newfound durability. Historically perceived as a high injury risk due to having yet to play more than 20 games in a season, Butters shattered this narrative in 2023 by participating in every game of Port Adelaide’s campaign. This significant milestone not only dispels concerns regarding his injury proneness but also demonstrates his ability to withstand the rigours of a full AFL season.

Playing all 23 games, Butters provided consistent fantasy outputs and reliability for fantasy coaches who had previously been wary of his injury history. This development adds another layer of attractiveness to selecting Butters in fantasy drafts, as coaches can now have increased confidence in his availability and contribution throughout the season, making him a potentially vital component of any successful fantasy football strategy.

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MY TAKE

Port Adelaide’s early-season fixture further brightens Zak Butters’ fantasy football outlook, which presents a significant upside for his scoring potential. The Power’s schedule sees them playing seven of their first ten games at Adelaide Oval, where Butters has historically thrived, particularly in SuperCoach. In his last five SuperCoach games at this venue during the previous year, Butters delivered astounding scores of 158, 139, 134, 101, and 81, showcasing his exceptional ability to post high scores on home turf. An average of 122.6 is more than handy at this venue.

Similarly, in AFLFantasy, Butters’ affinity for Adelaide Oval is evident, with nine games scoring 110 or more points throughout the season. Notably, 5 of these high-scoring performances occurred at this ground. This trend underscores the significant advantage that the early run of home games could provide for Butters, potentially boosting his fantasy output and making him an even more attractive option for fantasy coaches. The combination of Butters’ proven scoring capacity, particularly in familiar surroundings, and Port Adelaide’s favourable early fixture suggests that he could be poised for a strong start to the season, offering fantasy teams a considerable edge.

The Port Adelaide midfield mix for 2024 is poised to be a critical factor in the team’s AFL campaign and the fantasy football landscape, especially concerning Zak Butters’ role and potential output. In 2023, the Power demonstrated a preference for a concentrated midfield group at centre bounces, with Connor Rozee leading the attendance rates at 69%, followed closely by Zak Butters at 62%, Jason Horne-Francis at 58%, and Ollie Wines and Willem Drew each at 50%. Veteran Travis Boak, while an influential figure, participated in a relatively minor 13% of centre bounce attendances, indicating a strategic shift towards leveraging the youth and dynamism of Port Adelaide’s emerging midfielders.

Looking ahead to 2024, this midfield dynamic presents challenges and opportunities for Butters. His substantial involvement in 2023 underscores his importance to Port Adelaide’s midfield operations and his ability to impact games significantly from the centre. However, the tight midfield rotation suggests that maintaining or increasing his centre-bounce attendance could be crucial for Butters to replicate or surpass his breakout year, particularly as Port Adelaide seeks to balance experience and youth in their on-ball brigade.

In evaluating Port Adelaide’s midfield dynamics for the 2024 season, two critical insights emerge that shed light on Zak Butters’ potential role and fantasy output. Firstly, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the Power will continue with a similar strategy regarding their midfield composition, maintaining a core group of players at the centre bounce attendance. The tight-knit midfield rotation of 2023, which proved effective, is likely to see only minor adjustments, if any, keeping the primary contributors in place, with Butters expected to remain a crucial part of this setup.

Secondly, while there has been considerable preseason speculation about Ollie Wines returning to a more prominent inside midfield role—following a perceived reduction in his midfield engagement as the 2023 season progressed—this development is not expected to impact Butters’ scoring or midfield time negatively. The evidence from a key six-week stretch during the previous season, when Butters averaged over 120 across all formats, and Port Adelaide secured wins in each match, supports this view. During this period, Wines’ centre bounce attendance rate (CBA%) was 58%, a figure skewed by one match against the Bulldogs where his CBA% dropped to 19%. In contrast, it was Willem Drew, not Butters, whose role appeared to be adjusted, as Drew did not surpass 50% CBAs in any game within that stretch, averaging 41% CBAs.

This analysis indicates that any increase in midfield involvement for Wines or Jason Horne-Francis is more likely to affect Drew’s opportunities than Butters’. The midfield configuration, emphasizing the tight five, including Butters, is expected to remain largely intact, with Butters poised to continue his influential role. The synergy between Butters’ high-scoring capabilities and Port Adelaide’s strategic midfield use suggests that any adjustments within the midfield mix will unlikely diminish Butters’ fantasy relevance or on-field impact.

My expectation for 2024 is a consistent midfield approach from Port Adelaide, with Butters firmly entrenched within the core group. Even with potential shifts in roles for Wines and Horne-Francis, the structure and strategy that facilitated Butters’ breakout performances continue, reinforcing his status as a key fantasy football asset and an integral part of Port Adelaide’s midfield plans.

Given their substantial influence on the game, Zak and his teammate, Captain Connor Rozee, stand as pivotal tag targets for Port Adelaide. The strategic decision on who to tag, Butters with his ‘human wrecking ball’ approach or Rozee with his surgical precision and playmaking skills, will likely vary from match to match, hinging on the opposing team’s tactical setup and the specific strengths of their taggers.

This scenario presents a problem for opponents, as limiting one player’s impact inevitably gives the other more opportunities to influence the game. The differing styles of Butters and Rozee mean that teams face a strategic challenge in deciding which player’s influence they are better equipped to mitigate, underlining the depth and versatility of Port Adelaide’s midfield and the difficulty in containing their multifaceted attack.

A key concluding consideration for starting Zak Butters is that he, alongside Connor Rozee, Andrew Brayshaw, and Caleb Serong, offers you incredible scoring versatility across the front half of the season. With Port Adelaide and Fremantle having the round 13 bye as their only week off in 2024, it only allows you to have a premium midfielder playing in the hardest weeks to navigate both in the starting and middle season block.

The case for starting Butters over these three is that he’s shown he’s got arguably the most value within his pricetag in AFLFantasy and arguably the biggest scoring ceiling in SuperCoach if you haven’t considered or placed Zak in any version of your preseason structure versions then your missing out on a potential game changer.

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DRAFT DECISION

Zak Butters’ draft ranking in fantasy football indicates his rising stature and potential in the AFL. In SuperCoach, his high-scoring consistency and impact on games position him as an M1, reflecting his ability to deliver substantial points and serve as a cornerstone for fantasy teams. In contrast, his historical average in AFLFantasy suggests an M3 status; however, given his recent form and the upside he brings to the midfield, it’s more likely that fantasy coaches will value him as an M2.

This discrepancy between his historical average and current perception underscores the growing confidence in his fantasy potential. Coaches recognise his capability to outperform his previous averages and are thus more inclined to select him earlier in drafts, banking on his continued development and significant role in Port Adelaide’s midfield.

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#19 Most Relevant | Caleb Serong

Discover why Fremantle Dockers’ Caleb Serong is a must-consider pick for your AFLFantasy & SuperCoach lineups in 2023 as we delve into his scoring potential, growth areas, and strategic value ahead of the season. Learn how Serong’s leadership role, fixture advantages, and resilience against tags can elevate your fantasy football strategy, making him a pivotal selection for achieving bye-round balance and maximizing points.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Caleb Serong epitomizes the heart and soul of the Fremantle Dockers’ midfield with his relentless style of play and significant importance to the team. Known for his fierce competitiveness and exceptional ability to win contested possessions, Serong has quickly established himself as a cornerstone of the Dockers’ engine room.

His tenacity at stoppages and his knack for clearances allow Fremantle to transition from defence to attack efficiently, making him a critical player in shaping the game’s tempo and momentum. Beyond his physical attributes, Serong’s football IQ stands out, with his decision-making under pressure and skill execution contributing significantly to the team’s offensive strategies.

Despite his relatively young age, his leadership qualities inspire his teammates and exemplify the Dockers’ hard work and determination ethos. Serong’s role extends beyond mere ball-getting; he embodies the spirit and future direction of the Fremantle Dockers, making him an indispensable figure within the squad.

Serong’s statistical performance over the past season underscores his exceptional contribution to the Fremantle Dockers and his rising stature within the AFL. His remarkable ability to dominate at the coalface of the game saw him rank within the top 5 league-wide for several key midfield indicators: centre clearances, contested possessions, disposals, and stoppage clearances per game.

This highlights his prowess in winning the ball under pressure and his capacity to drive his team’s midfield dynamics, making him one of the most effective players in the league in these critical areas.

Moreover, Serong’s influence extended beyond his ball-winning abilities, as evidenced by his ranking within the top 10 for clearances, goal assists, and handballs. This reflects his broader impact on the Dockers’ play, showcasing his vision and ability to contribute to scoring opportunities for his teammates and his skill in distributing the ball effectively under pressure.

Serong’s statistical achievements from the season paint a picture of a player who is central to Fremantle’s midfield operations and instrumental in facilitating the team’s offensive strategies. His comprehensive impact across various facets of the game underscores his value to the Dockers and affirms his status as one of the premier midfielders in the competition.

Caleb Serong’s significant impact on the field for the Fremantle Dockers translated seamlessly into exceptional fantasy football scoring, making him a standout option in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats.

In AFLFantasy, Serong’s impressive average of 108 points per game was bolstered by his consistency and high-scoring capabilities; he notched up 17 tons throughout the season, with six scores surpassing the 120-point mark. A testament to his reliability was his ability to maintain a scoring floor, never dropping below 80 points in any game. This remarkable consistency earned him a place among the elite, ranking 12th for total points scored and 13th for averages overall, highlighting his indispensable value to fantasy football coaches.

SuperCoach further underscored Serong’s fantasy prowess, where he averaged 111.2 points. His performance included 16 tons, with eight going above 120 points, showcasing his potential for high-scoring outputs. Serong’s scoring resilience was evident, with only a single instance falling below the 80-point threshold. His solid record placed him 17th for total points scored and averages across the league, marking him as a premium midfield option for SuperCoach players.

In his 2022 season, he started slowly as he had an interrupted preseason with a knee injury. Eventually, he succumbed to it and missed a few games. Despite this, Serong still elevated his game to some strong new levels. He ended the year ranked inside the top twenty of the league for stoppage clearances, handbells, contested possessions and clearances per game.

The breakout trends for Serong were visible over his entire AFL career, and in 2022, he started to take further steps towards what we have seen he’d become. In that year’s AFL fantasy/DreamTeam perspective, he scored seven, including 112, 113 & a season-high 126. In SuperCoach, he scored eight tons, four above 110, including 117, 119 & 127.

Following a breakout year that saw him ascend to the upper echelons of AFL midfielders, Caleb Serong is poised to elevate his game even further. His impressive performance last season, characterized by dominance in key statistical areas and significant fantasy football scoring, sets the stage for Serong to build on his achievements and continue his upward trajectory.

With a solid foundation of skills, including contested possession winning, clearance work, and impactful scoring, Serong has demonstrated the talent and work ethic necessary to enhance his contributions to the Fremantle Dockers. As he enters the next phase of his career, the anticipation around his potential to become one of the premier midfielders in the league is palpable. Serong’s readiness to take the next step in his game promises exciting prospects for his personal development. It signifies his growing importance to his team’s success and the broader AFL landscape.

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MY TAKE

Caleb Serong enters the fantasy football conversation not just as a strong scorer but as a player with potential areas for growth that could elevate his game even further. His current scoring prowess is commendable, yet the potential for improvement in disposal efficiency, increased impact on the scoreboard, and an uptick in possessions or tackles suggests we’ve yet to see Serong’s ceiling. Additionally, natural progression and development, inherent to young talents in the AFL, promise to boost his fantasy output.

Serong can further emphasize his importance to your team using the Vice Captain loophole. The Dockers’ scheduling, with most games played on early weekends before the round 13 bye, is crucial for fantasy strategy. This allows coaches to capitalize on Serong’s ceiling scoring through the Vice Captain loophole in formats that permit it, offering a strategic advantage in maximizing points.

The round 13 bye itself holds structural significance for fantasy lineups. Fremantle’s positioning in the bye rounds means players from the club, including Serong, become strategically valuable. They provide continuity through the early bye rounds and the subsequent larger batch, helping maintain team performance during these critical periods of the fantasy season.

Despite being a potential target for opposition tags, as seen in round one last year against St Kilda, Serong’s scoring floor has remained solid even when faced with such challenges. Early fixtures may see him encounter tags again, yet his resilience and ability to still contribute value scores highlight his reliability as a fantasy option.

The return of Nat Fyfe to the midfield poses questions about its impact on Serong’s role. However, it’s anticipated that Serong, Hayden Young, and Andy Brayshaw will remain the Dockers’ primary midfield options. Fyfe’s integration will likely see him as a rotational player, suggesting a minimal impact on Serong’s scoring potential.

Interestingly, when Hayden Young transitioned into the midfield, Serong’s averages in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach showed no significant deviation from his year-round performance. This stability underscores Serong’s scoring resilience despite slight team role adjustments.

Given the strategic advantage of the Round 13 bye, fantasy coaches are evaluating the inclusion of Fremantle’s premium midfielders, including Serong, Andy Brayshaw, and Port Adelaide’s Zak Butters and Connor Rozee. Coaches are encouraged to assess and rank these players based on projected scoring and bye-round balance.

This analysis will help determine whether Serong fits as a starting squad member or an upgrade target during the season. His proven performance, captaincy consideration, and the structural benefits of Fremantle’s bye round position him as a compelling consideration for fantasy football teams, offering immediate impact and strategic flexibility.

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DRAFT DECISION

Caleb Serong’s emergence as a key player for the Fremantle Dockers and his fantasy football potential reflect his growing importance and impact in the AFL. His draft ranking as an M1 in AFLFantasy signifies his role as a premier midfield option, capable of delivering consistent, high-scoring performances. This status is a testament to his on-field contributions, particularly in contested possessions, clearances, and his ability to impact the scoreboard. For fantasy coaches strategizing their draft, Serong represents a robust choice to anchor their midfield, offering reliability and the potential for game-changing scores.

However, the depth of midfield talent in AFLFantasy means Serong might be considered an M2 for some teams, particularly if coaches prioritize securing other midfielders with their initial picks. This strategy could see Serong slide slightly in the draft order, not due to any shortfall in his capabilities but because of the midfield’s wealth of options and individual coaches’ tactical approaches.

In SuperCoach, where scoring can often accentuate the impact of midfielders who excel in contests and clearances, Serong is positioned as an M2. This ranking reflects his proven ability to rack up significant points and the competitive nature of midfield selections in SuperCoach drafts. The expectation that he would be gone by the third round indicates the coaches’ high regard for his scoring potential and his role at Fremantle. This also suggests that while Serong is highly valued, the sheer volume of midfield talent across the AFL means that some coaches might secure other options before turning to Serong, depending on their draft strategy and the specific scoring nuances of SuperCoach.

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#21 Most Relevant | Zach Merrett

Zach Merrett’s blend of consistency and elite performance cements his status as a top fantasy football option, navigating the strategic depths of selecting a midfield maestro amid the early rounds’ quest for scoring diversity.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Zach Merrett is a quintessential midfielder whose skills, style, and impact have made him a cornerstone of the Essendon Bombers. Known for his exceptional ball-winning ability, Merrett combines a high work rate with elite endurance, allowing him to influence the game across all four quarters. His precise and intelligent use of the football sets him apart, with his decision-making and passing accuracy under pressure being particularly noteworthy.

Merrett’s ability to read the play and anticipate the movement of the ball and his opponents enables him to position himself effectively, whether intercepting an opposition pass or being in the right place to receive a handball from a teammate. His tackling is tenacious, underscoring his commitment to the game’s offensive and defensive aspects. Merrett’s leadership on the field is also significant, often inspiring his team through his actions, decision-making, and consistent performance.

His first season as Essendon captain marked arguably the best year of his AFL career, showcasing his evolution as a player and leader. Despite recording a lower possession count than in previous years, Merrett’s game was significantly enhanced by a career-high average of 5.1 marks per game, reflecting his increased involvement in key moments and his strategic positioning. His prowess was further highlighted by his standing in the league’s rankings, where he finished inside the top 10 for several critical statistical categories.

Merrett was second in the league for uncontested possessions, underscoring his ability to find space and create play opportunities. His sixth-place ranking for effective disposals per game demonstrated his precision and reliability with the ball, contributing to Essendon’s offensive efforts. Additionally, finishing tenth in overall disposals per game amidst a lower possession count indicates his efficiency and impact with every touch of the football. These performances solidified Merrett’s status as one of the league’s premier midfielders and emphasized his crucial role in driving Essendon’s gameplay as captain.

In AFLFantasy, Merrett delivered an impressive average of 112.8, with his scoring consistency highlighted by 15 tons, including seven scores over 120, five over 140, and three surpassing the 150 mark, with no scores falling below 80 throughout the season. His performance positioned him 8th for overall points scored and 6th for averages among all players, underscoring his value as a premium midfield option.

In SuperCoach, Merrett achieved a career-high average of 116.3, showcasing his elite status with 15 tons, of which nine were over 120, eight exceeded 130, and two were colossal scores over 160, with only one game scoring below 88 (a 69) all season. These remarkable statistics earned him a 9th-place ranking for overall points scored and 6th-place for averages, solidifying his position as a top-tier fantasy asset.

Merrett’s fantasy football impacts are a testament to his scoring consistency, which is almost unparalleled in the league. For the past eight seasons, he has maintained an average in the triple figures, a rare feat that highlights his reliability and elite performance level year after year. Fantasy coaches who have had Merrett in their teams have benefited from his consistent high scoring, making him one of the most sought-after midfielders in fantasy football.

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MY TAKE

Selecting Zach Merrett in fantasy football might not be the most glamorous pick, but his ability to consistently deliver results is unparalleled. While he may not always present as a ‘value’ option, Merrett offers something equally crucial: reliable, consistent scoring.

Year after year, he navigates through the season to average over 100, often providing fantasy coaches with the opportunity to acquire him at a more favourable price, typically following a game where he’s been heavily tagged. The positive takeaway from last season is Merrett’s improved resilience against tags, showcasing his ability to adapt and still post respectable scores even under tight scrutiny.

The Essendon midfield dynamic is an evolving puzzle, with Merrett’s Centre Bounce Attendances (CBA) increasing from 68% to 74% last year. Integrating players like Will Setterfield, Darcy Parish, Jye Caldwell, and Dylan Shiel alongside rising stars such as Ben Hobbs and Elijah Tsatas raises questions about how the team will balance its midfield composition.

While there might be speculation about Merrett being deployed off a flank to accommodate this mix, how this will unfold in 2024 remains to be seen. Merrett’s scoring pattern involves cycles of high-scoring games, targeted tagging, and another series of significant scores.

Timing your decision to bring him into your fantasy team could capitalize on these cycles for maximum benefit. The early part of the season presents challenges, such as potential tags with Finn Maginness in round one. Still, Merrett’s schedule from Round 7 onwards—featuring matches against teams like the Eagles, Giants, Kangaroos, Tigers, Suns, and Blues before the bye week—suggests a prime opportunity for high scores. I’m targeting round seven as the prime spot to upgrade to Zach.

Given Merrett’s historical performance against certain teams, the post-bye period in Round 15 looks particularly promising. Except for Geelong in AFL Fantasy and Adelaide and Geelong in SuperCoach, Merrett boasts an average of over 100 against the remaining fixtures.

With most of Essendon’s games scheduled at high-scoring venues like the MCG or Marvel Stadium, the latter part of the season could be the optimal time to ensure Merrett is a part of your fantasy squad. This strategic approach to managing Merrett’s inclusion could create a thrilling and rewarding fantasy football experience.

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DRAFT DECISION

Zach Merrett’s status is a top midfield option, and it’s well justified, given his consistent performance and scoring ability. His track record of averaging over 100 points in the past eight seasons places him among the elite midfielders in the game, making him a highly sought-after asset in fantasy leagues.

Considering the drafting strategy of many fantasy coaches, I anticipate Merrett being selected early in the second round. This prediction stems from the common approach of securing a high-scoring ruckman in the first round or a premium defender like Nick Daicos, who offers significant scoring potential from the backline. This strategy balances the team by locking in top performers across different positions early in the draft.

Merrett’s proven consistency and the potential for high scores make him an attractive option for coaches looking to solidify their midfield early on. While the desire to secure positional diversity in the initial rounds may see him picked slightly later than some other midfielders, his value as an M1 remains undisputed. Coaches who prioritize a strong midfield core and can draft Merrett in the early second round will likely find him a cornerstone of their team’s success throughout the season.

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#22 Most Relevant | Harley Reid

Exploring the fantasy football potential of Harley Reid, the West Coast Eagles’ number one draft pick, as coaches navigate the balance between his high expectations and rookie status.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Harley Reid, selected at #1 in the most recent AFL draft by the West Coast Eagles, brings a thrilling blend of attributes that promise to electrify the AFL landscape. Reid exemplifies the quintessential modern footballer with a game rooted in explosive power and speed. His ability to dominate the contested game sets him apart and establishes him as a dynamic force on the field. Reid’s versatility allows him to impact play across multiple positions, showcasing his adaptability and making him a critical asset in various game situations.

What makes Reid particularly special is his ‘X factor’—an innate ability to change the course of a game with individual acts of brilliance. Whether it’s a breathtaking run, a critical tackle, or a timely goal, Reid makes the spectacular seem effortless. His capacity to impact the scoreboard further underscores his offensive threat, ensuring that he’s a constant concern for opposition defences.

The anticipation of Reid’s entry into the AFL has been building for nearly two years, with his selection as the #1 draft pick being universally anticipated. This level of expectation speaks volumes about his talent and potential impact. The West Coast Eagles, in securing Reid, have not just added a highly talented youngster to their ranks but have invested in a player who could redefine their team dynamics and contribute significantly to their future successes. As Reid prepares to make his mark in the AFL, the excitement surrounding his debut season is palpable, with fans and analysts eager to see how this prodigious talent will translate his junior success to the professional stage.

Harley Reid’s final year in junior football was nothing short of spectacular, cementing his reputation as a standout talent and a force to be reckoned with in the future of AFL. Throughout the National Championships, Reid showcased his remarkable versatility and skill, seamlessly transitioning between the midfield and forward positions, a testament to his dynamic play style. His prowess in winning contested balls, whether at ground level or in aerial contests, highlighted his competitive edge and physical capabilities.

Reid’s exceptional decision-making skills, combined with his precision in ball distribution by both hand and foot, underscored his role as a key playmaker. Throughout the championships, he posted impressive averages of 19.5 disposals, 12.5 contested possessions, and 6.5 clearances. These outstanding performances earned him third place in the prestigious Larke Medal voting. They secured his position as the Most Valuable Player (MVP) for Victoria Country, affirming his status as an elite junior talent.

In fantasy football terms, Reid’s impact was equally phenomenal. As a midfield/forward option in the national championships for SuperCoach, he averaged a remarkable 135 points, demonstrating his scoring potential and fantasy relevance. Meanwhile, in AFLFantasy, he maintained a solid average of 80.5 points, further highlighting his consistency and ability to contribute significantly across different formats.

Reid’s exceptional final junior year showcased not just a player of immense talent but one with the potential to adapt and thrive at the highest level of AFL. His performances indicate a player ready to make an immediate impact professionally, equipped with the skills, athleticism, and football IQ necessary for a successful transition. As he steps into the AFL with the West Coast Eagles, Reid’s junior year achievements set the stage for an eagerly anticipated debut season, with expectations high for this prodigious talent to continue his upward trajectory.

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MY TAKE

The strategy of integrating high-end draft picks into the AFL through specific roles, notably seen with players like Harry Sheezel and Nick Daicos transitioning through half-back positions with stints in the midfield, appears to be a trend gaining traction, potentially signalling the emergence of a copycat league in terms of player development. West Coast Eagles’ approach with Harley Reid, the #1 draft pick, follows a similar pattern. The club’s decision to deploy Reid from half-back, with opportunities in the midfield, has been showcased in match simulations at training, suggesting a deliberate strategy to ease him into the AFL’s competitive environment.

This role allocation for Reid is particularly strategic, considering the scoring challenges within a lower-ladder team like the West Coast Eagles. Positioning him at half-back rather than primarily forward mitigates concerns about his scoring potential and cash generation in fantasy leagues. It’s anticipated that the Eagles will lean on Reid as a key playmaker, aiming to build his confidence and showcase his talents at the elite level, which aligns with the club’s interest in fast-tracking the development of their ‘franchise player.’

Reid’s deployment in this role could impact the fantasy relevance and scoring of other West Coast players like Brady Hough, Liam Duggan, or Alex Witherden, considered mid-price picks in fantasy football. Fantasy coaches eyeing these players might need to adjust their strategies accordingly.

Given Reid’s role and the club’s investment in his development, he could rank as high as F4-F5 in fantasy football forward structures, offering a pathway to strong scoring opportunities. However, coaches should temper expectations of him replicating the debut season scores of Sheezel and Daicos, as Reid’s style is more about making a significant impact per possession rather than accumulating disposals.

The excitement around Reid is palpable, with Coach Adam Simpson and new assistant coach Luke Shuey fueling expectations about his potential impact. Being the most-owned player, his ownership percentage across the competition underscores the fantasy community’s high anticipation and confidence in his abilities.

The only conceivable reason to fade Reid would be the belief in the emergence of a cheaper cash cow with comparable or better scoring and similar job security. Yet, finding such a player seems highly speculative. Suppose Reid is fit and named for round one. In that case, the consensus is clear: incorporate him into your starting squad and capitalize on the unique opportunity he presents in fantasy football this season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Given the unpredictability of their immediate impact in the AFL, the conventional wisdom has often been to fade rookies or select them as late flyers in single-season fantasy drafts. However, Harley Reid’s situation appears to be an exception to this rule, particularly due to the unique circumstances surrounding his entry into the league and the specific role the West Coast Eagles have carved out for him.

Given the scarcity of reliable forward options in fantasy football and Reid’s promising placement on the field, it’s plausible to anticipate that some coaches might be tempted to secure him earlier than typical rookies. His role as a potential key playmaker from half-back, combined with midfield stints, enhances his appeal, making him a more attractive prospect than the average first-year player.

I can envision scenarios where coaches, eager to capitalize on Reid’s potential, might select him as high as F3 in their fantasy leagues. Personally, I find this to be a bit too optimistic, given the inherent risks associated with banking on a rookie’s performance to anchor such a critical position in the fantasy lineup. The idea of drafting Reid as an F4 seems more palatable, striking a better balance between capitalizing on his upside and mitigating the risk of overreliance on a yet-unproven AFL talent.

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#23 Most Relevant | Taylor Adams

Dive into the fantasy prospects of Taylor Adams as he transitions to the Sydney Swans, examining his value and potential role in your fantasy football structures.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Taylor Adams is known in the AFL for his tenacious and hard-nosed style of play, making him a formidable presence in the midfield. His impact on the game comes from his exceptional ability to win contested possessions and his relentless tackling, showcasing his commitment and toughness in every match. Adams excels in clearances, demonstrating strength and skill in extracting the football from tight situations, which is crucial for setting up his team’s offensive plays.

Furthermore, his leadership qualities are invaluable on and off the field, often inspiring his teammates with his work ethic and determination. Adams also possesses a good sense of the game, can read plays effectively and makes decisive moves that can change the course of a game. His style and impact as a player make him a critical asset to his team and a challenge for opponents, highlighting his importance in the midfield battle.

Taylor Adams’ journey from being the vice-captain of Collingwood to his trade with the Sydney Swans underscores how quickly circumstances can change in the world of professional sports. Just six months ago, Adams was a key figure at Collingwood, a team on the cusp of AFL glory as they qualified for the preliminary final. However, fate took a turn when Adams suffered a hamstring injury, sidelining him for what would have been a pivotal moment in his career and causing him to miss the Magpies’ triumphant premiership win.

This setback sparked a significant shift in Adams’ career trajectory. With a strong desire to reclaim a prominent role in the midfield and seek a fresh start, Adams reached out to the Sydney Swans. This move effectively forced Collingwood’s hand, leading to his trade with the Swans.

His fantasy football performance last year paints a picture of inconsistency, with a notable difference from his historical scoring when placed in the midfield in contrast to the half-forward role he was forced into. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 76.5, scoring four tons, including one over 120, with 13 scores falling under 80. Similarly, in SuperCoach, his average was slightly higher at 78.2, with four matches hitting the ton, one scoring over 120, and 11 games scoring under 80. These statistics suggest a challenging season for Adams, marked by volatility in his scoring potential.

However, looking back a few seasons, Adams’ scoring pedigree, particularly when playing in the midfield, is undeniable. In 2021, he averaged 100.8 in AFLFantasy and 94.9 in SuperCoach, showcasing his ability to deliver solid fantasy scores. His performance was even more impressive in 2020, with an average of 109.5 in SuperCoach, the 15th-best average, and an adjusted average of 114.3 in AFLFantasy, where he was the 6th-highest scorer overall and notably played in every game.

These historical performances highlight Adams’ potential for high fantasy scoring, especially when positioned in the midfield. With his move to the Sydney Swans and a desire to return to a midfield role, Adams could recapture this form. Fantasy coaches considering Adams for their team will weigh his recent inconsistent year against his proven ability to deliver significant points when placed in his preferred midfield position. This contrast suggests that, with the right role at Sydney, Adams could offer substantial value and become a key player in fantasy teams once again.

Being priced in the mid-70s, Taylor Adams presents a tempting opportunity for fantasy coaches looking for potential high-reward forward options in their lineup. Given his proven track record and scoring pedigree in previous seasons, especially when playing in the midfield, Adams stands out as one of the rare forwards who could average 100+ in fantasy football. This potential is particularly compelling considering his desire to return to a midfield role with his move to the Sydney Swans. This could see him recapture the form that previously saw him achieving high averages.

In a typical fantasy football season, the upside presented by a player like Taylor Adams, with his proven potential and favourable pricing, is always a valuable consideration. However, this year, his relevance is magnified significantly due to the scarcity of genuine top-line premium forwards in the player pool. The rarity of forwards capable of averaging 100+ points makes Adams an even more critical asset for fantasy coaches looking to gain an edge.

The lack of established premium forwards in the game means that finding a player priced in the mid-70s with the potential to deliver significantly higher averages is akin to striking gold. Adams represents a unique opportunity with his midfield pedigree and the possibility of returning to a role that maximizes his scoring ability. In a year where the forward options are limited, securing a player with the potential to outscore his price point and rival the output of traditionally higher-priced forwards can be a game-changer.

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MY TAKE

In 2021, Taylor Adams had a high involvement in the midfield with a 77% CBA, which translated to a robust AFLFantasy average of 100 and an efficient 1.10 points per minute (PPM), despite a TOG of 76%—this season showcased Adams at his fantasy best, with significant midfield time directly correlating with high fantasy scoring efficiency and a substantial average.

The following season, there was a noticeable decrease in Adams’ CBA to 65%, coinciding with a drop in his PPM to 0.91 and a slightly lower TOG of 73%. This reduction in midfield involvement is linked to a decrease in his scoring efficiency, highlighting the impact of his role within the team on his fantasy output.

During last year, Adams experienced a significant reduction in CBA to 39%, which aligned with further decreases in his fantasy scoring efficiency to 0.80 PPM, although his TOG remained relatively stable at 76%. This sharp decline in CBA indicates a major shift in his role away from the centre bounces, significantly affecting his ability to score fantasy points.

Adams’ fantasy football output directly correlates with his involvement in centre bounces. Higher CBA percentages in 2021 led to his best fantasy performance, demonstrating the critical role of midfield involvement in enhancing fantasy scoring potential.

The data from 2022 and 2023 suggest that any reduction in Adams’ role in the midfield, as indicated by lower CBA percentages, results in decreased fantasy scoring efficiency and overall average. This trend underscores the importance of his midfield presence for optimal fantasy output.

Despite fluctuations in CBA and PPM, Adams’ TOG has remained relatively stable, indicating that while his on-field time didn’t significantly change, his role did, impacting his fantasy relevance.

Given these trends, fantasy coaches should closely monitor Adams’ role within his new team, particularly his CBA percentage, as this will be a key indicator of his potential fantasy performance. Increasing midfield involvement could signal a return to higher fantasy scoring efficiency and make him a valuable asset in fantasy football starting squads.

The Sydney Swans’ midfield mix in 2023, based on Centre Bounce Attendance (CBA) data, reveals a competitive and talent-rich environment. Luke Parker led with 75% CBA, indicating his role as a primary midfielder, followed by James Rowbottom and Chad Warner with 55% and 53%, respectively, showcasing their significant involvement. Callum Mills (37%), Errol Gulden (36%), and Tom Papley (35%) also had notable participation rates, highlighting the Swans’ strategy of rotating multiple players through the midfield to maintain dynamism and versatility.

Integrating Taylor Adams into this mix poses an interesting challenge and opportunity. His historical performance indicates a strong preference for being in the thick of the action, evidenced by his high CBA percentages at Collingwood. Adams’ inclusion could necessitate adjustments in the Swans’ midfield strategy, potentially altering the CBA distribution among the existing midfielders. His proven ability to impact games through contested possessions and clearances could see him taking on a significant role, possibly at the expense of CBAs from other midfielders.

The potential addition of James Jordon to the Swans’ lineup further complicates the midfield dynamics. If Jordon can crack the best 22, it adds another layer of complexity to the distribution of roles within the midfield, with more players vying for time in centre bounces.

The Sydney Swans have demonstrated that their midfielders possess considerable ‘fantasy chops.’ Players like Gulden, Mills, Warner, and Parker have all scored well in past seasons in fantasy football from the midfield. This depth and versatility mean that the Swans have a wealth of options, but it also raises questions about how these resources will be balanced with the arrival of Adams (and potentially Jordon).

Understanding how Adams fits into this equation will be crucial for fantasy coaches. His history suggests he could significantly influence fantasy scores if given a prominent midfield role. Observing the Swans’ preseason and early-round strategies will provide vital insights into how Adams and the rest of the midfield mix will be deployed, impacting fantasy football decisions.

For Taylor Adams to be considered a worthwhile starting selection in fantasy football, the analysis of his performance at Collingwood suggests that he needs a minimum of 50% Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs). Last year, in games where Adams had 40% or higher CBAs with Collingwood, he averaged 85.6 in AFLFantasy and 87.4 in SuperCoach. While this demonstrates potential upside, for Adams to replicate or exceed the points per minute he achieved during his peak years (2020-2022) at Collingwood, a CBA threshold of at least 50% appears necessary.

The Sydney Swans’ midfield mix and the potential for Luke Parker to spend more time forward has been a topic of speculation for years. However, given Parker’s strong performance levels and durability, which arguably surpass those of Adams, it seems unlikely that Parker will significantly reduce his midfield presence. Furthermore, the Swans’ forward line, featuring Will Hayward, Logan McDonald, Isaac Heeney, and Tom Papley, is robust without needing Parker to shift roles. This composition suggests that Adams’ pathway to securing the requisite CBA percentage might not hinge on displacing Parker but rather on finding his place within the existing dynamic.

Fortunately, speculation on Adams’ role within the Swans’ midfield will soon be clarified, as Sydney is scheduled to play in the season’s opening round. This match will offer valuable insights into the team’s midfield strategy and Adams’ part. If Adams secures less than 50% midfield time, it might be prudent to consider fading him from the starting selection due to the potential impact on his scoring. Conversely, if he is granted substantial midfield time, whether through preference or due to the unavailability of others, it could make starting him a more attractive proposition for fantasy coaches looking to capitalize on his scoring potential in a new team environment.

The unique structure of fantasy football formats incorporating scoring from the opening round in price movements certainly adds an enticing layer of upside for considering Taylor Adams as a starting selection. However, the round five bye introduces a strategic complication that fantasy coaches must navigate carefully, especially concerning early starting squad priorities.

With notable players like Brodie Grundy, Nick Daicos, Errol Gulden, and potentially James Jordan all slated to play in the opening rounds but also sharing the round five bye, fantasy coaches are faced with a dilemma. Including Taylor Adams in this mix further complicates the decision-making process. This situation necessitates a careful game of prioritization and structural balance within fantasy squads. The players you value higher and believe will offer the most significant returns early in the season will ultimately guide your decisions on how many others from this group you can afford to start with.

The key to navigating this challenge lies in understanding the potential impact of the round five bye on your squad’s overall performance and structuring your team to mitigate any negative effects. This might involve selecting a balanced mix of players with different bye rounds to ensure your team remains competitive throughout the early part of the season. Additionally, considering players’ roles, scoring potential, and the likelihood of price movements based on early performances will be crucial in making informed decisions.

The abundance of similarly priced options is the positive aspect of considering Taylor Adams for your fantasy football lineup. If you decide to start Adams and he doesn’t perform as expected, the fantasy format allows for a straightforward sideways trade to another player who is showing better form. Similarly, if you choose not to start with Adams, you can trade him in if he demonstrates strong performance, ensuring you can still capitalize on his scoring potential at the right time.

Ultimately, Adams’ role within the Sydney Swans’ lineup is a critical factor that needs close observation. The opening round’s performance will be pivotal in assessing his position and impact within the team’s midfield mix. This initial showcase will provide valuable insights into his usage, midfield time, and scoring capability in his new club environment. Therefore, fantasy coaches should closely monitor Adams’ performance in the opening round, as it will significantly inform the decision-making process regarding his inclusion in fantasy squads. Whether starting with Adams or considering a trade-in option, his early games for the Swans will be the ultimate decider in determining his value and role in your fantasy football strategy.

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DRAFT DECISION

Taylor Adams enters the draft with a unique positioning based on his 2023 performances—ranked 27th in SuperCoach and 17th in AFLFantasy. His potential as an F1 (first forward selected) in AFLFantasy is evident, reflecting the optimism surrounding his scoring capabilities, especially considering the lack of premium forward options. This upside makes him a compelling choice as an F1 in AFLFantasy formats, where his midfield pedigree and potential role with the Sydney Swans could translate into significant scoring.

In SuperCoach, however, Adams might more realistically fit the profile of an F2 (second forward selected) option. This caution stems from a combination of his previous year’s average and the strategic approach of SuperCoach players who may prioritize forwards with a more consistent scoring history or those positioned in roles with clearer scoring pathways. The variance in SuperCoach scoring, which often rewards contested possessions and impactful plays, might lead coaches to reach for other options before considering Adams as their first forward pick.

My stance is less optimistic than others regarding Adams’ immediate impact in his new role, meaning I’ll likely miss out on drafting him in most leagues. This cautious approach is based on the need for clear evidence of his role within the Swans and the impact of the team’s midfield dynamics on his scoring potential before committing a high draft pick to him.

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#25 Most Relevant | Jack Steele

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jack Steele stands out as a formidable presence in the AFL, renowned for his hard-nosed, relentless style of play that makes him a pivotal figure for his team. As a midfielder, Steele combines a unique blend of grit, endurance, and skill, making him one of the most impactful players in the league.

His ability to win contested possessions is second to none, and he excels in clearances, demonstrating both strength and tactical understanding. Steele is not just a ball-winner; he’s also adept at turning possession into scoring opportunities by setting up teammates or scoring himself. Defensively, he’s a tenacious tackler, often disrupting the opposition’s play with aggressive pressure.

His leadership on the field is evident, often inspiring his team through his actions and work rate. Steele’s overall impact is substantial; he influences the game on multiple fronts, making him an invaluable asset to his team and a challenge for opponents.

As a fantasy coach with Jack Steele in your team, the 2023 season was undoubtedly a frustrating experience. Steele, known for his robust and consistent performances, was plagued with multiple injury issues throughout the year, significantly impacting his form. He suffered a collarbone break early in the season, and while it was nothing short of miraculous that he only missed three weeks of play, this injury set the tone for a challenging year. Additionally, Steele battled a persistent knee complaint, further hindering his ability to perform at his usual high standards. His difficulties didn’t end there; he required an ankle clean-out during the offseason, indicating the extent of his physical challenges.

Despite these setbacks, Steele played 20 games, a testament to his resilience and commitment. However, the impact of his injuries was evident in his performances. He rarely looked like his usual dominant self on the field, with the injuries seemingly restricting his ability to influence games as profoundly as he typically would. For fantasy coaches, this meant grappling with the reality of having a key player in their lineup who could not contribute as expected, adding a layer of complexity and challenge to their fantasy football management.

Though marred by injuries, Jack Steele’s fantasy football season still featured impressive statistics highlighting his potential and resilience. In AFLFantasy, he achieved an average of 97.8, hitting the century mark in 10 games, with four of those scores exceeding 120, including notable peaks of 146 and 133. In SuperCoach, his average was slightly lower at 94.7, with seven tons, four of which were over 120, highlighted by exceptional scores of 160 and 140.

A notable aspect of Steele’s season was his strong finish; in the last eight games, he averaged 104 in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. This late-season surge showcased his ability to overcome earlier challenges and return to form, offering a glimpse of his true potential.

Additionally, there were four weeks mid-season where Steele truly shone, reminiscent of his peak form. During rounds 17 to 20, he averaged an impressive 125.5 in AFLFantasy and 128 in SuperCoach, underlining his capacity to deliver high scores when fit and in form.

While the AFL Finals series games do not count towards regular fantasy football statistics, Steele’s performance in St Kilda’s loss to GWS in the finals is worth mentioning. He scored 114 in AFLFantasy and 130 in SuperCoach, further evidencing his ability to perform well in critical matches.

Sadly, these averages across the formats are miles behind what he’d been delivering over recent seasons. In 2022, he averaged 110 in AFLFantasy and ranked as a top-five averaging player across the format. The year prior, he went at 121.3 and a monster seasonal average of 126 in SuperCoach and was the #2 ranked player by average across all game formats.

If you’re using historical data as your guide for fantasy football strategy, Jack Steele presents a potentially high-value option. When contrasting his price point with his previous season’s data, there’s an indication that you could gain anywhere from 10 to 20 points of added value per game. This gap between his current pricing and his demonstrated scoring ability in past seasons suggests that Steele is undervalued relative to his potential output.

Moreover, Steele’s ability to post high scores, as evidenced by his performance in the latter part of the season and critical games, positions him as a viable Vice-Captain (VC) or Captain (C) choice in fantasy leagues. The VC/C role in fantasy football is crucial as it can significantly amplify a team’s total score, and having a player like Steele, capable of delivering high scores, can be a strategic advantage.

If Steele returns to his peak form, his current pricing could represent a significant bargain for fantasy coaches, offering value and the opportunity to capitalize on his scoring potential. His history of strong performances, especially in key games, adds to his appeal as a top-choice midfielder who can consistently contribute significant points and serve as a reliable VC/C option, potentially boosting overall team performance in fantasy leagues.

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MY TAKE

A key question to consider in evaluating Jack Steele’s fantasy football prospects is: Was his down year primarily due to him regaining confidence in his body following the shoulder injury, a shift in the team’s game style, or a combination of various factors? Understanding the root causes of his performance dip in 2023 is crucial.

If it was largely due to injury recovery, there’s a reasonable expectation that a fully fit Steele could return to his previous high-scoring form. However, if changes in the team’s game style played a significant role, it’s important to assess whether these changes will persist and how they might continue to impact his performance.

Your viewpoint significantly influences the decision to start him in your fantasy team. If Steele’s down year was an anomaly and he’s poised for a rebound, starting him could offer considerable value. Conversely, if systemic changes within the team or lingering effects of his injury might continue to hinder his performance, it may lead you to explore other options.

Ultimately, your interpretation of these factors will guide your strategy and help determine whether Steele fits your starting lineup for the upcoming fantasy football season.

The preseason is crucial for exploring all variables before finalizing your fantasy football team structure and player selection. Considering Jack Steele for your team is not just about assessing his capabilities but also understanding the midfield mix of St Kilda and their overall game style.

Steele has been a key figure in carrying the Saints’ midfield, but the dynamics within the team are evolving. Key questions include whether Steele still needs to dominate Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs) with the presence of Liam Henry on the wing alongside Brad Hill and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera potentially allowing Jack Sinclair to rotate between half-back, wing, and midfield.

Paddy Dow’s addition to the squad adds depth to the inside midfield, while Brad Crouch remains reliable. There’s also the emerging next-generation talent like Marcus Windhager, Mitch Owens, and Mattaes Phillipou, along with the experienced duo of Seb Ross and Hunter Clark.

Despite the Saints being the leading disposal team last year, the increasing number of players vying for a share of the scoring pie makes Steele’s role crucial. If you believe Steele will maintain a high CBA rate and that his performance last year was limited by injury, then he could be a strong starter. Conversely, if you anticipate a more distributed midfield workload, there’s a rationale to fade him potentially.

In AFLFantasy, Steele is priced similarly to players like Touk Miller, Luke Davies-Uniacke, Josh Kelly, Zak Butters, and Sam Walsh, offering several options in this price range.

Structurally, Steele could be important, with St Kilda having a bye in Round 15 and playing through the early best 18 rounds. While he demonstrated the potential for high scores last year, relying on him as a captaincy option might be risky. However, considering him for a Vice-Captain (VC) role could be viable, especially if his games are scheduled early in the weekend.

In conclusion, seeing Steele return to being a 110+ midfielder wouldn’t be surprising. Yet, seeing him averaging around the low 100s is equally plausible. This uncertainty necessitates carefully evaluating his role within the evolving Saints midfield and how it aligns with your fantasy football strategy.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jack Steele’s Average Draft Position (ADP) in fantasy football drafts indicates that he is commonly selected as an M2, especially by coaches who are particularly keen on securing him for their teams. This ranking reflects Steele’s proven track record and the potential for high scoring that he brings to the midfield.

However, in the SuperCoach format, there’s a noticeable trend where Steele might easily drift into an M3 position, more so than many might initially anticipate. This shift can be attributed to various factors, including the evolving midfield dynamics at St Kilda, the presence of other attractive midfield options within a similar price range, and cautiousness among fantasy coaches due to Steele’s performance fluctuations last season.

His selection as an M3 could represent a strategic value pick for coaches, allowing them to balance their midfield with a mix of top-tier and high-potential players while potentially capitalizing on Steele’s upside if he returns to his peak form.

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#26 Most Relevant | Jack Sinclair

Dive into the multifaceted world of fantasy football where Jack Sinclair emerges as a key figure for fantasy coaches, offering a blend of top-tier defence and strategic advantage for the early part of the season. Uncover the intricacies of backline structuring and how Sinclair’s role, especially at Marvel Stadium post-bye, could be pivotal in balancing your team against other premium defenders like Nick Daicos.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jack Sinclair stands out as a pivotal figure in the St Kilda lineup, known for his versatility and exceptional skills on the field. His importance to the team is underscored by his ability to adapt to various roles, effectively playing as a midfielder, a wingman, or even in the half-back line. Sinclair’s greatest strengths include his precise ball-handling, intelligent game sense, and impressive foot skills, which enable him to execute effective disposals and create scoring opportunities.

His agility and pace also make him a constant threat in offensive and defensive situations. Sinclair’s consistency and flexibility make him an invaluable asset to St Kilda, allowing the team to be more dynamic and adaptable in their strategies. His role often involves linking play between the midfield and forward lines, demonstrating his critical role in the team’s overall performance and strategy.

Jack’s performance in the AFL is highlighted by some impressive statistics, which are crucial in understanding his impact on the field for St Kilda. He ranked 2nd per game for kicks, showcasing his primary role in ball distribution and his proficiency in moving the ball effectively. This statistic is significant as it reflects his involvement in the team’s offensive plays and his reliability in executing disposals.

He also ranked 3rd for effective disposals, indicating not just the quantity of his ball use but the quality. This efficiency in disposals means that Sinclair is frequently involved in the play and ensures that his contributions positively impact the team’s ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Sinclair’s 9th-place ranking for disposals per game further emphasizes his active involvement and ability to get the ball consistently. This high disposal rate is a testament to his ability to find space, read the game well, and be a go-to option for his teammates.

Lastly, being ranked 12th for metres gained is a significant indicator of his ability to drive the ball forward and make substantial ground for his team. This stat illustrates his role in advancing the team’s position on the field, setting up scoring chances and transitioning from defence to offence.

Jack Sinclair’s 2023 season in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach solidifies his top-tier fantasy football defender status. In AFLFantasy, he notched an impressive average of 102.2, with 14 scores over 100, including four above 120 and only two under 80. This stellar performance ranks him 3rd among defenders by average and first in total points. In SuperCoach, Sinclair’s average climbs to 106.6, consisting of 15 tons with six exceeding 120 and only four scores falling below 80, positioning him 3rd in total points and 5th in average among defenders.

This consistently high score is a testament to Sinclair’s significant role in St Kilda’s gameplay and his efficiency on the field. Notably, Sinclair’s scoring improved for the second consecutive year as the season progressed. In the 11 games leading up to the Saints’ bye, he averaged 96 in AFLFantasy and 100.2 in SuperCoach. However, his performance post-bye was even more remarkable. In the final 12 games of the season, Sinclair’s averages jumped to 107.9 in AFLFantasy and 112.5 in SuperCoach.

This upward trend in Sinclair’s scoring during the latter part of the season is crucial for fantasy coaches to consider. It reflects his ability to maintain and elevate his performance throughout the season and indicates his potential for even higher scores. His post-bye averages suggest that he is a player who can be relied upon to deliver consistent and high fantasy points, making him a valuable asset in any fantasy football team, especially in the crucial later stages of the season.

He had an even stronger AFLFantasy/DreamTeam season in 2022. He scored ten tons, including three scores above 120, 133, 140 & 146. On top of this, he had seven scores between 93 and 99 and dipped his coring under 80 just once. He ended the season with an average of 102.9 and was ranked second for all defenders in both total points and averages.

It was a near-perfect season in SuperCoach in 2022. His average of 113.7 had him the top defender for overall points and averages. He posted nineteen tons. That’s a triple-digit score from 86% of his games played. He went over 120 five times, including 133, 135, 140 & 150. He also dipped his score once under 80 (79) all season! If you include all player lines, he ranked seventh for total points and had the eighth-highest average.

Over multiple seasons, under various coaching regimes and strategic shifts, Jack Sinclair has consistently demonstrated that he is not just a reliable defender but a top-tier premium player in the defensive line. His ability to adapt and excel regardless of the changes in coaching or team strategy cements his status as a standout performer in the AFL.

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MY TAKE

Jack Sinclair’s 2023 season with St Kilda showcased his remarkable positional versatility, as he seamlessly transitioned between roles across half-back, wing, and centre bounce midfielder. This adaptability is highly valued in AFL, as it allows for greater tactical flexibility and the ability to respond to various game situations. However, such versatility can be a double-edged sword from a fantasy football perspective. While it demonstrates a player’s comprehensive skill set, the frequent changes in roles mid-game can lead to unpredictable scoring variance, which is less than ideal for fantasy managers seeking consistency in their lineup.

Despite the fluctuations in his role, an analysis of Sinclair’s performance reveals no immediate and consistent correlation between his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs), kick-ins, and significant fluctuations in his scoring. On one hand, this can be viewed positively, suggesting that Sinclair’s fantasy output remains robust regardless of the specific role he plays in a match. It implies a level of scoring resilience and the ability to adapt his game to maintain fantasy relevance across various positions.

On the other hand, this lack of correlation can also be interpreted negatively. The absence of a clear pattern between his positional shifts and scoring means that fantasy coaches cannot reliably predict how changes in his on-field role will impact his fantasy points. This unpredictability can make strategic planning more challenging, as managers might struggle to anticipate how Sinclair’s shifts in position from game to game will affect his overall fantasy performance.

The variability in Jack Sinclair’s roles and the impact on his fantasy scoring can be illustrated by analyzing specific games and their corresponding statistics.

In Round 15 against the Brisbane Lions, Sinclair was heavily involved in the centre of the action, participating in 68% of Centre Bounce Attendances (CBAs) but had no role in kick-ins. Despite this, he scored over 130 across both major fantasy formats. This performance showcases his ability to score highly in a predominantly midfield role, emphasizing his effectiveness in contested situations and ball distribution.

Contrastingly, in Round 18 against Gold Coast, Sinclair’s involvement in CBAs dropped to 45%, and he took 2 kick-ins. Despite the reduced midfield presence and the added responsibility of kick-ins, he still managed to score a ton across the formats. This game highlights his adaptability and his capacity to contribute significantly to the team’s scoring, regardless of the slight shift in his on-field responsibilities.

Further illustrating this point, in Round 23 against Geelong, Sinclair had no CBAs and took 3 kick-ins. Despite a complete absence from centre bounce attendances and a different role focusing more on rebounding from defence, he again scored over 130 across the fantasy formats. This performance underscores his ability to excel in a defensive role, utilizing his kick-ins effectively and contributing to the play from the backline.

The nuances and potential changes in St Kilda’s playstyle, particularly in the midfield, could significantly impact Jack Sinclair’s role and fantasy football relevance. With the recruitment of Paddy Dow and the return of a fit Zak Jones, the dynamics of the Saints’ midfield are poised for a shift. Both Dow and Jones bring specific skills to the centre bounce, which could potentially see Sinclair being moved more consistently to a wing role.

Dow’s inclusion adds another dimension to the midfield mix, potentially allowing for more inside ball-winning capability, while Jones’s speed and versatility could see him taking up a more prominent role in the centre. These changes might lead to Sinclair being utilized more on the wing, where his ability to use the ball effectively and create play can be maximized. This shift, while leveraging Sinclair’s skills, might alter his involvement in direct centre bounce contests.

The Saints’ gameplay statistics from last year also play a crucial role in Sinclair’s fantasy prospects. St Kilda led the league in disposals and marks and was ranked number one for team points in AFL Fantasy. For Sinclair to maintain his premium status, it’s crucial for these team stat lines to hold. His high fantasy scoring is partly attributable to the team’s overall ball dominance and effective use of possessions, which facilitate scoring opportunities and high fantasy points for players like Sinclair.

Should St Kilda continue with a similar gameplay approach, maintaining high disposals and marks, it bodes well for Sinclair’s continued success in fantasy leagues, even if his role shifts more towards the wing. However, any significant changes in the team’s playstyle or strategy could impact these statistics and Sinclair’s scoring potential.


One significant factor that works in Jack Sinclair’s favour for fantasy football managers is his availability during the crucial early part of the season. Holding a Round 15 bye, Sinclair presents a distinct advantage as he is set to play continuously without any early absences in the first six weeks of the season. This aspect of his schedule is particularly beneficial for fantasy teams, as it ensures a consistent and reliable scoring option through the front half of the season.

During the early rounds, fantasy coaches often face challenges with player rotations and byes, disrupting team structure and scoring consistency. Sinclair’s uninterrupted presence during these rounds offers stability and a steady flow of points, making him a valuable asset in navigating through this period. His ability to consistently perform and contribute high scores becomes even more crucial during these weeks, where every point can significantly impact overall team performance.

When structuring your backline in fantasy football, it’s crucial to be cautious about becoming too heavily invested in players who share the same Round 15 bye. This is particularly pertinent when considering top-tier defenders like Nick Daicos, Jayden Short, Jack Sinclair, Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, and James Sicily, all of whom are off in the same week. Having multiple key defenders from this group can create a significant gap in your lineup during Round 15, potentially impacting your overall scoring and team balance.

Jack Sinclair’s scoring prowess, especially at Marvel Stadium, is a compelling reason to include him in your fantasy team. Historically, he has performed exceptionally well at this venue. While the Saints do have some promising games at Marvel Stadium early in the season, it’s post-bye when they play almost all of their matches there. This scheduling can be advantageous for Sinclair’s scoring potential, making him an even more attractive option as the season progresses.

Starting Jack Sinclair is a viable strategy and can be a smart play. However, the decision to include him often hinges on his own merits and the broader strategy regarding Nick Daicos, another top defender with an early bye and potential for early-season tags. Many fantasy coaches might lean towards starting Sinclair as a D1 alternative, particularly if they choose to fade Daicos due to his early bye and tagging concerns.

Therefore, starting Sinclair is intricately linked to your strategy around Daicos. Opting for Sinclair could be more about balancing your team’s structure in light of Daicos’ early bye and the associated risks. This decision-making process underscores the importance of considering the overall composition of your backline and the bye structure when selecting your starting defenders.

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DRAFT DECISION

Jack Sinclair firmly establishes himself as a D1 option in fantasy football drafts, sitting prominently in the mix for coaches seeking a top defender. While he may not be the very first defender taken, often a spot reserved for Nick Daicos, Sinclair’s consistent premium performance and adaptability under various coaching styles make him a highly sought-after choice right after the top pick. His proven track record and reliability on the field position him as a valuable asset for any fantasy team’s defensive lineup.

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#30 Most Relevant | Jeremy Sharp

Embark on a journey to discover Jeremy Sharp’s hidden fantasy football potential as he gears up for a promising season with Fremantle. This article delves into Sharp’s unique skill set and the strategic advantages he brings, spotlighting why he could be the secret weapon in your fantasy lineup.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Jeremy Sharp is a versatile outside midfielder known for his significant upside, characterized by his astute decision-making and penetrating kicking ability. Athletically proficient, he possesses both speed and endurance, enhancing his effectiveness on the field. His versatility is a key asset, enabling him to adeptly play in various positions, including on both wings and in half-forward and half-back roles, making him a valuable and adaptable player in any team setup.

He has spent the past four seasons with the Gold Coast Suns, playing 23 AFL-level games in his first three years. However, he faced challenges in making the team last year, which limited his opportunities to showcase his skills at the highest level. Despite this setback, Sharp’s potential remains an interesting aspect for fantasy coaches to consider, especially given his past performances and a move back home to his native Western Australia as he now lines up for the Fremantle Dockers.

Sharp’s best year from a fantasy perspective was in 2021. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 71, while in SuperCoach, his average was 65.4. However, these numbers don’t tell the full story. In that season, Sharp came on as a substitute late in the last quarter in one of the games. If we exclude this game, his averages increase significantly to 79 in AFLFantasy and 73 in SuperCoach, highlighting his potential when given adequate game time.

Sharp’s ability to deliver high-scoring fantasy performances was evident in several games. Notably:

  • In Round 15, he had 20 possessions and 8 marks, scoring 79 in AFLFantasy and 76 in SuperCoach.
  • His standout performance came in Round 18, where he amassed 30 possessions and 10 marks, leading to a career-high 123 in AFLFantasy and his only SuperCoach ton of 115.
  • In Round 19, he garnered 31 possessions, 9 marks, and a goal, resulting in 112 in AFLFantasy and 96 in SuperCoach.
  • Lastly, in Round 21, he recorded 19 possessions and 9 marks, scoring 88 in AFLFantasy and 71 in SuperCoach.

These performances demonstrate Sharp’s capacity for high-scoring games and his ability to impact matches significantly. For fantasy managers, these instances of high scoring are crucial in assessing Sharp’s potential value, especially if he secures a more consistent role in the Gold Coast Suns lineup. His ability to ‘pop’ in certain games, combined with the upward adjustment of his averages when excluding outlier performances, suggests that Sharp possesses an intriguing upside for fantasy football

Sharp had a significant year playing in the VFL, participating in 19 games. During this time, he averaged an impressive 21.3 disposals per game and played a crucial role in leading the Gold Coast Suns to their historic first premiership in the competition. Furthermore, Sharp’s performance was marked by multiple high-scoring games across all fantasy football formats, underlining his potential as a valuable player in fantasy leagues.

Sharp has moved to the Fremantle Dockers in a notable development this offseason. This transfer presents an exciting opportunity for him. If Sharp manages to break into Fremantle’s AFL lineup, he is poised to become not just a popular starting selection for fantasy teams looking for a cash cow, but also a player known for his capability of scoring well at this level.

His pedigree and track record in the AFL and VFL levels, combined with his potential role at Fremantle, make him a player to watch closely in the upcoming season.

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MY TAKE

Jeremy Sharp’s transition to Fremantle as a delisted free agent highlights an increasingly common and successful pathway for players seeking new opportunities in the AFL. Fremantle had been interested in Sharp for multiple years. Still, trade negotiations were complicated due to the higher priorities and the difficulty of trading a player who wasn’t getting regular AFL game time. Despite Gold Coast wanting to retain him, Jeremy had already decided to head to WA. Becoming a delisted free agent became the most straightforward solution for all parties involved.

The success of this pathway is evident in the AFL, with several players thriving at new clubs after being delisted. Notable examples include Mitch Hinge and Ben Keays at Adelaide and Liam Stocker at St Kilda. Their success underscores that a player becoming a delisted free agent often says more about the club they’ve left than the one they’re joining.

Sharp has quickly made a strong impression at Fremantle, particularly in pre-season training. He faces competition for the wing role from experienced wingman James Aish, outside midfielder Nathan O’Driscoll, and potentially Heath Chapman, who has been internally flagged as a wing option. However, Sharp has been leading the pack, excelling in the club’s running and time trials.

Under coach Justin Longmuir, the wing role at Fremantle has been conducive to high fantasy scoring. This was seen with Blake Acres before his move to Carlton and, more recently, with Liam Henry. Last year, Henry, playing in this role, averaged over 80 in both major fantasy formats and notched up multiple tons.

Should Sharp secure this coveted wing position at Fremantle, these precedents suggest he could enjoy similar fantasy success. His early dominance in pre-season training is a promising sign that he could be a valuable asset in fantasy football, offering scoring potential and a fresh start at his new club.

As the AFL pre-season continues, there’s growing optimism surrounding Jeremy Sharp’s prospects at Fremantle, with keen observers of the Dockers’ training sessions indicating that he may have already secured a wing spot. While it’s still early and best-22 decisions are yet to be finalized, the current sentiment is positive about Sharp’s inclusion in the starting lineup.

The Dockers’ fixture this season is particularly favourable for Sharp, both in terms of the opponents and the locations of the games. Notably, they face North Melbourne and West Coast in the opening six rounds, teams that were among the easiest to score against in 2023.

Additionally, match-ups against Adelaide, Western Bulldogs, St Kilda, and Richmond in the first three months present positive opportunities, especially for wing players. The venue lineup is also advantageous, with four home games at Optus Stadium in the first seven weeks and multiple games at Marvel Stadium, known for its roofed environment.

Why does this matter? Simply put, these factors align perfectly with Sharp’s style of play. Both at AFL and VFL levels, Sharp has demonstrated that high tallies of uncontested possessions and marks often translate to strong fantasy scores. The spacious wings at these stadiums, combined with the style of play of these particular opponents, create ideal conditions for outside players like Sharp to maximize their scoring potential.

The bonus is that the Dockers can play throughout the early bye-rounds. If Sharp hits a high score during these rounds, it could offset lower scores from other mid-priced or premium players or compensate for scores impacted by player injuries. This aspect makes Sharp an even more attractive fantasy option early in the season.

The rationale for choosing Jeremy Sharp in the 50 most relevant over other potential cash cows in this price range is clear. Unlike many other options in this range, Sharp has proven performances at the elite level, not just hypothetical potential.

His track record of strong scoring in the VFL and glimpses of high-level performance in the AFL gives him a distinct advantage over other players priced similarly. For fantasy managers seeking value and reliability, Sharp presents as a compelling choice, offering proven capability and a favourable context for fantasy success in the upcoming season.

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DRAFT DECISION

In drafting Jeremy Sharp, my perspective places him firmly in the category of a waiver wire pick or relevant in the later stages, depending on the depth of your league. Sharp’s potential value lies in his ability to be a handy option through the early multi-bye rounds when he’s expected to play weekly. This consistent game time during these crucial rounds could make him a strategic short-term asset for your fantasy team.

However, post-Round 6, the situation may shift. At this point, fantasy coaches should evaluate Sharp’s performance and role within the Dockers. If he has performed well and increased his value, there could be an opportunity to trade him for more promising prospects, leveraging his early-season performance for a more impactful player.

Alternatively, if Sharp hasn’t lived up to expectations or better options are available, delisting him and returning him to the player pool might be the most prudent course of action. This approach to drafting and managing Sharp acknowledges his potential value in the early part of the season while remaining adaptable to changing circumstances as the season progresses.

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#31 Most Relevant | Errol Gulden

Explore the multifaceted fantasy football potential of Sydney Swans’ midfielder Errol Gulden as we delve into the complexities of his role in a dynamic Sydney lineup and strategize around the team’s early bye week.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Errol Gulden, a notable 32nd pick from the 2020 AFL draft by the Sydney Swans, swiftly made his mark in the league. While his journey began with roots in the Swans Academy, it was his 2023 season that truly highlighted his exceptional talent.

In this standout year, Gulden achieved All-Australian honours, finished an impressive fourth in the Brownlow Medal – polling more times than any other player in Sydney Swans’ history – and won the esteemed Bob Skilton Medal, underscoring his significant contribution to the team and his remarkable development as a player.

His 2023 season statistics place him among the elite players in the AFL, a testament to his profound impact on the field. His ranking as first in the league for inside 50s per game is particularly noteworthy. This indicates his ability to drive the ball forward and his crucial role in creating scoring opportunities for his team. Such a statistic reflects a player consistently involved in offensive play and significantly influences the game’s outcome.

Moreover, Gulden’s ranking as second in the league for metres gained is a clear indicator of his dynamic playstyle and his ability to move the ball over large distances, whether by foot or through running. This demonstrates his physical capabilities and strategic understanding of the game, knowing when and how to advance the ball effectively.

His third-place ranking for kicks further cements his status as a key player in the Sydney Swans lineup. It highlights his play involvement and confidence in ball handling and delivery. Being a top-ranked player in kicks also shows his reliability and trustworthiness in possession, a crucial aspect of any influential player’s game.

Additionally, Gulden’s 18th place for uncontested possessions underscores his ability to find space on the field and be a viable option for his teammates. It reflects his game intelligence, movement off the ball, and tactical awareness to position himself advantageously.

In AFLFantasy, Gulden had a remarkable average of 112.5. His consistency was evident with 15 scores over 100, including an impressive nine above 120 and only two below 80 for the entire season. His progression as the season unfolded was notable; he started with an average of 89.1 in the first six games but skyrocketed to an average of 120.7 in the final 17 games. This upward trajectory in scoring indicates his growing influence in games. In terms of overall rankings, he was 5th for total points, scoring more than everyone except Jordan Dawson, Rowan Marshall, Marcus Bontempelli, and Tim English, and he ranked 7th on average.

In SuperCoach, Gulden maintained a similar level of excellence with an average of 111.3. He racked up 15 scores over 100, with eight exceeding 120 and just three scores under 80 throughout the season. Like in AFLFantasy, his scoring improved as the season progressed, averaging 90.6 in the first six games and increasing to 118.5 in the final 17 games. He finished the season ranked 8th for total points and 16th overall by average, being 11th among midfielders.

The question of whether there is still an upside to Gulden’s already elite scoring is a valid one. He is priced at 112 in AFLFantasy and 111 in SuperCoach. However, considering his exceptional performance in the latter part of the 2023 season, there is certainly potential for even higher scores. His pricing, compared to his extraordinary average in the final 17 games, suggests room for growth in his fantasy output, making him an even more valuable asset for fantasy managers looking for top-end scoring potential in their teams. Gulden’s consistency and the ability to improve further makes him a highly sought-after player in fantasy football for the upcoming season.

Errol’s ability to score effectively in various positions across the field is a significant aspect of his game, showing no direct correlation between his Centre Bounce Attendances (CBA) and fluctuations in his scoring. This versatility speaks volumes about his skill in becoming a dangerous player, whether operating from the wing, participating in centre bounces, playing midfield, or even being half-forward. He has demonstrated a capability to score well in all these roles, highlighting his adaptability and threat on the field.

Reflecting on his second season in the AFL, Gulden’s averages were impressive: 19.5 possessions, 4.5 marks, 3.3 tackles, and almost a goal per game. From an AFLFantasy/DreamTeam perspective, he averaged 83, making him the 13th-ranked forward overall. This included three centuries, with a career-best 155 against the GWS Giants, where he recorded 33 disposals, 12 marks, four tackles, and two goals. Additionally, he posted four scores in the 90-99 range and five more above 80. In SuperCoach for 2022, his average of 85 ranked him as the 20th best forward. Across his 22 games, he scored six tons, with three surpassing 120, including high scores of 131 and 130.

From the earliest stages of his AFL career, Gulden has consistently shown the ability to score with both frequency and a high ceiling. As he enters another season, it’s compelling to argue that we are only beginning to witness the emergence of what could be a phenomenal AFL career. For fantasy football teams, Gulden is not just a current asset but a potential long-term uber-premium player whose capabilities and versatility make him an invaluable addition to any fantasy lineup.

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MY TAKE

The composition of the Sydney Swans midfield for the upcoming season presents an intriguing puzzle for fantasy football managers, especially when considering the selection of Errol Gulden. The potential introduction of three new players – Brodie Grundy, Taylor Adams, and James Jordan – adds complexity to an already strong midfield. Each player brings a unique dynamic, which could significantly influence team strategies and individual roles.

Adams and Jordan, in particular, will be interesting to watch as they integrate into a midfield ensemble that includes stalwarts like Luke Parker, Chad Warner, and James Rowbottom. This integration will be crucial in determining the balance and function of the midfield unit. Furthermore, the return of Callum Mills from injury and the potential contributions from Angus Sheldrick, who showed promising glimpses last year, further cloud the picture of the Swans’ midfield composition.

Amidst this mix, the role of Gulden becomes a key point of speculation. Given the depth and talent in the Sydney midfield, it’s challenging to predict precisely how much time Gulden will spend inside the contests versus on the outside. While the current suspicion leans towards Gulden playing more of an outside role, the fluid nature of team dynamics means this could change as the season progresses.

For fantasy coaches, understanding Gulden’s role within this complex midfield structure is critical. It will impact his scoring potential and determine his value and when and where we target owning him. As the preseason unfolds and the season gets underway, close attention to the Sydney Swans’ midfield deployment and Gulden’s specific role will be essential in making informed decisions about his selection in fantasy teams. This uncertainty adds an element of risk and potential reward for those who can accurately anticipate Gulden’s role and capitalize on his unique skill set.

The early bye for the Sydney Swans in Round 5, coinciding with Collingwood, adds another layer of strategic consideration for fantasy managers considering Errol Gulden. Sydney’s participation in the opening round means they have one of their byes earlier in the season, a factor that must be weighed carefully in fantasy planning. While the best 18 rule during bye weeks allows for some flexibility in starting players who will be missing games, the decision to include Gulden needs careful deliberation, particularly in comparison with other available options.

This is further complicated by popular fantasy choices such as Nick Daicos, Taylor Adams, James Jordan, and Brodie Grundy, who will also miss the same bye week. Selecting multiple players from these teams increases the risk profile, potentially necessitating the fielding of more cash cows whose scores count in your best 18. This scenario could lead to lower overall scores for that round, impacting your season-long performance.

Consequently, fantasy coaches need to make tough decisions. One approach is to prioritize and rank players, opting to fade starting some of them to avoid a concentration of players missing in the same bye round. Alternatively, managers might plan for early trades to minimize the number of players who are unavailable during that crucial Round 5 bye. Both strategies aim to reduce the risk of having too many premium players missing simultaneously, which can harm maintaining a strong position in fantasy leagues.

While there is certainly a scenario where starting Errol Gulden in your fantasy team could be advantageous, it’s important to recognize the impact this decision can have on the composition of your starting squad and overall strategy. Gulden’s potential as a high scorer in the Sydney Swans midfield is clear, yet the early bye and the need to balance your team with players from different clubs and bye rounds complicate this choice.

My approach leans towards opting not to start with him but rather to keep a close eye on his performance and role in the team to trade him in later in the year. This strategy allows flexibility in managing the early bye-round challenges while capitalizing on Gulden’s potential as a high-scoring fantasy asset as the season progresses.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the context of AFLFantasy drafts, Errol Gulden is positioned as a definitive M1 option. His impressive scoring ability, marked by consistently high scores and the capacity to hit significant peaks, makes him a top-tier choice for any fantasy midfield.

His versatility and knack for scoring from various positions on the field, along with his proven track record, solidify his status as a primary midfield pick. Gulden’s consistently delivering high scores and his potential for further improvement positions him as a highly valuable asset in AFLFantasy, warranting early draft selection.

In SuperCoach, Gulden’s draft range is slightly more varied, falling between an M1 and M2. This variance largely depends on individual draft strategies and how managers prioritize securing players from lines other than midfield. While Gulden’s scoring prowess makes him an attractive early pick as an M1, some managers might opt to secure him as an M2, focusing their initial picks on strengthening other areas of their team.

His SuperCoach average and ability to post high scores make him a strong candidate for either position, with the final decision resting on how each manager balances their team composition and addresses their specific needs in the draft.

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