50 Most Relevant Archives - Page 5 of 32

#32 Most Relevant | Harry Sheezel

Read Time:7 Minute, 35 Second

“Explore the fantasy football prospects of North Melbourne’s rising star, Harry Sheezel, as we delve into his potential impact and role in the upcoming season. Uncover why Sheezel, with his impressive scoring ability and crucial game time during bye rounds, is a player to watch closely and consider as a key target in your fantasy strategy.”

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Harry Sheezel’s debut season in the AFL was a testament to his immense talent and potential, marking him as one of the most exciting young players in the league. From the onset, Sheezel demonstrated a remarkable ability to adapt to the demands of top-tier football, showcasing skills that belied his rookie status. His agility, ball-handling skills, and footy IQ were evident in every game, making him a constant presence in the Kangaroos backline.

Sheezel’s knack for being in the right place at the right time and his sharp football intellect allowed him to significantly impact games, often trying to turn the tide in his team’s favour. His debut season was not just about individual brilliance; it also highlighted his ability to seamlessly integrate into the team’s structures and strategies, contributing effectively to both offensive plays and defensive efforts.

His standout debut season in the AFL was marked by exceptional statistical achievements, most notably ranking 11th in the league for effective disposals per game and 8th for uncontested possessions per game. These rankings reflect his precision and effectiveness with the ball, showcasing his excellent decision-making and understanding of the game.

This debut season from an AFLFantasy and SuperCoach was nothing short of remarkable, showcasing his rapid evolution from a highly sought-after cash cow to a premium player with dual-position status (DEF/FWD). His statistical impact in both formats underlines his fantasy relevance and effectiveness throughout the season.

In AFLFantasy, Sheezel averaged an impressive 97.3, hitting the century mark in 11 games, with three of those scores going over 120. Demonstrating remarkable consistency, he had only four scores falling below 80. These numbers positioned him as the 6th highest-scoring defender by average and 3rd by total points, making him one of the most valuable defenders in the game.

Sheezel’s impact on SuperCoach was equally significant. He averaged 99.5, with a commendable tally of 15 scores over 100 and four exceeding 120. This consistent high-scoring performance ranked him 8th among defenders by average and 6th for total points. His ability to consistently deliver high scores in SuperCoach further cemented his status as a top-tier defender in the format.

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MY TAKE

As we look ahead to Harry Sheezel’s role in the evolving North Melbourne side, several possibilities emerge, each with implications for his development and impact on the team.

Sheezel has made a significant mark in the halfback position, which he held down for much of last season. However, his junior career showcased him as a prolific and dynamic forward, so suggesting a potential return to a forward position could be on the cards isn’t out of the question.

However, there has been noticeable activity this preseason, with Sheezel spending considerable time working with the midfield group, hinting at a possible shift into becoming an elite second-touch midfielder. This transition could see him take on a more central role in the team’s gameplay.

North Melbourne’s squad decisions complicate this scenario. The team has a strong contingent of inside midfielders, including Luke Davies-Uniacke, Will Phillips, Tom Powell, and Jy Simpkin. This may limit opportunities for Sheezel to break into this group, let alone clip his fantasy output should he get game time there.

The recent top 5 draft pick Zane Duursma, a dynamic medium-sized forward, adds to the competition in the forward line. Additionally, the trade acquisition of Zac Fisher for a rebounding role and the potential development of Colby McKercher in a similar capacity to what Harry held last year might influence Sheezel’s placement on the field.

Given these factors, Sheezel’s best current and long-term role in North Melbourne remains a topic of speculation and strategic consideration. The club’s investments across various positions indicate a wealth of talent that could be utilized in multiple ways, making Sheezel’s ultimate role a subject of keen interest.

As the preseason progresses, insights from the club through press conferences and practice matches will be crucial in informing Sheezel’s role within the team. These developments will be key for fantasy football coaches to monitor, as they could significantly impact his fantasy output and relevance in the upcoming season. The evolving dynamics at North Melbourne and Sheezel’s adaptability and skill set intrigue his role, with potential implications for the team’s strategy and individual performance.

The phenomenon of second-year players in the AFL becoming outright fantasy football premiums is a rarity, reserved for a select few who have showcased exceptional talent and adaptability early in their careers.

We’ve some notable exceptions: players who have defied the norm to become elite fantasy options in their second season. This exclusive club includes the likes of Jack Macrae, Nat Fyfe, Marcus Bontempelli, Tim Taranto, Clayton Oliver, and Nick Daicos. These players didn’t just improve in their second year; they exploded onto the scene, delivering performances that catapulted them into the upper echelons of fantasy football scoring.

For a second-year player like Harry, this means that while the precedent for becoming or maintaining a premium scoring level in the second year exists, it is a challenging path that requires exceptional performance and consistency in scoring and, ultimately, in the role.

Despite the uncertainty surrounding Harry Sheezel’s exact role in the North Melbourne Kangaroos lineup, there is an undeniable attraction in selecting him for fantasy football teams, particularly due to the team’s schedule and his demonstrated scoring potential. A key advantage of having Sheezel on your fantasy team is that the Kangaroos play every game during the early bye rounds.

This period is critical in fantasy leagues as it operates under the ‘best 18 on the field’ rule, where having reliable players who are consistently on the field can significantly impact overall team performance.

Sheezel’s value is further amplified by the strong scoring ceiling he has already showcased. His ability to post high scores, even as a first-year player, indicates his potential to be a difference-maker in fantasy teams.

While there’s some level of risk due to the ambiguity of his role, his proven ability to score well makes him an attractive option. His presence in the lineup during the bye rounds, when player availability can be challenging, adds to his appeal.

His high relevance in the fantasy football landscape is undeniable, given his proven scoring ceiling and his North Melbourne Kangaroos team, which plays every game during the critical early bye rounds. While there is some uncertainty regarding his exact role within the team, it is essential for fantasy managers to closely monitor Sheezel’s position and performance both in the preseason and as the season progresses.

This vigilance will provide valuable insights into his potential impact and suitability for fantasy teams. Even if not initially included in the starting lineup, Sheezel undoubtedly warrants consideration as a potential upgrade target for a trade during the season. His ability to deliver high scores and his availability during bye rounds make him a strategic asset in fantasy football, capable of boosting overall team performance at crucial moments in the season.

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DRAFT DECISION

Based on his impressive 2023 average, Harry Sheezel is ranked as a D1 player, indicating his significant potential impact in fantasy leagues. However, the timing of the draft and the evolving information about club roles and team dynamics will play a crucial role in determining his exact draft position.

There’s a broad spectrum of where Sheezel might be picked. Given his high performance and potential in some scenarios, he could be selected as early as within the top 30 overall picks. This early selection would be driven by confidence in his ability to replicate or exceed his previous year’s performance. On the other hand, he could slip outside the first 50 selections.

This drop could occur due to uncertainties about his role in the upcoming season, potential changes in the Roos team strategy, or simply because of a role change at North Melbourne.

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#33 Most Relevant | Dylan Moore

Read Time:6 Minute, 31 Second

Dylan Moore emerges not just as a player, but as a pivotal decision in your strategy. Discover how this Hawthorn forward’s blend of consistency and potential can shape the backbone of your team.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Dylan Moore, a forward-midfielder for Hawthorn, has shown significant growth and impact in his role, particularly in recent seasons. His performance has been marked by substantial improvements, establishing him as a key player in the Hawthorn forward line.

In 2022, Moore took a major step forward in his development, distinguishing himself as one of the most damaging small forwards in the league. His ability to push into the midfield and make an impact complemented this. Statistically, he averaged 20.2 disposals, 5.6 marks, and 1.2 goals per game, metrics that rated him as “elite” compared to his peers. These numbers highlight his versatility and effectiveness in the forward line and midfield roles.

Moore’s performance in the past two seasons has been consistently high, reflected in his finishing in the top five in the Hawks’ club champion award during this period. These accolades show his ability to contribute significantly to the team’s performance.

Dylan Moore’s 2023 season in the AFL showcased him as a player with significant fantasy potential. Averaging 21 possessions, 4.7 marks, and four tackles per game, Moore made his presence felt on the field and in the fantasy football world. His ability to average almost a goal per game, coupled with ranking 14th overall in the league for tackles, underscores his all-around capabilities.

In AFLFantasy, Moore’s average of 88, including seven scores over 100 and three surpassing 120, positioned him 6th for all forwards going into 2024. This ranking reflects his ability to consistently contribute high scores, making him a valuable asset for any fantasy team.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, he posted an average of 87.4 with the same number of tons, including three over 120, ranking him 8th for all forwards to start 2024. These numbers indicate a consistent performance across both fantasy formats.

There is a definite upside to considering Moore for your fantasy team. In the final five weeks of the 2023 season, he averaged an impressive 99.4 in AFLFantasy and 104 in SuperCoach. Additionally, in the seven games the Hawks won last year, his averages soared to 104 in AFLFantasy and 111.4 in SuperCoach. If Moore can maintain or improve upon these numbers, he could easily become one of the most sought-after forwards in 2024.

Moore’s performance in 2023 wasn’t an anomaly. In 2022, he averaged 93.2 in AFL Fantasy and 90.5 in SuperCoach, demonstrating his capability for high-scoring games. However, it’s worth noting that many of these ceiling scores came when he played a midfield role towards the end of the year, a role he didn’t replicate as much in 2023.

Dylan’s fantasy football prospects for 2024 are bright. His consistent scoring, ability to hit high scores, and potential for further improvement, especially if he takes on more midfield responsibilities, make him a player to watch closely. As he continues to develop and take on more significant roles within the Hawks’ lineup, his value in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach will likely increase, making him an attractive option for fantasy coaches looking for a high-impact forward in a line that we have the least confidence in.

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MY TAKE

In 2023, despite expectations from his late 2022 performance, Dylan Moore didn’t see substantial midfield minutes, as Hawthorn ran a tight midfield rotation featuring Jai Newcombe, Will Day, Connor Nash, and James Worpel. While there’s potential for Moore to pick up some midfield time in 2024, his skills seem most impactful forward of the ball.

Additionally, the Hawks may prioritize increasing midfield time for Cam Mackenzie and Josh Ward, given their high draft investments. Moore’s role, therefore, might remain predominantly forward, where he has proven his effectiveness.

The dynamic of Hawthorn’s forward line has evolved, especially with the 2023 additions of experienced players like Jack Gunston and Jack Ginnivan, the drafting of Nick Watson, and retaining Luke Breust. This influx of talent doesn’t jeopardize Moore’s spot in the best 22, but it does indicate a forward side filling out with strong, young talent.

The narrative for selecting forwards in fantasy football in 2024 might need revisiting. We’ve focused on the uncertainty at the top and the upside in mid-range forwards, examining players like Elijah Tsatas, Zac Fisher, Josh Rachele, and Connor Macdonald.

However, instead of seeking value in forwards, a safer approach could be to build around a consistent performer like Moore. Pairing him with midfielders with a higher ceiling could yield better scoring and financial outcomes, even if priced similarly.

In AFLFantasy, for example, pairing Moore with a midfielder like Karl Amon, who showed a strong finish last season, might be more advantageous than opting for a combination like Sam Flanders and Jy Simpkin. Moore’s consistent scoring and a midfielder with a high ceiling could offer a more balanced and productive fantasy team.

Reflecting on Moore’s performance, his impressive averages in the final five games of last season (99.4 in AFLFantasy and 104 in SuperCoach) and in the Hawks’ wins (104 in AFLFantasy and 111.4 in SuperCoach) show both his upside and scoring consistency.

Importantly, the Hawks have the final bye in round 15, meaning Moore is available during the critical first six weeks and the challenging mid-season bye rounds. His scoring consistency over the past two years suggests he can reliably occupy an F1 or F2 spot until the byes, providing stability and allowing you to assess potential forward DPP gains before the Hawks’ rest week.

While selecting Dylan Moore might not seem like the most adventurous choice and could be viewed as too conservative, sometimes a ‘vanilla’ or safe pick in one area allows for more creative and high-risk selections elsewhere. Moore’s reliability and potential upside make him a solid foundation in your forward line, allowing you to explore more speculative options in other positions.

In the constantly shifting landscape of fantasy football, a player like Moore offers a blend of stability and potential growth, making him a valuable asset in any fantasy strategy.

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DRAFT DECISION

In drafts, Dylan Moore is unquestionably an F1, but the real question revolves around how much you value a reliable forward of his calibre. If securing a dependable F1 is high on your priority list, you’ll likely need to invest a top-40 pick in him. Moore could even be selected in some drafts as early as the 3rd round, depending on how highly individual managers rate forwards.

However, not everyone places the same value on forwards, which can work to your advantage. If you’re strategic and astute with your pre-draft tiers and rankings, there’s a possibility that Moore could slide down to a position where his value becomes undeniable. This makes him a potential high-value pick for those prioritising a solid and consistent forward in their draft strategy.

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#34 Most Relevant | Josh Dunkley

Read Time:8 Minute, 31 Second

Over the past few years, Josh Dunkley has been one of my favourites to own in SuperCoach, AFLFantasy & DreamTeam. 2023 was meant to be the season where he became a topline-scoring beast. While there were some ups and downs, I saw enough to suggest that Josh could still become the top-scoring player overall in 2024.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Josh Dunkley, a prominent player for the Brisbane Lions, possesses a diverse and formidable skill set that makes him a valuable asset. Renowned for his exceptional ability to win clearances, Dunkley excels in tight contests, showcasing his strength and tenacity. His high football IQ enables him to read the game effectively, positioning himself strategically to impact play both offensively and defensively.

Dunkley’s versatility is a key strength, allowing him to perform various roles, from midfield ball-getter to a forward line presence. His tackling prowess and endurance are standout attributes, ensuring he is consistently involved in the play and significantly contributes to his team’s performance. His skills in ball distribution, combined with his ability to break tackles and create scoring opportunities, round out a skill set that makes him a multifaceted and influential player in the AFL.

He entered the 2023 AFL season with high expectations in fantasy football. While his overall performance didn’t quite reach the anticipated heights, his season was punctuated with significant scoring bursts that showcased his potential.

In AFLFantasy, Dunkley posted a solid average of 103.5, tallying 12 scores over 100, with five exceeding 120 and only four below 80. His ability to play 21 out of 23 games was noteworthy, leading him to finish the year ranked 22nd for total points and 20th by average. These figures, while impressive, didn’t fully meet the lofty expectations set for him.

His performance in SuperCoach was even more striking. Dunkley averaged 113.8, with 15 scores above 100, including eight surpassing 120. Remarkably, he scored below 80 in only two games, cementing his position as the 7th-ranked midfielder by average for the season. This ranking underscores his effectiveness and consistency in the SuperCoach format.

However, a closer look at the details of Dunkley’s season reveals a 10-game stretch, from rounds 5-15, where he truly lived up to his preseason billing. During this period, he averaged an impressive 117.8 in AFLFantasy and an even more remarkable 130.4 in SuperCoach. This phase of the season highlighted Dunkley’s high-scoring capabilities and why he was so highly regarded going into the year. This scoring potential, demonstrated in these specific rounds, reflects Dunkley’s strong, albeit somewhat inconsistent, season and why he remains a significant player in the fantasy football landscape.

Over his AFL career, Dunkley has shown the pedigree of strong AFL Fantasy & SuperCoach scoring. In his history, there are multiple seasons where he averaged over 108, including a career-high 111 AFL Fantasy and 116.4 in SuperCoach in 2019.

While the ceiling scoring is in his history, we can’t hold on tightly to what he did in the past. Anything pre-2023 was done in a different team and system; therefore, it cannot be held as tightly for reference as in prior preseasons. At the Lions, he has shown us that the scoring capacity and ceiling are still there and that, heading into 2024, he’s highly capable of still being at the peak SuperCoach & AFLFantasy.

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MY TAKE

The decision to start Josh Dunkley in fantasy teams has been a topic of debate for many seasons, often seen as underwhelming in the eyes of many. This raises an important question: were our expectations for Dunkley unrealistic, or was there more to his performance than met the eye?

Understanding the nuances of AFL is crucial in making informed decisions in fantasy football. Dunkley’s statistical performance last season may appear patchy at first glance, but it’s essential to consider the broader narrative. There are several plausible explanations for the fluctuations in his scoring: adapting to a new team and structure at Brisbane, thriving as the season progressed due to the Lions’ and opponents’ game styles, and varying roles he was asked to play. Rather than sheer numbers, these factors should inform our understanding of Dunkley’s performance.

How you interpret Dunkley’s seasonal splits is pivotal in determining whether he offers scoring and financial upside, presents a risk, or should be kept on your watchlist. In the first four weeks of the year, he averaged 92.75 in AFLFantasy and 104.25 in SuperCoach, a modest start by his standards. However, Dunkley’s performance spiked dramatically in the following ten weeks, averaging 117.8 in AFLFantasy and 130.4 in SuperCoach.

His season was then interrupted by a calf strain in round 16. Still, upon returning in round 19, Dunkley closed out the final six games with an average of 95.1 in AFLFantasy and 98.6 in SuperCoach. This final stretch, while solid, didn’t match his mid-season highs.

The analysis of Josh Dunkley’s performance, particularly towards the end of the season, requires a deeper understanding of the game context and team dynamics. Notably, three of his four lowest season scores occurred last month. However, these numbers can only be accurate considering the specific roles Dunkley assigned in these games. For instance, in two of these low-scoring games, Dunkley was tasked with tagging key opponents Caleb Serong and Rory Laird. Such defensive assignments often limit a player’s ability to score highly in fantasy terms, as their focus shifts more towards restricting the opposition rather than accumulating their statistics.

Further influencing Dunkley’s performance was the injury to teammate Will Ashcroft. Dunkley’s scoring averages with Ashcroft on the field were significantly higher – 108.3 in AFLFantasy and 121.4 in SuperCoach. In contrast, in the games without Ashcroft, his averages dropped to 91 in AFLFantasy and 93.7 in SuperCoach. This stark difference underscores the impact of team composition and individual roles on a player’s fantasy output.

Ultimately, deciding whether to start Dunkley involves weighing these varied phases of his season against each other. It requires a balance of understanding the data, recognizing the impact of team dynamics and roles, and considering the broader context of his performance. Dunkley’s case illustrates that fantasy football decision-making is as much about interpreting the story behind the numbers as it is about the numbers themselves.

The fact that Brisbane Lions have an early bye in the AFL season, missing Round 2, adds a strategic layer to considering Josh Dunkley in your starting fantasy squad. The dilemma here isn’t just about Dunkley’s individual value and high-scoring potential, which is evident against his early opponents, but also about how selecting him impacts the balance of your team, especially when considering other players from Carlton and Brisbane, who are also off during that week. This necessitates carefully comparing and ranking Dunkley alongside players like Lachie Neale, Kiddy Coleman, Sam Walsh, and Zac Williams. Your choices here are pivotal, as they influence your overall squad selection and structure.

Starting multiple players with early byes increases your team’s risk profile. It could lead to a situation where you might not be able to drop poor scores from these players during the best 18 scoring rounds. This is a crucial factor to consider, especially in a game where maximizing every scoring opportunity is key to success.

The popular strategy in the fantasy community often leans towards avoiding players with early byes. However, this doesn’t necessarily rule out Dunkley or other similar players. It’s more about understanding how this choice affects the rest of your team selections.

A potential strategy for Dunkley might be to target him as an upgrade after the Lions’ round 12 bye. Post-bye, the Lions have a schedule that includes early-round matches, making Dunkley an ideal Vice-Captain option due to the timing of these games. With Friday night games against the Dogs in Round 13 and Saints in Round 14, followed by a first Saturday game against Port in Round 15, Dunkley’s early match appearances could be advantageous for fantasy managers looking for a high-scoring Vice-Captain.

With his credible scoring history, he should be seriously considered in our starting squads. His potential for high scores, combined with the strategic considerations around the Lions’ early bye, means he should also be closely monitored as a potential upgrade target throughout the season. His selection is not just about the points he brings but also about how he fits into the broader strategy of your fantasy football team.

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DRAFT DECISION

Josh Dunkley’s ranking varies between SuperCoach and AFLFantasy, reflecting his different impacts in each format. In SuperCoach, his impressive average positions him as an M1, making him a highly valuable pick. Given his scoring potential, selecting Dunkley in the late second or early third round would be a strategic move, capitalizing on his consistently delivering high scores.

In AFLFantasy, I would rank Dunkley as an M2. While his average might suggest an M3 ranking, his strong name recognition and proven track record in the game mean he’s unlikely to be available for long in most drafts. Fantasy managers recognize Dunkley’s potential and are often willing to pick him earlier, making him a sought-after player well before the M3 stage. In both formats, Dunkley’s scoring history and his value to the midfield make him a key target in fantasy drafts.

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#35 Most Relevant | Lachie Neale

Read Time:5 Minute, 51 Second

Dive into the fantasy football world of Lachie Neale, the Brisbane Lions’ midfield maestro, as we unpack his fluctuating AFLFantasy and SuperCoach scores amidst team dynamics changes and an emerging youth bias for our teams in 2024.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Lachie Neale, from the Brisbane Lions, is a skilled footballer and a master of clearances, making him one of the best in the game. His ability to win the ball in tight situations is second to none, and his knack for beating almost any player in the AFL to the punch underscores his exceptional talent.

Though some of his statistical records in previous seasons may have outshone 2023, his performance last year remained dominant. Leading the league in clearances per game and ranking in the top five for both centre and stoppage clearances, Neale also made his mark within the top 20 for contested possessions, handballs, and contested possessions.

In AFLFantasy, Neale had a solid average of 97, notching up 13 scores over 100, with three surpassing 120, including a season-high of 127. However, he also recorded six scores below 80, indicating some variability in his performance.

In contrast, his SuperCoach season was even more impressive. Neale averaged 110.3, with 15 scores over 100 and eight above 120, peaking at a season-high 176. This placed him 19th in terms of the highest average for the year, ranking higher than notable players like Connor Rozee, Andrew Brayshaw, and Tim Taranto.

The season prior for AFLFantasy/DreamTeam, he scored thirteen tons, four of them over 120, all of which were between 133 and 145. He had five additional scores of 90+ and only had his scoring dip below 80 in just three games. He ended the season ranked eighth for total points, and his average of 107 places him with the tenth-best average from 2022.

For SuperCoach, he scored a ton in 86% of matches last year. He registered a triple-digit score in 19 of his 22 games. Eleven tons were above 120, six over 130, and three monsters over 160 – a 164, 187 & his career-high 198. From the three games in which he failed to score a ton, he had just one below 80. Last year, he was ranked first for total points and third by averages. His 122.8 was one of four players who went over 120 last season.

Ever since joining Brisbane, Lachie Neale has established himself as one of the most reliable players in fantasy football, particularly in SuperCoach. His consistent ability to score over 100 points makes him a valuable asset for any fantasy team. His on-field prowess, particularly in clearances, and his fantasy scoring capacity, especially in SuperCoach, underscores his value as a top-tier player in the AFL and the fantasy football arena.

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MY TAKE

Lachie Neale’s scoring in 2023, particularly in AFLFantasy, showed greater volatility than in previous years. While the familiar challenge of the tag impacted his performance, changes in the Brisbane Lions’ midfield dynamics played a significant role, too. Adding players like Josh Dunkley and Will Ashcroft significantly changed the midfield composition.

The early absence of Will Ashcroft in 2024, as he recovers from an ACL injury, is set to alter the midfield dynamic again. Neale averaged 99.4 in AFLFantasy with Ashcroft in the team for 18 games, but his average dropped to 87.5 in the six games without Ashcroft – a notable change of 11.9 points per game. This drop was also evident in SuperCoach, with averages of 113.3 with Ashcroft and 97.7 without him. Although this is based on a small sample size, it’s important to consider.

The tag risk for Neale is still a significant factor, as seen in multiple games last year where he was notably limited, like the round 20 clash against the Gold Coast Suns, scoring only 60 in AFLFantasy and 87 in SuperCoach. This was also evident in the AFL finals series against Port Adelaide, where he failed to score over 75 in any format. As the key midfielder in Brisbane’s lineup, Neale will likely attract the tag in 2024 against certain opponents.

Despite a regression in fantasy scoring last year compared to 2022 and other seasons, Neale still can score big. In the eight rounds from 9-17, he averaged 111.5 in AFLFantasy and 125.5 in SuperCoach. Owning him during this period would have been highly beneficial for fantasy managers.

The Lions’ participation in the opening round means they will miss one match in the first six rounds. While it’s a benefit to see them play a real match before the lockout, the downside is their early bye in round 2, arguably the worst due to both the Lions and Carlton missing out. Despite this, the Lions’ early fixture is favourable for inside midfielders. Another concern is the round 12 bye and a potential encounter with the league’s most restrictive tagger, Finn Maginness, in round 11. Are you okay with having a premium miss two matchups before some have missed a game? I’m not a huge fan.

Given the potential for the tag and the Lions not playing in round 2, it’s challenging to advocate for starting with Neale in your fantasy team. However, his historical scoring pedigree remains excellent. Neale monitors closely as an in-season upgrade target, where his price and scoring potential could align to make him a valuable addition to fantasy rosters.

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DRAFT DECISION

In AFLFantasy drafts, Lachie Neale is likely to be picked as an M3, primarily due to his enduring name recognition and reputation. Despite the volatility in his recent performances, many fantasy managers still value his proven track record and potential for high scoring. His name currency in the fantasy community holds significant weight, influencing his draft position.

In SuperCoach, Neale’s legacy and achievements position him more as an M2. However, there’s a growing trend where fantasy coaches might prioritize other lines or opt for emerging talent, potentially pushing Neale to an M3 spot in some drafts. This shift is indicative of a broader trend in the way people are viewing other lines.

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#36 Most Relevant | Christian Petracca

Read Time:6 Minute, 15 Second

Dive into the dynamic world of Christian Petracca, Melbourne’s midfield maestro, as we explore his profound impact in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats. Uncover the nuances of his game and his pivotal role in fantasy drafts, where he stands as a top-tier selection in SuperCoach and a formidable force in AFLFantasy.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Christian Petracca is a quintessential example of a modern AFL midfielder, combining a unique skill set that makes him one of the most damaging players on the field. His strength in contests, coupled with a high football IQ, makes him a formidable opponent in the thick of the midfield battle. Petracca doesn’t rely on brute force; his game intelligence allows him to take calculated risks, often paying off spectacularly.

As a good ball user, he knows how to make each possession count, whether setting up a play or going for a goal. Moreover, his ability to perform under pressure is evident both in the congested midfield and when isolated one-on-one in the forward line, making him a dual threat that is hard to stop.

In AFLFantasy for the 2023 season, Petracca’s performance was impressive. He averaged 106, with 17 scores over 100, including three surpassing 120, and remarkably, he had just one score under 80. This consistency earned him the 15th rank by average and 9th by overall points – a testament to his reliability and scoring prowess.

In SuperCoach, Petracca elevated his game even further. He averaged an exceptional 119.4, with an outstanding 20 scores over 100, of which 11 were above 120, and his season-low score was a still-impressive 95. These achievements placed him third in overall points, trailing only behind Marcus Bontempelli and Tim English and fourth by average, behind Clayton Oliver, Bontempelli, and English.

During the 2022 season in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam, his seasonal average of 102.5 ranked him as the 14th-best midfielder in the game. He scored thirteen tons, five over 120, including 136, 139, 141 & 142. Those are some strong ceiling games! And in the first ten games of the season, he averaged 111. Alongside these top-end scoring elements were five scores below 80. We’ll address one of them in particular shortly. By the season’s conclusion, he was ranked eleventh for total points. Not a bad result for a guy who had a ‘down’ season in the eyes of many.

His SuperCoach season was even stronger. His average of 112.3 made him the 8th best midfielder by averages and seventh best for points. He ended 2022 as the ninth-highest scorer across the format. He got there by scoring twelve tons; he converted eight into scores over 120 and seven above 130. Some of these were absolute monsters. They included a 163 in the opening round and a career-high 189 against the Crows. He had just two scores below 80 all year and ended the season with an average of 120 from the final nine games.

One of the most remarkable aspects of Christian Petracca’s career has been his durability and consistent performance. He currently stands second on the list of players with 132 consecutive games played. This record highlights his physical resilience and underscores his mental toughness and commitment to maintaining peak performance levels. Petracca’s ability to remain a constant force on the field, game after game, season after season, is a rare and valuable trait, making him an indispensable asset for both the Melbourne Demons and fantasy football coaches.

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MY TAKE

The Melbourne Demons’ forward line has received a significant boost with the inclusions of Jack Billings and Shane McAdam, alongside the return to health of key players. This bolstering of the forward setup could have various implications for Christian Petracca’s role and output. A stronger forward line might lead to more scoring opportunities or a shift in Petracca’s responsibilities on the field.

One area where Petracca could unlock another level in his game is his accuracy in front of goal. He was 12th in the league for shots on goal but had a relatively low conversion rate, kicking 28 goals and 34 behinds from 87 shots, equating to a 32% accuracy. Improving his goal-kicking efficiency could significantly increase his scoring on-field and in fantasy leagues.

Petracca’s participation in centre bounces averaged 61% last season. This could increase, especially if Clayton Oliver is absent, providing Petracca more midfield time. During Oliver’s absence last year, Petracca’s centre-bounce attendance rose to over 80% in three of the first four games. His scoring potential might also increase with a focus on midfield duties, as evidenced by his averages without Clayton Oliver in the team – he went 112.6 in AFLFantasy and 124.3 in SuperCoach from 10 games.

The Demons’ early bye due to their opening-round game requires careful consideration when selecting players like Petracca, especially in balancing your team across the bye rounds. In the seven weeks leading up to Melbourne’s next bye in round 14, they face a series of teams that present favourable matchups for inside midfielders, making Petracca a strong early upgrade consideration if 2023 trends continue.

Petracca’s low level of scoring variation makes him a reliable premium player to own. However, in AFLFantasy, his infrequency of scoring above 120 points is a concern for a player priced at nearly $ 1 million. For such a high investment, he should ideally be a consistent Vice-Captain or Captain option, but his lack of ceiling games makes starting with him less appealing, though he remains a solid upgrade target. In SuperCoach, Petracca presents a different picture. His high ceiling and consistency make him a more compelling option from the start.

If you choose not to begin with him, no matter the format, he should be considered for an early inclusion in your squad.

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DRAFT DECISION

Christian Petracca emerges as a compelling choice for drafts. In SuperCoach formats, his high-scoring potential and consistency elevate him to an M1 position, making him a top-tier midfield selection. His ability to deliver substantial scores and his increased role in the Melbourne midfield positions him as a pivotal player in any SuperCoach team.

On the other hand, in AFLFantasy, while still a strong contender, he’s more suitably placed as an M2. This is due to his slightly lower frequency of hitting the highest scores compared to other elite midfielders, though his consistent scoring and durability still make him an invaluable asset. Regardless of the format, Petracca’s proven track record and role in a potentially more potent Melbourne lineup in 2024 make him a strategic and high-value pick in fantasy drafts.

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#37 Most Relevant | Clayton Oliver

Read Time:4 Minute, 54 Second

In this deep dive, we unravel the complex tapestry of Clayton Oliver’s 2024 season, marked by off-field challenges and on-field brilliance. Join us as we explore how Oliver’s tumultuous offseason and undeniable talent converge, unexpectedly impacting your AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach strategies.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Clayton Oliver’s status as one of the elite midfielders in the game is unassailable. His ranking in the top 10 for contested possessions, clearances, inside 50s, and tackles is a testament to his well-rounded gameplay. These stats aren’t just numbers; they paint a picture of a player who is at the heart of the action, consistently driving his team forward and dominating in key areas of the game.

In AFLFantasy, Oliver’s prowess is striking. He averaged 113.6, with an impressive 11 scores over 100, and six of these were above 120, including a season-high of 149. This scoring feat placed him fourth in terms of average, trailing only behind the likes of Marcus Bontempelli, Tim English, and Rowan Marshall. His performance clearly indicates his consistency and ability to score heavily in critical games.

In SuperCoach, Oliver’s average was an outstanding 120.6. He notched up 10 scores over 100, seven of which were above 120, and remarkably, he scored below 98 only once throughout the year. This exceptional scoring rate placed him among the top, surpassed only by Bontempelli and English. Entering 2024, he is one of just three players in SuperCoach with an average above 120, showcasing his elite status in the competition.

Oliver’s 2023 season was marked by a notable challenge – a hamstring injury that saw him play 13 games under duress. This was the first significant injury in his otherwise robust career, where he missed just one match in six seasons. However, his return post-injury was nothing short of remarkable. He scored 126 in AFLFantasy and 128 in SuperCoach against Carlton, demonstrating his resilience and ability to bounce back effectively.

Oliver’s performance in the 2023 AFL finals series further cemented his reputation as a fantasy football powerhouse. He averaged 123 in AFLFantasy and an astonishing 139 in SuperCoach, underscoring his ability to deliver when it matters most.

Clayton Oliver has been a standout player in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach for years. His record of three consecutive seasonal averages above 120 in SuperCoach and three seasons with 110 or higher in AFLFantasy clearly indicates his enduring excellence. His ability to score heavily and his resilience in the face of injury make him a top-tier choice in fantasy football. Oliver’s consistency, scoring ability, and overall impact on the field make him a player that every fantasy manager should consider as a cornerstone of their team in the upcoming season.

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MY TAKE

Clayton Oliver’s offseason can be aptly described as tumultuous. He was embroiled in trade rumours and internal club conflicts that, unfortunately, spilled into the public domain. Adding to this, Oliver experienced a medical episode that required hospitalization, and most recently, he left the club’s pre-Christmas training camp due to personal issues. Both the club and Oliver have requested privacy during this time, and we must respect this and avoid speculation or rumour-mongering.

If Oliver misses game time, it’s important to consider the implications for his teammates. Last season, when Oliver was sidelined, players like Tom Sparrow, Christian Petracca, and Angus Brayshaw stepped up, seeing a significant bump in midfield opportunities. This dynamic shift could again come into play, affecting the team’s on-field performance and fantasy football strategies.

The question of whether to start Clayton Oliver in your fantasy team is a complex one. Given the array of variables and challenges he’s facing, wisdom suggests that he might be better suited as an upgrade target rather than a starter. While you can start him, the uncertainties surrounding his situation make it risky.

Looking ahead at the Demons’ schedule, they play in the opening round and have an early bye in round 6. Following this, they face teams – Tigers, Cats, Blues, Eagles, Saints, Dockers, and Pies – which could provide favourable matchups for inside midfielders. This stretch of games post-bye presents an ideal opportunity to target Oliver as an upgrade. By then, there should be more clarity on his form and playing status, allowing fantasy coaches to make a more informed decision.

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DRAFT DECISION

Clayton Oliver presents a unique blend of risk and reward in your fantasy football draft. The key to drafting him lies in carefully monitoring the timing and news about his condition. While there’s a risk of limited preseason visibility, the upside is his potential to continue his impressive scoring streak of 110+ in AFLFantasy and 120+ in SuperCoach.

After the initial 4-5 draft rounds, Oliver becomes an increasingly attractive option. To balance the risk, it’s advisable to draft an additional midfielder or two early on, ensuring your team’s strength and depth. Ultimately, while drafting Oliver involves some uncertainty, his high-scoring ability and potential impact make him a worthwhile, strategic pick in the draft, especially if he’s available beyond the early rounds.

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#38 Most Relevant | Lachie Whitfield

Read Time:5 Minute, 56 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Lachie Whitfield stands out as one of the most skilled players in the AFL, a beacon of talent in the Greater Western Sydney Giants lineup. His elite running capacity and precision with the ball make him a standout player not just for his team but for the league as a whole. The AFL community recognizes that when Whitfield is at his best, he elevates the entire game.

In 2023, Whitfield’s stats were nothing short of impressive. He was ranked in the top 15 for effective disposals, rebounds from 50, and kicks per game. These figures aren’t just numbers; they’re a testament to his impact on the field and his ability to deliver high-quality plays consistently.

In AFLFantasy, Whitfield averaged 94.7, with a notable nine scores over 100. His consistency is further highlighted by the fact that he only dipped below 80 in two games. In the season’s final eight games, he ramped up his performance, averaging a commendable 100.8 and ranking 9th among all defenders for average.

Similarly, in SuperCoach, Whitfield’s average was a solid 92.9. He notched up seven scores over 100, and impressively, post the GWS bye, he averaged 107.1. His rank of 14th by average among all defenders underscores his reliability as a high scorer.

An important aspect to consider is Whitfield’s scoring ceiling. Across both formats, he’s shown the capacity to hit multiple scores above 130, indicating he can be a game-changer on his day.

One area of concern for potential selectors is Whitfield’s injury history. While it’s varied and often attributed to bad luck rather than chronic issues, it’s something to be mindful of. In 2023, he missed two games – one due to concussion protocols and the other through suspension.

Despite this, Whitfield has proven to be one of the most reliable performers in terms of scoring. Since 2017, he has consistently scored over 90 in AFLFantasy, and in SuperCoach, he has had just one season averaging under 92.

Whitfield’s ownership percentage is relatively low, but savvy AFLFantasy and SuperCoach players should not be caught off-guard. He has repeatedly demonstrated that he possesses all the attributes of a top-tier premium defender. Seeing him reach these heights again in 2024 wouldn’t be surprising.

Based on his skills, consistency, and scoring potential, Whitfield is undoubtedly a player to consider in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach this season. His injury history, while a consideration, is consistent with his potential for high-scoring and game-changing performances. Disregarding Whitfield could mean missing out on a player with the skills, consistency, and potential to be a top-line premium defender in 2024.

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MY TAKE

The offseason has seen significant discussions about the loss of premium forwards. Equally noteworthy, however, is the shake-up in our backlines. With the shift of Jordan Dawson, Will Day, and Sam Docherty to midfield-only eligibility, we’ve lost key defensive staples. This opens up a broader examination of potential defensive options.

The premium end of the defensive line is more complex than ever. How fantasy players structure their D1, D2, and D3 will be intriguing. There are numerous questions to ponder:

Will we see a regression from interceptors like James Sicily and Tom Stewart?
What level of attention will Nick Daicos attract?
How will the role of Harry Sheezel evolve?
What plans do St Kilda have for Jack Sinclair and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera?
Can Jayden Short adapt and thrive in a new system?
Will Luke Ryan dominate again as he did previously?
Is Hayden Young capable of sustaining his form for a full season?

While somewhat exaggerated, these questions are valid and contribute to the complexity of decision-making in AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach.

In this changing landscape, Lachie Whitfield’s case becomes increasingly compelling. His historical averages of over 90, his recent ceiling-scoring ability, and his impressive averages in the final eight weeks of 2023 (100.8 in AFLFantasy and 107.1 in SuperCoach) make him a player to consider seriously.

The Giants early bye round poses a strategic challenge. Whitfield’s round 1 and 2 matchups against North Melbourne and West Coast are ostensibly favourable. However, he’s out for round 3. This requires careful team balancing if you’re considering starting him. Additionally, with a second bye in round 12, managers need to weigh the impact of Whitfield missing two of the first 12 rounds.

Starting Whitfield will influence your strategy during the best 18 weeks of the first six weeks, but this isn’t necessarily negative; it’s just an additional factor to consider. If he delivers high-scoring games early in the season, he could be a pivotal starting squad pick, potentially setting the tone for a winning season.

The ‘injury-prone’ tag often attached to Whitfield shouldn’t be a deterrent. Starting with such players can be strategic; if an injury occurs, you’ve already banked their high scores and only need to use one trade. Conversely, if his injury history concerns you, it’s a factor to consider throughout the season, not just at the start.

Regardless of the approach, Lachie Whitfield’s relevance in the 2024 preseason is undeniable. His skill set, scoring potential, and the evolving dynamics of the game make him a player that cannot be overlooked. Whether you start with him or trade into him later, Whitfield remains a key figure in the AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach landscape.

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DRAFT DECISION

Lachie Whitfield stands out as a strategic choice. In AFLFantasy, he is a strong contender for a D1 position, reflecting his consistent high scoring and the ability to turn games in his favour. His skill set and performance, especially in the latter part of the previous season, underscores his value in this top-tier defensive role.

In SuperCoach, Whitfield fits comfortably into the D2 slot. While his scoring average is slightly lower in SuperCoach compared to AFLFantasy, his potential for high-scoring games and his versatility on the field make him a valuable asset for any team. His ranking in both formats indicates his overall prowess as a player, and he should be a prime target in the drafts for fantasy managers looking to build a strong defensive line.

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#39 Most Relevant | Josh Rachele

Read Time:9 Minute, 11 Second

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Josh Rachele is an emerging talent in the league. Only two seasons into his career, he’s become quickly known for his dynamic and impactful style of play with the Adelaide Crows. As a forward, Rachele’s greatest weapons are his remarkable goal sense and exceptional ability to read the game, allowing him to position himself effectively to score.

He possesses a potent mix of agility and speed, making him a constant threat in the forward line. His foot skills are highly commendable; he is adept at both long and accurate kicking, which is crucial in converting opportunities into goals.

In his debut match, Rachele immediately demonstrated his capability on the field, displaying skill, agility, and game intelligence that belied his rookie status. He played with confidence and flair, contributing significantly to the team’s performance. He posted a 100 in AFLFantasy and a 118 in SuperCoach, which is still his career-high score.

Throughout the year, Rachele played thirteen games, a commendable number for a player in his debut season. His performance in these games was consistent and impactful, reflected in his average scores across AFLFantasy and SuperCoach. An average score of 52 in these systems is notable, especially for a rookie, indicating his regular contribution to the team’s efforts and his ability to perform at the elite level.

While two tons might not seem like a large number in the grand scheme of a season, for a first-year player at the elite level, it indicates his ability to perform exceptionally well in certain matches. This ability to score highly in specific games bodes well for his development and future contributions to the Adelaide Crows. Rachele’s 2022 season was undeniably strong, marking him as a player to watch in the coming years.

Rachele’s 2023 demonstrates a commendable level of consistency in both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach, with averages of 71.8 and 73.9 points, respectively. His ability to score over 100 points in multiple games—three times in AFLFantasy and twice in SuperCoach—underscores his capacity for delivering standout performances.

Rachele’s commencement of the 2023 season contrasts his post-bye performance, highlighting a player with considerable initial upside. In the first seven games, his averages—89.7 in AFLFantasy and 86.4 in SuperCoach—exemplify his ability to impact the field substantially.

These figures are significantly above his overall averages, indicating an impressive ability to influence the game through scoring and midfield engagement and suggesting that he is well-prepared at the start of the season, possibly benefiting from pre-season training and tactics. This strong beginning is crucial, as it helps set a positive tone for his team and can contribute to early season momentum.

On the flip side, his post-bye averages dip to 63.1 in both scoring systems, which points to a mid-season lull. This downturn accentuates the need for strategic physical and mental conditioning to maintain his early form throughout the season.

Understanding the reasons behind this shift—whether they be tactical adjustments by opponents, a decline in fitness, or other factors—will be essential for Rachele to extend the high standard of play he demonstrated at the outset of the season into the latter half, ensuring a persistent presence as a key contributor in his team’s campaign.

When evaluating a player’s potential for a breakout, it’s important to look for consistent patches of high performance, as these can hint at their ability to reach full potential if they maintain consistency.

Rachele’s performance in Round 1 set the tone for his capabilities. He scored a ton across both AFLFantasy and SuperCoach formats, a remarkable feat for any player, let alone a debutant. This performance was fueled by an impressive tally of 18 possessions and three goals, demonstrating his effectiveness in acquiring the ball and converting opportunities into scores.

In Round 5, Rachele continued to show his fantasy scoring prowess. He almost hit the ton again in both formats, scoring in the 90s, bolstered by 22 touches and a goal. This consistency in scoring and ball-handling showed his growing confidence and skill on the field.

Round 6 saw another significant achievement for Rachele: scoring an AFLFantasy ton against the Hawks. This time, 21 possessions, and notably characterized his performance, he achieved this high score without kicking any goals, indicating his ability to contribute significantly in other aspects of the game.

Lastly, in Round 16, Rachele hit tons across both formats, which was a standout performance. He did this through a comprehensive display of skills, amassing 23 possessions and seven tackles, again without scoring any goals. This round highlighted his all-round abilities in the game, from ball-winning to defensive pressure.

These key performances throughout the season suggest that Rachele has the potential to achieve even higher scores. If he can combine these scoring columns consistently in games, it’s not unrealistic to foresee him reaching scores of 130+ in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach. Such a feat would underline his breakout status and make him a highly sought-after player in our teams.

Josh Rachele’s trajectory in the AFL appears promising, and if he continues to develop and refine his game, he could become one of the most exciting players to watch and own in the coming seasons.

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MY TAKE

As the Adelaide Crows aim to validate the “Crows are coming” narrative, a key focus is undoubtedly on their midfield, which is essential in supporting a young backline and driving the team’s overall performance. The midfield composition and the distribution of responsibilities are crucial in determining the team’s trajectory, especially in their rebuilding phase.

Analyzing the Crows’ midfield, it’s clear that the level of dependency on players like Ben Keays, Rory Sloane, and Matt Crouch indicates the team’s current state in the rebuild. These three, if playing primary midfield roles regularly, suggest a reliance on experienced players, which could impede the development of younger talents. Emerging players like Sam Berry, Jake Soligo, Luke Pedlar, Izak Rankine, and Josh Rachele must take on more significant roles and responsibilities for a successful rebuild. This transition is vital for the team’s long-term success and sustainability.

Focusing back on Josh, his scoring potential becomes evident when analyzing specific areas of his game. In Crows’ victories, Rachele averaged 80.4 in AFL Fantasy and 85.4 in SuperCoach, showcasing his ability to influence wins significantly. Conversely, in losses, his averages dropped to 64.1 in AFL Fantasy and 63.5 in SuperCoach. This contrast highlights his impact on the team’s successes.

Further, Rachele’s involvement in centre bounces is a critical factor. When he attended 35% or more of centre bounces (in 6 games), his averages rose to 90.6 in AFLFantasy and 87.1 in SuperCoach, demonstrating his effectiveness in midfield play. This correlation underscores the potential scoring upside with increased midfield responsibilities.

Examining his season more closely, Rachele’s performance in the first seven games was notably higher, with averages of 89.7 in AFLFantasy and 86.4 in SuperCoach. However, in the remaining 14 games, these averages dipped to 63 in AFLFantasy and 67.7 in SuperCoach, indicating a decline as the season progressed.

Josh Rachele’s value as a fantasy option in 2024 will largely depend on several factors. These include the Adelaide Crows’ winning percentage, Rachele’s midfield time, particularly in centre bounce attendances, and whether he can sustain his early season form deeper into the year. These variables will be crucial for fantasy team coaches in deciding whether Rachele is a viable pick for starting squads. His potential is clear, but its realization will hinge on his personal development and the team’s overall strategy and performance.

The focus on potential breakout forwards like Josh stems from the uncertainty surrounding the AFL’s top-end forwards. The lack of confidence in established names like Jackson Macrae and Dustin Martin, along with the form of players such as Sam Flanders towards the end of last season, has opened up a discussion about alternative options.

Given this scenario, players like Josh gain significant importance in the context of starting squads. Their potential for breakout performances could provide a much-needed edge, especially in a landscape where the reliability of top-end forwards is in question.

As we approach the new season, it is crucial for fantasy team managers and fans alike to closely monitor the preseason developments, particularly about the Crows’ midfield mix. Rachele’s role and performance during this period could indicate his impact in the upcoming season. Additionally, the overall strategy and composition of the Adelaide Crows’ midfield will provide insights into how much responsibility and opportunity Rachele and similar players will receive.

There is an inherent risk associated with selecting forwards this year, given the current uncertainties and the evolving dynamics of the teams. However, this risk also allows savvy managers to capitalize on potential breakout players. The forward line, more so than other lines this season appears to be the one that might define early season success. Keeping a keen eye on players like Rachele during the preseason could be key in constructing a successful fantasy squad.

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DRAFT DECISION

In fantasy drafts, Josh Rachele’s positioning is an interesting topic, influenced by his potential and the general landscape of available forward options. Based on his average in 2023, Rachele is ranked 35th in AFLFantasy (AF) and 36th in SuperCoach (SC). These rankings provide a baseline for where he might be expected to go in drafts.

However, considering the broader context, Rachele’s draft position could be higher than what his 2023 data alone suggests. The lack of reliable top end options in the forward line, combined with the trajectory and optimism surrounding his preseason development, may lead to him being picked earlier than his previous year’s performances.

Expectations of improvement and the potential for a breakout season are significant factors in fantasy drafts. With this in mind, it’s plausible to think that Rachele could be selected as an F3 in many drafts, despite the data from 2023 indicating he would be more suited as an F4. This projection as an F3 reflects his past performance and the hope and expectation of further development and increased impact in the upcoming season.

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#40 Most Relevant | Touk Miller

Read Time:8 Minute, 9 Second

In this deep dive into Touk Miller’s fantasy football prospects for the upcoming season, we explore the impact of the Gold Coast Suns’ new playing style under coach Damien Hardwick and how it might influence Miller’s scoring potential. With a focus on Miller’s past performance, the Suns’ early fixtures, and strategic considerations for navigating early byes, we unravel whether Miller is a must-have for your fantasy team or a player to watch as the season unfolds.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Touk Miller is known for his exceptional skills and pivotal role in the team. As a heart and soul player for the Suns, Miller brings to the table elite endurance, a key attribute that enhances his performance on the field. His ability to sustain high-intensity efforts throughout the game makes him an invaluable asset to the Suns in gameplay and leadership.

In terms of his fantasy football performance, Miller’s 2023 season was notable, though it marked a dip compared to his previous years. In AFLFantasy, he averaged 96.1 points, which included seven scores over 100 (“tons”), with one exceeding 120. However, he also had two scores under 80, one of which was notably impacted by an injury. This injury, a lateral meniscus tear in his left knee, occurred in a game against the Roos in round 6, leading to a three-month absence from the field.

In SuperCoach, Miller’s average was slightly higher at 97.6, featuring eight tons, with two scores over 120 and one below 80, again affected by the injury game against the Roos. The 2023 season was Miller’s lowest-performing fantasy season since his breakout, contrasting with his performance from 2020 to 2022, where he consistently averaged triple figures. His peak was in 2021, where he recorded a personal best of over 120 points across both formats.

During the 2022 season in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam, he averaged 109.8, comprising fifteen tons and nine scores over 120. They include 132, 133, 134, 140 & 147. Alongside this are three additional scores of 90+, and only once last season did he drop his scoring below 80. As a result, he ended the season with the seventh-best average in the entire format. And speaking of ending the season over the final ten games, he went at an average of 112.

For SuperCoach, he scored eighteen tons across the season. Eleven of those were above 120, and nine were above 130. His five highest scores were 153, 153, 157, 160 & 167. He had two additional scores over 90, and his scoring fell below 98 in just two matches. He ended the year with a ten-game average of 123.6 and with the fourth-highest average.

Looking ahead to 2024, Miller’s price point suggests a significant upside compared to his historical performance. His proven ability to deliver top-tier scoring output and his price make him a potentially valuable pick for fantasy managers. Miller’s resilience and capacity to bounce back from setbacks, coupled with his history of high scoring, indicate that he could be a strong contender for a rebound in fantasy scoring, offering great value for those looking for a player with the potential to outperform their price point significantly.

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MY TAKE

As we evaluate Touk Miller’s viability as a fantasy football player for your team, it’s important to contextualize his past performances and consider the evolving dynamics at the Gold Coast Suns. The standout years of 2021 and 2022, where Miller showed exceptional scoring ability, need to be viewed in light of the current changes at the club. From a game style to coach to even the players available has changed.

For example, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson were in their AFL infancy and nowhere near the staple part of the midfield that they are now. No longer is Touk required to put the midfield unit on his back for a season. Now, he can play his part in a highly skilled and experienced midfield.

With a new coach and system under Damien Hardwick, the Suns are expected to adopt a playing style akin to the Richmond Tigers’ approach during their successful 2017-2022 period. This style emphasizes a ‘surge’ game plan, focusing on keeping the ball moving and minimizing stoppages, which could impact the scoring opportunities for midfielders like Miller who scores well from stoppages through ball winning and tackles.

There’s a common perception that teams coached by Hardwick don’t yield high fantasy scores. While this is partly true, it’s not a blanket rule. For instance, in 2017, Dustin Martin averaged 113 in AFLFantasy and 119 in SuperCoach under this system, although his scores did dip in the following years.

Another Richmond player, Dion Prestia, showed that the system isn’t necessarily a barrier to scoring well, but his injury prevented him from becoming a consistently high scorer across formats. Tim Taranto’s performance in the ten games under Hardwick in 2023 also supports this, averaging 119 in AFLFantasy and 115 in SuperCoach.

However, it’s important to note that not all midfielders in Hardwick’s system will score multi-tons consistently. The role played by each midfielder in this system can vary significantly. A case in point is Trent Cotchin, who often sacrificed his game for the team’s success.

There are parallels between Cotchin and Miller regarding leadership and playing style, raising the question of whether Miller might adopt a similar sacrificial role in the Suns’ midfield. This is something to watch closely in the preseason commentary from the club.

The Gold Coast Suns’ fixture in the opening round against Richmond offers a unique opportunity for fantasy managers. This matchup will provide valuable insights into the Suns’ new system and structure under coach Damien Hardwick before the round one lockout. This “free look” is crucial for assessing how Touk Miller fits into the Suns’ midfield and how the team’s playing style might affect his scoring potential.

Following the opening round, the Suns will face Adelaide and Western Bulldogs before entering an early bye in round three alongside GWS Giants. This early bye presents a strategic consideration for fantasy team structure.

Coaches need to balance their teams across all lines, ensuring they have the right mix of players to navigate through these early byes while maximizing scoring during the best 18 rounds. With popular players like Sam Walsh, Kiddy Coleman, and Zac Williams from Carlton and Brisbane also missing the week before the Suns’ bye, team balance becomes even more critical.

The preseason period is crucial for watching the Suns closely. While it seems unlikely that Miller’s scoring will fall below his high 90s price point, there’s still a question of whether he can return to his 120+ scoring form. This uncertainty makes Miller a key player to monitor.

Touk Miller should be on every fantasy coaches watchlist. Key areas to focus on include the Suns’ game style under Hardwick, the makeup of their midfield, and how Miller’s scores and roles develop from the opening round. Additionally, you should consider how other teams structure their squads to handle the early bye rounds.

This analysis will inform whether starting with Miller is a wise choice or if he should be considered as a potential inclusion as the season progresses. The decision will hinge on a balanced evaluation of Miller’s role in the Suns’ system, his performance in the preseason, and the overall team structure strategy to navigate the bye rounds.

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DRAFT DECISION

In the upcoming fantasy football drafts, Touk Miller is a name that carries considerable weight, especially considering his stellar 2021 season, where he averaged over 120 points. Given this impressive history and his established reputation, it’s reasonable to expect Miller to be highly sought after in drafts, likely going off the board as an M2 (second midfielder) in many leagues. His standout performance in 2021, where he showcased top-tier scoring potential, is a significant factor that will likely influence many drafters to leap for his name early.

However, some considerations might make Miller more ideally suited for an M3 (third midfielder) position in fantasy teams. One such factor is the uncertainty surrounding the midfield mix and playing style of the Gold Coast Suns. Changes in team dynamics, strategy, and Miller’s specific role within the midfield can impact his scoring potential. These unknowns add a layer of risk to selecting him as an M2, where expectations for consistently high performance are typically greater.

Drafting Miller as an M3 would allow fantasy coaches to capitalize on his potential upside while mitigating some risks associated with the Suns’ evolving midfield scenario. However, given Miller’s past performances and name recognition, opting for this strategy might mean missing out on him in many leagues. As other coaches may be willing to take him earlier as an M2, based on his proven ability to deliver high scores, Miller is likely to be picked before reaching the M3 draft rounds.

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#41 Most Relevant | Luke Davies-Uniacke

Read Time:9 Minute, 9 Second

Luke Davies-Uniacke, the North Melbourne midfield general, is poised to take over the SuperCoach and AFLFantasy landscape this year. Discover why he’s the future fantasy king you can’t afford to overlook in 2024.

WHY IS HE RELEVANT?

Luke Davies-Uniacke has emerged as a prominent figure in the AFL, especially for the North Melbourne Football Club. Drafted as the fourth pick in 2017, he was North Melbourne’s first top-five pick since 2009. Despite early career injuries, Davies-Uniacke’s strengths in contest situations and agility have established him as a key midfielder for the club.

His breakout year was in 2022, when he showcased exceptional skills around stoppages and an ability to navigate through traffic, making him a standout player. This was evident in a game against Collingwood, where he achieved 33 disposals, 14 inside 50s, 12 clearances, 11 tackles, and eight score involvements, highlighting his significant contribution to the team. His performances earned him second place in the Syd Barker Medal voting and several other awards in 2022, indicating his vital role at North Melbourne.

Davies-Uniacke’s growth as a player has been remarkable, especially from the middle of 2022, when he was among the best midfielders in the competition. His performance metrics, such as disposals, contested possessions, and clearances, ranked him high in the league. His strong physicality and effective ball-handling skills have been particularly noteworthy, contributing significantly to his team’s performance even during challenging times.

This evolution in his gameplay, overcoming initial form and fitness challenges, demonstrates his importance to North Melbourne and fantasy league enthusiasts who recognize his potential to score high points.

LDU’s performance in the 2023 AFL season underscores his significant fantasy football pedigree, as reflected in his AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach statistics. In AFL Fantasy, he played 14 games, with a seasonal average of 97.4 points. This impressive performance included seven scores of 100 or more (“tons”) and four instances where he scored 120 or more. Particularly notable was his form in the last six games, where he averaged 112.1 points, culminating in a rank of 27th overall for average scoring in the league.

In SuperCoach, Davies-Uniacke’s yearly average was even more impressive at 113.6 points. His consistency and high-scoring ability were evident, with nine tons, seven scores over 120 points, and two exceptional performances where he scored over 140 points. His form peaked in the last six games of the season, where he maintained an average of 126.6 points. This performance ranked him 11th overall in average score, placing him ahead of renowned players like Guldren, Green, Serong, Neale, and Brayshaw.

His ability to score across various columns makes Davies-Uniacke an invaluable player in fantasy football. This versatility means that even when he is targeted by opponents (such as through tagging), he can contribute in multiple areas, thus maintaining his scoring potential. He consistently delivers in categories like marks, kicks, handballs, and tackles.

This ability to impact both inside and outside the contest, and in both contested and uncontested situations, highlights his well-rounded skill set. Such a diverse range of scoring avenues provides a high scoring ceiling and ensures a certain level of scoring reliability, making him a highly sought-after player in fantasy football leagues.

In 2022, LDU averaged 25 touches a game, going at an efficiency of 77%. He ranked eleventh in the league for centre clearances and fourteenth for inside 50s. From an AFLFantasy/DreamTeam perspective, he finished the season with eleven tons, four of them over 120, including a 129 & his career-high 145 against the Magpies. He ended the season with an average of 93.

Over in SuperCoach, he scored ten tons; five were over 120, including 138, 141 & 149. He also had five additional scores between 92-97. He ended the season with an average of 101.2.

However, over a fourteen-game stretch between rounds 9-23, we got glimpses of what we saw also throughout 2023. In this stretch of games, he averaged 103.35 in AFLFantasy/DreamTeam and scored ten tons. In SuperCoach, he averaged 110.5, scoring nine tons and only going under 88 once.

Davies-Uniacke’s fantasy football pedigree is a testament to his overall football skills and importance to his team and fantasy football coaches. His ability to contribute significantly in various facets of the game makes him a valuable asset in any fantasy football team and format.

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MY TAKE

Luke Davies-Uniacke’s role in the North Melbourne midfield is a key factor in his AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach appeal. He is a quintessential Centre Bounce Attendance (CBA) midfielder, often referred to as the “big dog” in his team, allowed to hunt the ball freely. This role provides him with consistent opportunities to score points in fantasy leagues. There’s a trend in AFL where top midfielders from underperforming teams can still dominate in fantasy scoring.

This can be contrasted most recently with the performance of players like Rory Laird from Adelaide during the 2021-2022 seasons, who, despite being in a team that did not perform at the top level, managed to put up impressive fantasy numbers. In those two seasons, he averaged 111 & 120 in AFLFantasy and 116 & 127 in SuperCoach.

However, the biggest concern with Davies-Uniacke is his injury history, which poses a risk for fantasy managers. Over the past five years, his games played per season were 14, 21, 20, and 9, indicating a pattern of missing several games each season. Notable injuries just in 2023 alone include:

A late withdrawal in Round 3 due to calf tightness.
He had a heel injury in Round 7, so he wasn’t named to the team.
He had a hamstring injury in Round 9 that sidelined him until Round 16.

He also missed the final two games of the year. This pattern suggests a level of risk for fantasy coaches, as they might need to hold a trade to deal with an injury-forced trade involving Davies-Uniacke.

A player’s injury history must always be factored in, but it should never be the sole reason you choose not to select a player. If anything, a player’s injury history is a reason to consider him in your starting squad and not as an upgrade target.

The reason is that if you start with them, you can bank all the scores they deliver. And with every passing game, the likelihood of injury will only increase. However, suppose you trade into an injury ‘risk’. In that case, you run the gauntlet of not just missing his good scores that attracted you to make them an upgrade, but rather your likelihood of trading into that injury is higher with every game past.

Starting these ‘injury-prone’ players is the best way to offset the risk. If an injury does occur, you have banked every good score available but also spent just one trade, not multiple, on removing him from your side. That doesn’t mean you can’t trade into him, but rather saying that if his injury history scares you now, it should also be a factor in the season.

While Luke does have an injury past that deep and long across all seasons of his AFL and even junior career, we’ve seen over time that injury history, with some luck, can change quickly. Look at Brad Crouch in his early few seasons at the Crows. The man couldn’t crack a 20-game year if he tried; he missed multiple seasons without AFL. And then, seemingly overnight, he’s played 20+ matches in four of the last five seasons. Suspensions have been the reason for missing games lately, not injury.

Sometimes, you’re injury-prone, and then you’re not. If he gets lucky with his body, he’s got all the tools to boom to become not just a topline premium midfielder, but the top scoring options in his line aren’t outside the realms of possibility.

If Luke Davies-Uniacke can maintain a good bill of health, his potential in AFLFantasy and SuperCoach is immense. Given his role as a primary midfielder in a team that allows him to hunt the ball consistently, Davies-Uniacke can average over 110 points in AFLFantasy and 120 in SuperCoach. The key concern, however, is about something other than his scoring ability, which has already proven high. The primary consideration for fantasy coaches is his injury history and the associated risk this brings.

The strategy for including Davies-Uniacke in a fantasy team largely depends on an individual manager’s risk appetite. Generally, starting with an injury-prone player is often seen as more strategic rather than trading them in later, as this allows for greater flexibility in managing potential injuries. Starting with Davies-Uniacke in your team and having a backup plan in case of his absence could be more manageable than trying to trade him in later, only to face his potential injury setbacks.

The only significant reason to avoid selecting Davies-Uniacke is the narrative around his injuries. Apart from that, all signs point to him being a formidable force in fantasy football, potentially even rising to be one of the top midfielders in the game. His talent and scoring ability are not in question; it’s his ability to stay fit and healthy throughout the season that fantasy coaches need to weigh carefully.

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DRAFT DECISION

When drafting for AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach, Luke Davies-Uniacke’s positioning largely depends on the format of your draft and your risk tolerance as a coach. Based on his 2023 averages, he would be a strong consideration for an M3 (third midfielder) in AFL Fantasy and an M2 (second midfielder) in SuperCoach. However, given his injury history, it’s prudent to approach his selection cautiously.

For AFL Fantasy, where he averaged around 97.4 in 2023, placing him as an M3 seems appropriate. This accounts for his high-scoring potential while balancing the risk associated with his injury history. In SuperCoach, his higher average of 113.6 points makes him a more attractive option, potentially as an M2. His scoring ceiling is higher in SuperCoach, reflecting his impact in various statistical categories.

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